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'22 Season End Simulations [Ohio State - Michigan rematch?]
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Crayton Offline
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Post: #21
RE: '22 Season End Simulations [SEC stumbles out the gate]
(04-14-2022 09:26 AM)freshtop Wrote:  
(04-14-2022 09:13 AM)Crayton Wrote:  Ohio State gets the TCU treatment and drops from #3 to out of the playoff after defeating a so-so opponent. It appears the reason for this is that Ohio State was being placed over Notre Dame artificially, because of their head-to-head win, not unlike Oregon>Ohio State this past year. With Oklahoma's victory over OK State the committee edged the Sooners past the Buckeyes and stopped comparing OSU with ND directly. Ohio State suffers the same fate as 2018 when a single loss to a ho-hum conference opponent left them behind the 1-loss Big 12 Champions.

Top 20 After CCGs, Sim #125
#1 Cincinnati (13-0) W1 over UCF 56-7
#2 Miami (12-1) W4 over Clemson 30-28
#3 Notre Dame (11-1) X1
#4 Oklahoma (12-1) W1 over OK State 31-28
#5 Ohio State (12-1) W-2 over Minnesota 26-23
#6 Clemson (11-2) L-5 to Miami 28-30
#7 Utah (12-1) W0 over Oregon 37-16
#8 Texas A&M (11-2) W2 over Georgia 20-17
#9 Alabama (11-1) X-1
#10 Pittsburgh (11-1) X-1
#11 Air Force (12-1) W3 over SDSU 34-20
#13 Michigan (11-1) X4
#13 UCF (11-2) L-2 to Cincinnati 7-56
#14 Wake Forest (10-2) X1
#15 Georgia (11-2) L-3 to Texas A&M 17-20
#16 Ga Southern (11-2) W3 over Louisiana 19-6
#17 OK State (10-3) L-4 to Oklahoma 28-31
#18 BYU (10-2) X0
#19 Western Michigan (11-2) W1 over Miami(OH) 28-24
#20 Oregon (10-3) L-3 to Utah 16-37

So I am guessing we lost to UTSA in the CCG? Or won and still fell short of the top 20 at 12-2?

Whoops. Added them in. They finished 12-2 and #26, 5 spots higher than before the CCGs. They held Auburn close (losing by 3), but their Conference USA schedule didn't help them much.
04-14-2022 09:48 AM
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Fighting Muskie Online
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Post: #22
RE: '22 Season End Simulations [SEC stumbles out the gate]
If Ohio St has an H2H win over ND and a 13th data point with the CCG win, I can’t see them falling out of the top 4 and ND leapfrogging.
04-14-2022 01:21 PM
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Crayton Offline
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Post: #23
RE: '22 Season End Simulations [SEC stumbles out the gate]
(04-14-2022 01:21 PM)Fighting Muskie Wrote:  If Ohio St has an H2H win over ND and a 13th data point with the CCG win, I can’t see them falling out of the top 4 and ND leapfrogging.

I do imagine it like 2014 where TCU looked like a Top 4 team, but when it came down to picking the 4 playoff teams, their SOS was the easiest to dismiss.

The way the computer committee made 'this' decision is that, the week before, ND and OSU were adjacent in the rankings and they put OSU above ND in spite of a poorer SOS. In the CCGs, Oklahoma played a much stronger opponent and leapt Ohio State. Comparing 3 teams, the committee could no longer make a straight OSU>ND choice. Notre Dame was the most impressive of the 3 and so they got the 3-seed; Oklahoma edged Ohio State, the Sooners took #4. And all college football-dom wailed and gnashed their teeth about the opaqueness of the committee's decision.

Of course the prestige of '14 TCU is not equal to that of '22 tOSU. But I'd feel dirty putting those variables into the decision-making process. lol

The other variable at work is Notre Dame's independence. They simply avoid the "Champion" comparison criteria. If they were a conference at-large, they'd likely be jumped by Oklahoma and Ohio State who (regardless of head-to-head) were both champions and looked better on the field. Not sure if that is "fair" but it is my estimation as to what the committee means when they say they will evaluate whether a team won their conference.


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(This post was last modified: 04-15-2022 01:12 PM by Crayton.)
04-14-2022 02:29 PM
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Wahoowa84 Offline
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Post: #24
RE: '22 Season End Simulations [SEC stumbles out the gate]
(04-12-2022 11:52 AM)Crayton Wrote:  Preseason, Sim 125. Georgia lost to Oregon to open the season and Texas A&M lost to Miami a few weeks later. Those two losses put a ceiling on the SEC this sim. Clemson's lone loss came to Notre Dame whose lone loss came to Ohio State whose lone loss came to.. double checks... Indiana. Oklahoma's lone loss came early in the year to Nebraska.

Power-wise, there is lots of parity among the P4 (1581, 1578, 1569, 1567) and... the American (1543). Therefore, no benefit-of-the-doubt for SEC/B1G blue-bloods (see Alabama). And the Pac-12 (1510) sits in the tweener position.

Cincinnati is once again in playoff position. The ACC Champ and Ohio State too look like win-and-in propositions. Notre Dame 'may' stick the landing, but Oklahoma and Utah (who lost to Oregon earlier in the year) will have some pretty great 13th data points to potentially lift them into the playoff.

