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NCAA Tournament Superlatives
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jimrtex Offline
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NCAA Tournament Superlatives
Edit: (1/27/2023): Added UAPB whose sole appearance in 2010 was vacated)
Edit: Adjust count for schools that did not play during some seasons in WWII or did not play in 2020-2021. Since there was no NCAA tournament in 2020, that season is excluded for all schools.

There are 39 current DI schools that have never played in the NCAA Tournament, including Cal Baptist and North Alabama who have now completed their transition to Division I.

Four schools were eligible for the inaugural 1939 tournament and every tournament since, but have yet to play in the NCAA tournament.

83 Army
83 St. Francis (Brooklyn)
83 William & Mary
82 The Citadel (played only 5 games in 1943-1944)

There have been 83 tournaments from 1939 through 2022 (excluding 2020). Thus these four schools will be having their 84th opportunity to participate in 2023.

Army was selected in 1968, but then coach Bobby Knight declined the bid believing that Army would do better in the NIT. The captain of that team was Mike Krzyzewski. Both Knight and Krzyzewski would go on to have some success at other schools.

69 Maine
67 New Hampshire
65 Denver

Maine, New Hampshire, and Denver were among the NCAA members in 1939, are currently Division I members, have not participated in an NCAA tournament, but were not continuously eligible.

The NCAA recognizes Division I membership from 1948, and states that Maine and New Hampshire became DI in 1962. But since they were eligible in 1939 I believe the years from 1939 through 1947 should be credited to them (sports-reference.com credits them with being major universities in that period. For Maine I have counted 60 seasons since 1962, plus nine between 1939 and 1947. New Hampshire apparently did not field a team for two years during WWII so I only credited them with seven seasons between 1939 and 1947.

Denver left Division I in 1981 and returned in 1999. I have omitted 18 seasons from their futility.

The following count only the years since they elevated to Division I.

53 UTRGV (since 1969 as Pan American College)
50 Stetson
44 Grambling
41 Maryland Eastern Shore (UMES) (Since 1982, plus 1974-1975, no 2020-2021)
41 Youngstown State (since 1982, plus 1948)
40 Bethune-Cookman (did not play 2020-2021 season).
40 Western Illinois
36 Chicago State (did not play 2020-21 season)
32 Missouri-Kansas City
30 Sacramento State
29 Tennessee-Martin
23 Quinnipiac
23 Arkansas-Pine Bluff (appearance in 2010 vacated)
22 Elon
22 High Point
22 Sacred Heart
20 UC Riverside
19 Northern Colorado (2008-, plus 1974-1978; appearance in 2011 vacated)
19 Purdue Fort Wayne (formerly IUPU Fort Wayne)
12 Kennesaw State
12 NJIT
12 Utah Valley
11 Central Arkansas
10 South Carolina Upstate
9 Presbyterian
9 Southern Illinois-Edwardsville (SIUE)
9 South Dakota
7 Nebraska-Omaha
4 Incarnate Word
4 UMass-Lowell
0 Cal Baptist
0 North Alabama
(This post was last modified: 01-27-2023 01:33 AM by jimrtex.)
12-28-2022 09:01 PM
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jimrtex Offline
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RE: NCAA Torunament Superlatives
(12-28-2022 09:01 PM)jimrtex Wrote:  There are 38 current DI schools that have never played in the NCAA Tournament, including Cal Baptist and North Alabama who have now completed their transition to Division I.

Four schools were eligible for the inaugural 1939 tournament and every tournament since, but have yet to play in the NCAA tournament.

83 Army
83 St. Francis (Brooklyn)
83 The Citadel
83 William & Mary

There have been 83 tournaments from 1939 through 2022 (excluding 2020). Thus these four schools will be having their 84th opportunity to participate in 2023.

Army was selected in 1968, but then coach Bobby Knight declined the bid believing that Army would do better in the NIT. The captain of that team was Mike Krzyzewski. Both Knight and Krzyzewski would go on to have some success at other schools.

69 Maine
67 New Hampshire
65 Denver

Maine, New Hampshire, and Denver were among the NCAA members in 1939, are currently Division I members, have not participated in an NCAA tournament, but were not continuously eligible.

