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Poll: Do you think global warming is happening?
Yes, caused by man, and we are in trouble soon.
Yes, caused by man, but trouble is a ways off.
Yes, but not caused by man.
No, this is cyclical patterns
No, everything is the same
No Opinion--No Mental Capacity
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The Global Warming Poll......
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GrayBeard Offline
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Post: #21
 
uhmump95 Wrote:Graybeard,

Why do you have such a big hard=on about global warming? I agree it BS, but you attack global warming like it just talked about your mama.

global warming --> 04-chairshot <-- Graybeard

Gee Thanks Mump...I just see something that I think would bring some decent discussion over here and I post it. Just trying to be the stimulative moderator that I am. I posted the poll because I wanted to see how we really lined up. If you listen to the media, you would get the idea that 99% of the country believed in Global Warming, but I didn't think that was true.

For the record, I have started 5 topics today (If I counted correctly) and 2 were about Global warming.
12-07-2006 03:56 PM
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Rebel
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Post: #22
 
uhmump95 Wrote:Graybeard,

Why do you have such a big hard=on about global warming? I agree it BS, but you attack global warming like it just talked about your mama.

global warming --> 04-chairshot <-- Graybeard

I am thinking it has something to do with another "poster" constantly posting about Global Warming destroying us because he watched a movie.
12-07-2006 03:56 PM
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DrTorch Offline
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Post: #23
 
Machiavelli Wrote:We have tested Ice sheets core samples back 650,000 years. Never have C02 concentrations been over 300 ppm. Today we are at 375 ppm. We are gaining on avg. 2 ppm every year. When you consider 275 ppm would throws us back into an ice age what will happen when we go over 400 ppm.

Ok, so we've been over 350 ppm for how long? A few decades? And yet, we have no clear proof of GW.

Quote:In the next 50 years we will find out if we don't do something about it. There is BIG MONEY in throwing doubt into this equation.

There is also big money in perpetuating this notion. Or have you noticed that these scientists aren't living in squalor, and there are big-time lawsuits from "displaced peoples".

Quote:Casting doubt on global warming as a theory. Now in science a theory is well tested and never disprovened. Some people get confused and think of scientific laws vs. theories. Like a theory can one day graduate into a law. Nothing is farther from the truth and big oil and those who doubt evolution have been very effective in planting seeds of doubt in our public's mind.

I might know a little something about scientific theory. First of all, to be an accepted theory, you need to have clear evidence. You also need to have tests. This has not been done w/ GW.

Secondly oh might science teacher, what is being overlooked in your historical data is the difference between causality and correlation. Did low CO2 levels CAUSE ice ages, or do they simply correlate w/ ice ages b/c of another event?
Sure, the mechanism of thermal capture by CO2 is at least a plausible mechanism, but it has not been verified. Low CO2 leading to low temps does not necessarily mean that high CO2 leads to high temps...the whole system is non-linear, and it's not even a reasonable approximation to extrapolate linerarly.

Your sources also IGNORE the UNDISPUTED fact that there has been increased solar output over the time frame associated w/ GW. One letter to the editor described publishing such material as "irresponsible". I find that disturbing that a "scientist" is advocating that scientific observables should be hidden from the public.

The advocates for GW also tend to "cherry pick" the data that supports their thesis. I know this b/c I have seen the data firsthand, and read the primary literature. Have you?

Finally, your sources ignore the fact that even the best models to date are relatively simplistic in their methodologies, and the actual users are less likely to champion these extreme scenarios. I know b/c I had such a conversation w/ someone from NCAR...at an Earth Sciences & Technology Conference.

Quote:As long as their is DOUBT some people could care less.

As long as there is some doubt, people should be shutting up and working harder...not preaching doom and gloom, which ironically they did in the 1970s when they were promising a new ice-age. Oops.
12-07-2006 04:08 PM
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Lethemeul Offline
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Post: #24
 
Lib Doggy Dog Wrote:Now in science a theory is well tested and never disprovened.

Really?

Do me a favor then and notify all the scientists out there wasting wads of time and cash trying to prove or disprove the Theory of Relativity, the String Theory, and all the other theories the brainiacs are investigating.
12-07-2006 04:27 PM
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Fanatical Offline
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Post: #25
 
There is plenty of evidence telling us that the earth is currently warming.

Average temperature increases; Glacier recession
Climate change isn't anything new on our planet, but the speed which it seems to be increasing does appear alarming. I don't think there is any reason to panic, but I'm not against attempting to do whatever we can to lower humanity's contribution.

here's an article I found interesting and on topic:
"There is an overwhelming bias today in the media regarding the issue of global warming. In the past two years, this bias has bloomed into an irrational hysteria. Every natural disaster that occurs is now linked with global warming, no matter how tenuous or impossible the connection. As a result, the public has become vastly misinformed."
12-07-2006 04:38 PM
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Machiavelli Offline
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Post: #26
 
2 hr. delay- Owl.

