Captain Bearcat
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RE: Could the Four Corners schools swallow the nB12?
(09-01-2022 01:11 PM)Big 12 fan too Wrote: (09-01-2022 12:59 PM)bullet Wrote: (09-01-2022 09:15 AM)ArmoredUpKnight Wrote: (09-01-2022 09:03 AM)AssKickingChicken Wrote: (09-01-2022 07:54 AM)quo vadis Wrote: What I'm thinking is ... let's say that Stanford, Oregon, Cal and UW do leave for the B1G.
Now, the PAC is dead. So what next?
Sure, the nB12 could extend an invite to the four corners, who then join.
But what if the four corners say to themselves "we're more valuable than any four nB12 schools, so rather than us coming to them, they come to us, and we don't need all of them"?
Maybe a conference that looks like this ...
Arizona State
Arizona
Colorado
Utah
Kansas
Kansas State
Texas Tech
Baylor
Oklahoma State
TCU
BYU
Iowa State
IMO, this conference, call it what you want - could have more media value than a 16-team nB12. And if so, I don't think nB12 exit fees are a significant barrier to entry. You don't let $80m stand in the way of a more-profitable conference.
No?
What about Washington State and Oregon State?
Quo is saying the PAC died and the traditional Big12 members left the Big12 to join a new conference formed by the 4 Corners (Arizona, ASU, Utah, and Colorado)
Which is still preposterous.
Big 12 members:
- Lose their Texas and OU exit fees and GOR leverage
- Have to pay Exit fees of their own to WVU, Houston, Cincy, and UCF
- Lose the Eastern Time Zone
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Even if we lived out the Quo's dream scenario...
WVU, Cincy, Houston, and UCF is a strong enough core to invite SMU, Memphis, ECU, and Tulane whose only purpose is to survive till 2030s for next round of realignment. This Big 12 Zombie Conference still has autonomy status, all the exit fees from most of the members leaving, and Texas/OU GOR leverage.
The 4 corners have no more value than WVU (probably a little less-WVU gets significantly undervalued) and not significantly more than Houston, Cincinnati and UCF. And from a recruiting standpoint the 4 corners have significantly less value. The proposal makes zero sense.
Without the top PAC schools, the 4 corners are not valuable. Basically mountain west dna. Not setup well to succeed either. I’m not sure they add value to a conference outside of the benefits of consolidation into a single leftover conference
The Four Corners schools are much larger than the MWC schools.
Enrollment
72,000 - ASU
43,600 - Arizona
35,600 - SDSU (biggest MWC school)
33,200 - Colorado
33,000 - Utah
27,000 - MWC average (not counting Air Force)
20,700 - MAC average
Endowment
2.12 billion - Colorado
1.32 billion - Utah
1.26 billion - Arizona
1.25 billion - ASU
746 million - Wyoming (biggest MWC school)
417 million - MAC average
415 million - MWC average (not counting Air Force)
The Four Corners schools also have much stronger athletic departments than MWC schools.
National Titles in football
Colorado - 1990
Arizona State - 1970, 1975 (both from minor selectors)
Utah - 2008 (minor selectors)
MWC - none
Final Fours in Basketball
Arizona - 5
Colorado - 2
UNLV - 4
Utah - 4
All MWC other than UNLV - none
National Titles in baseball
Arizona - 1976, 1980, 1986, 2012
Arizona State - 1965, 1967, 1969, 1977, 1981
MWC - None
Football attendance 2019
49,573 - Colorado
49,166 - Arizona State
46,462 - Utah
39,532 - Arizona
32,070 - Boise (biggest MWC school)
23,232 - MWC average
15,530 - MAC average
Basketball attendance 2019
13,744 - Arizona
11,067 - Utah
10,538 - Arizona State
6,868 - Colorado
6,447 - MWC average
4,395 - MVC average
Total National Championships in Team Sports
27 - Colorado
24 - Arizona State
24 - Utah
23 - Total of all 12 WMC schools
19 - Arizona
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