The NCAA recognizes Division I membership from 1948, and states that Maine and New Hampshire became DI in 1962. But since they were eligible in 1939 I believe the years from 1939 through 1947 should be credited to them (sports-reference.com credits them with being major universities in that period. For Maine I have counted 60 seasons since 1962, plus nine between 1939 and 1947. New Hampshire apparently did not field a team for two years during WWII so I only credited them with seven seasons between 1939 and 1947.

Denver left Division I in 1981 and returned in 1999. I have omitted 18 seasons from their futility.

The following count only the years since they elevated to Division I.

53 UTRGV (since 1969 as Pan American College)
50 Stetson
44 Grambling
42 Maryland Eastern Shore (UMES) (Since 1982, plus 1974-1975)
41 Bethune-Cookman
41 Youngstown State (since 1982, plus 1948)
40 Western Illinois
37 Chicago State
32 Missouri-Kansas City
30 Sacramento State
29 Tennessee-Martin
23 Quinnipiac
22 Elon
22 High Point
22 Sacred Heart
20 UC Riverside
19 Northern Colorado (2008-, plus 1974-1978; appearance in 2011 vacated)
19 Purdue Fort Wayne (formerly IUPU Fort Wayne)
12 Kennesaw State
12 NJIT
12 Utah Valley
11 Central Arkansas
10 South Carolina Upstate
9 Presbyterian
9 Southern Illinois-Edwardsville (SIUE)
9 South Dakota
7 Nebraska-Omaha
4 Incarnate Word
4 UMass-Lowell
0 Cal Baptist
0 North Alabama
teamrankings.com makes predictions based on their team ratings, current results and future schedules. It is unlikely that any of the never-beens will be in the NCAA tournament unless they secure an AQ by winning their conference tournament. The chances below are the probability that the team will win their conference tournament.

46.9% UMass Lowell
31.3% SIUE
28.1% Purdue Fort Wayne
27.3% Youngstown State
22.9% Grambling
17.5% UT-Martin
14.3% Sacred Heart
12.8% UC Riverside
12.5% St. Francis Brooklyn
10.3% Utah Valley
8.7% Quinnipiac
8.3% High Point
7.7% Maryland Eastern Shore
7.2% Sacramento State
5.3% Northern Colorado
5.0% Kennesaw State
(27.7% collectively for 23 schools with less than 5% chance of winning their conference tournament).

Cumulative percentage for all 38 schools 293.8%, so the mean estimate is that roughly three schools will qualify for their first tournament. Next year only Merrimack will join Division I, which would result in 36 never-beens.
12-29-2022 12:26 PM
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BePcr07 Offline
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RE: NCAA Torunament Superlatives
Nelson Mandela Effect. I'm convinced some of these schools have made the tournament.
12-29-2022 12:41 PM
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jimrtex Offline
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RE: NCAA Tournament Superlatives
The NCAA Tournament expanded to 64 teams in 1985. This followed a rapid increase from 32 teams in 1975 when multiple teams qualified per tournament, making it easier for schools to qualify. Despite this, eleven schools that qualified prior to 1985, have not done so since then.

Last appearance prior to the "modern" era.

1959 Dartmouth
1963 Tennessee Tech
1968 Columbia
1968 Bowling Green
1969 Seattle (not in DI 1981-2012)
1970 Rice
1977 Duquesne
1977 VMI
1980 Furman
1980 Toledo
1984 Houston Christian (as Houston Baptist, not in DI 1990-2011)

Two teams have a fair chance of qualifying in 2023:

27.5% Furman
24.5% Toledo

One a remote chance:

5.1% Seattle

The remaining 8 teams have a collective 10.0% chance of winning their conference tournament.

If the players from that 1959 Dartmouth team returned for a reunion they would be in their mid-80s. Two notable players on that 1959 team were Dave Gavitt, who would coach at Dartmouth and Providence and essentially founded the Big East; and Rudy "Roughouse Rudy" LaRusso who would go on to have a 10-season NBA career, five-time all-star, with a career average of 15.6 PPG and 9.4 RPG).

The Dartmouth team in 1959 lost in the first round to a Jerry West-led West Virginia team that ended up losing the final to California.
12-29-2022 02:48 PM
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jimrtex Offline
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RE: NCAA Tournament Superlatives
(12-29-2022 12:41 PM)BePcr07 Wrote:  Nelson Mandela Effect. I'm convinced some of these schools have made the tournament.
Iona has played in 14 tournaments and has never won a game. Their single win in 1980 was vacated.
12-31-2022 10:39 AM
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jimrtex Offline
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RE: NCAA Tournament Superlatives
Edit: Added Louisiana-Monroe and Hartford

81 schools have played in the tournament, but have yet to win a tournament game.

