(05-09-2014 09:00 AM)waltgreenberg Wrote: Most of us agree the RPI is a flawed and heavily biased metric, but the historical reality is that it is THE most heavily considered criteria by the Selection Committee. That is not an opinion; rather, a historical fact. Most of those teams you mention with the 40+ RPI were conference champions who receive an automatic birth. You'd be VERY hard pressed to find more than a very select few non-BCS programs who earned at large bids into the baseball post-season with RPIs above 40. It just doesn't happen, and in those very rare instances when it does occur, it is the exception.
So let's see: From the #11 Conference on down, they are all one bid leagues (that's 20 right there). Now there are a handful, maybe three who have a school with such a high RPI that if they lose their tourny they still get a bid. So 23 go to the bottom 20 conferences.
Now the next two conferences up the latter also have one team that is a shoe-in and if they win the tourney, the Sun and Mountain are a one bid, let's say one of them wins and the other loses, that's another 3 we're up to 26. So we're down to 38 spots and 8 conferences.
Up next is C-USA; given RPI, which is your point, C-USA hs two schools in, Rice and ODU at 5 and 28, resp. Down to 36. The AAC has 2 in and UCF on the bubble. Down to 33. MVC has no stand-out and few teams but a #6 conf. RPI gets them 2. Down to 31. Big West has two deserving and if one of them wins the tourney, they get 2. Down to 29.
Now we're down to the Top-4 conferences and 29 slots; that's an average of 8 apiece. However, the PAC only has 4 teams with an RPI <40, so one of them wins the tourney they get 4. Down to 25. Big XII has 6 teams at <40, hmmm, down to 21 with only 2 conferences remaining. ACC has 6 schools <40 RPI now we're down to 15 and only the SEC remaining.
Drum-roll, the SEC has 9 teams with an RPI <40, which leaves 6 Regional spots to be filled. Now, with those 6 teams, which conference schools are more deserving of them? A team with more or less the same RPI as a school from a top-4 but finishes in the top third of their top-10 conference or a .500 school from the top-4 who finishes 10th?