(09-24-2015 01:37 PM)Dawgxas Wrote: Why do you like the Texas State vs Houston game?
Definitely Southern Miss vs Nebraska seems like a decent possibility ATS.
regarding Tx St, I believe the number is too high.....they can score points (and yeah, give up points too), their qb is pretty damn good, and it's freakin' whooston who they beat back in '12....lol...also, both teams appear to have the same style of qb (haven't watched UH) which means a shootout that should be close....but to be honest, I just really don't like those guys....I'll probably pull the trigger at a meager 55/50...still undecided at this point
I also like the over in that game after watching us play them last week....however, I don't usually bet totals....but if I do, I only play over the total in college (b/c of overtime rules)
I like betting g5/g5 or p5/g5 matchups.....screw p5/p5, especially the sec....too hard for me to get a feel....plus, I don't watch those games
I made a decision before the season that southern miss was going to win 6 games this year....what I didn't say then, was that I think we go 9-2 ATS (NL on the austin peay game)
I took southern miss +21.5 against MSU for 600/500 (bought the .5) and bet the money line at 100/135 against Tx St....I've got southern miss +22.5 against NEB for 110/100....will probably take it to 330/300 by kick....depends on how much I drink that morning
I will update this post when/if I do.
I'm going to bet southern miss every game this year unless our qb or other key players get hurt (or if vegas tosses out a stupid line if we cover 5 consecutive games)...
on offense,our receivers can finally catch the ball....mullens looks solid unless he has to escape the blitz....Ito is almost what I want him to be (marshall faulk) - we have to get him more touches through the air against NEB....richard is average but good enough....and we finally have TEs (that we will need to utilize against NEB)
oh yeah, we've scored 32, 52, and 56....I like getting 22.5
on defense, if our linebackers can stop making poor decisions, we can hold our own against just about anyone on the right night (from what I am seeing at this point)...our D-line is good enough, and the secondary is solid
unfortunately, our special teams could fk up a wet dream....there are other meltdowns by this group so far, but how Tx St recovered that onside kick is just silly stupid planning by the guy that is coaching that crew....how we only had two people in the middle of the field in that situation is beyond stupid....special teams is the intangible that can change a 3 pt loss into a 30 pt loss
...and as so many UAB posters told us over the last handful of months, Zac Woodfin has been HUGE....the conditioning coupled with a full compliment of schollys has yielded what I expected.....can't stress that point enough
also, I've always believed in Monken.....liked him from the time I met him....he's a smart guy and my type of shooter...he knew what he was up against when he got here (and it showed in that presser after the austin peay game).....to paraphrase my favorite redneck sayin', that guy knows tits ain't on a boar hog....ain't no nipple juice in that locker room....shouldn't be none drank by our fan base either....
I haven't made a bet on southern miss football in three years now.....I'm all-in this year....
NEB may pea stomp our arse saturday, but I'm betting they don't.