Week 14 matchups
#1 Clemson (11-1) @ #6 Miami (11-1)
#2 Cincinnati (12-0) @ #11 UCF (11-1)
#3 Ohio St (11-1) @ #26 Minnesota (10-2)
#4 Notre Dame (11-1) **at large**
#5 Oklahoma (11-1) @ #13 OK State (10-2)
#7 Utah (11-1) @ #17 Oregon (10-2)
#8 Alabama (11-1) **at large**
#9 Pittsburgh (11-1) **at large**
#10 Texas A&M (10-2) @ #12 Georgia (11-1)
#14 Air Force (11-1) @ #21 San Diego St (10-2)
#19 Ga Southern (10-2) @ #33 Louisiana (10-2)
#31 WKU (11-2) @ #43 UTSA (8-4)
#20 Western Michigan (10-2) @ #53 Miami(OH) (8-4)

Code:
WEEK: 0
43-24 // #53 Nebraska (1-0) @ #87 Northwestern (0-1)
24-43 // #87 Northwestern (0-1) @ #53 Nebraska (1-0)
39-28 // #72 Wyoming (1-0) @ #88 Illinois (0-1)
20-23 // #105 North Texas (0-1) @ #104 UTEP (1-0)
13-24 // #111 Vanderbilt (0-1) @ #92 Hawaii (1-0)
14-46 // #124 Charlotte (0-1) @ #93 FAU (1-0)
17-29 // #128 UConn (0-1) @ #62 Utah St (1-0)
29-28 // #64 Nevada (1-0) @ #129 New Mexico St (0-1)
30-32 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #71 Florida St (1-0)
14-44 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #46 North Carolina (1-0)
27-29 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #63 WKU (1-0)

WEEK: 1
27-24 // #28 Oregon (0-0) @ #4 Georgia (0-0)
24-27 // #4 Georgia (0-0) @ #28 Oregon (0-0)
21-28 // #5 Notre Dame (0-0) @ #1 Ohio St (0-0)
10-19 // #22 Houston (0-0) @ #64 UTSA (0-0)
24-21 // #74 Florida St (1-0) @ #29 LSU (0-0)
21-24 // #29 LSU (0-0) @ #74 Florida St (1-0)
30-28 // #17 Utah (0-0) @ #31 Florida (0-0)
24-21 // #12 Cincinnati (0-0) @ #33 Arkansas (0-0)
17-14 // #9 Penn State (0-0) @ #38 Purdue (0-0)
21-38 // #45 Western Michigan (0-0) @ #16 Michigan St (0-0)
24-17 // #69 Memphis (0-0) @ #47 Mississippi St (0-0)
10-26 // #48 West Virginia (0-0) @ #18 Pittsburgh (0-0)
26-7 // #46 North Carolina (1-0) @ #49 App St (0-0)
24-55 // #52 Utah St (1-0) @ #2 Alabama (0-0)
36-27 // #65 Tulsa (0-0) @ #53 Wyoming (1-0)
34-44 // #56 Central Michigan (0-0) @ #8 OK State (0-0)
24-26 // #58 TCU (0-0) @ #84 Colorado (0-0)
29-28 // #78 Georgia St (0-0) @ #60 South Carolina (0-0)
20-30 // #68 Miami(OH) (0-0) @ #25 Kentucky (0-0)
29-17 // #26 Boise St (0-0) @ #71 Oregon St (0-0)
24-31 // #72 Virginia Tech (0-0) @ #104 Old Dominion (0-0)
27-24 // #96 Illinois (0-1) @ #76 Indiana (0-0)
35-17 // #85 Army (0-1) @ #79 Coastal Carolina (0-0)
37-24 // #30 NC State (0-0) @ #81 East Carolina (0-0)
53-17 // #66 WKU (1-0) @ #86 Hawaii (1-0)
36-14 // #35 Louisville (0-0) @ #88 Syracuse (0-0)
10-20 // #90 Ball St (0-0) @ #43 Tennessee (0-0)
32-27 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #91 California (0-0)
14-67 // #93 Georgia Tech (0-0) @ #6 Clemson (0-0)
67-14 // #6 Clemson (0-0) @ #93 Georgia Tech (0-0)
20-23 // #94 Rutgers (0-0) @ #70 Boston College (0-0)
10-43 // #95 Kent St (0-0) @ #77 Washington (0-0)
14-31 // #97 Troy (0-0) @ #20 Ole Miss (0-0)
10-68 // #100 Buffalo (0-0) @ #44 Maryland (0-0)
28-32 // #103 UTEP (1-0) @ #3 Oklahoma (0-0)
39-34 // #19 BYU (0-0) @ #106 USF (0-0)
31-28 // #87 FAU (1-0) @ #107 Ohio (0-0)
24-31 // #108 Colorado St (0-0) @ #7 Michigan (0-0)
21-59 // #109 La Tech (0-0) @ #73 Missouri (0-0)
36-21 // #42 SMU (0-0) @ #110 North Texas (0-1)
32-31 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #111 South Alabama (0-0)
21-31 // #115 Arizona (0-0) @ #39 San Diego St (0-0)
13-55 // #117 Rice (0-0) @ #54 USC (0-0)
27-24 // #82 Liberty (0-0) @ #118 Southern Miss (0-0)
17-14 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #119 UNLV (0-0)
13-23 // #121 Texas St (0-0) @ #62 Nevada (1-0)
10-44 // #122 La Monroe (0-0) @ #15 Texas (0-0)
17-26 // #123 Temple (0-0) @ #112 Duke (0-0)
24-45 // #125 Bowling Green (0-0) @ #55 UCLA (0-0)
37-21 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #127 Akron (0-0)
33-13 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #128 UConn (0-1)
20-41 // #129 New Mexico St (0-1) @ #40 Minnesota (0-0)
39-17 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #130 FIU (0-0)
17-39 // #131 UMass (0-0) @ #98 Tulane (0-0)
21-24 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #113 Vanderbilt (0-1)
17-20 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #21 Auburn (0-0)
17-29 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #10 Texas A&M (0-0)
7-29 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #23 Wake Forest (0-0)
17-64 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #32 Miami (0-0)
21-37 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #57 Virginia (0-0)
16-19 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #11 Wisconsin (0-0)
17-39 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #14 Iowa (0-0)
3-34 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #50 Nebraska (1-0)
14-36 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #114 Kansas (0-0)
14-48 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #37 Kansas St (0-0)
27-31 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #24 Iowa St (0-0)
28-31 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #67 Texas Tech (0-0)
17-55 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #13 Baylor (0-0)
16-39 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #36 Arizona St (0-0)
10-35 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #99 Stanford (0-0)
28-37 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #59 Washington St (0-0)
7-41 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #34 UCF (0-0)
17-24 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #75 Navy (1-0)
17-24 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #27 Air Force (0-0)
28-31 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #116 New Mexico (0-0)
27-30 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #51 Fresno St (0-0)
24-27 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #101 San Jose St (0-0)
24-28 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #61 UAB (0-0)
14-37 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #124 Charlotte (0-1)
7-33 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #80 Marshall (0-0)
27-30 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #89 Northern Illinois (0-0)
24-27 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #63 Toledo (0-0)
17-32 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #83 Eastern Michigan (0-0)
14-50 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #120 Arkansas St (0-0)
17-19 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #41 Louisiana (0-0)
20-27 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #105 Ga Southern (0-0)