83 (7) Nebraska has played 83 seasons, participated in 7 tournaments, but have yet to win a game. The Huskers are the only P6 school in this category.

83 (5) Colgate
83 (4) Lafayette

82 (2) Brown was one of the 8 teams in the initial tournament in 1939. They were thus among the Elite 8. They lost their quarterfinal game 30-42. Brown did not play in the 2020-2021 season, so they have one fewer season than the Top Three.

71 (8) Eastern Kentucky

69 (3) San Jose State

68 (14) Iona has the most appearances of any winless team. They did have a win in the 1980 tournament that was vacated and would bring their appearance count to 15. Jimmy Valvano was the coach in 1980.

68 (2) Portland
66 (1) St. Francis (PA)
65 (4) Montana State

64 (6) Delaware
64 (4) Air Force
57 (7) LIU
57 (3) Fairfield
57 (2) East Carolina

55 (4) Hofstra
55 (3) American
54 (3) Northern Illinois
54 (3) Rider
53 (2) Northern Arizona

53 (1) UT Arlington
51 (1) Arkansas State
50 (8) Boise State
50 (3) Southern Miss
49 (2) Samford

48 (7) Louisiana-Monroe
48 (5) South Carolina State
48 (3) Appalachian State
48 (3) Georgia Southern
48 (2) McNeese State

48 (1) Delaware State
47 (2) Howard
47 (1) Charleston Southern
45 (1) Wagner
45 (1) Western Carolina

44 (5) Akron
44 (3) Jackson State
44 (2) Tennessee State
44 (1) Campbell
43 (2) Loyola Maryland

42 (5) Mississippi Valley State
42 (2) Towson
41 (2) Nicholls
41 (2) Prairie View
40 (3) UIC

40 (2) Eastern Illinois
40 (2) Marist
40 (1) Southeast Louisiana
39 (4) Alabama State
38 (3) Eastern Washington

37 (2) Morgan State
37 (2) Texas State
37 (1) Hartford
35 (4) Coastal Carolina
35 (3) Central Connecticut

35 (2) Sam Houston
34 (1) FIU
33 (1) Southern Utah
32 (2) Portland State
31 (2) CSUN

30 (4) UNC Greensboro
30 (1) Southeast Missouri State
28 (2) Troy
28 (1) Florida Atlantic
26 (2) Jacksonville State

23 (1) IUPUI
22 (1) Alabama A&M
22 (1) Stony Brook
20 (2) A&M-Corpus Christi
20 (1) Binghamton

19 (1) Gardner-Webb
18 (1) Lipscomb
14 (1) Longwood
13 (6) South Dakota State
12 (1) North Florida

11 (1) CSU Bakersfield
10 (4) N.C. Central
9 (1) Bryant
9 (1) North Dakota
6 (2) Northern Kentucky

4 (1) Grand Canyon
(This post was last modified: 02-02-2023 05:28 AM by jimrtex.)
12-31-2022 02:53 PM
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jimrtex Offline
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RE: NCAA Tournament Superlatives
Of the 80 teams yet to win a tournament game, many have a credible chance of winning their conference tournament and gaining the AQ for the NCAA tournament. This of course will not guarantee them a win and most will get low seeds and lose.

Overall, the mean expectation (based of forecasts by teamrankings.com) is that 7.21 of these team will win their conference tournament and qualify for for NCAA tournament.

There is an mean expectation that 3.02 teams will qualify for their first tournament. Those that qualify for their first tournament will of course be seeking their first win. Combining the two, 10 teams will be playing for their first win.

Teams seeded 12 to 16 historically have won about 15% of their first round games. So we might expect 1.5 first time winners.

Some of these teams may qualify for a play-in for a 16 seed. Since we estimate that 10 of these teams will have one of the 22 12-16 seeds, we can estimate that 1.8 will play in a play-in, where they will have a 50% chance of a win or 0.9 winners.

Boise State has a reasonable chance of qualifying as an at-large based on their current rankings in Massey (38), Sagarin (35), and NCAA NET (25). With those rankings they would expect a #8 or #9 seed, and have a 50% chance of winning their first round game.

