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RE: If the P2 go to 20, will the P5 expand to 100?
(08-15-2022 02:26 PM)Stugray2 Wrote:
Further expansion of the SEC and B1G will be driven by two factors, greater market access needs of the providers and size envy. You get to 20 by the B1G deeding to shore up it's western flank backed by media companies who want the west coast cities, where many of the providers and sponsors HQs are located; Notre Dame is the necessary catalyst. The SEC would be driven by ESPN wanting to maximize it's property to stay even with the B1G adding a power like Clemson and to fill out it's media footprint with schools like North Carolina and Miami.
So let's take 8 properties off the board: Notre Dame, Stanford, Oregon and Washington in the B1G, then Clemson, North Carolina, Florida State and Miami in the SEC. What happens with the other conferences.
The ACC would be cut down to 10:
Duke, Virginia, Virginia Tech, Syracuse, Louisville, Georgia Tech, Wake, Pitt, BC and NC State.
Who adds value to them in G5? Who is even worth looking at? To the latter I'd suggest a few AAC schools and a Big East member: SMU, Memphis, Temple, South Florida, Army and/or Navy (obviously Football only) and UConn.
Agree that SMU, Memphis, Temple, USF, UConn, and Navy (if they'd be willing) would be likely additions for the ACC in this type of scenario.
That would get the ACC back to 15 (or 16), assuming that they lose 5 schools.
If they wanted to be a 20-team conference, they could add Tulane, Louisiana, Buffalo, and one of the Carolina schools (ECU, Coastal Carolina, or App. State).
(08-15-2022 02:26 PM)Stugray2 Wrote: The Pac-12 would likely collapse if and when the Big Ten decides to complete it's west coast takeover. You have to assume Stanford, Oregon and Washington are gone. This would prompt Arizona and Colorado at a minimum to bolt for the Big 12. The remnants would become the new Mountain West, as they'd have to absorb San Diego State, UNLV, Fresno State, Boise State and Colorado State just to be viable at 10. But such potential dilution would likely lead Arizona State, Utah and Cal to jump ship as well, and head to the Big 12...
The Big 12 is the one conference that could hit 20...
That's one possibility. Another is that the PAC remainers would absorb most of the MWC (and possibly SMU, UTEP, and/or NMSU) and continue on as the PAC.
. . . . . . . . . .
Schools that might move up from G5 to P5:
MWC (all 12)
AAC (5 or 6): SMU, Memphis, Temple, South Florida, Navy, Tulane, ECU?
SBC (3): Louisiana, App. State, Coastal Carolina
CUSA (7): WKU, MTSU, UTSA, UAB, Marshall, UNT, UTEP
MAC (1): Buffalo
IND (2): UConn, NMSU
FCS (1): NDSU
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