(06-23-2014 10:42 AM)Attackcoog Wrote: #6 is not going to happen as any new conference would have NO NCAA autobids for 7 years. I on think a merger is nit the best idea. First, unless the changes occur to the media contracts of CUSA and the Sunbelt occur to makes earnings between the two groups roughly equal--nothing will happen. If earning DO become similar, then a reorganization into 2 more regional conferences with less overlap might be a sound strategy to cut travel costs and to increase attendance via the creation of closer fanbases (should set up cheaper more convenient travel to more away games--thus increasing ticket sales).
the best idea would have been to just not add more D1-AA teams
here look at The Sunbelt last year
Louisiana-Lafayette 5-2 9-4
Arkansas State 5-2 8-5
Western Kentucky 4-3 8-4
Louisiana-Monroe 4-3 6-6
South Alabama 4-3 6-6
Troy 4-3 6-6
Texas State 2-5 6-6
Georgia State 0-7 0-12
perfect example of what I am saying they played 7 conference games and 5 OOC games and 7 out of the 8 teams had 6 wins to be bowl eligible
sure they did not have enough bowl games to go around, but they make a new bowl game every week and the reality is if the conference could keep something like that up the bowl games would be coming to them
even Texas State at 2-5 in conference won 4 OOC games to get to 6-6.....that is how you keep the bottom of your conference from being total garbage
and yes they lose WKU, but they only needed to add ONE team not FOUR
compare this to CUSA with 14 teams VS the 8 for The Sunbelt
Marshall 7-1 10-4
East Carolina 6-2 10-3
Middle Tennessee 6-2 8-5
Florida Atlantic 4-4 6-6
UAB 1-7 2-10
Florida International 1-7 1-11
Southern Miss 1-7 1-11
WEST CONF OVERALL
Rice 7-1 10-4
UTSA 6-2 7-5
North Texas 6-2 9-4
Tulane 5-3 7-6
Louisiana Tech 3-5 4-8
Tulsa 2-6 3-9
UTEP 1-7 2-10
so CUSA with 75% more teams had only one more bowl eligible team with 8 teams with records 6-6 or above
so The Sunbelt had 7 teams 6-6 or better and one worse while CUSA was 8 above 6 below......that is a lot of garbage at the bottom dragging your down
and for The Sunbelt 1 bowl team leaves while for CUSA 2 bowl teams leave and one non-bowl team
The Sunbelt should have never touched Georgia State, Appy State or Georgia Southern and they should have just reached out to NMSU and Idaho that were already in D1-A and then they could have 8 members, keep the 7 conference game format and do some odd scheduling arrangement where teams miss playing Idaho and NMSU in the same season
instead they are going to go to an 8 game conference schedule, adding 3 D1-AA move ups plus more guaranteed losses to the conference and they will most likely have 4+ teams at the bottom of the conference not bowl eligible instead of one or two which of course just makes the conference weaker overall
look at the strength of schedule last year
http://www.teamrankings.com/college-foot...le-by-team
you have FIVE CUSA teams below the lowest Sunbelt school because CUSA has a lot of garbage and they play 1 more conference game in that garbage
harder to improve your conference strength of schedule when you beat yourself up and when you are playing the teams that you beat up
after Texas State the lowest Sunbelt team you have 2 more CUSA before the next Sunbelt school and then 2 more before you get to more Sunbelt schools
81 Rice
84 LA Monroe
85 Tulane
86 TX-San Ant
87 Georgia State
89 Tulsa
91 Troy
93 S Alabama
94 Arkansas St
95 LA Lafayette
96 Marshall
101 North Texas
103 Middle Tenn
104 W Kentucky
106 E Carolina
108 Fla Atlantic
111 Texas State
114 TX El Paso
115 UAB
116 Florida Intl
117 S Mississippi
119 LA Tech
ALL of that is hardly a bastion of schedule strength, but when you consider that The Sunbelt is losing WKU, but CUSA is losing ECU, Tulsa and Tulane their schedule strength looks terrible and sure I just said add Idaho and NMSU that would be at the bottom, but where in the hell are Georgia Southern, Georgia State and Appy State going to be.....well at the bottom as well because again that is strength of teams YOU play not how strong YOU ARE
here is how 2014 is shaping up
http://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/2014/20...-schedule/
17 FIU
39 Louisiana Tech
51 Southern Miss
54 Florida Atlantic
72 Georgia St
76 UTEP
88 WKU
90 South Alabama
98 UTSA
103 Louisiana
105 UAB
107 Old Dominion
108 Idaho
111 New Mexico St
111 Appalachian St
114 Arkansas St
116 Rice
118 ULM
119 Troy
122 Marshall
123 Texas St
124 Middle Tennessee
127 North Texas
128 Georgia Southern
and remember that this is based on who you play not how strong you are so adding all that garbage to The Sunbelt really dropped down the strength of schedule along with an additional conference game within that mess and sure some of those new teams might be playing a decent OOC, but how likely are they to do well.....not very which hits you again the next year on strength of schedule
if The Sunbelt had held fast and only added the bare min of both Idaho and NMSU, but kept the 7 conference 5 OOC schedule and scheduled as well or better than average conference strength teams they would be a lot better off than they are now especially considering there are no appreciable new number of bowl games for The Sunbelt relative to last year or the number of teams they added
they could have held fast and had 8 teams 6 of which were 6-6 or better than last year and added two teams that had at least been in D1-A for a long time and had at least sniffed a bowl game in the last decade for Idaho instead of the mess they made now
knee jerk reactions to "saving a conference" instead of hey lets just get better as we are and they would have done all of D1-A a favor by keeping 2 less teams out