1. Baylor - the Baylor/TCU game decides this one
2. Clemson - emerges from the ACC rat race undefeated, and that win over Notre Dame will look better as Notre Dame keeps winning
3. Utah - being undefeated has to count for something, right?
4. Michigan - two high-quality wins in Ohio State and Michigan State

Fiesta - #5 Alabama (12-1) vs. #6 TCU (11-1)
Rose - #10 Michigan State (11-1) vs. #14 Stanford (10-3)
Sugar - #7 Florida (12-1) vs. #9 Notre Dame (11-1)
Peach - #8 LSU (11-1) vs. #13 Memphis (13-0)

The CFP holds an emergency meeting the day after the championship game, and announces that it will pursue expansion to eight teams "as quickly as feasible" while "maintaining contractual obligations with our six partner bowls". Rumors circulate that the Holiday Bowl, Las Vegas Bowl, Alamo Bowl, Heart of Dallas Bowl, New Orleans Bowl, Belk Bowl, Music City Bowl, and St. Petersburg Bowl are expected to bid on the quarterfinal games.

(10-11-2015 07:27 PM)chargeradio Wrote:  1. Baylor - the Baylor/TCU game decides this one
2. Clemson - emerges from the ACC rat race undefeated, and that win over Notre Dame will look better as Notre Dame keeps winning
3. Utah - being undefeated has to count for something, right?
4. Michigan - two high-quality wins in Ohio State and Michigan State

Fiesta - #5 Alabama (12-1) vs. #6 TCU (11-1)
Rose - #10 Michigan State (11-1) vs. #14 Stanford (10-3)
Sugar - #7 Florida (12-1) vs. #9 Notre Dame (11-1)
Peach - #8 LSU (11-1) vs. #13 Memphis (13-0)

The CFP holds an emergency meeting the day after the championship game, and announces that it will pursue expansion to eight teams "as quickly as feasible" while "maintaining contractual obligations with our six partner bowls". Rumors circulate that the Holiday Bowl, Las Vegas Bowl, Alamo Bowl, Heart of Dallas Bowl, New Orleans Bowl, Belk Bowl, Music City Bowl, and St. Petersburg Bowl are expected to bid on the quarterfinal games.

There is no way in hell Clemson gets the #2 rank if all that happens. My guess would be Baylor as #1 goes against #4 Clemson while Utah and Michigan get a rematch game in the Semifinal. The CFP wont want to see LSU vs Alabama revisited.

(10-11-2015 08:20 PM)He1nousOne Wrote:  

(10-11-2015 07:27 PM)chargeradio Wrote:  1. Baylor - the Baylor/TCU game decides this one
2. Clemson - emerges from the ACC rat race undefeated, and that win over Notre Dame will look better as Notre Dame keeps winning
3. Utah - being undefeated has to count for something, right?
4. Michigan - two high-quality wins in Ohio State and Michigan State

Fiesta - #5 Alabama (12-1) vs. #6 TCU (11-1)
Rose - #10 Michigan State (11-1) vs. #14 Stanford (10-3)
Sugar - #7 Florida (12-1) vs. #9 Notre Dame (11-1)
Peach - #8 LSU (11-1) vs. #13 Memphis (13-0)

The CFP holds an emergency meeting the day after the championship game, and announces that it will pursue expansion to eight teams "as quickly as feasible" while "maintaining contractual obligations with our six partner bowls". Rumors circulate that the Holiday Bowl, Las Vegas Bowl, Alamo Bowl, Heart of Dallas Bowl, New Orleans Bowl, Belk Bowl, Music City Bowl, and St. Petersburg Bowl are expected to bid on the quarterfinal games.

There is no way in hell Clemson gets the #2 rank if all that happens. My guess would be Baylor as #1 goes against #4 Clemson while Utah and Michigan get a rematch game in the Semifinal. The CFP wont want to see LSU vs Alabama revisited.

Michigan has a loss guys. There is no way Michigan beats out Alabama in this scenario. In any event, this scenario isn't possible because LSU plays both Alabama and Florida and that doesn't count the SEC ccg. So there has to be more than 3 losses between those 3 teams.

(10-11-2015 08:55 PM)bullet Wrote:  

(10-11-2015 08:20 PM)He1nousOne Wrote:  

(10-11-2015 07:27 PM)chargeradio Wrote:  1. Baylor - the Baylor/TCU game decides this one
2. Clemson - emerges from the ACC rat race undefeated, and that win over Notre Dame will look better as Notre Dame keeps winning
3. Utah - being undefeated has to count for something, right?
4. Michigan - two high-quality wins in Ohio State and Michigan State

Fiesta - #5 Alabama (12-1) vs. #6 TCU (11-1)
Rose - #10 Michigan State (11-1) vs. #14 Stanford (10-3)
Sugar - #7 Florida (12-1) vs. #9 Notre Dame (11-1)
Peach - #8 LSU (11-1) vs. #13 Memphis (13-0)

The CFP holds an emergency meeting the day after the championship game, and announces that it will pursue expansion to eight teams "as quickly as feasible" while "maintaining contractual obligations with our six partner bowls". Rumors circulate that the Holiday Bowl, Las Vegas Bowl, Alamo Bowl, Heart of Dallas Bowl, New Orleans Bowl, Belk Bowl, Music City Bowl, and St. Petersburg Bowl are expected to bid on the quarterfinal games.