WEEK: 2
16-13 // #109 Ohio (0-1) @ #9 Penn State (1-0)
17-19 // #16 Baylor (1-0) @ #21 BYU (1-0)
33-16 // #2 Alabama (1-0) @ #17 Texas (1-0)
17-18 // #26 Iowa St (1-0) @ #18 Iowa (1-0)
20-23 // #28 Louisville (1-0) @ #31 UCF (1-0)
24-21 // #71 Colorado (1-0) @ #29 Air Force (1-0)
28-38 // #32 Arizona St (1-0) @ #8 OK State (1-0)
20-37 // #37 Tennessee (1-0) @ #15 Pittsburgh (1-0)
35-42 // #41 UTSA (1-0) @ #73 Army (1-1)
22-17 // #22 Kentucky (1-0) @ #48 Florida (0-1)
17-20 // #49 Fresno St (1-0) @ #81 Oregon St (0-1)
31-28 // #78 South Carolina (0-1) @ #53 Arkansas (0-1)
28-33 // #55 Washington St (1-0) @ #12 Wisconsin (1-0)
21-22 // #60 App St (0-1) @ #11 Texas A&M (1-0)
24-27 // #63 Missouri (1-0) @ #34 Kansas St (1-0)
29-17 // #33 North Carolina (2-0) @ #65 Georgia St (1-0)
29-20 // #47 Houston (0-1) @ #70 Texas Tech (1-0)
44-24 // #46 Memphis (1-0) @ #72 Navy (2-0)
35-34 // #62 UAB (1-0) @ #74 Liberty (1-0)
28-40 // #75 Marshall (1-0) @ #5 Notre Dame (0-1)
31-34 // #82 Eastern Michigan (1-0) @ #40 Louisiana (1-0)
17-18 // #84 Northern Illinois (1-0) @ #45 Tulsa (1-0)
30-17 // #42 USC (1-0) @ #86 Stanford (1-0)
7-16 // #87 Old Dominion (1-0) @ #83 East Carolina (0-1)
20-17 // #52 Virginia (1-0) @ #88 Illinois (1-1)
24-21 // #56 Boston College (1-0) @ #89 Virginia Tech (0-1)
7-69 // #92 San Jose St (1-0) @ #24 Auburn (1-0)
14-28 // #93 Ga Southern (1-0) @ #43 Nebraska (2-0)
28-30 // #94 Duke (1-0) @ #97 Northwestern (0-1)
28-31 // #95 Hawaii (1-1) @ #7 Michigan (1-0)
15-10 // #58 Western Michigan (0-1) @ #99 Ball St (0-1)
7-26 // #103 Kent St (0-1) @ #3 Oklahoma (1-0)
56-21 // #126 UNLV (0-1) @ #105 California (0-1)
31-28 // #108 Middle Tennessee (0-1) @ #107 Colorado St (0-1)
14-38 // #110 Kansas (1-0) @ #59 West Virginia (0-1)
31-28 // #23 Boise St (1-0) @ #111 New Mexico (1-0)
21-32 // #113 Arkansas St (1-0) @ #1 Ohio St (1-0)
31-20 // #25 Wake Forest (1-0) @ #116 Vanderbilt (1-1)
27-13 // #68 Mississippi St (0-1) @ #117 Arizona (0-1)
10-55 // #119 Southern Miss (0-1) @ #30 Miami (1-0)
24-17 // #38 Maryland (1-0) @ #120 Charlotte (1-1)
6-19 // #123 South Alabama (0-1) @ #69 Central Michigan (0-1)
22-13 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #125 Bowling Green (0-1)
14-64 // #127 New Mexico St (0-2) @ #100 UTEP (1-1)
14-15 // #128 Akron (0-1) @ #14 Michigan St (1-0)
30-20 // #96 Syracuse (0-1) @ #129 UConn (0-2)
24-31 // #130 FIU (0-1) @ #121 Texas St (0-1)
14-34 // #131 UMass (0-1) @ #64 Toledo (1-0)
28-36 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #6 Georgia (0-1)
14-41 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #57 LSU (0-1)
28-45 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #19 Ole Miss (1-0)
20-24 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #4 Clemson (1-0)
7-61 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #27 NC State (1-0)
14-49 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #98 Georgia Tech (0-1)
20-23 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #101 Rutgers (0-1)
21-47 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #90 Indiana (0-1)
7-50 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #54 Purdue (0-1)
10-19 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #36 Minnesota (1-0)
23-26 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #79 TCU (0-1)
17-65 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #44 UCLA (1-0)
14-57 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #13 Utah (1-0)
31-34 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #20 Oregon (1-0)
14-29 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #66 Washington (1-0)
7-27 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #10 Cincinnati (1-0)
14-60 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #106 USF (0-1)
21-24 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #124 Temple (0-1)
24-27 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #39 SMU (1-0)
24-42 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #85 Tulane (1-0)
35-39 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #77 Wyoming (1-1)
21-41 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #67 Utah St (1-1)
17-35 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #35 San Diego St (1-0)
20-30 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #61 Nevada (2-0)
24-27 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #114 La Tech (0-1)
13-16 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #118 Rice (0-1)
20-29 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #115 North Texas (0-2)
17-43 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #76 FAU (2-0)
13-31 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #104 Buffalo (0-1)
10-17 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #80 Miami(OH) (0-1)
20-27 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #102 Troy (0-1)
21-28 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #122 La Monroe (0-1)
21-24 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #91 Coastal Carolina (0-1)

