(01-19-2016 04:00 PM)Tomball Owl Wrote: (01-19-2016 03:10 PM)Afflicted Wrote: I think at Rice they realize that there will always be "down" years. It's inevitable.
Why?
In this conference against this level of competition, a down year at worst should be 7-8 wins vs. 9-10 or more.
I agree with Afflicted here, but not in the context of his comment.
There are a VERY select few universities, regardless of conference, that can realistically have down years of 7 or 8 wins. But that is because there are not only up years and down years for a program - there are also the mediocre years, where most programs reside. I think a 7 or 8 win season should not be viewed as a down year, but as one of those mediocre years for us, at this point. When you start getting to .500 or below in this conference, or really any conference, then you can easily call that a down year, and those are obvious blemishes on a coach's record.
An AD should not be so fickle as to, as JK said, throw out the baby with the bathwater due to one down year. It should be expected, with a bit of chagrin, to have a down year every once in a while for a coach. There are plenty of reasons as to why down years might happen, and it is unrealistic to think that a coach can always avoid a conspiring of events.
Now, where I disagree with Afflicted is that I think DB should have been gone after this year because of this down year in combination with the previous down years and the overall feeling of the program right now. Coaches should get mulligans when the environment is right, and at the moment, it is not for DB.