RE: Bowl Eligibility
Now, with 3 weeks to go:
ELIGIBLE
Troy, App, Idaho
WILL BE ELIGIBLE
stAte - Needs to win 1 of their next 3 (@ Troy, @ Texas State, @ ULL). They'll get there.
SHAKY, BUT ODDS ON TO BOWL
USA - Will bowl with 2 more wins. Remaining schedule (Presbyterian, @Idaho, NMSU). USA usually blows it at the end of the year, but I think they get there. USA could lose to NMSU at home on Senior day with a bowl bid on offer and could lose to Presbyterian at home, but I think they'll get it done - barely.
UNLIKELY BUT POSSIBLE
Ga Southern - Must win @ Ga State and vs Troy. That's a tough road.
One of the following two is eliminated unless ULL wins at Georgia.
ULM - Needs to win @ App and vs. ULL. Rough road. Knock off App and it becomes odds on.
ULL - Needs 2 to bowl. Has to play Ark State and at ULM (also plays at Georgia). Possible but unlikely.
ELIMINATED
NMSU, Ga State, and Texas State
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USA'S CHANCES OF BOWLING AT 6-6. Looking shaky but currently likely. Right now, I have 77 teams in before a 6-6 USA (including Army who will finish 6-6 with 2 FCS wins and will be picked first).
Basically, here are the flies in the ointment (teams that I don't have bowling)..Ball State, only 1 from CMU/Akron, Cal, UCLA, only 1 from Vandy/Ole Miss/Miss State, Notre Dame, Duke, BC, Syracuse, SMU, Cincy, only 1 of TCU/Tech, only 1 of Charlotte/UTSA, only 1 of UNT/USM.
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