(08-07-2022 07:57 AM)GarnetAndBlue Wrote: (08-06-2022 05:37 PM)Big 12 fan too Wrote: (08-06-2022 04:23 PM)GarnetAndBlue Wrote: (08-06-2022 09:01 AM)OdinFrigg Wrote: (08-05-2022 04:04 PM)quo vadis Wrote: The way I see it, "the conference" is just the schools that comprise it. So a conference surviving is not necessarily a good thing. It is imo bad if its continued existence is holding members back from doing better.
In 2016, we can assume all ACC schools thought the GOR was a good idea, because they all signed it.
Today, the ACC GOR is good for the low value schools with no place else of equal value to go. Bad for the schools that could go to the SEC or B1G.
So IMO if the question is, "is the ACC GOR too long?" The answer is yes for some schools, no for other schools.
That’s the basic essence of it all. FSU was opposed, and Maryland didn’t want it on their way out the door.
Swofford sold this to ACC members, that several now regret doing so.
Locked-in financial figures for a 20+ year or so period is a fiscal risk and such is not limited to inflationary costs. There’s no outlet to adjust in proportionality of what competitor conferences are negotiating and receiving during the contract duration.
interesting & ironic that the way-too-long-term-GoR may ultimately cause the destruction of the ACC due to it not being able to adapt/evolve during all of the ongoing changes.
I get what you're saying, but it is not the too-long-GOR that ultimately will cause the destruction.
Think, if the GOR was up in 2 years, would the ACC be better able to survive? I don't think so. It is the revenue and perception disparity causing the destruction- the same factors that led to the long GOR in the first place.
It hasn't been the long GOR that kept schools of value away. The ACC wasn't luring top SEC or BIG schools with a different GOR. The ACC couldn't pull in OUT or USC.
imo this era of realignment to a P2 is paying the price of 2010/11. Even Larry Scott knew the PAC needed to become less PAC back in 2010. When they failed in that attempt, the writing was on the wall- and this last decade of decline in PAC shows Scott was correct. With no PAC-Big 12 combo agreeable, and the ACC and Big 12 also not able to figure out which conference would poach the other, all 3 punted the problem down the road to the point any chance of a true P3 setup was missed.
time to collect on that stubbornness and conference pride.
My point is that by being too-dadgum-long it doesn't allow other upcoming/not-quite-P2 programs to backfill the spots fast enough. ESPN greased the skids a decade ago for an eventual clear-cut P2. The ACC now sits on life-support instead of being able to rip off the band-aid and rebuild itself into strong 3rd place conference. The gap between the haves and have nots (both conferences and programs) will just get bigger and bigger. Intentional destruction.
LOL no such thing. Who are you going to bring in to be your anchor programs that fill up 100,000 seat stadiums and bring millions of TV sets to the negotiations? Oregon? Baylor? UCF? Memphis? North Dakota State?
Actually, this all imagines that the GOR isn't there, which means that the SEC and Big Ten take the next 8-16 most attractive schools off the board, all you're left with is--leftovers.
Ain't gonna be no "P3" conference. You is or you ain't. Ask Aresco how shooting for "tweener" status works out.
Notre Dame
BC, Syracuse, Pitt, Louisville,
VT, UVA, UNC, NCSU, Duke, WF
CLemson, GT, FSU, Miami
Washignton, Oregon, Stanford, Cal
Utah, Colorado, Arizona, ASU
UCF, West Virginia, Cincinatti
Houston, TCU, Baylor, Texas Tech
Oklahoma State, Kansas State, Iowa State
Kansas, BYU.
Big Ten, SEC take Notre Dame, UNC, UVA, Washington, Oregon, Stanford/Cal to start.
Then NCSU, Virginia Tech (Big Ten and SEC will both want NC/VA access)
Let's stop there. ACC has BC, Syracuse, Pitt, Louisville, Duke, WF, CLemson, GT, FSU, Miami
SEC takes FSU, Clemson, Big Ten takes Miami. ACC has 7, who do you take from
Utah, Colorado, Arizona, ASU, UCF, West Virginia, Cincinatti, Houston, TCU, Baylor, Texas Tech,Oklahoma State, Kansas State, Iowa State, Kansas.
Kansas basketball gets you 8. Are the 4 Corners schools going to make a difference for you? Houston? TCU? UCF?
The 2036 Grant of Rights is the reason that half of the ACC isn't at an Aresco-League level after the best 4-6 schools jump.