Quote:the new numbers simply reinforce the reality that’s been driving the nominating contest since Trump was first indicted earlier this year: He has a big lead that seems to be susceptible only to the sort of imagined deus ex machina that Trump has avoided for eight years.

The Iowa poll is not just another poll, mind you. Conducted by J. Ann Selzer for the Des Moines Register, NBC News and Mediacom, the poll is considered the state’s gold standard. Selzer is renowned for her assessments of Iowa’s electorate. So when her poll has Trump leading Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis for the nomination by a more than 2-to-1 margin, that’s significant. ...

Maybe, for example, the various indictments will prompt reflection within Trump’s base.

Probably not. Two-thirds of likely caucusgoers say they don’t think Trump committed serious crimes. In fact, Selzer found that the margin of support between Trump and DeSantis grew after the announcement of new charges in Georgia ...

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/...ndictment/