WEEK: 3
28-31 // #3 Oklahoma (2-0) @ #42 Nebraska (3-0)
20-17 // #25 Miami (2-0) @ #10 Texas A&M (2-0)
20-31 // #11 BYU (2-0) @ #21 Oregon (2-0)
27-24 // #79 Texas Tech (1-1) @ #24 NC State (2-0)
20-13 // #29 SMU (2-0) @ #28 Maryland (2-0)
21-36 // #30 Penn State (1-1) @ #18 Auburn (2-0)
17-21 // #36 San Diego St (2-0) @ #14 Utah (2-0)
24-26 // #38 Louisiana (2-0) @ #116 Rice (1-1)
31-28 // #125 South Alabama (0-2) @ #43 UCLA (2-0)
14-34 // #48 Colorado (2-0) @ #37 Minnesota (2-0)
34-13 // #108 Ga Southern (1-1) @ #49 UAB (2-0)
21-38 // #50 Florida St (2-0) @ #35 Louisville (1-1)
28-45 // #51 WKU (2-0) @ #86 Indiana (1-1)
28-21 // #8 Pittsburgh (2-0) @ #57 Western Michigan (1-1)
35-46 // #58 Mississippi St (1-1) @ #53 LSU (1-1)
7-63 // #60 UTSA (1-1) @ #31 Texas (1-1)
6-27 // #61 Nevada (3-0) @ #13 Iowa (2-0)
37-27 // #16 Georgia (1-1) @ #62 South Carolina (1-1)
10-24 // #65 Toledo (2-0) @ #1 Ohio St (2-0)
40-10 // #17 Michigan St (2-0) @ #66 Washington (2-0)
21-17 // #23 UCF (2-0) @ #67 FAU (3-0)
17-23 // #73 Tulane (2-0) @ #27 Kansas St (2-0)
24-17 // #55 Air Force (1-1) @ #75 Wyoming (2-1)
24-27 // #76 Fresno St (1-1) @ #40 USC (2-0)
23-29 // #81 Miami(OH) (1-1) @ #9 Cincinnati (2-0)
29-23 // #9 Cincinnati (2-0) @ #81 Miami(OH) (1-1)
33-14 // #46 Purdue (1-1) @ #84 Syracuse (1-1)
10-27 // #85 Liberty (1-1) @ #22 Wake Forest (2-0)
21-51 // #88 Eastern Michigan (1-1) @ #47 Arizona St (1-1)
23-20 // #104 Buffalo (1-1) @ #89 Coastal Carolina (1-1)
37-17 // #19 Ole Miss (2-0) @ #90 Georgia Tech (1-1)
17-20 // #91 UTEP (2-1) @ #114 New Mexico (1-1)
27-32 // #96 Ohio (1-1) @ #34 Iowa St (1-1)
17-40 // #99 Troy (1-1) @ #72 App St (0-2)
31-34 // #101 USF (1-1) @ #56 Florida (0-2)
14-54 // #102 Old Dominion (1-1) @ #44 Virginia (2-0)
24-31 // #109 La Tech (1-1) @ #4 Clemson (2-0)
24-33 // #110 Kansas (1-1) @ #33 Houston (1-1)
0-65 // #112 Colorado St (0-2) @ #69 Washington St (1-1)
10-56 // #113 Vanderbilt (1-2) @ #93 Northern Illinois (1-1)
10-44 // #115 Arkansas St (1-1) @ #39 Memphis (2-0)
21-56 // #117 Texas St (1-1) @ #32 Baylor (1-1)
32-28 // #107 North Texas (1-2) @ #118 UNLV (1-1)
27-24 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #119 Arizona (0-2)
24-43 // #120 La Monroe (1-1) @ #2 Alabama (2-0)
34-37 // #121 Charlotte (1-2) @ #77 Georgia St (1-1)
40-14 // #95 Rutgers (1-1) @ #122 Temple (1-1)
17-20 // #123 California (0-2) @ #6 Notre Dame (1-1)
14-24 // #126 New Mexico St (0-3) @ #12 Wisconsin (2-0)
20-17 // #82 Marshall (1-1) @ #127 Bowling Green (0-2)
7-21 // #128 Akron (0-2) @ #52 Tennessee (1-1)
17-24 // #129 UConn (0-3) @ #7 Michigan (2-0)
30-21 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #130 UMass (0-2)
17-20 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #15 Kentucky (2-0)
10-52 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #70 Missouri (1-1)
24-27 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #71 Arkansas (0-2)
21-41 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #45 Boston College (2-0)
28-35 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #94 Virginia Tech (0-2)
20-24 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #106 Duke (1-1)
7-34 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #83 Northwestern (1-1)
24-27 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #54 West Virginia (1-1)
14-27 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #5 OK State (2-0)
16-26 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #64 Oregon St (1-1)
17-26 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #74 East Carolina (1-1)
13-62 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #41 Tulsa (2-0)
6-21 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #20 Boise St (2-0)
16-23 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #97 Hawaii (1-2)
17-35 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #124 Southern Miss (0-2)
10-60 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #100 Middle Tennessee (1-1)
7-68 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #59 Army (2-1)
28-42 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #111 Kent St (0-2)
20-23 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #63 Central Michigan (1-1)
16-19 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #103 Ball St (0-2)

