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Where are the comments from leadership at Washington, Oregon, Cal and Stanford?
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PicksUp Offline
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Post: #81
RE: Where are the comments from leadership at Washington, Oregon, Cal and Stanford?
(03-22-2023 01:28 PM)bryanw1995 Wrote:  
(03-22-2023 09:21 AM)OhioBoilermaker Wrote:  
(03-22-2023 08:20 AM)U-C-FKnights Wrote:  The Big12 has a vision and a plan, and I think they are trying to recruit schools that are interested in that. Of course if they get PAC schools on board that will be better than G5 schools, but I don't think the Big 12 is begging anyone like you guys like to make it out to be. I think if the PAC teams rather stick to the old ways and look down on the BIG 12, the big 12 will just move on. That is why every time Yormark talks about expansion he makes a point to talk about fit and teams that want to be there.

Sure - throwing together dissimilar schools across the country in an effort to boost media values while putting out a PR hitjob on the Pac is a "plan," but it isn't a plan that has ever led to stability.

No hitjob is necessary, the PAC presidents and a succession of their Commissioners have done far more damage to the league than Yormark ever could. Most of us here are fans of other schools and Conferences, and it’s clear to us that the big 12 is currently in a stronger position than the PAC. It’s not certain that this will always be the case though, perhaps the PAC schools will be better served by achieving unity and then eventually trying to become part of the 3rd/4th Conferences, but the preponderance of the evidence does not bode well for them currently.

Stronger position? Only because nobody wants those schools.
03-23-2023 09:20 AM
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Aztecgolfer Offline
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Post: #82
RE: Where are the comments from leadership at Washington, Oregon, Cal and Stanford?
(03-22-2023 11:03 AM)PeteTheChop Wrote:  
(03-22-2023 10:48 AM)Aztecgolfer Wrote:  Perhaps because none of those schools have been reported to be ready to jump to the B12.

A large part of the messaging from UA/ASU/OSU/Utah/WSU leadership has emphasized solidarity and unity and the media rights value of the 10 remaining Pac-12 schools.

Again, the leaders at UW, UO, Cal and Stanford could publicly support those points specifically without veering off into any discussions of the Big XII — and yet that has not happened.

Why not?

I don't understand why people think Cal to the B1G is even realistic. The UCBOR pretty much begged, on Cal's behalf, the B1G to take them and they got a very unambiguous "NO." Stanford doesn't like the idea of paying players. If they want to finish last in football and BB year after year then the B1G is the place for them. Personally, and this is just my opinion, I think Stanford would prefer to remain in the PAC with the other 9 members.

Neither Washington or Oregon add value over the contract amount the B1G negotiated in their media deal beginning in 2024. I have seen statements that even combined they are worth about a "half share." Not sure how accurate that is. The thing is, the B1G can have both or either one whenever they want, if they want. From my understanding, the B1G doesn't want to expand more at this time and OSU is firmly in that camp. Neither UW or UO have an option to go anywhere better than the PAC. When the ACC GOR terminates then you have to add schools like Virginia and North Carolina to Notre Dame to the list of likely top targets of the B1G. You may even add Clemson to that mix though they are not an AAU university. Should the B1G add 3 of those school then, perhaps, they look West at Washington. Adding 4 schools brings them to 18. Were the SEC to add Clemson and FSU or Miami they would be at 18. However, I think when the ACC GOR terminates that may be the point where the B1G and SEC decide to break off from the NCAA and form their own league. That would be the point when both conferences could decide to shed themselves of their "dead weight." Does the BIG really want Nebraska as part of the club. The same question can be asked of the SEC and Missouri.
03-23-2023 10:40 AM
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GoBuckeyes1047 Online
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Post: #83
RE: Where are the comments from leadership at Washington, Oregon, Cal and Stanford?
(03-22-2023 11:14 AM)Gitanole Wrote:  
(03-22-2023 09:20 AM)JRsec Wrote:  Well Pete, I think we both know the answer to that question. It is rhetorical of course, but it is because California, Stanford, Oregon and Washington need the illusion of the inability of the 4 corners to leave for the Big 12 in order to bolster their bargaining position with the Big 10.

They know the 4 corners prefer their current association to one with the Big 12 because of the elevation of their status in the PAC 12. So, the haves are working like hell to secure exit visas to the Big 10 and telling the four corners schools that the moisture they are feeling is the dripping sweat of their efforts to secure a media deal and preserve the PAC 12. Wilner and Canzano are useful tools for keeping up this appearance. Meanwhile it is just another case of the haves whizzing on the hopefuls. In South Alabama parlance they would say, "Don't piss on me and tell me it's raining!" Too bad it takes common sense to distinguish between ample perspiration and micturition.

PAC presidents hardly 'need an illusion.' Every PAC president knows the score.

