johnbragg
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RE: New concept/ maybe a little old concept in sports media
(09-25-2022 09:49 AM)bullet Wrote: (09-25-2022 07:08 AM)johnbragg Wrote: (09-25-2022 12:27 AM)Milwaukee Wrote: (09-25-2022 12:03 AM)Frank the Tank Wrote: The Big 12 has had this for its entire existence and still has it now.
It’s also the conference that got ripped completely apart.
If you're suggesting that the Big XII "got ripped completely apart" because it "has had this for its entire existence," or if you're suggesting that the former was caused by the latter, then that seems to come awfully close to suggest a "post hoc, ergo propter hoc" type of reasoning.
"post-hoc, ergo propter hoc" literally means "after, and therefore, because of."
Instead, it's possible that the two things have practically nothing to do with each other, but if you can come up with some reason for thinking they are related, give it a try.
Another point worth noting is that the idea sketched out by "Dawg" would be a very good one for certain conferences that don't have any better options, and may have been chosen by the Big 12 because it was the best option available to them. It's quite possible that the Big 12's location in the great plains region of the country, which has only recently become heavily populated due to the expansion of Texas, may have given them fewer media options than the eastern conferences had.
I think this strategy was adopted as an incentive to the "king programs", who would make a lot more money off of that Tier 3 content. It didn't take long at all after the Fox contract that allowed each school to hold one football game as T3 for most of the Big 12 to consolidate into a single Fox Sports Southwest media package (Oklahoma State, Texas TEch, TCU, Baylor)
Quote:One other point: It's a matter of opinion whether or not the Big 12 and PAC 12 have been "ripped apart." That sounds like a rather extreme way of putting it, since "ripped apart" usually suggests complete destruction - - and it's more than obvious that neither the Big 12 nor the PAC have been "destroyed." A less hyperbolic description is that they lost two of their top teams. That's not quite the same as being "ripped apart."
No, they lost 6 of their original 12 teams--not just UT and OU but Missouri, Nebraska, Colorado and Texas A&M. And, off the top of my head, all three teams that have top 25 or top 30 attendance. Everybody else is along for the ride, and without one of those anchor programs, the wheels are liable to fall off the bus, Big East Football Conference style.
I'm not sure that an all-for-one one-for-all media strategy would have done much to save the Big 12, either in the 2010-12 or 2021-22 cycles. But the record is pretty clear that it didn't. The Big 12 has been all-but-officially demoted from the ranks of major conferences. (On the other hand, so has the ACC, which had a different media strategy. And the AAC dropped from a pretty clear No. 6 to parity with the other G5 conferences. )
Quote:Finally, I believe the Big XII is one of the top 3 conferences, and that it will remain so, and as such, the Big XII has been incredibly successful and is likely to continue to be incredibly successful.
That's the sort of thing I like to evaluate by counting trophies. National Championships, CFP appearances, NY6 bowl bids, BCS bowl bids over the lifetime of the CFP, the BCS-CFP era, the lifespan of hte Big 12.
I'll work on that gradually, maybe, later today. But off the top of my head, I think Clemson and Florida State's accomplishments would put them ahead of Oklahoma and more-or-less nobody-else-in-the-Big-12 for 3rd place, at least in the CFP era.
But I could be wrong, I haven't counted. I'll let the data decide that.
EDIT 1: NAtional Championships since 1996, Big 12 Year One.
ACC 4, Big 12 3.5, PAC-12 1.5.
Quote:If their media approach has worked out for them, as part of their spectacular prosperity, then perhaps it should be adopted by other conferences that would benefit the most by trying out this strategy, as sketched about by "Dawg."
ACC isn't a very good example. If you looked at the BCS era, the ACC was 5-16 in BCS games--and two of those wins came in the final year of the BCS, 2013. From 1998-2012 the conferences win total of 3 was matched by West Virginia alone. Clemson has done real well. Their 6 playoff wins and one BCS bowl win exceeds that of the rest of the conference combined.
It's another data point. Do you look at that as "21 BCS appearances in 14 years" or "5 BCS bowl wins in 14 years"? And I don't know what we mean by "ACC isn't a very good example"--if ACC isn't the Big 12's competitor for #3, who is?
And, without looking it up yet, I feel like you could say the same about the Big 12 and Oklahoma--a big chunk of the Big 12's playoff, BCS, NY6 appearances/ wins are Oklahoma, with a sprinkling of others. My memory-impression could be wrong though, that's why I like to surf through the old results and count.
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