Totalling: 1.5 first-time winners in first round; 0.9 first-time winners in play-in, and 0.5 chance of win by Boise State, there is a mean expectation of 2.9 first time winners.

In 2022, there were 12 teams seeking their first win. Two of them did win: Wright State in a play-in, and St. Peter's in the first (and 2nd and 3rd rounds).

Teams win-less in NCAA tournament play with 10% or greater chance of winning conference tournament to secure AQ.

60.6% Colgate (Patriot) (C, favored to win conference; T, favored to win conference tournament).
57.8% Iona (MAAC) (C, T) (S 77, Sagarin ranking, M 92, N 54, NCAA Net)
34.2% Sam Houston (WAC) (T) (M 89, N 57)
32.2% Montana State (Big Sky) (T)
32.7% Longwood (Bis South) (C, T)

31.3% Florida Atlantic (CUSA) (C, T) (S 68, M 48, N 14)
30.3% A&M-Corpus Christi (Southland) (C, T)
29.6% N.C. Central (MEAC)
25.6% Nicholls (Southland)
21.3% Eastern Washington (Big Sky) ©

20.9% Gardner-Webb (Big South)
19.9% Grand Canyon (WAC) (S 93, M 92, N 91)
19.5% St. Francis (PA) (NEC) ©
19.4% Wagner (NEC)
19.4% UNC Greensboro (SoCon)

18.6% Morgan State (MEAC)
17.9% Bryant (AmE)
17.9% Southern Utah (WAC)
16.3% Hofstra (CAA)
15.6% American (Patriot)

15.3% South Dakota State (Summit)
14.2% Southeast Missouri State (OVC)
14.1% Boise State (MtW) (S 35, M 38, N 25)
13.9% Akron (MAC)
13.6% Towson (CAA)

11.5% Portland State (Big Sky)
11.0% Samford
10.6% Southern Miss (Sun Belt) (N 74)
10.1% Central Connecticut (NEC)
10.1% Southeast Louisiana (Southland)
01-14-2023 11:43 AM
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jimrtex Offline
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RE: NCAA Tournament Superlatives
11 Schools have not played in the tournament in the modern era (since the tournament expanded to 64 teams in 1985), yet had played in the tournament prior to 1984. Only schools that are currently Division I are included.

Dartmouth (Ivy) last played in 1959. They have 7 tournaments: 1941, 42, 43, 44, 56, 58, and 59. Remarkably they were 10-7 over that period when they often played in 3rd place games.

Their best performance was in 1944, when they lost the national final in OT 40-42 to Utah.

Highlight film 1944 NCAA national championship Utah 42 Dartmouth 40

Utah is in the light uniforms, Dartmouth in the dark (green?).

Tennessee Tech (OVC) last played in 1963. They have two tournaments: 1958 and 1963, losing in the first round (of 32) both years. Not only are they seeking their first tournament in 60 years, they are seeking their first tournament win. Their most remarkable performance was in 1963 losing 42-111 in the first round to eventual champion Loyola (Chicago).

Bowling Green (MAC) last played in 1968. They have four appearances: 1959, 62, 63, and 68. Their only win came in 1963 when they defeated Notre Dame in the first round.

Columbia (Ivy) last played in 1968. They have three tournaments: 1948, 51, and 68. Their only wins came in 1968 when they defeated La Salle in the first round to advance to the Sweet 16. They got a second win in the regional 3rd place game.

Seattle (Independent, at the time) last played in 1969. Seattle played in 11 tournaments: 1953, 54, 55, 56, 58, 61, 62, 63, 64, 67, and 69. Their best performance was in 1958, when led by Elgin Baylor they lost the championship game to Kentucky.

Seattle had gone out to a 29-18 lead in the first half before going into a stall trying to protect Baylor who had three fouls. The Chieftans had a 60-58 lead in the second half, before Kentucky went on a 24-14 run to secure a 84-72 victory.

Seattle dropped to the NAIA in 1980, and progressed through NCAA DIII and DII before returning to DI in 2013.

Rice (SWC, at the time) last played in 1970. Rice played in four tournaments: 1940, 42, 54, and 70. Rice has never won in championship play. Their sole wins were in regional 3rd place games in 1940 and 1954.