First choice: B1G (Choice 1A: SEC). Remember your old friends when you get there.
Second choice: PAC. Repair the clubhouse and make it work for all who need it.
Third choice: ACC—but boy, do we have a lot to talk about first.
Fourth choice: B12. Smile through the tears and stock up on camo.
Fifth: Drawing board. Independence, G5, drop football, etc.

Everyone at the table is playing the same game. Everyone knows everyone else is playing the same game. No illusions necessary.

What presidents need now is details.

07-coffee3

I think this is correct. In my opinion, if Oregon and Washington don't see what they like and can get to the B1G leaving behind Cal and Stanford, then if I'm Cal, Stanford, and the 4C schools, I talk to the ACC (assuming the PAC can't be saved), and see if they'd (and ESPN) be willing to expand. I can see a scenario where the 6 are taken (rather than just a full merger with the PAC) to go to 20/21.

Football goes to 9 games playing 4 protected rivals annually and everyone else once every 3 years (PAC schools could play just 1 protected rival annually to play the other 4 PAC schools twice every 3 years).

I'd also try to see if ND is willing to go to 6 games vs. ACC schools, but offer them an extra game against Cal and Stanford to play against a California school once a year (to go with USC), and still play everyone else (including the 4C schools) once every 3 years (roughly the same for the current ACC schools) and doesn't impact ND's schedule much (USC, Navy, Cal/Stanford, 5 ACC games, 4 other games). If ND would rather stay at 5 games, then they'd rotate through everyone once every 4 years.

For basketball, the current ACC schools would play 4 rivals twice annually, rotate 8 of the remaining 10 ACC schools once, and rotate 4 of the 6 PAC schools once for 20 conference games. The 6 PAC schools would play each other twice annually and 10 of the 15 ACC schools once annually for twenty conference games.

The biggest question is would ESPN pay the additional inventory and would there be an increase in value that's satisfactory for the ACC (especially the 4 vocal schools about uneven distribution and ND)? Obviously, it wouldn't be enough to catch the B1G/SEC, but would you pass the Big 12 by a good margin (even if the 6 PAC schools came in at a discount initially) or survive as a conference once the B1G/SEC come raiding?
03-23-2023 11:21 AM
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Big 12 fan too Offline
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Post: #84
RE: Where are the comments from leadership at Washington, Oregon, Cal and Stanford?
(03-23-2023 09:20 AM)PicksUp Wrote:  
(03-22-2023 01:28 PM)bryanw1995 Wrote:  
(03-22-2023 09:21 AM)OhioBoilermaker Wrote:  
(03-22-2023 08:20 AM)U-C-FKnights Wrote:  The Big12 has a vision and a plan, and I think they are trying to recruit schools that are interested in that. Of course if they get PAC schools on board that will be better than G5 schools, but I don't think the Big 12 is begging anyone like you guys like to make it out to be. I think if the PAC teams rather stick to the old ways and look down on the BIG 12, the big 12 will just move on. That is why every time Yormark talks about expansion he makes a point to talk about fit and teams that want to be there.

Sure - throwing together dissimilar schools across the country in an effort to boost media values while putting out a PR hitjob on the Pac is a "plan," but it isn't a plan that has ever led to stability.

No hitjob is necessary, the PAC presidents and a succession of their Commissioners have done far more damage to the league than Yormark ever could. Most of us here are fans of other schools and Conferences, and it’s clear to us that the big 12 is currently in a stronger position than the PAC. It’s not certain that this will always be the case though, perhaps the PAC schools will be better served by achieving unity and then eventually trying to become part of the 3rd/4th Conferences, but the preponderance of the evidence does not bode well for them currently.

Stronger position? Only because nobody wants those schools.

You mean stronger because of still being a peer of PAC and ACC despite already being the first to go through the damages of consolidation to P2

It’s basic stuff. The P5 era is gone. It’s BIG and SEC, and everyone else.
03-23-2023 11:32 AM
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Post: #85
RE: Where are the comments from leadership at Washington, Oregon, Cal and Stanford?
(03-23-2023 11:32 AM)Big 12 fan too Wrote:  
(03-23-2023 09:20 AM)PicksUp Wrote:  
(03-22-2023 01:28 PM)bryanw1995 Wrote:  
(03-22-2023 09:21 AM)OhioBoilermaker Wrote:  
(03-22-2023 08:20 AM)U-C-FKnights Wrote:  The Big12 has a vision and a plan, and I think they are trying to recruit schools that are interested in that. Of course if they get PAC schools on board that will be better than G5 schools, but I don't think the Big 12 is begging anyone like you guys like to make it out to be. I think if the PAC teams rather stick to the old ways and look down on the BIG 12, the big 12 will just move on. That is why every time Yormark talks about expansion he makes a point to talk about fit and teams that want to be there.

