(09-25-2014 05:40 AM)Cubanbull Wrote: You are forgetting that some of those bowl games have already set their line ups when they are not used in playoffs
Example Sugar will have SEC team vs Big12 when not in playoffs so really BYU has even less slots available in ACcess bowls
This is true, but it depends which bowls are hosting the semi-final games and who is playing in those games. This year, the Rose and Sugar Bowls host the CFP, is where there are likely the MOST at large spots available.
The Orange Bowl is the only non-playoff NY6 Bowl game with contracted relationships (ACC v. SEC/B1G/Notre Dame). That means there will be 5 spots open for the G5 champ, any "displaced" P5 champs, and at large teams.
Ultimately, I think the playoff will include SEC champ, PAC 12 champ, Big 12 Champ, and an SEC at large. (I think Florida St. will lose at some point). This means that the ACC champ will get the Orange Bowl bid and the G5 champ will take its bid- still 4 spots open. Michigan St. looks like they will be in the top-10 and very easily could take the other Orange Bowl bid, but even if they don't, there will still be 3 spots open.
This means that an at large team would at worst need to finish at #7 to get the NY6 selection. But, if the ACC champ is #5-7,- the best the at large team would need to finish is #8. If the the ACC and B1G champs are #5-8, the at large team would need to finish at #9. If the ACC, B1G, and G5 champs are #5-9, the at large team would need to finish in top-10.