Duquesne (Independent, ECBL* in 1977) in 1977. Duquesne played in five tournaments: 1940, 52, 69, 71, and 77. Duquesne won their first game in 1940, 1952, and 1969. The win in 1940 secured a spot in the Final Four of an eight-team field. The win in 1969 moved Duquesne into the Sweet 16, where they won an additional game for a 3rd place regional finish.

ECBL* the Eastern Collegiate Basketball League was formed in 1976-77, became the Eastern Athletic Association when it added additional sports, and eventually the Atlantic 10. Duquesne along with George Washington and UMass are the only remaining charter members.

VMI (SoCon) in 1977. VMI played in three tournaments: 1964, 76, and 77. Their best performance was in 1976 when they won two games to advance to the Elite 8.

Toledo (MAC) in 1980. Toledo played in four tournaments: 1954, 67, 79, and 80. Their sole win was a 74-72 win over Iowa in 1979 that advanced them to the Sweet 16.

Furman (SoCon) in 1980. Furman played in six tournaments: 1971, 73, 74, 75, 78, and 80. Their sole win was a 1974, 75-67 victory over in-state rival South Carolina.

Houston Christian University (Trans America Athletic Conference, at the time) in 1984. Houston Christian University changed its name from Houston Baptist University (HBU) before the 2022-23 season. HBU played in one tournament: 1984, where they lost a play-in contest to Alcorn State 60-79. The tournament in 1984 had 53 entrants, with the lowest 10 seeds playing to complete a field of 48 (the tournament had both play-ins and byes).

HBU dropped down to NAIA for 22 seasons between 1990 and 2012.
01-16-2023 10:42 AM
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Midwestan Offline
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RE: NCAA Tournament Superlatives
Thanks for dropping all the knowledge on this post, jimrtex! Great stuff!
01-17-2023 05:58 PM
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RE: NCAA Tournament Superlatives
Conference rankings in modern era (1985+) based on appearance divided by number of teams. Vacated appearances are excluded.

Power 6

19.1 191/12 Big 12
18.3 275/15 ACC
17.1 188/11 Big East
16.8 235/14 B1G
14.9 209/14 SEC
13.6 163/12 PAC-12

Mid-Majors

10.3 113/11 AAC
7.8 78/10 WCC
7.5 82/11 MtW
6.9 103/15 A10
6.4 77/12 MVC
5.8 64/11 CUSA

One-Bid

4.5 36/8 Ivy
4.3 43/10 Patriot
4.4 44/10 MAAC
3.8 50/13 CAA
3.8 45/12 MAAC
3.7 52/14 Sun Belt
3.2 32/10 SoCon
3.2 38/12 SWAC
3.0 30/10 Big Sky
2.8 31/11 Horizon

Transitory

2.5 20/8 MEAC
2.2 22/10 Big South
2.2 24/11 Big West
1.9 17/9 American East
1.8 16/9 NEC
1.7 17/10 Southland
1.7 22/13 WAC
1.5 21/14 ASUN
1.5 15/10 Summit
1.3 13/10 OVC

If we divide appearances by 37 seasons, then the Power 6 have averaged at least 4 appearances per tournament. Collectively, they have 36.78 teams per tournament.

The Mid-Majors have averaged two or more appearances (or nearly so for CUSA) per tournament. Collectively they have 13.97 teams per tournament.

The One-Bid conferences have around one berth per tournament (their AQ). They also have some stability so they have not had tournament teams poached. These 10 conferences have has 10.84 teams per tournament (i.e. collectively they have slightly less than one at-large per torunament).

The transitory conferences have much fewer than one team per tournament, despite having an AQ. They have had their better teams poached or brought in new teams from DII (I included transitioning teams in the divisor). Collectively, the ten conferences have had 5.05 teams per tournament.
01-26-2023 04:07 AM
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RE: NCAA Tournament Superlatives
Round of 32

There are 19 schools whose only win in the modern era (1985+) was in a play-in game. These schools are seeking to advance from the first round proper to Round of 32.

