(12-01-2021 02:49 AM)otown Wrote: Wow, according to some, the Big 12 won't get any bowls LOL.
Come on, no one is saying that. I said the Big 12 may lose its Alamo tie-in to the SEC, and that's about it. That is to be expected. The SEC is now even more attractive to bowls, and the Big 12 a bit less so. The other three P5's are unchanged.
I also said the Big 12 would stand to gain a net of 1-2 new bowl affiliations since they're growing from 10 to 12. I suspect BYU's current relationships with Bowl games may be rolled in.
Do you honestly think the Big 12 would take a hit in media payouts after losing Texas and OU, but the bowl lineup won't change at all? I don't think at all that everything will fall apart, but losing two mega brand names has consequences to some extent.
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I know this discussion has evolved into the CFP and P5 bowl games, but I would love to see what people think may happen with G5 bowl games.
The MAC and MW should see minimal changes, I would think, although I think the MW may suffer some if the Pac-12 starts getting more Alliance bowl games and fewer games against MW opponents.
C-USA has some backup tie-ins against P5's. I don't see how that continues long term. I wouldn't be terribly surprised if C-USA's new bowl lineup is entirely just a pool of ESPN-owned bowl games. It's just hard to see such a weakened, geographically disparate conference having any single bowl game say, "Sign me up for that!"
Like with the Big 12, but maybe to an even greater extent, the AAC's appeal to bowl games has to be taking a bit of a hit. They lost their three biggest brands and most successful football programs. I would be amazed if they don't lose some of their games against P5 schools. Like others have said, some of the top AAC bowl games may flip to the Big 12. Like I am with the idea of the Big 12's Alamo tie-in flipping to the SEC, I am fairly confident C-USA's affiliation with the New Orleans Bowl will flip to the AAC. That only makes sense, with Tulane, UAB, Memphis, Rice, UTSA, SMU, and UNT within reasonable driving distance. Going from 11 ton14 members, the total number of affiliations probably increases by one.
The Sun Belt currently has five bowl affiliations for ten programs. That should increase to seven for 14 programs.... Since the SB sustained zero losses and gained four schools, I think the SB may gain some prestige (relatively speaking, we're talking the G5 world here) in bowl games. It only makes sense, with the SB gaining ground and the AAC losing ground, that the AAC could lose an affiliation to the SB. My hope is for the AAC's Military Bowl affiliation vs. the ACC to flip to the SB, with the SB using nearby Marshall, JMU, and ODU as a selling point, and App State and Coastal not terribly far either. But with the game held in AAC member Navy's stadium, I think this is a longshot. Alternatively, an Independence Bowl tie-in against the Big 12 (or SEC???) seems possible.
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Having said what I did about Pac-12 bowl games and the Alliance, this may sound contradictory, but I think the SEC is going to be far from shut out of bowl games (and regular season nonconference games) against other P5's. B1G vs. SEC games are so common because both leagues have the most big brands, bring in big TV audiences, and travel very well.