(12-16-2022 11:42 AM)The Sicatoka Wrote: (12-15-2022 10:06 PM)DavidSt Wrote: North Dakota State could get an invite to the MWC if they lose members like the three top brands. NDSU, Montana and Montana State all could win the MWC over the others in there right now. The only ones that might challanged them are Air Force and Wyoming.
The question is: Will the MWC go north or south for members?
Demographics (potential students), media, weather, and geography all favor and suggest south (like into Texas). Call it the curse of being in a state that touches the 49th Parallel.
Should the MWC lose three (assume SDSU, BSU, UNLV), they become very binary (west cluster or mountain cluster). The mountain cluster is larger. For east west balance I'd see them go after CA or west coast schools interested (UCD, Sac).
West: SJSU, Fresno, Nevada
Mountain: USU, Wyo, CSU, USAFA, UNM
to address the question: Will the MWC go north or south for members?
depends on how many additional schools the PAC loses on top of USC & UCLA...
aPACalypse/aWACollapse scenarios modifications...
*Based on all things being equal...that the PAC & MWC return to 12...
IF PAC 12 - 2 Schools
THEN MWC - 2 (SDSU/Fresno) ===>
MWC 10 + CUSA 2 (NMST/UTEP) [south] = MWC 12
* NMST & UTEP ===> FBS
IF PAC 12 - 4 Schools
THEN MWC - 4 (SDSU/Fresno/SJSU/HI) ===>
MWC 8 + CUSA 2 (NMST/UTEP) [FBS] [south]
MWC 8 + BSC 2 (MN/MNST) [FCS] [north] = MWC 12
*MN/MNST matched pair
**FCS Callups
> SJST ---- CEFCU Stadium ------------------ (21,520)
*Smallest MWC stadium in current MWC membership...
> MN ------ Washington–Grizzly Stadium --- (25,203)
> MNST --- Bobcat Stadium ----------------- (20,767)
*May need to add at least 1.0K additional seats to be on par with smallest MWC stadium...[SJST --- CEFCU Stadium --- (21,520)]...
**Minimum 4.5K to reach 25K+ capacity mark...
IF PAC 12 - 6 Schools
THEN PAC 6 + MWC West 6 ===>
MWC Mtn 6 + CUSA 2 (UTEP/NMSU) [south]
MWC Mtn 6 +
BSC 4 (MN/MNST/Weber St./Sac. St.) [FCS] [north/mountain/west] = MWC 12
> Sac St. ------ Hornet Stadium ---- (21,195)
*May need to add at least 0.5K additional seats to be on par with smallest MWC stadium...[SJST --- CEFCU Stadium --- (21,520)]...
**Minimum 4.0K to reach 25K+ capacity mark...
> Weber St. --- Stewart Stadium --- (17,500)
*May need to add at least 4K additional seats to be on par with smallest MWC stadium...[SJST --- CEFCU Stadium --- (21,520)]...
**Minimum 7.5K to reach 25K capacity mark...