There is no way in hell Clemson gets the #2 rank if all that happens. My guess would be Baylor as #1 goes against #4 Clemson while Utah and Michigan get a rematch game in the Semifinal. The CFP wont want to see LSU vs Alabama revisited.

Michigan has a loss guys. There is no way Michigan beats out Alabama in this scenario. In any event, this scenario isn't possible because LSU plays both Alabama and Florida and that doesn't count the SEC ccg. So there has to be more than 3 losses between those 3 teams.

If Michigan and Utah win out then the team that gets left behind is Clemson, not Michigan.

Also, Alabama is more likely to fall to cannibalization. Texas A&M could even beat them. The Aggies may end up being part of this too.

(10-11-2015 09:08 AM)EvilVodka Wrote:  

(10-11-2015 07:34 AM)DavidSt Wrote:  Looks like Boise State is a complete team. They are beating schools that other P5 schools struggled against mightily handily. If they blow out Utah State? Boise State is a much better team than Utah right now.

Didn't they lose to BYU?

I could see them in the running for the Access bid....they need Temple, Houston, and Memphis to lose though

Don't forget Toledo as well. Don't forget David is pretty clueless when it comes to football.

In no particular order, right now I will go with Ohio St, Clemson, Utah & LSU. Baylor, Florida, FSU, TCU & both Michigan's are all right there with them. The list keeps getting smaller every week as Oklahoma was knocked out by Texas. Florida & LSU will play this weekend.

OHIO STATE
Record v. FBS: 6-0
v. top-10: N/A
v. top-25: N/A
v. top-50: N/A
Poll Avg.: 1.0
Key Wins: N/A
Key Losses: N/A

BAYLOR
Record v. FBS: 4-0
v. top-10: N/A
v. top-25: N/A
v. top-50: 1-0
Poll Avg.: 2.0
Key Wins: Texas Tech (63-35)
Key Losses: N/A

TCU
Record v. FBS: 5-0
v. top-10: N/A
v. top-25: N/A
v. top-50: 3-0
Poll Avg.: 3.0
Key Wins: at Texas Tech (55-52), at KSU (52-45), Texas (50-7)
Key Losses: N/A

CLEMSON
Record v. FBS: 4-0
v. top-10: N/A
v. top-25: 1-0
v. top-50: N/A
Poll Avg.: 5.5
Key Wins: Notre Dame (24-22)
Key Losses: N/A

UTAH
Record v. FBS: 5-0
v. top-10: N/A
v. top-25: 2-0
v. top-50: N/A
Poll Avg.: 5.5
Key Wins: Michigan (24-17), Cal (30-24)
Key Losses: N/A

Michigan St.
Record v. FBS: 6-0
v. top-10: N/A
v. top-25: N/A
v. top-50: N/A
Poll Avg.: 5.5
Key Wins: N/A
Key Losses: N/A

LSU
Record v. FBS: 5-0
v. top-10: N/A
v. top-25: N/A
v. top-50: 1-0
Poll Avg.: 5.5
Key Wins: at Mississippi St. (21-19)
Key Losses: N/A

Florida
Record v. FBS: 6-0
v. top-10: N/A
v. top-25: 1-0
v. top-50: 2-0
Poll Avg.: 8.0
Key Wins: Ole Miss (38-1), Tennessee (28-27), at Kentucky (14-9)
Key Losses: N/A

Texas A&M
Record v. FBS: 5-0
v. top-10: N/A
v. top-25: N/A
v. top-50: 2-0
Poll Avg.: 9.5
Key Wins: v. Arizona St. (38-17), Mississippi St. (30-17)
Key Losses: N/A

Alabama
Record v. FBS: 5-1
v. top-10: N/A
v. top-25: 0-1
v. top-50: 2-0
Poll Avg.: 9.5
Key Wins: v. Wisconsin (35-17), at Georgia (38-10)
Key Losses: Ole Miss (37-43)

Florida St.
Record v. FBS: 5-0
v. top-10: N/A
v. top-25: N/A
v. top-50: N/A
Poll Avg.: 9.5
Key Wins: N/A
Key Losses: N/A

LEGEND
"v. top-10" = ranked in top-10 in AP and/or Coaches
"v. top-25" = ranked in top-11 to 25 in AP and/or Coaches
"v. top-50" = received votes in AP and/or Coaches
"Key Wins" = wins against "top-10", "top-25", and "top-50"
"Key Losses" = losses against "top-10", "top-25", and "top-50"

Of the candidates listed above, only Utah (2), Clemson (1), and Florida (1) have any wins against the current top-25. Add Baylor (1), LSU (1), Texas A&M (1), Alabama (2), TCU (3) with wins against the current 26-50 (ie, against teams actually receiving any votes in either major poll).

