(01-06-2023 04:26 PM)johnintx Wrote: Yep. Which leads to another alternate scenario: The WAC would have stopped at 12, and the Front Range schools would have found a way to play each other every year. No Denver airport meeting, no Mountain West.
The biggest question marks with C-USA being an effective three-way merger is would UTEP still go to C-USA in 2005, and would TCU go to the WAC? Would it preclude, delay, or even accelerate Army and/or South Florida playing football in C-USA?
C-USA 2001:
West - TCU, SMU, Rice, Houston, Tulane, Tulsa
East - Cincinnati, Louisville, Memphis, Southern Miss, East Carolina*, UAB
Non-football - DePaul, Marquette, Saint Louis, South Florida, (joins for football in 2003), Charlotte
WAC 2001:
Pacific - San Diego State, San Jose State, Fresno State, UNLV, BYU, Hawaii
Mountain - Utah, Wyoming, Colorado State, Air Force, New Mexico, UTEP
Sun Belt 2001:
North Texas, Arkansas State, Louisiana Tech, Louisiana-Lafayette, Middle Tennessee, New Mexico State, Idaho*, Utah State*, Nevada*, Boise State* (non-football: Western Kentucky, South Alabama, Little Rock, New Orleans)
In 2005 C-USA loses DePaul, Marquette, Saint Louis, Charlotte, Cincinnati, Louisville, South Florida, and football-affiliate Army. East Carolina becomes a full member. UCF and Marshall join for all sports. The Sun Belt adds FAU and FIU to go to 12 in football (Troy and ULM remain independent).
In 2009, Troy joins the Sun Belt for all sports, and WKU joins in football, giving the Sun Belt 14 in football and 15 in basketball. New Orleans eventually bows out putting the Sun Belt at 14/14.
The WAC replaces Utah and BYU with Nevada and Boise State in 2011. TCU goes from Conference USA to the Big 12, and is replaced by Louisiana Tech. The Sun Belt responds by adding Louisiana-Monroe (previously independent), Georgia State, and South Alabama becomes a full member.
In 2013, C-USA loses Houston, Memphis, SMU, and UCF. They are replaced by FAU, FIU, Middle Tennessee, and North Texas of the Sun Belt. The Sun Belt responds with Georgia Southern and App State to get down to 12 in football.
In 2014, C-USA replaces Tulsa with WKU, and the Sun Belt replaces WKU with Texas State and non-football Texas-Arlington to go to 12/14. C-USA also loses East Carolina and Tulane; they are replaced by UTSA and Old Dominion.
C-USA 2014:
West - Louisiana Tech, North Texas, Rice, UTSA, USM, UAB
East - Marshall, FAU, FIU, MTSU, WKU, ODU
WAC 2014
Pacific - San Diego State, San Jose State, Fresno State, UNLV, Nevada, Hawaii*
Mountain - Boise State Wyoming, Colorado State, Air Force, New Mexico, UTEP
Sun Belt 2014:
West - Texas State, Louisiana-Monroe, Louisiana-Lafayette, New Mexico State, Idaho*, Utah State*
East - Arkansas State, South Alabama, Troy, Georgia State, Georgia Southern, App State
(Non-football: Texas-Arlington, Little Rock)
Idaho and Utah State eventually end their football affiliation with the Sun Belt and are replaced by Coastal Carolina and Charlotte in 2018.
The moves for 2023 probably play out very differently.