(12-14-2015 10:26 PM)UTEPDallas Wrote: What's the criteria for "best of the rest"? Academics? Facilities? Fan support? TV markets? Recent success in football or basketball or both? Recruiting access? Commitment to win at the highest level? Endowments?
No G5 school meets all those criterias. NONE. The same can be said of some P5 schools but they're already part of the cartel so they have nothing to prove. The only recent move up that kinda fill the whole criteria is Utah. Louisville as well minus the academics. It's very misguided when people throw names because they had a good football season in forever while ignoring other facts. Using that argument, in a "best of the rest"scenario, there will be bottom feeders while there will be winners in a conference that is not considered "best of the rest". For every Boise State that is not included, there'll be multiple Tulanes that will be included. That's like saying there should be a "best of the best" league from the best 2 schools from each P5 conference.
I presume the general idea is MWC is roughly stable (only four schools in the footprint that aren't P5 and aren't currently members, and Idaho ain't getting in, NMSU would be a long shot, and UTEP not unless the money works, and BYU can't currently afford to align with the MWC with Utah in P12). AAC is content where they are right now (unless the Big XII is looking).
That leaves a best of CUSA, MAC, Sun Belt, UMass, maybe Army, or some subset.
Out of the 37 schools in the Central and Eastern time zones there really isn't a game changing combination if you are seeking a great TV deal. You grow to 39 if you add UTEP and NMSU to your starting pool, 38 if you delete not yet transitioned Coastal Carolina.
That leaves only two realistic and viable goals for a best of.
1. Trying to align a group of 9 to 12 to maximize the opportunity to compete against AAC and MWC for the Access slot.
2. Feeling dissatisfaction because you do not think all or enough of your current conference mates are serious about striving to produce a contender for the G5 upper echelon and desiring to realign with schools who share your vision.
If you want to undertake such a task you have to deal in realities.
First the closer you are to the center mass of the conference the rule I call "close but not too close" comes into play. By that, you don't want schools competing with a conference mate for attention from the same TV stations and same newspaper. If you can can avoid a lot of head-to-head recruiting that is bonus as is the potential to bus.
Out of that pool of 39, you had 16 get bowl eligible this year.
The median head football coach salary in the pool is around $550,000.
Too lazy to look up the median attendance.
But if you were to cut the pool from 39 to 20 by ranking the pool 1-39 in head coach salary, bowl appearances last 5-10 years from 1-39, and attendance over 3 or 5 or 10 years from 1-39 and then cull that down to 12 by using more arbitary "do they fit" you have created a strong third league but strong enough for the MAC schools included to walk away from their history and compact league? Strong enough to subject the Sun Belt and CUSA schools to yet more affiliation turmoil?
That's a challenging set of questions.
My sense is the answer is no absent some other force being at play (realignment above or CUSA's TV deal laying an egg rather going up or sideways or a change in CFP distribution that greater rewards performance).