(09-06-2022 08:15 AM)bear2be2 Wrote: (09-06-2022 06:51 AM)dave108 Wrote: (09-04-2022 08:55 PM)bear2be2 Wrote: (09-04-2022 08:32 PM)Huan Wrote: (09-04-2022 07:56 PM)bear2be2 Wrote: Now that an expanded playoff will all but guarantee the Big 12's inclusion, why do we really want PAC-12 leftovers? None add significant TV value to the league and only Utah adds anything competitively.
I think it would be wise to move forward with the 12 for now. With our place at the table now secured, there's no real reason to poach the PAC-12 for programs that don't actually make the league any better.
Getting us positioned for the 4th broadcast time suggests we need 2-3 more western teams. This should get us more $
I can see this, but I'd only want two western schools. And I don't think the Four Corners schools have the same motivation to leave with the expanded playoff that they might otherwise. In fact, a school like Utah would be better off hanging around for as long as possible and feasting on weak PAC-12 competition.
If we could get Arizona and Utah, I'd like that. But I have no interest whatsoever in Colorado or Arizona State.
to me, the advantage in getting 2-4 PAC schools is that you'd basically be gutting the PAC. killing the competition does help, in the long run.
This mattered a lot more before the announcement of an expanded playoff. Now, there's really no reason that all existing conferences can't continue to exist largely as currently constituted. There's certainly less incentive to add more competition to your league, particularly if those schools don't add money to your TV contract.
it ALWAYS only mattered if the new members ADDED money
there is an argument to be made about "competition" for a place in the playoffs with more members in the conference, but if you limit the new members to ones that add money to a TV contract and you reduce the viability of the PAC 12 then you have done well for the Big 12
with 5 power conferences and 4 guaranteed conference winner places in the playoffs that still leaves 8 other spots......it is completely stupid to pretend that adding 100% of the garbage in the PAC 12 would help the Big 12 at all (as foolishly suggested above), but if you added AU, ASU, and Utah you are laving the PAC 12 with garbage and a couple of good teams (that are not even that good right now) and you are going to damage their TV contract most likely especially since they have to add at least one new member to even get to 8 and maintain the NCAA min number of teams
there is absolutely a factor to leaving a conference reduced to bad teams and teams that do not want to be there and damaging their recruiting and competitiveness
the PAC 12 is at 10 now, if the Big 12 takes AU, ASU, and Utah they are at 7 if they only add one more (G5) team they will be at 8 and will have to play 5 OOC games on the west coast which means a lot of MWC games or a lot of travel which is hard on their teams long term
if they go to 10 (adding 3 G5) then if they are stupid enough to play 9 conference games like the Big 12 has been stupid enough to do they will crush themselves because their remaining programs are all weaker than the Big 12 and they will suffer just like the Big 12 hoping that Oregon makes the playoffs or maybe UW gets in some day
they will miss the auto bid most years, will struggle to have more than one team in the top 12, they will have a poor media contract, they will have a guaranteed (totally STUPID) rematch of a CCG and they will probably miss the playoffs entirely most years
their conference will struggle to recruit and struggle to be competitive in an area with mostly bad recruiting, poor budgets, weak fan support, bad TV contracts, and an overall crappy conference
over time that leaves the Big 12 to fill in the pieces and take spots from them year in and year out
keeping them more viable means they will be there possibly competing stronger for one of the guaranteed 4 spots and the by week and they might be competitive for a second spot
the goal is to leave them with 1 to 3 G5 replacements, current weak teams, and to get them to missing an auto bid and a playoff bye and eventually to get them missing the playoffs all together