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18 spectacularly wrong apocalyptic predictions made around first Earth Day in 1970
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EagleRockCafe Offline
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18 spectacularly wrong apocalyptic predictions made around first Earth Day in 1970
Keep in mind the similar insane predictions being made by the tree huggers this Earth Day.


Quote:1. Harvard biologist George Wald estimated that “civilization will end within 15 or 30 years unless immediate action is taken against problems facing mankind.”

2. “We are in an environmental crisis which threatens the survival of this nation, and of the world as a suitable place of human habitation,” wrote Washington University biologist Barry Commoner in the Earth Day issue of the scholarly journal Environment.

3. The day after the first Earth Day, the New York Times editorial page warned, “Man must stop pollution and conserve his resources, not merely to enhance existence but to save the race from intolerable deterioration and possible extinction.”

4. “Population will inevitably and completely outstrip whatever small increases in food supplies we make,” Paul Ehrlich confidently declared in the April 1970 Mademoiselle. “The death rate will increase until at least 100-200 million people per year will be starving to death during the next ten years.”

5. “Most of the people who are going to die in the greatest cataclysm in the history of man have already been born,” wrote Paul Ehrlich in a 1969 essay titled “Eco-Catastrophe! “By…[1975] some experts feel that food shortages will have escalated the present level of world hunger and starvation into famines of unbelievable proportions. Other experts, more optimistic, think the ultimate food-population collision will not occur until the decade of the 1980s.”

6. Ehrlich sketched out his most alarmist scenario for the 1970 Earth Day issue of The Progressive, assuring readers that between 1980 and 1989, some 4 billion people, including 65 million Americans, would perish in the “Great Die-Off.”

7. “It is already too late to avoid mass starvation,” declared Denis Hayes, the chief organizer for Earth Day, in the Spring 1970 issue of The Living Wilderness.

8. Peter Gunter, a North Texas State University professor, wrote in 1970, “Demographers agree almost unanimously on the following grim timetable: by 1975 widespread famines will begin in India; these will spread by 1990 to include all of India, Pakistan, China and the Near East, Africa. By the year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South and Central America will exist under famine conditions….By the year 2000, thirty years from now, the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine.”

9. In January 1970, Life reported, “Scientists have solid experimental and theoretical evidence to support…the following predictions: In a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution…by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half….”

10. Ecologist Kenneth Watt told Time that, “At the present rate of nitrogen buildup, it’s only a matter of time before light will be filtered out of the atmosphere and none of our land will be usable.”

11. Barry Commoner predicted that decaying organic pollutants would use up all of the oxygen in America’s rivers, causing freshwater fish to suffocate.

12. Paul Ehrlich chimed in, predicting in his 1970 that “air pollution…is certainly going to take hundreds of thousands of lives in the next few years alone.” Ehrlich sketched a scenario in which 200,000 Americans would die in 1973 during “smog disasters” in New York and Los Angeles.

13. Paul Ehrlich warned in the May 1970 issue of Audubon that DDT and other chlorinated hydrocarbons “may have substantially reduced the life expectancy of people born since 1945.” Ehrlich warned that Americans born since 1946…now had a life expectancy of only 49 years, and he predicted that if current patterns continued this expectancy would reach 42 years by 1980, when it might level out.

14. Ecologist Kenneth Watt declared, “By the year 2000, if present trends continue, we will be using up crude oil at such a rate…that there won’t be any more crude oil. You’ll drive up to the pump and say, `Fill ‘er up, buddy,’ and he’ll say, `I am very sorry, there isn’t any.'”

15. Harrison Brown, a scientist at the National Academy of Sciences, published a chart in Scientific American that looked at metal reserves and estimated the humanity would totally run out of copper shortly after 2000. Lead, zinc, tin, gold, and silver would be gone before 1990.

16. Sen. Gaylord Nelson wrote in Look that, “Dr. S. Dillon Ripley, secretary of the Smithsonian Institute, believes that in 25 years, somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct.”

17. In 1975, Paul Ehrlich predicted that “since more than nine-tenths of the original tropical rainforests will be removed in most areas within the next 30 years or so, it is expected that half of the organisms in these areas will vanish with it.”

18. Kenneth Watt warned about a pending Ice Age in a speech. “The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years,” he declared. “If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.”

http://www.aei.org/publication/18-specta...18earthday
04-22-2015 09:19 PM
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200yrs2late Offline
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RE: 18 spectacularly wrong apocalyptic predictions made around first Earth Day in 1970
Hey now, it's settled science with a 97% consensus, and climate change deniers don't even deserve to have a say in policy.
04-22-2015 09:50 PM
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UCF08 Offline
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RE: 18 spectacularly wrong apocalyptic predictions made around first Earth Day in 1970
A surprising number of those really had nothing to do with either specific predictions about the climate in previous years, or were really statements about issues not only involving climate.

Like this one?

Quote: 7. “It is already too late to avoid mass starvation,” declared Denis Hayes, the chief organizer for Earth Day, in the Spring 1970 issue of The Living Wilderness.

This one doesn't even necessarily refer to Climate Change, but more population growth. The developing world was at risk of mass starvation, again not purely due to climate change but population growth and other factors, and if not for one of the least well known great Americans of all time, Norman Borlaug. Seriously, read that Wikipedia sometime, he's literally credited with saving over a billion lives. Anyway, like I said, this list is full of these sorts of mistruths and a few admitted gems from some hyperbole filled climatologists.
04-22-2015 11:55 PM
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UConn-SMU Offline
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Post: #4
RE: 18 spectacularly wrong apocalyptic predictions made around first Earth Day in 1970
I remember the first Earth Day in 1970. In our second grade class in NY, we were forced to draw signs about pollution and march around the neighborhood protesting evil corporations.

That was the one and only liberal protest that I ever attended.
04-23-2015 05:26 AM
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vandiver49 Offline
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Post: #5
RE: 18 spectacularly wrong apocalyptic predictions made around first Earth Day in 1970
(04-22-2015 11:55 PM)UCF08 Wrote:  A surprising number of those really had nothing to do with either specific predictions about the climate in previous years, or were really statements about issues not only involving climate.

Like this one?

Quote: 7. “It is already too late to avoid mass starvation,” declared Denis Hayes, the chief organizer for Earth Day, in the Spring 1970 issue of The Living Wilderness.

This one doesn't even necessarily refer to Climate Change, but more population growth. The developing world was at risk of mass starvation, again not purely due to climate change but population growth and other factors, and if not for one of the least well known great Americans of all time, Norman Borlaug. Seriously, read that Wikipedia sometime, he's literally credited with saving over a billion lives. Anyway, like I said, this list is full of these sorts of mistruths and a few admitted gems from some hyperbole filled climatologists.

But Borlang is indicative of the folly of such predictions as such prognosticators are unable to foresee such game changing solutions that render their doom and gloom moot. I don't mind efforts to reduce CO2, but let's not act as if we truly understand what the global effect will be due to it's increase.
04-23-2015 07:17 AM
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Paul M Offline
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Post: #6
RE: 18 spectacularly wrong apocalyptic predictions made around first Earth Day in 1970
Psst. UCF, Earth Day predictions.
04-23-2015 07:55 AM
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