WEEK: 4
28-59 // #12 Wisconsin (3-0) @ #1 Ohio St (3-0)
20-21 // #14 Oregon (3-0) @ #53 Washington St (2-1)
26-24 // #3 Clemson (3-0) @ #22 Wake Forest (3-0)
13-32 // #25 Kansas St (3-0) @ #8 Oklahoma (2-1)
30-27 // #7 Notre Dame (2-1) @ #26 North Carolina (3-0)
24-17 // #82 TCU (1-1) @ #27 SMU (3-0)
21-31 // #28 Minnesota (3-0) @ #13 Michigan St (3-0)
17-20 // #29 USC (3-0) @ #57 Oregon St (2-1)
10-26 // #31 Tulsa (3-0) @ #19 Ole Miss (3-0)
29-17 // #35 Baylor (2-1) @ #38 Iowa St (2-1)
27-24 // #11 Utah (3-0) @ #39 Arizona St (2-1)
23-17 // #58 Central Michigan (2-1) @ #40 Penn State (1-2)
7-17 // #45 Maryland (2-1) @ #9 Michigan (3-0)
24-26 // #49 Florida (1-2) @ #47 Tennessee (2-1)
17-36 // #50 West Virginia (2-1) @ #95 Virginia Tech (1-2)
41-17 // #18 Texas (2-1) @ #51 Texas Tech (2-1)
30-20 // #70 UCLA (2-1) @ #55 Colorado (2-1)
21-39 // #59 Missouri (2-1) @ #15 Auburn (3-0)
10-61 // #61 Indiana (2-1) @ #10 Cincinnati (3-0)
32-16 // #43 Boston College (3-0) @ #63 Florida St (2-1)
35-7 // #33 Texas A&M (2-1) @ #66 Arkansas (1-2)
7-35 // #66 Arkansas (1-2) @ #33 Texas A&M (2-1)
23-30 // #68 Toledo (2-1) @ #48 San Diego St (2-1)
20-36 // #69 Nevada (3-1) @ #46 Air Force (2-1)
34-38 // #72 Navy (2-1) @ #74 East Carolina (2-1)
27-34 // #77 FAU (3-1) @ #41 Purdue (2-1)
28-21 // #87 Miami(OH) (1-2) @ #78 Northwestern (2-1)
13-20 // #79 Marshall (2-1) @ #104 Troy (1-2)
14-30 // #80 Northern Illinois (2-1) @ #21 Kentucky (3-0)
28-17 // #6 Iowa (3-0) @ #81 Rutgers (2-1)
10-39 // #85 Wyoming (2-2) @ #34 BYU (2-1)
32-31 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #88 Illinois (1-2)
24-21 // #32 Virginia (3-0) @ #89 Syracuse (1-2)
31-35 // #91 Buffalo (2-1) @ #98 Eastern Michigan (1-2)
13-49 // #92 Middle Tennessee (2-1) @ #16 Miami (3-0)
17-19 // #93 Georgia Tech (1-2) @ #20 UCF (3-0)
28-31 // #94 Stanford (1-1) @ #71 Washington (2-1)
33-10 // #24 Boise St (3-0) @ #97 UTEP (2-2)
14-62 // #100 Rice (2-1) @ #37 Houston (2-1)
21-42 // #101 New Mexico (2-1) @ #44 LSU (2-1)
21-24 // #102 Coastal Carolina (1-2) @ #60 Georgia St (2-1)
7-62 // #103 Ball St (1-2) @ #84 Ga Southern (2-1)
13-38 // #106 USF (1-2) @ #36 Louisville (2-1)
13-27 // #107 Duke (2-1) @ #114 Kansas (1-2)
7-81 // #108 James Madison (1-0) @ #54 App St (1-2)
17-34 // #109 North Texas (2-2) @ #30 Memphis (3-0)
14-38 // #110 Kent St (1-2) @ #17 Georgia (2-1)
31-28 // #113 La Tech (1-2) @ #111 South Alabama (1-2)
43-13 // #62 Western Michigan (1-2) @ #112 San Jose St (1-1)
17-37 // #115 Arkansas St (1-2) @ #105 Old Dominion (1-2)
20-39 // #116 Vanderbilt (1-3) @ #2 Alabama (3-0)
21-19 // #56 Louisiana (2-1) @ #117 La Monroe (1-2)
20-23 // #118 Southern Miss (1-2) @ #83 Tulane (2-1)
7-23 // #120 Charlotte (1-3) @ #65 South Carolina (1-2)
17-33 // #121 UNLV (1-2) @ #64 Utah St (2-1)
24-33 // #125 Arizona (0-3) @ #124 California (0-3)
20-17 // #96 Hawaii (2-2) @ #126 New Mexico St (0-4)
28-31 // #127 Bowling Green (0-3) @ #75 Mississippi St (1-2)
14-39 // #128 Akron (0-3) @ #90 Liberty (1-2)
10-17 // #129 UConn (0-4) @ #42 NC State (2-1)
10-53 // #130 FIU (0-2) @ #73 WKU (2-1)
14-73 // #131 UMass (0-3) @ #122 Temple (1-2)
14-61 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #5 Pittsburgh (3-0)
10-59 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #123 Colorado St (0-3)
24-29 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #67 UTSA (1-2)
13-17 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #99 Ohio (1-2)
20-31 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #119 Texas St (1-2)

