RE: Bowl Eligibility after games of Nov. 9
AAC-5.5 tie-ins, four team bowl eligible (BE), 2 not BE, 1 team at 5 wins, 2 teams with 6 losses
ACC-8 tie-ins, 6 BE, 1 NBE, 4 at 5 wins, 2 at 6 losses
Big 10-8 tie-ins, 7 BE, 2 NBE, no eligible 5-win teams, 1 at 6 losses
Big 12-7 tie-ins, 5 BE, 2 NBE, 1 at 5 wins, 2 at 6 losses
C-USA-5.5 tie-ins, 6 BE, 5NBE, 1 at 5 wins, 1 at 6 losses
Indy - Notre Dame (no specific tie-in), BYU eligible, Navy 5-4, Army NBE
MAC-3 tie-ins, 6 BE, 6NBE, 1 at 6 losses
MWC-7 tie-ins, 3 BE, 3 NBE, 4 at 5 wins, 1 at 6 losses
Pac-12-7 tie-ins, 8 BE, 2 NBE, no teams with 5 wins or 6 losses
SEC-10 tie-ins, 8 BE, 2NBE, 1 at 5 wins, 1 at 6 losses
SBC-2 tie-ins, 3 BE, 1 NBE, 3 at 5 wins, none at 6 loses
Assuming current BCS stanings hold (from 11-3) and that's a big if obviously, Alabama and FSU play in the NC game and Fresno gets a BCS invite. That would leave the SEC and ACC with two BCS bids. Depending on how far #3 Oregon falls from its loss to #5 Stanford, the Pac 12 might get the last at-large bid Oklahoma or Okie State could make the other, since there is no BCS standings pecking order. It won't be the SEC or ACC, since they'd already have two. If the Pac-12 gets the second, then they will not have any teams needing an unaffiliated bowl invite (I don't think their currently not BE teams will get there). If it is the Big 12, then they will have two bowls needing a team to fill, as I don't think they fill all their slots.
Meanwhile, the AAC should fill all their spots and no more. C-USA could do the same or maybe have a surplus if FAU runs the table. It is possible that the Big 10 will miss one. Certainly Army won't make theirs. The SEC looks like it will need one spot filled if Alabama makes the NC and another goes to the Sugar. Only the MAC has a clear surplus of teams versus tie-ins and that will be the SBC's biggest competitor.
If the Big 10 doesn't fill its spot, the SBC will go back to Detroit. If that scenario happens along with one SEC shortage, there is a great possibility of four SBC teams bowling again. As it is, not getting three seems highly unlikely.
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