BobcatEngineer
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RE: Why do betting odds favor Trump?
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| 08-06-2024 09:25 AM |
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green
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RE: Why do betting odds favor Trump?
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| 08-06-2024 09:29 AM |
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ericsrevenge76
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RE: Why do betting odds favor Trump?
(08-06-2024 07:45 AM)gdunn Wrote: Gotta show a tight race in the polls that way when Harris gets 90 million votes, it's not sticker shock.
Trump greatly increased his vote from 2016 in 2020. I suspect he will do the same come November.
Trump got 63 million votes in 2016 and over 74 million votes in 2020. Wouldn't surprise me if he got 80-90 million votes this time.
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| 08-06-2024 09:39 AM |
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No Bull
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RE: Why do betting odds favor Trump?
(08-06-2024 09:39 AM)ericsrevenge76 Wrote: (08-06-2024 07:45 AM)gdunn Wrote: Gotta show a tight race in the polls that way when Harris gets 90 million votes, it's not sticker shock.
Trump greatly increased his vote from 2016 in 2020. I suspect he will do the same come November.
Trump got 63 million votes in 2016 and over 74 million votes in 2020. Wouldn't surprise me if he got 80-90 million votes this time.
I expect at least 80 million votes for Trump.
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| 08-06-2024 10:54 PM |
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Native Georgian
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RE: Why do betting odds favor Trump?
(08-06-2024 10:54 PM)No Bull Wrote: (08-06-2024 09:39 AM)ericsrevenge76 Wrote: Trump got 63 million votes in 2016 and over 74 million votes in 2020. Wouldn't surprise me if he got 80-90 million votes this time.
I expect at least 80 million votes for Trump.
Don’t have a sense of what the exact #s will be, but with 13 weeks to go (still a lot of time, tbh) I think Trump honestly has the upper hand, and is well-placed to get every vote that he plausibly could — i.e., the only votes he won’t get are from people who would never, ever vote for him, no matter what.
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| 08-06-2024 11:01 PM |
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Native Georgian
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RE: Why do betting odds favor Trump?
(08-06-2024 09:29 AM)green Wrote: (08-06-2024 09:25 AM)BobcatEngineer Wrote: ![[Image: d09qzWi.jpeg]](https://i.imgur.com/d09qzWi.jpeg)
https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting.../president
populated by lefties ...
ONLY ONE THAT'S HOLDING ME DOWN
Even the composite of all 7 has Trump going from 66% chance to 51% in the last 3 weeks.
Harris Honeymoon? No doubt. But still…
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| 08-06-2024 11:04 PM |
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No Bull
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RE: Why do betting odds favor Trump?
(08-06-2024 11:01 PM)Native Georgian Wrote: (08-06-2024 10:54 PM)No Bull Wrote: (08-06-2024 09:39 AM)ericsrevenge76 Wrote: Trump got 63 million votes in 2016 and over 74 million votes in 2020. Wouldn't surprise me if he got 80-90 million votes this time.
I expect at least 80 million votes for Trump.
Don’t have a sense of what the exact #s will be, but with 13 weeks to go (still a lot of time, tbh) I think Trump honestly has the upper hand, and is well-placed to get every vote that he plausibly could — i.e., the only votes he won’t get are from people who would never, ever vote for him, no matter what.
That’s why Harris thinks all she has to do is play to her base. Get the never ever Anti Trumpers out in mass along with POC’s. I don’t think it is enough to get her 270. She should have run to the middle but she is too arrogant and stupid for that.
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| 08-06-2024 11:06 PM |
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No Bull
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RE: Why do betting odds favor Trump?
(08-06-2024 11:04 PM)Native Georgian Wrote: (08-06-2024 09:29 AM)green Wrote: (08-06-2024 09:25 AM)BobcatEngineer Wrote: ![[Image: d09qzWi.jpeg]](https://i.imgur.com/d09qzWi.jpeg)
https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting.../president
populated by lefties ...
ONLY ONE THAT'S HOLDING ME DOWN
Even the composite of all 7 has Trump going from 66% chance to 51% in the last 3 weeks.
Harris Honeymoon? No doubt. But still…
Does Trump have enough cash to Dukakis Kamala for the next 13 weeks. Willie Horton her ass.
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| 08-06-2024 11:08 PM |
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fsquid
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RE: Why do betting odds favor Trump?
(08-06-2024 11:04 PM)Native Georgian Wrote: (08-06-2024 09:29 AM)green Wrote: (08-06-2024 09:25 AM)BobcatEngineer Wrote: ![[Image: d09qzWi.jpeg]](https://i.imgur.com/d09qzWi.jpeg)
https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting.../president
populated by lefties ...
ONLY ONE THAT'S HOLDING ME DOWN
Even the composite of all 7 has Trump going from 66% chance to 51% in the last 3 weeks.
Harris Honeymoon? No doubt. But still…
I won't trust anything until after Labor Day
Sent from my Pixel 6 using Tapatalk
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| 08-06-2024 11:16 PM |
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No Bull
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RE: Why do betting odds favor Trump?
(08-06-2024 11:16 PM)fsquid Wrote: (08-06-2024 11:04 PM)Native Georgian Wrote: (08-06-2024 09:29 AM)green Wrote: (08-06-2024 09:25 AM)BobcatEngineer Wrote: ![[Image: d09qzWi.jpeg]](https://i.imgur.com/d09qzWi.jpeg)
https://www.realclearpolling.com/betting.../president
populated by lefties ...
ONLY ONE THAT'S HOLDING ME DOWN
Even the composite of all 7 has Trump going from 66% chance to 51% in the last 3 weeks.
Harris Honeymoon? No doubt. But still…
I won't trust anything until after Labor Day
Sent from my Pixel 6 using Tapatalk
Odds have really tightened up. Honestly don’t know how Trump beats a woman who won’t take questions or agree to debate. How does Harris lose momentum?
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| 08-07-2024 09:46 AM |
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450bench
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RE: Why do betting odds favor Trump?
Seriously?
How about when people look at her record of doing NOTHING and saying NOTHING. Then look at what her policies and agenda actually are. Horrible.
She will be landslided
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| 08-07-2024 09:51 AM |
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Billy_Bearcat
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RE: Why do betting odds favor Trump?
(08-07-2024 09:51 AM)450bench Wrote: Seriously?
How about when people look at her record of doing NOTHING and saying NOTHING. Then look at what her policies and agenda actually are. Horrible.
She will be landslided
The majority of the electorate doesn’t look at issues and policies.
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| 08-07-2024 09:58 AM |
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450bench
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RE: Why do betting odds favor Trump?
Agreed but I think this election will be different.
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| 08-07-2024 10:12 AM |
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BigTigerMike
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RE: Why do betting odds favor Trump?
A Dem has to be +4 or more nationally [including or excluding massive cheating] in order to win the election. Anything less favors the Republican, especially in the swing states as they are far more conservative than other states
A virtual tie in the polls as is the current cases just means she’s solidified some deep blue states or cities lost by Biden but hasn’t expanded anywhere else. This reflects the fact that he still average +2 to +3 in swing states
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| 08-07-2024 02:52 PM |
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BobcatEngineer
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RE: Why do betting odds favor Trump?
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| 08-12-2024 03:38 PM |
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