James Madison (2 NCAAT, 2013 last appearance, 2013 Play-in win) NET 83, AQ 28.0%

UC Davis (1, 2017, 2017) NET 156, AQ 6.1%
Radford (3, 2018, 2018) NET 158, AQ 21.0%
UNC Asheville (4, 2016, (2003, 2011)) NET 178, AQ 18.3%
St. Bonaventure (4, 2021, 2018) NET 186, AQ 1.9%
Wright State (4, 2022, 2022) NET 228, AQ 5.5%

Niagara (2, 2007, 2007) NET 241, AQ 2.9%
Robert Morris (2, 2015, 2015) NET 252, AQ 2.3%
Oakland (3, 2011, 2005) NET 257, AQ 3.0%
Mt. Saint Mary's (6, 2021, (2008, 2017)) NET 268, AQ 1.2%
NC A&T (7, 2013, 2013) NET 269, AQ 0.8%

Cal Poly (1, 2014, 2014) NET 279, AQ 0.5%
Texas Southern (10, 2022, (2018, 2021, 2022) NET 305, AQ 8.4%
Fairleigh Dickinson (6, 2019, 2019) NET 306, AQ 15.2%)
UTSA (4, 2011, 2011) NET 326, AQ 0.0%
Holy Cross (6, 2016, 2016) NET 328, AQ 0.3%

Albany (5, 2015, 2014) NET 335, AQ 0.1%
Florida A&M (3, 2007, 2004) NET 358, AQ 0.1%
Monmouth (4, 2006, 2006) NET 359, AQ 0.0%

The odds of an AQ are based on teamrankings.com odds of winning their conference tournament. It is unlikely any of these schools will get an at-large bid.

Collectively, the mean expectation is that 1.16 of these teams will participate in the tournament. They will then be given a lower seed (12-16), which has about a 15% chance of winning a first round game.

Those with the best chances are James Madison, Radford, and UNC Asheville which have a credible chance of getting out of their conference and then gaining a 12 or 13 bid.
01-26-2023 01:57 PM
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RE: NCAA Tournament Superlatives
I'm surprised at Youngstown St's drought.
01-26-2023 03:11 PM
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darkdragon99 Offline
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RE: NCAA Tournament Superlatives
Very intrigued by the 3 "hockey schools" (ME, VT, UNH) and how Vermont has figured out how to win and the other 2 havent. Vermont's facilities are arguably worse than the other two's as well.
01-26-2023 05:21 PM
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RE: NCAA Tournament Superlatives
Fascinating info (just seeing). Major thanks to jimrtex for posting.
01-26-2023 05:25 PM
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jimrtex Offline
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RE: NCAA Tournament Superlatives
(01-26-2023 03:11 PM)Bronco14 Wrote:  I'm surprised at Youngstown St's drought.
They have had some horrible stretches of seasons without 10 wins. One of 85 wins over 10 seasons (8.5 per season) and 46 over 7 seasons (6.6 per season). They have never had a DI conference title in the OVC, MCC (Summit), and now Horizon.

This season is a real outlier. They may or may not be able to hold on for an AQ. They have a good (for the Horizon) NET and Sagarin rating based on OOC play, which says they should do well in conference-play and the tournament, but that has not held up as they are now in a 3-way tie for third. They are sort of like Alabama or Texas in football (coulda, woulda, shoulda, been a contender).
01-27-2023 02:52 AM
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RE: NCAA Tournament Superlatives
(01-26-2023 05:21 PM)darkdragon99 Wrote:  Very intrigued by the 3 "hockey schools" (ME, VT, UNH) and how Vermont has figured out how to win and the other 2 havent. Vermont's facilities are arguably worse than the other two's as well.
I looked at Vermont's roster and its from all over. They have four from the transfer portal: West Carolina, Bellarmine, Rhode Island, and Delaware. Maybe there is an advantage to not having a football team.
01-27-2023 12:08 PM
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RE: NCAA Tournament Superlatives
First Tournament Odds 1/29/2023

With about one month before the conference tournaments the mean expectation is that 2.72 schools will qualify for their first NCAAT. The odds of two schools is slightly greater than 3 schools, but there is a long tail on the upside, with a 27.6% chance of four or more. The 39 schools are from 17 conferences plus independent Chicago State, so theoretically 17 schools could win their conference tournament and the AQ.

0 4.1%
1 15.7%
2 26.4%
3 26.1%
4 16.9%
5 7.6%
6 2.4%
7 0.6%
8 0.1%

We can count Chicago State out since they can only qualify as an at-large. and they will only be 14-17 if they win their final 8 games.

The next two at risk are Central Arkansas and Bethune-Cookman since the ASUN and SWAC exclude the bottom four teams from the conference tournament. Most conferences include all schools in the tournament, so there is still a chance for a lucky run in the tournament.

