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Through the whole Boise St/San Diego St thing, the MWC finally decided to get aggressive in the expansion role instead of being reactive.
UTEP would have been the school to take the 12th spot if SDSU did not. The plan was to go to 14 schools at the minimum with 16 being the idea number. That's when they began to reach out to other schools.
You can read my other posts if you haven't already to see what they were doing.
Now as a conference they are going to take a step back, as the schools they are targeting aren't ready to move over. Obviously UTEP would, but that wouldn't help them any TV money wise, so they would need someone to join with them that would help their TV contract.
As far as BYU goes, they are still talking, alot, but this whole thing depends on ESPN and CBS. If BYU gets to keep their ESPN deal, they will re-join. BYU and the MWC basically have the framework on a deal done, now its getting ESPN on board as well. Seems easy, but this also includes rights to other MWC games as well.
I want to make sure I'm clear on this, even though BYU and MWC have the framework taken care of on a deal, that doesn't mean its going to be completed soon. There are things in BYU's contract with ESPN that would have to be adjusted to make it fit in the MWC's contract. I've been told that this deal can me made at anytime, but it could also take a while as well. My Fresno source absolutely believes we will hear something by the end of the month, but my other sources here in Wyoming and Colorado don't think its happening anytime soon.
Houston - This is the one they really want, but unless BYU joins and does it soon, this is looking like it won't happen. The only way they are going to get the Cougars is to pull them in within the next month.
SMU - They have turned down overtures from the MWC, and now I'm being told they are completely off the table.
Tulsa - Interest from both sides. Tulsa would prefer to be with their old C-USA mates. The MWC believes they will join the Big East soon, so if they were to invite Tulsa, they do realize it has to be soon, but where would the extra TV money come from as Tulsa wouldn't drive up the TV money just like UTEP can't.
In summary, look for the MWC to stay at 12. The only way they are going to jump higher than that is if BYU does join. Honestly, I've very skeptical about BYU joining anyway, I think its a longshot at best.
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