(08-09-2013 03:14 PM)nert Wrote: (08-09-2013 01:31 PM)He1nousOne Wrote: (08-09-2013 01:26 PM)nert Wrote: (08-08-2013 10:05 AM)bigblueblindness Wrote: If any school from the Big 12 were to go to the Big 10, Kansas is the obvious first choice in every way. It fits every one of their criteria. Perhaps they would try to add Oklahoma and then a long shot at Texas, but only after adding Kansas first.
I agree - it seems to me that Kansas is the Big12 school that the Big10 would most be intersted in. The next piece to me would seem to be Virginia.
EAST: Virginia, Maryland, Rutgers, PennSt, OhioSt, UMich, MichSt, Purdue
WEST: Indiana, Illinois, NW'tern, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Iowa, Nebraska, Kansas
To understand the Big Ten is to understand just how much history the base ten institutions have with each other. Dividing them like this just wont work with them. Try to work out a schedule for a static 2 division conference and it is very ugly for that core set of programs.
Expansion is on hold for the new rules that will allow a new divisional system to better meet these kind of needs.
They are already not all in the same division, so that part is really a moot point. If they wanted to stay together in one division, then they needed to not add PennSt, Nebraska, Rutgers and Maryland. That ship has sailed. Now it's just a matter of how to go from here. They have a geographic east/west split already determined for 2014 (I'm not sure which of the Indiana schools is east and which is west - but the rest is the same). This simply adds a team to each division.
Ahhh yes, what you say would be correct but the moves thus far make clear picture for us that the Big Ten does indeed intend to expand and expand further. Comments given to us over this period of time as well as the inherent knowledge of Big Ten values that any Big Ten person would understand, they give us an understanding of when the change would go too far.
Perhaps I need to break down the numbers for you, it appears that you havn't.
At
14 teams and two divisions with the old 8 game schedule you would have six games in division and two against the other. If you have a cross rivalry protected for everyone then there are six teams in the other division that would only be played
once every six years. That is absolutely unacceptable in the Big Ten and many voices have come forward about the necessity of protecting the relationships between all of the core Big Ten schools, not just the marketed rivalries.
So, the response has been to move to a
9 game schedule. That has given us the same six games in division and three against the other division. Without cross rivals that would only lead to a four year period for home and away's. With cross rivals teams in opposing divisions still maintain a
three year period for each match up. They seem to have determined that is where the line is drawn.
Four years is too much, three years is ok. That is based upon factual evidence of what they found acceptable and what caused change to happen to reach a point of acceptability. I don't see how this plain to see evidence can be denied.
So what happens if the conference moves to 16 programs and tries to do a static 2 division system?
At 9 games you have the same situation that 8 games and 14 teams caused, the EXACT same situation that the Big Ten has ALREADY found unacceptable. That would mean moving to a 10 game schedule.
There IS a way around the current rules and that method is the pod method. The WAC used it. Unfortunately they failed due to inferior branding and expanding to too large of a size without any measures to hold together the conference. The Big Ten doesn't have a branding problem and it has plenty of mechanisms in place to hold the conference together. The conference could use pods in order to create two divisions that have different participants each year in order to get around this factually evident problem that previous movement has signaled as a problem.
When you use four pods interchangeably you have a schedule where you play the three teams in your particular pod every year. You then play the four teams of the other pod in your division for that year as well. That makes seven of nine games. That means two games against the other division. Don't let those two games against the other division fool you though into thinking that creates a four year timeline which has already been proved to be an issue.
If you change the pairings every year for the divisions then all you need to understand is that it constitutes a
three year rotation of playing every team in the 16 team conference. That means a sixteen team conference can be ran with two divisions this way with similar results as a 14 team conference and two static divisions. The fact that this 16 team conference has the other two games against the other division is just a bonus at this point that can be used to preserve old rivalries every year.
For the laymen out there....that means a 16 team conference ran in this fashion actually runs
more efficiently then what we have right now with only 14 teams. That right there is plain to see evidence that the Big Ten would want to expand to 16 in order to use a system like this. If they can control their own division in the NCAA so that they can have rules that further aid in this, then all the better!
This is why pods work until we have new rules allowing four static divisions. The above explanation is why without a doubt the Big Ten WILL use interchangeable pods that form two divisions if they have to move before they can use four divisions.
Two static divisions at 16 is already proven to be unacceptable based upon previous action. People seriously need to grasp this. It is getting annoying having to explain it still.