Might Science Teacher,

Are you trying to devalue anything I have said. If I have misconstrued or gave any misleading facts please let me know.
Alot of my sources happen to come from NASA Glenn research center. Dr. Czyaskowski form the University of Toledo invited me to a two week long seminar on acquiring Data with Satellites. Alot of the work shop dealt Global Warming. The three prior warming trends are blips on a screen in comparison to the warming trend of the last 50 years. What was of particular interest to me was snow cover in North America. This is one reason we have seen such a dramtic decrease in water levels the last ten years in the Great Lakes. We are not getting the same snow cover as in the past. Of course ground absorbs more light then the reflective property of snow. This is the equalivent of a 60 watt light bulb burning when the sun is shining on every sq. meter of earth. This has to have an effect. In my opinion we will witness a threshold event where a straw will break the camel's back. If the perma frost melts and we release the methane trapped in the Siberian tundra the results of this could be catastrophic. Even talking about this is good. It increases awareness. More work needs to be done, for all of our sakes lets hope I'm wrong. The thermo haline convection current could also have a tremendous impact. This phenomena is what the Day after tommorrow was based on.
12-07-2006 08:37 PM
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Bourgeois_Rage Away
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Post: #27
 
Ice core data

Somebody asked for it above. Have fun sorting through it.[/url]
12-08-2006 08:16 AM
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dfarr Offline
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Post: #28
 
Machiavelli Wrote:2 hr. delay- Owl.

The three prior warming trends are blips on a screen in comparison to the warming trend of the last 50 years.


http://www.junkscience.com/mar06/Time_An...241974.pdf

The warming of the last 50 years huh? Wanna try that again?

The fact is that meteorological data hasn't been kept for long enough to know diddly squat. 100 years of data is a blink in time and we don't know for sure what the core samples really mean.
12-08-2006 11:56 AM
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Machiavelli Offline
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Post: #29
 
Quote:100 years of data is a blink in time and we don't know for sure what the core samples really mean.

What do you mean we don't know what the ice core samples really mean. They are a picture of the past and no credible scientist has ever discredited them. The last 50 years are unparelled in their warmth in comparison to the last 650,000 years. The ten hottest years on record have happened since the 90's and 16 of the hottest 20 have happened since the 80's. 2005 was THE HOTTEST year EVER RECORDED!!
12-08-2006 12:26 PM
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OptimisticOwl Offline
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Post: #30
 
Another snow day?

edit: Anyone else find it ironic that Mach cannot work for the paycheck he is collecting because of SNOW, so he fills the idle time with talk of global WARMING? Yes, I know they are not incompatible, but it still seems odd.
12-08-2006 12:42 PM
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Post: #31
 
OptimisticOwl Wrote:Another snow day?

edit: Anyone else find it ironic that Mach cannot work for the paycheck he is collecting because of SNOW, so he fills the idle time with talk of global WARMING? Yes, I know they are not incompatible, but it still seems odd.

I also SERIOUSLY question his 2005 being the hottest year statement.
12-08-2006 12:54 PM
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Lethemeul Offline
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Post: #32
 
RebelKev Wrote:
OptimisticOwl Wrote:Another snow day?

edit: Anyone else find it ironic that Mach cannot work for the paycheck he is collecting because of SNOW, so he fills the idle time with talk of global WARMING? Yes, I know they are not incompatible, but it still seems odd.

I also SERIOUSLY question his 2005 being the hottest year statement.

And his complete and total disregard for the '70's and the looming Ice Age.
12-08-2006 12:58 PM
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Machiavelli Offline
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Post: #33
 
linky...........


http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/con...02498.html


addendum:

great graph on bottom and when you post this vs. the last 650,000 years it isn't even close. There really is no debate in scientific communities that we are getting warmer. Now you can find a couple of people who are funded by big oil to dispute the why.
12-08-2006 01:19 PM
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Machiavelli Offline
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Post: #34
 
Giving tests today Owl. Yeah believe it or not. Teacher's do give tests every two weeks. I also have a duty called "Study Hall" monitor for an hour a day. I have internet acces in the libary. So keep to the subject.
12-08-2006 01:37 PM
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Post: #35
 
Machiavelli Wrote:2005 was THE HOTTEST year EVER RECORDED!!

Your own link doesn't come out and specifically state that it WAS the hottest on record. "On record" being the key words.

Do you know how long they've been keeping these records, Dogger? Not long. Think about the numerous ice ages this world has gone through. SOMETHING had to melt the ice....and it wasn't sillyass women in SUVs.
12-08-2006 01:50 PM
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Machiavelli Offline
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Post: #36
 
The article was written in Oct. of that year. It ended up being the hottest one recorded. Just google warmest years on record. I could link hundreds of articles.
12-08-2006 01:55 PM
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Machiavelli Offline
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Post: #37
 
literally three second search.........

http://www.nasa.gov/vision/earth/environ...rmest.html
12-08-2006 01:56 PM
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Post: #38
 
Machiavelli Wrote:literally three second search.........

http://www.nasa.gov/vision/earth/environ...rmest.html

...and again, how long have temps been recorded? It would appear only since the 1800's. Now, do you think the world is 6000 years old? Or a LOOOOOOOOOT older as I do? .....because that is not enough data to start going apeshit over.
12-08-2006 02:10 PM
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Machiavelli Offline
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Post: #39
 
Read Grey Beard's link. It's good. We have ice core data that goes back 650,000 years. I will highlight the areas tommorrow if you don't understand how they get the temp. and the composition of CO2. The temperature can be found using the isotopes of Oxygen. They tell how they do it in GB's article. The actual CO2 can be found in the gas bubbles. It really isn't controversial.
12-08-2006 02:16 PM
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Post: #40
 
Machiavelli Wrote:Read Grey Beard's link. It's good. We have ice core data that goes back 650,000 years. I will highlight the areas tommorrow if you don't understand how they get the temp. and the composition of CO2. The temperature can be found using the isotopes of Oxygen. They tell how they do it in GB's article. The actual CO2 can be found in the gas bubbles. It really isn't controversial.

...and I'd be willing to bet that those ice core samples can't accurately deduct 5 degree variations over a period of millions of years. We're only talking about a few degrees of separation here.
12-08-2006 02:17 PM
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