(07-30-2022 05:58 PM)DavidSt Wrote: (07-30-2022 05:54 PM)WAChsenburggemeinde Wrote: (07-30-2022 04:23 PM)RUScarlets Wrote: Should have been:
West: PAC6
East: UT OU CO Utah AU ASU
Scott needed to drop that dead weight, but I don't see how the PAC10 would have just dropped OSU/WSU from the ranks.
If it was PAC16, OSU/WSU would have stayed but I guess they didn't like the other options in Texas. Would it have been TTech? OkieSt? TCU? I think KU would have certainly been included.
Maybe KU and TTech with UT OU would have made the PAC16 viable. Houston also a possibility over TTech.
PAC 12 got played by USC and UCLA. Even just taking a couple schools e.g. OK State and TCU, they would be better off today. You can’t just look at the pay cut when dividing the pie more ways. You have to think strategically. One more defection and the PAC probably dies.
Big 12 got played by OUT as well. They could have expanded like in 2016 by grabbing UCF, Cincinnati, Houston and maybe USF or Colorado State, but they didn't.
On the one hand, I agree in the sense that I always believed that the Big 12 should have added at least Cincinnati and BYU back in the mid-2010s from a long-term perspective.
The problem, of course, is that individuals (university presidents and ADs in this case) often are incentivized much more heavily for short-term objectives as opposed to long-term issues.
In both cases of the Big 12 and Pac-12, the TV revenue maximizing calculation was to NOT expand.
At the same time, neither the Big 12 nor Pac-12 could just ignore the wishes of its most valuable schools, particular where Texas was already openly a flight risk and wasn't shy about it.
By the same token, even in the best case scenario where expansion would make more money, neither the Big 12 nor Pac-12 were going to add enough value with expansion to dissuade either Texas or USC from leaving (particularly when Texas and USC didn't want expansion in the first place).
So, at least in the case of the Big 12, that league would have essentially ended up with the same set of schools as today whether they expanded circa 2016 or not.
The impact on the Pac-12 is much different because that league could have taken anyone that it wanted to from the Big 12 last year, but that's looking like it's not the case at all this year.