stever20
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RE: Odds of Making tourney- 1/29(updated)
(01-29-2018 09:09 PM)Bogg Wrote: (01-29-2018 06:22 PM)stever20 Wrote: (01-29-2018 06:12 PM)Bogg Wrote: (01-29-2018 04:22 PM)stever20 Wrote: (01-29-2018 03:48 PM)Bogg Wrote: The good news for Marquette is that they still have both games against St John's left and one each against Georgetown/DePaul, plus if they finish seventh in conference an opening-day conference tournament game against (likely) St John's again. It'd be huge to snag one of these next two games at home against Providence/Butler, but it doesn't end the season for them if they don't either (obviously the math starts getting very tight at that point though).
They absolutely have got to win at least 1 game from Butler/ Marquette/ @ Seton Hall/ @ Creighton/ Creighton(there is no shot of them getting in at 17-13). And IMO by far the easiest wins in those would be the 2 this week.
They can get to 18 wins by beating St John's three time and DePaul/Georgetown once each. It's not ideal, but it might do it.
18-14 doesn't get them in by any stretch of the imagination. They are 2-7 right now vs tier 1 opponents, and what you are saying would give them another 4 tier 1 losses- at least. So 2-11. And Butler and Providence could wind up tier 1 losses as well- pushing them to 3-13. At 17-13 not counting conference tourney- their RPI entering that would be 63.5. That's a complete NIT resume- not even frankly one of the first 4 teams out of the tourney.
It was impossible for the Big East to get 7 teams in this year once upon a time too.
NO 18-14 team with a RPI of 60 with close to a 2-11 record vs tier 1 teams would have a prayer of getting in the tournament. End of story. That resume just doesn't come close to make the tourney. IT's more of a 3 or 4 seed in the NIT quite frankly. Marquette really needs to get to 18 regular season or 19 overall to have much of a chance in making the tourney......
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01-30-2018 12:20 AM |
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