(06-07-2022 09:27 PM)PeteTheChop Wrote: [align=left] (06-07-2022 11:44 AM)Attackcoog Wrote: The take away here is it appears GOR's largely work as advertised. They may not keep valuable schools in your conference forever---but they certainly keep them in your conference until the GOR agreement expires.
Certainly?
TBD on that as well as how much OU and UT end up paying should they exit before June 30, 2025.
There is this notion GoR's were put in place to protect (and ultimately enrich) the member schools and the conferences themselves should the league's more valuable institutions seek greener pastures elsewhere.
But it's hard to imagine it wasn't ESPN itself (and perhaps FOX, too) wanting to lock up the Big 12 (and, in ESPN's case, the ACC) media rights at a fixed dollar amount driving the bus -- and not the less savvy conference commissioners or school presidents.
ESPN and FOX are in the business of making money.
It doesn't an accounting degree to recognize that over time Texas and Oklahoma will be worth more to the four-letter network's bottom line in the higher-profile SEC than in the Big 12.
About the bolded, that's a good point. In fact, IIRC, during negotiations for some conference media deals, I have read reports that a conference could get a slightly higher deal if it agreed to a GOR - presumably because the network is willing to pay a bonus for having that added layer of certainty that they are getting those schools at that price for that amount of time.
That's why I think the network stumbling block to an early TX/OU move is FOX, not ESPN. ESPN presumably wouldn't mind TX and OU exiting their Big 12 GOR and joining the SEC early because they would then get full access to their games rather than sharing them with FOX as they do in the Big 12 contracts. It's FOX that would be losing access to TX and OU between now and 2025, and so they would have to be made whole somehow, regardless of what the Big 12 and its schools think. IOWs, for those schools to leave early, it's not just the Big 12 that would have to be satisfied, FOX would have to be as well.
All of that said, I do agree with "Attack" about this also showing the strength of GORs. Put it this way - if the Big 12 didn't have a GOR, I think that TX and OU would already have announced they would be joining the SEC for fall 2023.
Also, schools presidents sometimes are savvy. Consider the cases of TX and OU vs say UCF and Cincy. TX and OU could be stuck in the Big 12 for four more years, because their presidents signed that GOR in 2012.
In contrast, Cincy and UCF are likely going to be in the Big 12 for 2023, because IIRC their presidents wisely refused to sign a GOR during the 2019 media deal negotiations.
Imagine if Cincy/UCF/Houston had in 2019 signed a GOR that gave AAC their media rights until 2032? That could have been a major problem, one that would make leaving for the Big 12 much costlier for them. Savvy.