It definitely looks that way. Tulsa & UH also came close. Not bad for a conference that has a top team ineligible & only 11 total members.

(03-13-2016 02:50 AM)Indiana Bones Wrote:  It definitely looks that way. Tulsa & UH also came close. Not bad for a conference that has a top team ineligible & only 11 total members.

Beg to disagree. I think Temple gets bumped out.


.

If Memphis wins either Temple or UC will get bumped, you watch.

Temple has the head to head with UC but I believe UC has overall better metrics. At least I recall reading that. Most likely Temple gets bumped, but it depends on how much they weigh head to head.

I don't see 4 in. 2 locks and 1 maybe.

(03-13-2016 08:21 AM)goodknightfl Wrote:  I don't see 4 in. 2 locks and 1 maybe.

Agreed....getting 3 out of 10 eligible is pretty good. That is the ceiling right now.

I think winning the regular season title will matter in the minds off the committee members and Temple says in regardless if Memphis wins

Last time I checked Temple was ranked 2nd among the last 4 in with UCONN & UC 'comfortably' in. I know it's not a perfect science but Joey Brackets is usually pretty good at this stuff. Going by his system, if Memphis steals a bid then Saint Mary's or Monmouth are more likely to fall out than Temple. I'd say there's a fairly good chance we get 4 in if Memphis wins.

temple should be in over St. Mary's or Monmouth, I agree. But just not sure it will work out that way.

I think we are a 2 bid conference. UCONN for sure and then Cincy unless Memphis wins the tourney.

The experts are saying 3, without factoring in Memphis. We'll see.

I think 3 get in UConn,UC and Temple. If Memphis wins they will replace Temple.
Not bad for a year where SMU is ineligible and the conference had an average year at best.

It's either 3 or 4, probably 3. I don't expect Memphis to win today, so it should be UConn, UC and Temple.

If Memphis somehow wins, then, maybe Temple gets bumped, but I think it's possible all 4 make it.

(03-13-2016 09:32 AM)Cubanbull Wrote:  I think 3 get in UConn,UC and Temple. If Memphis wins they will replace Temple.
Not bad for a year where SMU is ineligible and the conference had an average year at best.

Yeah...I think the committee has agreed that there will be 3 spots for AAC...and if Memphis wins today...Temple or UC probably fall out.

Temple's awful computer metrics of 76 BPI, 60 RPI, 89 Kenpom might not even have the Owls in the conversation at this point. Both Temple and Wichita State are the most interesting bubble teams this seasons. Temple also didn't play at SMU. If they look at the overall body of work the Owls in trouble. If they view them as the team that played really well against the top of the conference the Owls are fine.

Cincinnati is more like the B- student. They don't have great marks in all areas but the they didn't fail one category either. Great Kenpom and BPI numbers to go with four top 50 wins. The Bearcats check every box for selection which typically gets a team in.

The experts dont know much anymore.

Look at the metrics people. BPI, KenPom, etc.

(03-13-2016 09:32 AM)Cubanbull Wrote:  I think 3 get in UConn,UC and Temple. If Memphis wins they will replace Temple.
Not bad for a year where SMU is ineligible and the conference had an average year at best.

That would be surprising to me. I think that Temple, Cincinnati and UConn are locks. If Memphis wins I think that Syracuse or another major conference school sitting on the edge will be the one that gets bounced.

I think it's funny how Temple people (myself included) seem to be the most pessimistic about their chances. I guess we're still hurting from last year, where I thought we had a much better at large resume.

It's an outside shot at 4 but i'm doubting it more and more.

I think if Memphis wins UConn and Cincy are in Temple gets bumped out.

If you just look at the head to head numbers against UC and UConn it shouldn't be that way, but it will be.

2-1 vs UConn, 2-0 in the regular season
2-0 vs Cincinnati
7-2 in the regular season vs the conference top 5 including with a win at home vs SMU and wins at UC, UConn and Houston.
OOC SOS Cincinnati 141, UConn 114, Temple 104.

Based on all the number crunching metrics UConn and UC are well ahead of Temple, based on head to head and conference performance I don’t understand how.

(03-13-2016 12:53 PM)TempleU22 Wrote:  I think it's funny how Temple people (myself included) seem to be the most pessimistic about their chances. I guess we're still hurting from last year, where I thought we had a much better at large resume.

Exactly! I couldn't have put it better.

(03-13-2016 12:53 PM)NYCTUFan Wrote:  It's an outside shot at 4 but i'm doubting it more and more.

I think if Memphis wins UConn and Cincy are in Temple gets bumped out.

If you just look at the head to head numbers against UC and UConn it shouldn't be that way, but it will be.

2-1 vs UConn, 2-0 in the regular season
2-0 vs Cincinnati
7-2 in the regular season vs the conference top 5 including with a win at home vs SMU and wins at UC, UConn and Houston.
OOC SOS Cincinnati 141, UConn 114, Temple 104.

Based on all the number crunching metrics UConn and UC are well ahead of Temple, based on head to head and conference performance I don’t understand how.

Didn't beat anyone with a pulse during the non conference portion and have by far the worst loss of the three. I think the selection committees statement that they are going to pick the "best teams" really hurts temple here. Their BPI, Kenpom and Sagarin ratings are well behind UCs and UConns.