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2022-23 College Basketball General Thread
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rath v2.0 Offline
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Post: #321
RE: 2022-23 College Basketball General Thread
I know this will sound odd to you but Kenpom isn't a tried and true religion. What eyes see still matters.
 
(This post was last modified: Yesterday 11:36 PM by rath v2.0.)
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bearcatmark Online
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Post: #322
RE: 2022-23 College Basketball General Thread
(Yesterday 11:35 PM)rath v2.0 Wrote:  I know this will sound odd to you but Kenpom isn't a tried and true religion. What eyes see still matters.

I know it might sound odd to you but I watch a crap ton of basketball.

I've probably watched more Houston than any team outside of uc. My eyes are why I am sold on them. They have so many guys. They do everything pretty well. They finally have a lottery pick type dude.. that's an elite team.
 
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OKIcat Offline
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Post: #323
RE: 2022-23 College Basketball General Thread
(Yesterday 08:46 PM)Bear Catlett Wrote:  Normally I would laugh at O$U losing again to fall to 11-11... if only they didn't beat our a$$ by 28 earlier in the season.

Oh, I can still laugh. But I'm also tired of recent basketball losses to OSU, dating back to the home and home losses we saw under Cronin.
 
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Cataclysmo Online
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Post: #324
RE: 2022-23 College Basketball General Thread
The reason Kenpom and other efficiency metrics are useful is that over time, team records tend to converge to their efficiency. Kenpom is more useful than W/L records by far for that matter. The idea being that games are affected by variables out of a team's control like road games (worth ~1.0-2.5 ppg in a given year) and luck (the way refs call the game, the way shots fall in an arena, etc). So if a team plays 5 games that are all within 1 possession, that team could be 0-5 in those games, 2-3, 3-2, or 5-0 and all be similar in caliber, given that a team might get a 2 or 3 point advantage due to the factors mentioned.

Obviously, over time those game-to-game variances converge and you get a better picture of a team and their record. But in a 5 game stretch, the massive variances in college basketball could render some randomness to how the records play out.
 
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