+- CSNbbs (https://csnbbs.com)
+-- Forum: Active Boards (/forum-769.html)
+--- Forum: AACbbs (/forum-460.html)
+---- Forum: Members (/forum-401.html)
+----- Forum: UAB (/forum-448.html)
+------ Forum: UAB Blazers (/forum-384.html)
+------- Forum: The Gene Bartow Memorial Forum (/forum-388.html)
+------- Thread: Current FN Profile (/thread-610211.html)
Current FN Profile - FNblazer - 12-31-2012 01:50 PM
There's enough team data now to formulate some pretty good opinions about our team and season. Let's take a quick look:
Current RPI: 131
Current SOS: 80
Top 50: 0-3
Top 100: 0-5
100-200: 0-0
200+: 6-1
Home: 6-0
Road: 1-4
Neutral: 0-2
What's interesting is that we haven't played anyone in our peer group. It's clear we aren't Top 100 worthy yet, considering we haven't kept it within double digits in any of our losses to these teams. And there is that horrific super-WTF loss.
Other interesting tidbits:
-There are no league opponents in the Top 50 currently. USM (59) and Memphis (96) are the only current Top 100 league opponents. Conference play will be largely games against our peers, with super-WTF worthy opponents Houston (219), Marshall x2 (229), and Rice (321-Kyrie eleison)
-As far as projections go, TCU is expected to remain a super-WTF loss. Other than that, all current losses are against projected Top 75 opponents. In conference play, USM and Mempiss are projected to rise to the Top 50, with UCF in the Top 100. So we get six games to rack up quality wins in league play.
-rpiforecast.com projects the Blazers to finish in an 8-8 logjam for 5th behind USM, Memphis, Tulane and UCF. With UCF ineligible for postseason play, a 4th place league finish is possible. Warrennolan.com projects a very different scenario:
1) USM
2) UTEP
2) Memphis
4) Tulsa
5) ECU
5) UCF
5) Tulane
8) UAB
It's projected to be a close race for the conference title. Each game is huge for us.
Lastly, for us to resurrect the FN Bubble Watch® this year, we will have to turn it on in a major way. As in finishing 13-5 or better down the stretch. The road game at Dayton would be huge to win. But first, we can't afford to lose at home to super-WTF opponent GSU.
RE: Current FN Profile - FNblazer - 12-31-2012 01:56 PM
One other note: it's likely that the CUSA tournament will be set up where teams 1-5 get a first round bye, due to UCF's disqualification. Although the official bracket hasn't been released, it will likely be set up as follows...
Quarterfinals:
1 vs 8/9
2 vs 7/10
3 vs 6/11
4 vs 5
So, if we can finish in the Top 5 we would only have to play 3 games to win the tournament.
RE: Current FN Profile - Rebounder2u - 12-31-2012 02:52 PM
It looks like its going to be anyones conference to win. If we had to have a year to transition, this is the year, there doesnt appear to be a dominate team in the league.
RE: Current FN Profile - UAB Band Dad - 12-31-2012 03:16 PM
I'm thinking I'd be putting that puke emoticon by our Top 50/100... if we have something besides zeroes there we could stand the one loss at 200+ a lot better.
RE: Current FN Profile - BlazerFromMD - 01-04-2013 10:50 AM
Northeastern won by 10 at George Mason last night to move up to 188.
100-200: 1-0