Sure - throwing together dissimilar schools across the country in an effort to boost media values while putting out a PR hitjob on the Pac is a "plan," but it isn't a plan that has ever led to stability.

No hitjob is necessary, the PAC presidents and a succession of their Commissioners have done far more damage to the league than Yormark ever could. Most of us here are fans of other schools and Conferences, and it’s clear to us that the big 12 is currently in a stronger position than the PAC. It’s not certain that this will always be the case though, perhaps the PAC schools will be better served by achieving unity and then eventually trying to become part of the 3rd/4th Conferences, but the preponderance of the evidence does not bode well for them currently.

Stronger position? Only because nobody wants those schools.

You mean stronger because of still being a peer of PAC and ACC despite already being the first to go through the damages of consolidation to P2

It’s basic stuff. The P5 era is gone. It’s BIG and SEC, and everyone else.

The PAC sure appears to be in the most danger of the ACC/B12/PAC second-tier club. The B10/B12 picks off the PAC sooner than later and the ACC backfills with a handful of ETZ B12 schools (UCF, Cincy, WVU) down the road. The PAC is purely in defense/downgrade mode.
(This post was last modified: 03-23-2023 01:49 PM by GarnetAndBlue.)
03-23-2023 01:44 PM
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Native Georgian Offline
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Post: #86
RE: Where are the comments from leadership at Washington, Oregon, Cal and Stanford?
(03-22-2023 07:54 AM)Wahoowa84 Wrote:  These schools have made decisions, and lined-up Plan A, Plan B, Plan C, etc. contingencies. Making public statements could expose their back room deals (or retroactively expose their hypocrisy). Publicity risks distrust, animosity, or burnt bridges. Best to let events play-out and hope that a favorable scenario develops.
This. Very well said.
03-23-2023 01:48 PM
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jrj84105 Offline
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Post: #87
RE: Where are the comments from leadership at Washington, Oregon, Cal and Stanford?
I’m not sure that the conference can even go to ESPN until everything is fully sorted with the non-traditional partners who don’t seem to aspire to the same contractual brevity and simplicity we saw in the BigXII and ACC GORs.
03-23-2023 01:59 PM
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Post: #88
RE: Where are the comments from leadership at Washington, Oregon, Cal and Stanford?
(03-23-2023 01:44 PM)GarnetAndBlue Wrote:  
(03-23-2023 11:32 AM)Big 12 fan too Wrote:  
(03-23-2023 09:20 AM)PicksUp Wrote:  
(03-22-2023 01:28 PM)bryanw1995 Wrote:  
(03-22-2023 09:21 AM)OhioBoilermaker Wrote:  Sure - throwing together dissimilar schools across the country in an effort to boost media values while putting out a PR hitjob on the Pac is a "plan," but it isn't a plan that has ever led to stability.

No hitjob is necessary, the PAC presidents and a succession of their Commissioners have done far more damage to the league than Yormark ever could. Most of us here are fans of other schools and Conferences, and it’s clear to us that the big 12 is currently in a stronger position than the PAC. It’s not certain that this will always be the case though, perhaps the PAC schools will be better served by achieving unity and then eventually trying to become part of the 3rd/4th Conferences, but the preponderance of the evidence does not bode well for them currently.

Stronger position? Only because nobody wants those schools.

You mean stronger because of still being a peer of PAC and ACC despite already being the first to go through the damages of consolidation to P2

It’s basic stuff. The P5 era is gone. It’s BIG and SEC, and everyone else.

The PAC sure appears to be in the most danger of the ACC/B12/PAC second-tier club. The B10/B12 picks off the PAC sooner than later and the ACC backfills with a handful of ETZ B12 schools (UCF, Cincy, WVU) down the road. The PAC is purely in defense/downgrade mode.

Whichever non-P2 conference is on-deck for its next contract is the one in danger.
03-23-2023 02:18 PM
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Post: #89
RE: Where are the comments from leadership at Washington, Oregon, Cal and Stanford?
(03-23-2023 10:40 AM)Aztecgolfer Wrote:  I don't understand why people think Cal to the B1G is even realistic. The UCBOR pretty much begged, on Cal's behalf, the B1G to take them and they got a very unambiguous "NO." Stanford doesn't like the idea of paying players. If they want to finish last in football and BB year after year then the B1G is the place for them. Personally, and this is just my opinion, I think Stanford would prefer to remain in the PAC with the other 9 members.