WEEK: 5
43-7 // #10 Michigan (4-0) @ #12 Iowa (4-0)
29-27 // #37 LSU (3-1) @ #13 Auburn (4-0)
31-34 // #18 Kentucky (4-0) @ #14 Ole Miss (4-0)
49-3 // #7 OK State (3-0) @ #22 Baylor (3-1)
29-14 // #42 San Diego St (3-1) @ #23 Boise St (4-0)
13-28 // #31 Virginia (4-0) @ #109 Duke (2-2)
32-31 // #26 Louisville (3-1) @ #32 Boston College (4-0)
17-20 // #34 Purdue (3-1) @ #41 Minnesota (3-1)
21-28 // #39 NC State (3-1) @ #3 Clemson (4-0)
28-39 // #43 SMU (3-1) @ #19 UCF (4-0)
26-14 // #6 Cincinnati (4-0) @ #44 Tulsa (3-1)
46-20 // #47 Arizona St (2-2) @ #45 USC (3-1)
17-37 // #48 Oregon St (3-1) @ #5 Utah (4-0)
31-33 // #52 Georgia St (3-1) @ #51 Army (3-1)
24-33 // #53 East Carolina (3-1) @ #105 USF (1-3)
9-6 // #11 Michigan St (4-0) @ #55 Maryland (2-2)
23-20 // #9 Oklahoma (3-1) @ #56 TCU (2-1)
21-30 // #58 Utah St (3-1) @ #25 BYU (3-1)
13-18 // #59 Washington (3-1) @ #57 UCLA (3-1)
34-0 // #21 Texas A&M (3-1) @ #66 Mississippi St (2-2)
14-61 // #68 Texas Tech (2-2) @ #35 Kansas St (3-1)
17-34 // #69 West Virginia (2-2) @ #17 Texas (3-1)
21-31 // #70 UTSA (2-2) @ #96 Middle Tennessee (2-2)
36-7 // #16 Georgia (3-1) @ #73 Missouri (2-2)
28-50 // #74 Tulane (3-1) @ #33 Houston (3-1)
17-35 // #75 Virginia Tech (2-2) @ #30 North Carolina (3-1)
48-28 // #29 Wake Forest (3-1) @ #76 Florida St (2-2)
14-38 // #77 Indiana (2-2) @ #20 Nebraska (4-0)
14-56 // #78 Navy (2-2) @ #38 Air Force (3-1)
29-13 // #50 Central Michigan (3-1) @ #81 Toledo (2-2)
7-36 // #82 Rutgers (2-2) @ #1 Ohio St (4-0)
13-20 // #83 Troy (2-2) @ #61 WKU (3-1)
17-35 // #84 Northern Illinois (2-2) @ #115 Ball St (1-3)
10-21 // #86 Northwestern (2-2) @ #64 Penn State (1-3)
31-28 // #2 Alabama (4-0) @ #88 Arkansas (1-3)
46-17 // #85 Liberty (2-2) @ #92 Old Dominion (2-2)
14-69 // #94 Georgia Tech (1-3) @ #4 Pittsburgh (4-0)
14-39 // #97 Stanford (1-2) @ #28 Oregon (3-1)
20-32 // #98 Ohio (2-2) @ #114 Kent St (1-3)
29-28 // #46 Iowa St (2-2) @ #99 Kansas (2-2)
27-20 // #71 Miami(OH) (2-2) @ #103 Buffalo (2-2)
14-54 // #104 New Mexico (2-2) @ #124 UNLV (1-3)
27-14 // #67 UAB (2-1) @ #106 Rice (2-2)
16-14 // #62 Ga Southern (3-1) @ #107 Coastal Carolina (1-3)
46-21 // #80 FAU (3-2) @ #108 North Texas (2-3)
13-16 // #110 Illinois (1-3) @ #27 Wisconsin (3-1)
20-31 // #112 Temple (2-2) @ #24 Memphis (4-0)
27-28 // #116 California (1-3) @ #40 Washington St (3-1)
14-31 // #117 San Jose St (1-2) @ #90 Wyoming (2-3)
21-40 // #119 La Monroe (1-3) @ #121 Arkansas St (1-3)
21-47 // #120 South Alabama (1-3) @ #60 Louisiana (3-1)
38-35 // #100 UTEP (2-3) @ #123 Charlotte (1-4)
21-17 // #72 Colorado (2-2) @ #125 Arizona (0-4)
32-21 // #130 FIU (0-3) @ #126 New Mexico St (0-5)
35-28 // #127 Bowling Green (0-4) @ #128 Akron (0-4)
33-24 // #89 Fresno St (1-2) @ #129 UConn (0-5)
21-24 // #131 UMass (0-4) @ #91 Eastern Michigan (2-2)
17-21 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #65 Florida (1-3)
21-24 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #63 South Carolina (2-2)
16-37 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #93 Syracuse (1-3)
17-37 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #87 Marshall (2-2)
24-36 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #54 Western Michigan (2-2)
14-66 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #49 App St (2-2)

