Skyhawk
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RE: Duke and North Carolina Can Never Be Separated
(02-07-2023 05:15 PM)quo vadis Wrote: (02-07-2023 11:33 AM)JRsec Wrote: (02-07-2023 10:32 AM)quo vadis Wrote: (02-07-2023 12:56 AM)bullet Wrote: Utah's two straight Pac titles don't make them the Pac football brand. This past year was the first time since they joined the Pac they have finished in the top 10. They've only done it 4 times in history. Oregon has done it 5 times just since Utah joined including 4 top 5s. Washington has done it twice since they joined and 9 times since 1968, including 5 top 5s.
Their mediocre TV ratings demonstrate that. In the Sic'em analysis, they are 44th, right between Texas Tech and Pitt. In Miller's analysis (which I'm not enthused about) they do have a similar standing, #41, with Texas Tech, Washington St. and Northwestern right in front of them and Army, Minnesota and Pitt right behind them. Bob Thompson's (ex-Fox exec who has been quoted a lot, especially by Wilzano) recent analysis shows about the same thing.
I agree about Utah.
IMO, USC is far and away the top PAC football brand, [b]or was[/b]. They are a true blue-blood.
Herein resides the issue:
Last Championship 2003-4: vacated. Had a 2-3 year run. Blue Bloods Quo, keep winning. USC is without a doubt a historical program of significance. If the Big 10 acquires Notre Dame they will have 3 truly great historical programs, Notre Dame, USC, and Nebraska. All with history, and not much upside in the future. They will still have two true bluebloods, Michigan and Ohio State with emphasis on the latter.
Most of this is because of the same reason the SEC has been so successful. We have the recruits in the SE and SW and those are the two best and sustainable sources of talent because High School football is still a community priority.
No doubt there are athletes in Southern California, parts of Ohio and parts of Pennsylvania, but not enough of them to support the Big 10 collective which all try to recruit those areas, and certainly not enough in Southern California to support the PAC and MWC. The transfer portal will help with this. NIL may be a wash among the big-name programs so no edge for the bluebloods when competing against each other for top recruits.
The fact that so many schools out west try to draw from Southern California for talent weakens all of the brands. The Big 10 all trying to recruit Ohio & Pennsylvania spreads talent too thinly. The SEC has simply been able to supply its top 8 schools enough talent to make any of them competitive on any given year, and that will continue.
Check out USC's valuation from the WSJ and those numbers I listed in this thread were for all sports, not just football. They are upper third ACC numbers, and below the Big 10 MEAN. UCLA has a better valuation due to hoops. Ohio State is the only program in the nation aside from Clemson and FSU (when up) that could compete weekly in the SEC with hope of success. PAC schools simply haven't been competitive. The SEC just acquired the only two in the Big 12 which can compete with hope of success weekly in the SEC.
And let me make this clear, the SEC did nothing to earn this blessing. It is simply the culture of the region which makes it possible. From Texas up to Oklahoma, through Arkansas and across the Deep South it is still as Pepper Rogers once called it, the second religion. Pepper said the state of Alabama was divided into two holy sites where orthodox pilgrims traveled weekly in the Fall to worship on Saturday at the West Alabama Temple and the East Alabama Temple and he called UofA the University of West Alabama and he called AU the University of East Alabama. The directional nature I'm sure intended as a slight. He said the whole thing had such zeal that the only thing which wasn't Kosher is that each worshiped a pigskin.
Now, add in the industrialization of the South, jobs, a rising income level, and growth and the pattern becomes set in place for much longer than elsewhere. Toss in what is still a relatively low NFL impact and as Bear used to say to Charlie, "Bingo, that's a goodie!" I'd toss in a Shug quote, but he didn't have that many. But at one Burn the Bulldog pep rally he did read from the 23rd Psalm, "Yeah though I walk through the Valley of the Shadow of Death (a real place in the mountains outside of Jerusalem by the way), I will fear no evil. For tomorrow I shall be the meanest SOB in the whole damned valley!" And Auburn was the next day in Athens and beat a much better Vince Dooley team.
FWIW, I am not a fan of the WSJ valuations.
IIRC, in their 2019 list, they had USC ranked behind schools like Iowa, Arkansas, Michigan State, Ole Miss, and Washington. That IMO just beggars belief. To me, USC is a far bigger brand name and would, for any given ranking level, draw more media and fan interest than any of those schools. Just my opinion.
On the field, USC isn't what they were under Pete Carroll, but in the last seven years they played in three NY6 bowl games. They are to me still a high-performing program. They've won national titles far more recently than has Notre Dame, a fellow blue-blood that IMO is of extremely high value.
IMO, the reason the B1G invited USC and UCLA was not because of the LA market, though of course that was nice, it was because of USC. UCLA was a tagalong. It was the presence of USC that made this move a quasi-credible response in the CFB community to the SEC getting TX and OU. Not equivalent because UCLA is not a blue-blood like the other three, but it was as close as they could come, IMO.
Had they invited say UCLA and Stanford, which would have allowed them to tap into an even larger market profile, southern and northern California, the move would IMO have been perceived as a dud response, because those schools do not match up with TX and OU in terms of football and overall athletic value at all. It was largely about USC, IMO.
If I recall correctly, the reporting said that USC wanted out and reached out. UCLA was along for the ride.
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