Neither Washington or Oregon add value over the contract amount the B1G negotiated in their media deal beginning in 2024. I have seen statements that even combined they are worth about a "half share." Not sure how accurate that is. The thing is, the B1G can have both or either one whenever they want, if they want. From my understanding, the B1G doesn't want to expand more at this time and OSU is firmly in that camp. Neither UW or UO have an option to go anywhere better than the PAC. When the ACC GOR terminates then you have to add schools like Virginia and North Carolina to Notre Dame to the list of likely top targets of the B1G. You may even add Clemson to that mix though they are not an AAU university. Should the B1G add 3 of those school then, perhaps, they look West at Washington. Adding 4 schools brings them to 18. Were the SEC to add Clemson and FSU or Miami they would be at 18. However, I think when the ACC GOR terminates that may be the point where the B1G and SEC decide to break off from the NCAA and form their own league. That would be the point when both conferences could decide to shed themselves of their "dead weight." Does the BIG really want Nebraska as part of the club. The same question can be asked of the SEC and Missouri.

Bob Thompson more or less said they are neither additive nor subtractive. Other reports have said they are mildly additive (like $1M or so per team). Basically they are both Iowa in value. Any references to them taking half or 3/4 shares are basically as a buy in, so that the other 16 teams gain enough over a contract cycle to justify adding them (in effect add $3-6M value to the other 16 schools payouts). USCLA added substantial value and did so immediately prior to contract negotiations, hence the full shares they received.
(This post was last modified: 03-23-2023 03:00 PM by gwelymernans.)
03-23-2023 02:56 PM
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Gitanole Offline
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Post: #90
RE: Where are the comments from leadership at Washington, Oregon, Cal and Stanford?
(03-23-2023 02:18 PM)jrj84105 Wrote:  Whichever non-P2 conference is on-deck for its next contract is the one in danger.

In this market, definitely.
03-23-2023 03:09 PM
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Gitanole Offline
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RE: Where are the comments from leadership at Washington, Oregon, Cal and Stanford?
(03-22-2023 12:13 PM)johnbragg Wrote:  
(03-22-2023 09:56 AM)PeteTheChop Wrote:  ....
The holdup is none of the three most powerful entities here want blood on their hands: Not the B1G, not FOX/CBS/NBC and not Disney.

LOL they Do. Not. Care.

The Big Ten shanked the PAC-12 in full view of god man and the entire world. Whether or not the PAC-12 completely bleeds out, or stabilizes and limps along for another contract cycle doesn't change that. Taking Oregon and Washington didn't kill the PAC-12, taking USC and UCLA did, and that's why the Big Ten did it.

As for Fox/NBC/CBS, most people blame FOX for the Big Ten taking USC and UCLA, and Fox doesn't seem to care.

NBC and CBS have clean hands, pretty much. they don't really get anything if the Big Ten expands. For a 2-team expansion to pay off for the Big Ten and raise the per-school media average, someone has to throw another $200M+ into the pot for a new national-exclusive window -- about $140-150M for Oregon and Washington to equal the current Big Ten share, plus $36M to give everyone a $2M bump for the inconvenience of playing on Friday nights or late-night games every once in a while.

And Disney isn't even in the picture.

Sure. Why would they care?

If message boards are any indication, 'having blood on your hands' gets you hailed as a genius.

If the blood is yours, you're a laughingstock.

People kiss up and kick down.
(This post was last modified: 03-24-2023 04:54 AM by Gitanole.)
03-23-2023 03:20 PM
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GarnetAndBlue Offline
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Post: #92
RE: Where are the comments from leadership at Washington, Oregon, Cal and Stanford?
(03-23-2023 02:18 PM)jrj84105 Wrote:  
(03-23-2023 01:44 PM)GarnetAndBlue Wrote:  
(03-23-2023 11:32 AM)Big 12 fan too Wrote:  
(03-23-2023 09:20 AM)PicksUp Wrote:  
(03-22-2023 01:28 PM)bryanw1995 Wrote:  No hitjob is necessary, the PAC presidents and a succession of their Commissioners have done far more damage to the league than Yormark ever could. Most of us here are fans of other schools and Conferences, and it’s clear to us that the big 12 is currently in a stronger position than the PAC. It’s not certain that this will always be the case though, perhaps the PAC schools will be better served by achieving unity and then eventually trying to become part of the 3rd/4th Conferences, but the preponderance of the evidence does not bode well for them currently.

Stronger position? Only because nobody wants those schools.

You mean stronger because of still being a peer of PAC and ACC despite already being the first to go through the damages of consolidation to P2

It’s basic stuff. The P5 era is gone. It’s BIG and SEC, and everyone else.

The PAC sure appears to be in the most danger of the ACC/B12/PAC second-tier club. The B10/B12 picks off the PAC sooner than later and the ACC backfills with a handful of ETZ B12 schools (UCF, Cincy, WVU) down the road. The PAC is purely in defense/downgrade mode.

Whichever non-P2 conference is on-deck for its next contract is the one in danger.

And the PAC's on the clock. Is anyone expecting the current membership to sign up for a long-term GoR that outlasts the B12 and ACC deals?
03-24-2023 08:13 AM
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