(01-29-2023 10:00 AM)Frank the Tank Wrote: (01-29-2023 04:32 AM)jimrtex Wrote: (01-27-2023 10:30 AM)ken d Wrote: (01-26-2023 08:52 PM)BruceMcF Wrote: (01-26-2023 05:41 PM)Poster Wrote: I really can’t imagine PAC expansion not being dilutive, but whatever.
The 11 team conference is an especially odd idea. You have to give one team a bye every week, you can’t have nine conference games and you can’t go back to divisions. (Which the PAC has gotten rid of anyway.) The whole reason why the Big 10 went to 11 was because the 11th team was Penn State, and they hoped the 12th team would be Notre Dame. The current realignment chaos began at least in part because 11 was such an odd number for the Big Ten, and they had come to realize Notre Dame wasn’t joining.
You seem to be skipping over the fact that at the time that the Big Ten expanded to 12, 12 was required to have a CCG.
If prospective media partner say what they will give a PAC-10+1 playing eight conference games is more than 11/12th of what they will give a PAC-10+2 playing nine conference games, then that'd work fine. If the PAC-10+1 gets less than 11/12th of what the PAC-10+2 gets, than add two.
That part isn't really rocket science.
Thing is, the PAC-10 with a full round robin is 45 conference games. A PAC-10+1 stepping down to eight conference games is 44 conference games. A PAC-10+2 at 9 conference games each is 54 conference games. The OOC game values are too uncertain to carry much weight on the contract (which is why the Alliance concept was probably a value-add for 2 out of 3 potential partners), so it seems likely it's between the PAC-10 and the PAC-10+2, depending on whether the inventory is needed to satisfy to media partners with the prospective value of their picks.
The bolded part is the reason an 11 team PAC is problematic. You can't have 11 schools play 9 conference games each, because you can't have 1/2 of a conference game.
A possible solution to that problem, if you don't really want to add a 12th team but you do want to add SDSU to have a southern California presence, is to have one PAC team schedule a game at Hawaii each year on a rotating basis which is designated as a conference game so you have 50 conference games a year.
The team that plays at Hawaii gets a 13th game, and the Hawaii game doesn't have to be in Week 0. That week could be used as a true conference game in a week where the league gets maximum exposure because of little competition. If the other PAC schools don't want to be part of a rotation, then just make SDSU playing that 50th conference game at Hawaii every year as a condition of getting promoted to the P5.
As for the stadium size in Hawaii, it really doesn't matter to the PAC because very few fans of visiting teams are going to travel there anyway.
Another solution is to have one team play a 10th game. Before the season starts pull a game from a hat, and stick it in an envelope inside a locked safe. Pull it out at the end of the season a remove that game from the record for purposes of determining the CCG teams. The game could still be used for tie-breaking.
Or simply have one team play a 10th game and use percentage to determine CCG teams. If Colorado is 2-8 or WSU 5-5 it doesn't matter. The PAC-12 had a three-way tie for second this season. If Utah, Washington, or Oregon were 8-2 instead of 7-2 they get the CCG.
This won’t happen. It’s total message board land thinking that schools and conferences would be cool with having one school play a different number of conference games than everyone else (whether more or less). That’s not a viable solution.
If the Pac-12 goes to 11 schools, then they’ll have 8 conference games (which is what Kliavkoff has wanted in the first place).
Kliavkoff wanted 8 games so they could have more games with the "Alliance". Do you think the B1G is going to drop back to eight games?
OOC for the Pac-12 is basically one game against Big Sky (FCS), one game against Mountain West, and one game against P5 (4 BXII, 3 SEC, 3 B1G, and 2 ND)
They can have 44 PAC 12 games, and maybe 11 more OOC home games - against G5, or 5 OOC home games against maybe P5 teams - who are going to want H-and-H.
Or you can have 50 PAC 12 games, and the same inventory of OOC games.
The PAC is selling content. PAC-12 conference games are worth more than what you can replace it with because the PAC-12 is relatively isolated (that is why their FCS games are almost all Big Sky, and their G5 games are against the Mountain West.
So let's work out a schedule. Northwest Pod (4 schools), Southwest Pod (4 schools), and California (3 schools). Play everyone in your pod. Northwest Pod needs 24 more games, Southwest Pod needs 24 more games, California Pod needs 21 more games. Add a game for SDSU. California Pod needs 22 more games.
California splits its 22 games, 11 against the Northwest and 11 against the Southwest.
Northwest v Southwest 13 games.
3 teams play 3 teams in the opposite Pod (skip one and rotate over 4 years). The other two teams play all four schools in the opposite POD.
3 teams in NW Pod need 3 games against California Pod (all three schools)
3 teams in SW Pod need 3 games against California Pod (all three schools)
1 team in NW Pod needs 2 games against California Pod (skip either Cal or Stanford)
1 team in SW Pod needs 2 games against California Pod (skip either Stanford or Cal).
Example: schools skip one opponent each season:
Washington-Colorado
WSU-Utah
Oregon-Arizona
OSU-Cal
Arizona State-Stanford