Most likely to qualify for the first time:

Youngstown State (Horizon): 32.6%
UMass-Lowell (America East): 28.5%
Grambling (SWAC): 26.2%
UT-Martin (OVC): 21.2%
Utah Valley (WAC): 19.2%
Quinnipiac (MAAC): 17.9%
SIUE (OVC): 16.4%
Kennesaw State (ASUN): 14.7%
Maryland-Eastern Shore (MEAC) 12.3%
Sacred Heart (NEC): 10.7%
Fort Wayne (Horizon): 10.9%
01-29-2023 03:43 PM
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jimrtex Offline
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RE: NCAA Tournament Superlatives
Best Conference Performance in Modern Era (1985+)

1. ACC - 12 Championships (Duke 1991, 92, 2001, 10, 15; UNC 1993, 2005, 2009, 2017; Virginia 2019; Syracuse 2003; Louisville 1986) Louisville 2013 vacated.

2. BEast - 7 Championships (UConn 1999, 04, 11, 14; Villanova 1985, 2016, 18)

3. SEC - 6 Championships (Kentucky 1996, 98, 2012; Florida 2006, 07; Arkansas 1994)

4. BXII - 4 Championships (Kansas 1988, 2008, 22; Baylor 2021)

5. BIG - 4 Championships (Maryland 2002; Michigan State 2000; Michigan 1989; Indiana 1987)

6. PAC-12 - 2 Championships (Arizona 1997; UCLA 1995)

7. MtW - 1 Championship (UNLV 1990)

8. WCC - 2 Finals (Gonzaga 2017, 21)

9. AAC - 3 Final Fours (Houston 2021; Wichita State 2013; Cincinnati 1992)

10. A-10 - 3 Final Fours (Loyola Chicago 2018; VCU 2011; George Mason 2006) 1996 UMass Final Four Vacated.

11. MAAC - 1 Elite 8 (St. Peter's 2022)

12. MAC - 1 Elite 8 (Kent State 2002)

13. Patriot - 1 Elite 8 (Navy 1986)

14. MVC - 6 Sweet 16's (Southern Illinois 2002, 07; Northern Iowa 2010; Bradley 2006; Missouri State 1999; Valparaiso 1998)

15. CUSA - 5 Sweet 16's (Western Kentucky 1993, 2008; UAB 2004; UTEP 1992; Louisiana Tech 1985)

16. Horizon - 2 Sweet 16's (Milwaukee 2006; Cleveland State 1986)

17. Summit - 1 Sweet 16 (Oral Roberts 2021)

18. ASUN - 1 Sweet 16 (FGCU 2013)

19. Ivy - 1 Sweet 16 (Cornell 2010)

20. SoCon - 1 Sweet 16 (Chattanooga 1997)

21. Sun Belt - 8 Second Round's (Old Dominion 1986, 95, 2010; Georgia State 2001, 15; Marshall 2018; Louisiana 1992; South Alabama 1989)

22. CAA - 4 Second Round's (UNCW 2002; Hampton 2001; Charleston 1997; Drexel 1996)

23. Big West - 3 Second Round's (Cal-Irvine 2019; Hawaii 2016; UCSB 1990)

24. WAC - 3 Second Round's (NMSU 2022; Abilene Christian 2021; SFA 2014)

25. OVC - 3 Second Round's (UALR 1989, 2016; Morehead State 2011)

26. Big Sky - 3 Second Round's (Weber State 1995, 99; Montana 2006)

27. America East - 2 Second Round's (UMBC 2018; Vermont 2005)

28. MEAC - 2 Second Round's (Norfolk State 2012; Coppin State 1997)

29. Southland - 2 Second Round's (Northwestern State (LA) 2006; New Orleans 1987)

30. Big South - 1 Second Round (Winthrop 2007)

31. SWAC - 1 Second Round (Southern 1993)

32. NEC - 1 Play-in Win (Fairleigh Dickinson 2019)
(This post was last modified: 01-31-2023 11:05 PM by jimrtex.)
01-31-2023 04:29 PM
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Erictelevision Offline
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RE: NCAA Tournament Superlatives
Umass made the F4 in 1995, though it was vacated
01-31-2023 05:20 PM
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C2__ Offline
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Post: #20
RE: NCAA Tournament Superlatives
1996
01-31-2023 05:23 PM
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