(11-27-2022 02:26 PM)slhNavy91 Wrote: So -
CCG winner to the Cotton Bowl
CCG loser to the Military Bowl (vs ACC)
Cincinnati to the Fenway Bowl (vs ACC)
Houston to the Independence Bowl (vs...back up to Army, unfortunately, Sun Belt maybe in backup deal?)
SMU to the Armed Forces Bowl
ECU and Memphis...wild guesses...Memphis to Birmingham vsMAYBE SEC opponent; ECU to Gasparilla vs MAYBE SEC/ACC
Certainly way better than G4 fans have to think about.
Circling back to this...
I got the first four right, but I'm not going to sprain my shoulder patting myself on the back: those were pretty easy.
I said SMU to Armed Forces Bowl, reality said New Mexico Bowl. The Armed Forces Bowl was an actual contractual tie in for the American, but horse trades happen. In this case, AFB with its theme clearly wanted USAFA, and a 9 win AF probably helped keep Big12 in too. So we got the mwc end of NM Bowl. I would guess for SMU, an actual trip is better than just "travel" to FtWorth, and BYU is an attractive opponent. Wins all around.
On the last two, I got real excited at the ECU Mizzou Gasparilla rumors: good for ECU, the conference, and my guesses. But, I still think that Birmingham has some degree of pool priority or preference with the American. In Tampa, SEC ACC must have still been more attractive so ECU to BHam. I like the matchup - risk and reward.
Memphis then gets our one true "pool" matchup in the First Responders Bowl. Go beat the mwc!
So. NY6, plus two autonomy schhols, plus a next-year autonomy school in BYU (No, independent BYU has never been "Power" like ND, look at the governance, the CFP payouts, and the Orange Bowl contract).
mwc has their Kimmel Bowl matchup for champ, and that AF- Baylor matchup.
Sun Belt? Their champ wins a shot at an AAC inbound, and their other desirable matchups are, well, us.
CUSA? most of their bowl teams are heading here next year (again, I'm laughing at the propaganda that the AAC somehow got the less-accomplished teams in our rebuild) and they include the only CUSA matchups worth waking up for.
Bottom lines
- I'm not going to declare myself genius bowl prognosticator
- This proves the once and future P6. Of course our bowls aren't as good as any of the autonomy conferences, but the G4 are barely in sight in our rear view mirror and we're not slowing down