(07-05-2023 10:44 AM)DavidSt Wrote: (07-05-2023 10:38 AM)jacksfan29! Wrote: (07-05-2023 10:10 AM)ArmoredUpKnight Wrote: MWC not accepting SDSU back has created an opening for the PAC to steal these timeslots.
MWC's Media Partner has a renegotiation trigger clause if SDSU leaves the conference. This can now be executed with MWC accepting the SDSU exit publicly and rejecting their whoopies.
MWC's Media Partner has the right to say the San Diego market is too great of a loss. Media Partner can say they need to reduce timeslot allotment and payout.
PAC can swoop in and fill those timeslots. Its been waiting for opportunities to add linear and the MWC may shoot themselves in the foot over pride and ego.
Its not tampering if you openly refuse to allow SDSU back into the conference and that has repercussions of their own.
(MWC's Trigger Clause from Mark Zeigler’s 365 interview at about 12:30 mark)
https://youtu.be/F0EiTIMRaLQ
They will do it if they can cut costs, but in reality, what were the ratings of San Diego State games?
Not that good. Boise State is now the top G5 school with the ratings outside of Army and Navy.
Fresno State is right there behind them.
Memphis is third
SMU is forth.
Air Force is 5th
Tulane is 6th
Utah State is 7th
SDSU is 8th
UNR is 9th
Then you have schools like UTSA, App State, Troy, Liberty and Coastal Carolina who were all winning as well.
The fact of the matter is, the AAC#1 and the AAC#2 will always have more viewers than Boise State, every year.
Sure, Boise State will have more viewers than the other mwc teams.
The "why" behind both those statements is exactly the same: it's the TV deals. Boise gets better timeslots from the mwc's network partners than any of their conference mates, therefore more viewers. The AAC's contract is so far above the other four non-contract-bowl conferences that once those ABC and ESPN slots go to whomever is performing well and highly ranked and getting NY6/CFP buzz, the top AAC schools will leave Boise et al in the dust. That is regardless of the name attached to AAC#1 and AAC#2, and it will continue on after the recent departures. (And Navy will look pretty close to Boise in what we deliver to the conference contract, then blow them away with total viewers.) Let's take a look...
2022 - Conf deal viewers -- total viewers (non-bowl)
Tulane 6,938,000 -- 6,938,000
Navy 3,639,000 -- 10,574,000
Boise St 4,549,000 -- 5,799,000
2021 - Conf deal viewers -- total viewers (non-bowl)
Cincinnati 12,532,000 -- 18,018,000
Navy 3,034,000 -- 12,472,000
Houston 6,201,000 -- 6,201,000
Boise St 4,802,000 -- 7,887,000
Tulane 3,962,000 -- 4,312,000
2021 was the only year that the top two AAC viewership teams were both from the departing three...it was also the only year that the CCG was between two of the departing three (equalling the number of CCGs between two of the remaining eight). Before anyone tries to say "well, they're Big12 now, don't count them for the AAC," they were playing AAC schedules on the AAC contract and in the AAC CCG. It had near-zero to do with them being on their way out/up. I also added 2-10 Tulane for additional context.
2020 - Conf deal viewers -- total viewers (non-bowl)
Cincinnati 7,814,000 -- 7,814,000
Tulsa 4,446,000 -- 6,176,000
Tulane 3,646,000 -- 4,162,000
Navy 3,403,000 -- 8,313,000
Boise 3,441,000 -- 3,441,000
Not only champ/NY6/departing Cincinnati, but CCG opponent Tulsa AND Tulane thumped Boise. Navy was within 38,000 in delivering to conference contract, before Army-Navy comes in. But slh, 2020 was COVID-weird...
2019 - Conf deal viewers -- total viewers (non-bowl)
Memphis 11,666,000 -- 11,666,000
Cincinnati 7,640,000 -- 10,580,000
Navy 1,883,000 -- 11,163,000
Boise 5,175,000 -- 6,936,000
SMU 3,894,000 -- 4,304,000
I added SMU here, too, since the SMU-Memphis game doubled up anything Boise had. 2019 also allows us to forestall another DavidSt delusion: this was in the old mwc-ESPN deal. Boise got boatraced by multiple AAC teams even on the old deal.
As far as the Boise-BYU games, here are their viewers for the last 5 years:
2022 - 281,000 (FS2)
2021 - 2,224,000 (ABC)
2020 - 680,000 (FS1)
2019 - 571,000 (ESPN2)
2018 - 470,000 (ESPN2)
Five-year average of 845,000
That 2021 number on ABC stands out obviously. That was OTA 3:30 ET slot, and it is...good. Third place in its timeslot. If Disney REALLY thought that highly, they wouldn't put it on ESPN2 so often.
Now, DavidSt is probably looking at some aggregation of multiple years, putting Boise ahead of multiple remaining AAC teams. Yes, one of my major points is that AAC top viewership is whoever is on top of the standings and gets those choice timeslots, so it isn't one team all the time, like the mwc is Boise all the time. That is a GOOD thing for the American in terms of current exposure, future media deals, and the next couple years of NY6/CFP jockeying. But I will grant that having been the mwc media deals' special child provides Boise advantages over individual mwc and AAC schools with a quick look. If the decision makers take a longer deeper look Boise's star keeps fading.