(03-12-2023 04:20 AM)MUther Wrote: (03-11-2023 10:01 PM)TTT Wrote: (03-10-2023 11:11 AM)Big Dub Wrote: If conference realignment has taught us anything it's that "deserves" has nothing to do with it.
Case in point: Boise State.
If there was ANY school that deserved to be invited/elevated to BCS/P5 conference, it was Boise State. But potential TV #s/metro areas is what drives everything.
Funny thing is people outside of Boise's market will watch them play. They're interesting and they win a lot. No one outside of Tulane's market is watching them play. No one IN charlotte's market is watching them or FAU, etc. I would venture Boise's ratings in their smaller market exceed most if not all the "market" schools' shares. At least in recent history, say last 20 years.
Boise has a brand and recognition with the blue turf and their earlier success. However, the Boise viewership draw gets overstated in my opinion.
2022 Boise State delivered 4,809,000 viewers to their conference media partner. Adding their away game at Oregon State, 6,059,000 viewers. Tulane had 6,938,000 viewers, all AAC conference games.
2021 Boise State delivered 4,802,000 viewers in their conference deal. At BYU and at UCF brought the total to 7,887,000 viewers. Tulane had 3,962,000 in conference inventory viewers, 4,312,000 total.
2020 (COVID affected schedules) Boise State had 2,941,000 viewers all conference games. Tulane had 3,646,000 conference viewers and 4,162,000 total. I looked at Tulsa, with the benefit of the CCG and the Hurricane had 4,446,000 conference viewers and 6,176,000 total.
(These numbers are regular season including CCGs, but Boise's bowl games don't demonstrate an outsized viewership draw for them. Non-Boise mwc champs do just as well in Las Vegas/Los Angeles Bowls for instance.)
Your specific example of Tulane had more viewers than Boise State 2 out of the last 3 years. We can't say what the CUSA6 will do, because those contracts were so poor. But the top teams in the AAC in 2023 will probably do better than Boise State. (Boise's OOC will help them out in 2023, too, but I still have high confidence in this assessment.)