Ohio St., Michigan St., and Florida St. are lacking any wins over any team that is receiving votes.

Just for giggles .... I know how bad Florida whipped Ole Miss. I suffered through the whole thing. But IF the Rebels were to win out in the regular season and win the rematch with Florida in the SEC title game, there is no way they would get left out of the playoff. Wins over Alabama, A&M, LSU and Florida would be enough to overcome the bad loss.

Of course, you could play the same game with Iowa, Oklahoma State, Stanford and others. Point is that it's still too early to project a Final Four when so many preliminaries have to be played.

(10-11-2015 09:08 AM)EvilVodka Wrote:  

(10-11-2015 07:34 AM)DavidSt Wrote:  Looks like Boise State is a complete team. They are beating schools that other P5 schools struggled against mightily handily. If they blow out Utah State? Boise State is a much better team than Utah right now.

Didn't they lose to BYU?

I could see them in the running for the Access bid....they need Temple, Houston, and Memphis to lose though

They started the wrong QB. Boise State is rank ahead of all the other G5 schools. Toledo's win over Arkansas would be looked at Arkansas is a terrible team, and not enough to boast them enough.
Memphis's win over Kansas is understandable. Not a power team.
Temple's win over Penn State looks good, but how long before Temple and Penn State start to lose games?
It could be between Boise State and Houston could win, and if more schools in front of them start losing 1 or more games? Boise could find themselves back in the top 10.
And the lost to BYU was not really a bad lost.

Utah wins out and UM stays alive in my opinion if they somehow win out. No way Harbaugh is going to be left out of this mix. UM is the only one loss B1G team I can see getting in. A one loss SEC champ is a lock, don't be silly guys. Undefeated ACC/Big 12? I would go ACC in that scenario. Obviously if you have three undefeated teams coming out of the PAC/Big12/ACC, they will all be in. A one loss SEC would take the 4 hole in that scenario and that's the only way I could see Harbaugh on the outside looking in. Honestly though, unless it is Alabama/LSU/Florida, UM would get the bid over any other SEC club.

a 1-loss Ohio St could get in for the BigTen. hopefully both Mich and OSU get into the CFP, because thats one way Iowa can get to the Rose Bowl.

(10-12-2015 07:27 PM)RUScarlets Wrote:  A one loss SEC champ is a lock, don't be silly guys.

If someone starts drawing scenarios for a one-loss SEC champion getting left out, that sounds an awfully like going for shock value, since we can be 99.9% sure or better that a one loss SEC champ is going.

No they got rid of it:



It's now this thing instead:

(10-13-2015 07:03 AM)49RFootballNow Wrote:  No they got rid of it:



It's now this thing instead:

As GTS says that's part of the P***yfication of America as well. They swapped a golden bud vase for a crystal football. They had already swapped the golden football for a crystal one. The next step therefore is obvious. They plan to swap a crystal bud vase for the golden one. But that's for when we play with no pads and have flags hanging from our swiveling hips.

(10-13-2015 07:49 AM)JRsec Wrote:  

(10-13-2015 07:03 AM)49RFootballNow Wrote:  No they got rid of it:



It's now this thing instead:

As GTS says that's part of the P***yfication of America as well. They swapped a golden bud vase for a crystal football. They had already swapped the golden football for a crystal one. The next step therefore is obvious. They plan to swap a crystal bud vase for the golden one. But that's for when we play with no pads and have flags hanging from our swiveling hips.

Didn't Larry the Dr Pepper concessions guy, he created the design and the playoff's system, didn't he?

Ice Cold Dr Pepper here!

Trophy definitely isn't as cool or impressive as the crystal FB.

(10-13-2015 08:40 AM)BIgCatonProwl Wrote:  

(10-13-2015 07:49 AM)JRsec Wrote:  

(10-13-2015 07:03 AM)49RFootballNow Wrote:  No they got rid of it:



It's now this thing instead:

As GTS says that's part of the P***yfication of America as well. They swapped a golden bud vase for a crystal football. They had already swapped the golden football for a crystal one. The next step therefore is obvious. They plan to swap a crystal bud vase for the golden one. But that's for when we play with no pads and have flags hanging from our swiveling hips.

Didn't Larry the Dr Pepper concessions guy, he created the design and the playoff's system, didn't he?

Ice Cold Dr Pepper here!

That man is a genius, a true American hero/icon.

(10-12-2015 08:29 PM)goofus Wrote:  a 1-loss Ohio St could get in for the BigTen. hopefully both Mich and OSU get into the CFP, because thats one way Iowa can get to the Rose Bowl.

For a one loss B1G to get in, they will need quality wins within the conference, meaning OSU will have to beat both Michigans. Or the Michigans have to beat each other plus OSU. The committee seems to forgive losses (as does the media and fans) to lesser opponents (see Baylor leaping TCU last year, or OSU losing early to Va Tech). The big wins carry more weight than the bad losses seem to drag down. Obviously you can't lose the CCG either, unless there are major upsets across the board.

I wonder if this could be the nightmare year where there are 8-9 1 loss teams all with compelling arguments for the Top 4.