WEEK: 6
20-17 // #17 Texas A&M (4-1) @ #2 Alabama (5-0)
33-17 // #1 Ohio St (5-0) @ #9 Michigan St (5-0)
26-27 // #13 Nebraska (5-0) @ #87 Rutgers (2-3)
19-20 // #18 Texas (4-1) @ #15 Oklahoma (4-1)
20-19 // #15 Oklahoma (4-1) @ #18 Texas (4-1)
17-31 // #19 BYU (4-1) @ #21 Notre Dame (3-1)
31-17 // #21 Notre Dame (3-1) @ #19 BYU (4-1)
35-42 // #23 North Carolina (4-1) @ #11 Miami (4-0)
21-28 // #25 Wisconsin (4-1) @ #94 Northwestern (2-3)
14-24 // #27 Auburn (4-1) @ #16 Georgia (4-1)
13-29 // #28 Kansas St (4-1) @ #47 Iowa St (3-2)
20-17 // #63 South Carolina (3-2) @ #29 Kentucky (4-1)
20-23 // #31 Houston (4-1) @ #14 Memphis (5-0)
17-48 // #36 Washington St (4-1) @ #57 USC (3-2)
16-13 // #84 Fresno St (2-2) @ #38 Boise St (4-1)
24-34 // #39 Tennessee (3-1) @ #30 LSU (4-1)
17-20 // #42 Army (4-1) @ #26 Wake Forest (4-1)
44-23 // #6 Utah (5-0) @ #43 UCLA (4-1)
54-10 // #4 Clemson (5-0) @ #45 Boston College (4-1)
31-14 // #20 Louisville (4-1) @ #49 Virginia (4-1)
41-31 // #46 Purdue (3-2) @ #60 Maryland (2-3)
37-20 // #44 Ga Southern (4-1) @ #62 Georgia St (3-2)
43-20 // #34 Air Force (4-1) @ #67 Utah St (3-2)
24-57 // #68 Washington (3-2) @ #35 Arizona St (3-2)
17-20 // #69 Middle Tennessee (3-2) @ #55 UAB (3-1)
29-28 // #75 Missouri (2-3) @ #70 Florida (2-3)
3-17 // #71 East Carolina (3-2) @ #77 Tulane (3-2)
20-13 // #79 Arkansas (1-4) @ #72 Mississippi St (2-3)
21-34 // #73 Texas Tech (2-3) @ #3 OK State (4-0)
16-27 // #80 Florida St (2-3) @ #50 NC State (3-2)
27-24 // #5 Michigan (5-0) @ #81 Indiana (2-3)
31-28 // #52 WKU (4-1) @ #82 UTSA (2-3)
21-32 // #83 Virginia Tech (2-3) @ #7 Pittsburgh (5-0)
30-23 // #48 Tulsa (3-2) @ #86 Navy (2-3)
31-34 // #88 Eastern Michigan (3-2) @ #54 Western Michigan (3-2)
17-18 // #89 James Madison (2-1) @ #102 Arkansas St (2-3)
10-34 // #90 USF (2-3) @ #8 Cincinnati (5-0)
21-60 // #92 Hawaii (3-2) @ #33 San Diego St (4-1)
24-51 // #95 Duke (3-2) @ #106 Georgia Tech (1-4)
27-32 // #96 UTEP (3-3) @ #104 La Tech (2-2)
20-39 // #98 Kent St (2-3) @ #64 Miami(OH) (3-2)
23-24 // #99 Ball St (2-3) @ #40 Central Michigan (4-1)
27-24 // #91 Toledo (2-3) @ #101 Northern Illinois (2-3)
31-6 // #61 TCU (2-2) @ #103 Kansas (2-3)
34-28 // #56 Oregon St (3-2) @ #107 Stanford (1-3)
14-19 // #111 UNLV (2-3) @ #118 San Jose St (1-3)
56-10 // #24 Iowa (4-1) @ #112 Illinois (1-4)
10-56 // #114 Colorado St (1-3) @ #76 Nevada (3-2)
27-40 // #115 New Mexico (2-3) @ #78 Wyoming (3-3)
22-21 // #10 Ole Miss (5-0) @ #119 Vanderbilt (1-4)
14-17 // #120 Southern Miss (1-3) @ #93 Troy (2-3)
27-20 // #41 App St (3-2) @ #121 Texas St (2-3)
34-21 // #113 Coastal Carolina (1-4) @ #123 La Monroe (1-4)
30-28 // #109 Buffalo (2-3) @ #125 Bowling Green (1-4)
36-20 // #22 Oregon (4-1) @ #126 Arizona (0-5)
17-36 // #129 UConn (0-6) @ #127 FIU (1-3)
17-50 // #130 Akron (0-5) @ #105 Ohio (2-3)
31-21 // #66 Liberty (3-2) @ #131 UMass (0-5)

