Teams with 1st Loss Week 13:
Ohio State

Teams with 2nd Loss Week 13:
Clemson
Coastal Carolina

Teams with 3rd Loss Week 13:
North Carolina
Cincinnati
Louisiana State
Oregon

Percent of Teams with 1st Loss of Season:
Week 0/1: 38.9% (51 of 131)
Week 2: 37.5% (30 of 80)
Week 3: 34% (17 of 50)
Week 4: 36.4% (12 of 33)
Week 5: 23.8% (5 of 21)
Week 6: 6.25% (1 of 16)
Week 7: 40% (6 of 15)
Week 8: 33.3% (3 of 9)
Week 9: 0% (0 of 6)
Week 10: 33.33% (2 of 6)
Week 11: 0% (0 of 4)
Week 12: 0% (0 of 4)
Week 13 25% (1 of 4)

Maximum number of Undefeated Teams at the End of the Regular Season:
3: TCU, Michigan, Georgia
-No changes this week. We had our last game between undefeated teams of the regular season with Ohio State losing to Michigan. We can still have up to two games between undefeated teams in the playoff bowls/national championship.

Week 13 Thoughts:
-And just like that, the season is done for around half of all teams. As always ,it goes too fast.

-In our game of undefeated teams Ohio State got beat fairly badly by Michigan for the 2nd year in a row. This likely puts Michigan in even with a loss next week. The Game not being close might hurt the Buckeyes chances more than a close loss would have. A 1-loss TCU that loses a close game to Kansas State might be able to beat out the Buckeyes still (which would be the reverse of 2014). Also, a USC team team, that just beat Notre Dame, could theoretically make it interesting if they had two very close loses to the same team. I think a 2-loss USC would be a longer shot though.

-For the other side of the Big Ten divisions, Iowa couldn't come back vs. Nebraska, but Purdue did win against Indiana and will stay instate to play in their first conference championship game.

-Clemson lost to South Carolina (what a last two games they had) removing the last viable ACC team. North Carolina also lost, leaving both teams a bit disappointed going into the ACC Championship. The winner of their game will be the only ACC team in the New Years Six (the Orange Bowl) so a lot is still on the line.

-USC beat Notre Dame to stay with 1-loss and remain in control of their destiny. Win this week and they are in. From the other side, Oregon lost to instate rival Oregon State. With Washington and Utah both winning games, we had a 3 way tie for the 2nd spot which Utah takes. They are looking to be PAC-12 champs in back to back years. Again, there is a small chance USC could afford to lose very close and get in, but I wouldn't bet on it.

-LSU looks like the most shaky team to come from the SEC West in a long time losing to Texas A&M a week before the SEC Championship. With 3 losses, they are out of the conversation for the playoff bowls even if they manage to win this week. Georgia goes in as a large favorite and could probably get blown out 70-0 and still make the playoff.

-TCU won to keep control of their destiny and Kansas State won to set up a rematch between the two with the Big 12 title on the line. TCU will be in the CFP with a win and possibly a loss if it is not a blowout.

-Coastal Carolina lost removing out last 1-loss team from a Group of 5 conference. Tulane beat Cincinnati to move on to the American Championship. Cincinnati almost got back in with UCF struggling with South Florida, but UCF survived and will play a rematch with Tulane next week. UCF won last time, but this time, Tulane will host. This will be for the Cotton Bowl. UCF has made the New Years 6 twice so far, but Tulane has not.

Week 14 Thoughts:
-Every game is a conference championship game this week except for one rescheduled game. The rescheduled game is Akron at Buffalo on Friday. Buffalo will have six wins and be bowl eligible if they win.

-Big Ten Championship: Michigan vs. Purdue: Purdue is ecstatic to be here and will travel well instate. They win here, and they go to the Rose Bowl. Michigan is a large favorite though. Win this game and they are at worst a 2 seed. Lose and they are probably still in. Ohio State is better off if Michigan looks unstopable as it will better excuse their home loss.

PAC-12 Championship Utah vs. USC (Friday): USC is going for their first playoff bowl and to show the world they are back. Win this and they are in. Utah is going for their 2nd PAC-12 title in two years. Should they lose, they might or might not get the Rose Bowl (likely would go to highest ranked team after USC). USC is a 3 point favorite.

-Big 12 Championship: Kansas State vs. TCU: TCU is going to the playoff at no worse than #3 with a win. Lose it close and they have to hope to stay above Ohio State. Win or lose, Kansas State is likely going to the Sugar Bowl. TCU is a 2.5 point favorite.

-SEC Championship: LSU vs. Georgia: This is for the SEC Championship, but won't effect the playoff bowls outside of seeding. Georgia is in no matter what and LSU can't make it with 3 losses. LSU is still very much playing for a conference title and the Sugar Bowl spot though. It's quite possible they don't make a New Years 6 bowl game if they lose here (likely to Penn State's benefit). Georgia is a 17.5 point favorite.

-ACC Championship Clemson vs. North Carolina: This is for an Orange Bowl bid. While Clemson fell short of a CFP spot, they can win the ACC again this year after failing to last year. Winning the ACC, would be a big deal for North Carolina. North Carolina is a 7.5 point underdog.

-American Championship: UCF at Tulane: The winner here goes to the Cotton Bowl. UCF won this game at home earlier in the year, but has struggled some since with a loss to Navy and a scare vs. South Florida. Tulane is coming off a good victory at Cincinnati. Tulane is a 3 point favorite here.

-Conference USA Championship: North Texas at UTSA (Friday): This is the last conference championship game before the conference loses six members to the American (including these two). UTSA has done great finishing 10-2 before this game. North Texas lost this game earlier in the year, but it was close. UTSA is an 8.5 point favorite.

-MAC Championship: Toledo vs. Ohio: Toledo seemed to be the team to beat in the MAC, but lost their last two games. OU hasn't lost since early October. The Rockets are favored by 1.5 points.

-Sun Belt Championship: Coastal Carolina at Troy: Coastal Carolina was a 1-loss team until last week, but with injuries doesn't seem to be the same team. Troy is 10-2 and a 10 point favorite.

-Mountain West Championship: Fresno State at Boise State: This is a chance for Boise State to reestablish itself as the team to beat in the Mountain West. With the American about to take a hit, the Mountain West should be in a better position for the NY6 going forward, but they need someone to take a step up again. Boise State is a 3.5 point favorite.

-Next time I post, the bowls will be out!


Remaining Undefeated Teams: Big 12: 1, Big Ten: 1, SEC: 1, total: 3
Michigan
Texas Christian
Georgia


1-Loss Teams: ACC: 0, Big 12: 0, Big Ten: 1, PAC-12: 1, SEC: 0, Sun Belt: 0, total: 2
Southern California
Ohio State

2-loss Teams: ACC: 1, American: 1, Big 12: 0, Big Ten: 1, Conference USA: 1, PAC-12: 1, SEC: 2, Sun Belt: 3, total: 10
Penn State
UTSA
Washington
Alabama
Troy
South Alabama
Tulane
Tennessee
Clemson
Coastal Carolina

nice analysis