(12-22-2022 02:02 PM)DavidSt Wrote: (12-22-2022 01:58 PM)Sicembear11 Wrote: (12-22-2022 10:48 AM)Frank the Tank Wrote: (12-20-2022 05:44 PM)jacksfan29! Wrote: Stanford has been vocal, they will not participate in paying athletes as employees. If a ruling comes down forcing them to, I would not be surprised to see some schools drop all sports, at a minimum, FB would be gone.
The Big Ten was vocal about not paying players, too. That went totally out the window when the Alston ruling came down.
I don't get why there's this strain of thinking that some of the wealthiest and most powerful academic institutions in the country are going to drop FBS football because of player compensation while it's thought to be a given that much less wealthy and powerful P5 schools like, say, Iowa State or NC State will do everything they can to stay at the top level. Stanford wants an athletic department that has the elite of the elite in producing Olympians - they are NOT the Ivy League (much less D-III) model at all. For that to continue, having FBS football is a de facto requirement to support that type of athletic department.
When push comes to shove, I believe that every single current FBS school - whether P5 or G5 - will pay up. No one is *willingly* dropping levels. This culling of the herd won't happen (or at the most, it's going to be a picking off of a couple of schools as opposed to a mass relegation scenario). We may all think that it's financially irrational, but schools from top to bottom are "pot committed" (to use a poker term) to the top level of athletics.
And yet, the most well endowed schools in the country (Ivy League) collectively chose to forego the paper chase of college athletics. They weren't the first, and they won't be the last.
Not every university will consider dropping down, but I could see a number of them doing it, especially if there are viable "fallback" options.
Stanford could very easily decide that they don't want to be involved in the paper chase anymore. They've got enough academics of that mindset to pull that off.
The southern private schools could form the Magnolia League and play each other ala the Ivy League.
That is the problem. All schools no matter what if they are in the Ivy League all the way down to the lower levels all could go on strike. They are now considered employees. These schools can not hide anymore behind Ivy League or D3.
Out of all people, DavidSt actually gets the larger point! That is, why should we assume that "opting out" is even a choice for anyone?
It's very clear that there's no "opt out" for NIL compensation. That's third party money and absolutely no one - not Alabama, not Stanford, not Harvard, not MIT, not the University of Chicago - has any legal ability to prevent it. This doesn't matter whether you're playing SEC, Ivy League, Division III, or club football.
If/when players are deemed to be employees of the university... then they're employees that need to be paid whether you want to call them employees or not. If Stanford has a football team with requirements (such as needing to arrive at practice at a certain place and time and coming to games at a certain place and time) that would deem someone to be an employee... then they ARE an employee.
In a non-sports example, Burger King can't come out and say, "We don't like how McDonald's has corporatized the fast food restaurant industry for the love of profit. We want people here that have a pure love of cooking meals. Therefore, we're opting out of paying wages to the people that staff our kitchens. These people aren't employees, but rather people that want to share their talents for the good of the community." Hopefully, everyone realizes that this is illegal.
Well, it's the same thing with college sports. It doesn't matter what a *school* calls an "employee", but rather what the *law* calls an "employee". If that person is an employee under the law, then they need to be paid at least minimum wage. Even schools at the Division III level may not be able to avoid that issue depending on how they run their respective sports teams.
So, "opting out" for Stanford could mean just straight up dropping all sports entirely. Schools may not have the ability to be just "halfway in/halfway out" on anything going forward.
As I've stated before, lots of people (from Jim Delany to Jack Swarbrick) have talked a good game about not wanting to go for a pay-for-play model... but then when entities are faced with the choice of giving up money and power, they all fall in line to retain their money and power.
Put aside Stanford football and basketball for a moment. Do we really think Stanford wants to give up enrolling super-elite scholar-athletes like Katie Ledecky and Tiger Woods? Do we really think Stanford wants to stop enrolling athletes that win Olympic medals at a rate that's larger than all but a handful of entire *countries*?
Ultimately, I believe that they'll do what they need to do to stay at the top level. It may not be a choice between "opting out" to drop down a level or staying at the top level, but rather staying at the top level or dropping sports *entirely*.