(06-28-2015 10:07 PM)rokamortis Wrote: (06-28-2015 08:03 PM)GE and MTS Wrote: Soccer is not a main sport, and I'd argue that women's basketball is more of a main sport than baseball although neither really move the needle for a conference. The last ten years or so have had both of us be nearly equal in football if you having more recent success but we had a period of dominating the conference before your recent surge. And again, basketball has recently shown that you've been better but before your two tourny runs we were the champs. You aren't far and away better like you make it seem.
I said Liberty was good but Coastal has more demonstrated level of success.
Ok, I concede soccer is not a main sport. In my visits around various sports boards baseball is discussed much more than women's b-ball but I'm ok with dropping that as well.
So we should compare football and men's basketball? From 2003-04 just to make it consistent with football?
Basketball:
Liberty finished the conference standings first once, and have won the tournament twice. You've had 3 total winning seasons.
Coastal had a tough time until about 5 years ago. Since 2003 we've finished first in the conference twice and had had 6 winning seasons. We've won the tournament twice.
Coastal has been more consistent, recently. Liberty has had success but it hasn't been as consistent or as recent.
Football:
Liberty has done well but never dominated - pretty much due to Stony Brook when Coastal was down. Liberty has been to the playoffs once.
Coastal has been to the playoffs 5 times - 3 times in the last 3 years and losing to the eventual national champs the past two years.
Like I said, a more demonstrated level of success. It doesn't mean you are bad or even Coastal is dominating, just better numbers to flash to a prospective conference.
Conferences are run by presidents and presidents want to see fame and fortune, specifically what improves themselves and their standing. Presidents are also generally risk adverse, conservative against drastic change.
With that said, presidents want to be with schools that are similar to themselves. Similar goals, similar demographic, similar ideologies. School X concentrates on being a giant research school while School Y tries to be a big undergrad school. National versus regional. It all matters. Once the presidents make a list of institutional criteria, then they look at athletics.
Presidents don't want to invite schools into their conference that will threaten their standing. So they usually won't bring in a poor academic school if the conference concentrates on academic prestige. Likewise, a school that overlaps an existing market where it will just fight with other conference schools adds little to no fans to the existing footprint where they have to compete with each other for coverage. A school too far away won't likely bring fans to away games and make the conference members money, nor would your fans support a move like that so in either instance, the presidents would really have to defend the selection. And the further away the more money it costs to send your athletes there.
Presidents want consistently good athletics from a prospective school, especially in the money sports and the highly visible, televised sports that get highlights on Sports Center. More importantly, they want prospective schools to have support, especially in down years. If a school is in the middle of their third consecutive losing season but the fans are still making it out to games, that is the kind of program that is a potential cash cow. And that goes both ways, if a school is in the middle of a long period of winning and they struggle to fill the seats, that is usually a huge red flag.
There are other things like financial support and how big the athletic budget is, how willing are schools to make financial investments into itself, etc. It's better to have proof than to have a plan.
So Coastal may get the golden ticket from the Sun Belt. It will probably be because Liberty doesn't have the institutional fit for the conference.