WEEK: 7
31-17 // #30 Auburn (4-2) @ #13 Ole Miss (6-0)
10-49 // #22 LSU (5-1) @ #82 Florida (2-4)
35-42 // #26 Nebraska (5-1) @ #35 Purdue (4-2)
14-17 // #34 Iowa St (4-2) @ #23 Texas (4-2)
20-21 // #40 USC (4-2) @ #4 Utah (6-0)
14-10 // #90 Mississippi St (2-4) @ #43 Kentucky (4-2)
39-17 // #53 Washington St (4-2) @ #46 Oregon St (4-2)
20-27 // #48 Wisconsin (4-2) @ #20 Michigan St (5-1)
41-21 // #12 Alabama (5-1) @ #51 Tennessee (3-2)
51-20 // #3 OK State (5-0) @ #57 TCU (3-2)
21-24 // #59 Louisiana (4-1) @ #77 Marshall (3-2)
17-29 // #60 Penn State (2-3) @ #8 Michigan (6-0)
28-47 // #67 Nevada (4-2) @ #99 Hawaii (3-3)
26-31 // #71 Arkansas (2-4) @ #28 BYU (4-2)
46-31 // #32 Baylor (3-2) @ #80 West Virginia (2-3)
32-31 // #14 Memphis (6-0) @ #83 East Carolina (3-3)
30-21 // #45 WKU (5-1) @ #84 Middle Tennessee (3-3)
31-34 // #85 La Tech (3-2) @ #111 North Texas (2-4)
17-31 // #86 Arkansas St (3-3) @ #122 Southern Miss (1-4)
23-21 // #72 Maryland (2-4) @ #88 Indiana (2-4)
36-14 // #2 Clemson (6-0) @ #89 Florida St (2-4)
39-17 // #6 Miami (5-0) @ #91 Virginia Tech (2-4)
14-28 // #92 Navy (2-4) @ #54 SMU (3-2)
27-24 // #68 Tulane (4-2) @ #93 USF (2-4)
10-50 // #95 James Madison (2-2) @ #37 Ga Southern (5-1)
10-34 // #96 Ohio (3-3) @ #47 Western Michigan (4-2)
22-19 // #42 NC State (4-2) @ #98 Syracuse (2-3)
48-28 // #29 North Carolina (4-2) @ #100 Duke (3-3)
28-30 // #101 Old Dominion (2-3) @ #105 Coastal Carolina (2-4)
20-23 // #106 Kent St (2-4) @ #75 Toledo (3-3)
24-31 // #107 Rice (2-3) @ #62 FAU (4-2)
0-35 // #108 Kansas (2-4) @ #11 Oklahoma (5-1)
14-38 // #109 Northern Illinois (2-4) @ #94 Eastern Michigan (3-3)
14-47 // #110 San Jose St (2-3) @ #66 Fresno St (3-2)
14-67 // #112 Temple (2-3) @ #15 UCF (5-0)
23-26 // #113 Texas St (2-4) @ #76 Troy (3-3)
44-24 // #27 Air Force (5-1) @ #114 UNLV (2-4)
10-45 // #115 Stanford (1-4) @ #7 Notre Dame (4-1)
48-21 // #31 Minnesota (4-1) @ #117 Illinois (1-5)
28-31 // #118 California (1-4) @ #61 Colorado (3-2)
7-67 // #120 Vanderbilt (1-5) @ #16 Georgia (5-1)
41-17 // #78 Utah St (3-3) @ #121 Colorado St (1-4)
23-26 // #123 La Monroe (1-5) @ #119 South Alabama (1-4)
14-36 // #124 Charlotte (1-5) @ #44 UAB (4-1)
50-6 // #97 UTSA (2-4) @ #125 FIU (2-3)
39-3 // #56 Miami(OH) (4-2) @ #126 Bowling Green (1-5)
17-36 // #127 Arizona (0-6) @ #79 Washington (3-3)
50-20 // #116 New Mexico (2-4) @ #128 New Mexico St (0-6)
63-14 // #33 Central Michigan (5-1) @ #129 Akron (0-6)
28-32 // #130 UConn (0-7) @ #102 Ball St (2-4)
18-17 // #103 Buffalo (3-3) @ #131 UMass (0-6)
20-35 // #0 FCS (0-7) @ #58 Army (4-2)
14-26 // #0 FCS (0-7) @ #69 Liberty (4-2)

WEEK: 8
23-16 // #19 Texas (5-2) @ #3 OK State (6-0)
28-30 // #16 Memphis (7-0) @ #56 Tulane (5-2)
17-14 // #7 Pittsburgh (6-0) @ #17 Louisville (5-1)
10-52 // #20 Iowa (5-1) @ #1 Ohio St (6-0)
10-20 // #22 Ole Miss (6-1) @ #38 LSU (5-2)
30-32 // #29 Minnesota (5-1) @ #71 Penn State (2-4)
14-40 // #41 UAB (5-1) @ #36 WKU (6-1)
34-17 // #9 Cincinnati (6-0) @ #45 SMU (4-2)
10-24 // #48 Boston College (4-2) @ #18 Wake Forest (5-1)
17-10 // #11 Texas A&M (5-1) @ #49 South Carolina (4-2)
20-33 // #50 Boise St (4-2) @ #28 Air Force (6-1)
31-32 // #51 Colorado (4-2) @ #60 Oregon St (4-3)
34-27 // #40 Western Michigan (5-2) @ #52 Miami(OH) (5-2)
24-27 // #53 FAU (5-2) @ #102 UTEP (3-4)
20-28 // #55 UCLA (4-2) @ #23 Oregon (5-1)
31-21 // #31 Purdue (5-2) @ #57 Wisconsin (4-3)
20-10 // #37 Kansas St (4-2) @ #63 TCU (3-3)
27-30 // #65 Virginia (4-2) @ #87 Georgia Tech (2-4)
32-31 // #24 BYU (5-2) @ #66 Liberty (5-2)
30-20 // #92 Indiana (2-5) @ #70 Rutgers (3-3)
17-32 // #72 Georgia St (3-3) @ #35 App St (4-2)
20-27 // #76 Washington (4-3) @ #121 California (1-5)
21-24 // #78 Mississippi St (3-4) @ #12 Alabama (6-1)
14-26 // #79 Northwestern (3-3) @ #68 Maryland (3-4)
31-10 // #75 Utah St (4-3) @ #80 Wyoming (4-3)
28-39 // #81 Eastern Michigan (4-3) @ #98 Ball St (3-4)
39-13 // #26 San Diego St (5-1) @ #83 Nevada (4-3)
24-21 // #8 UCF (6-0) @ #85 East Carolina (3-4)
23-20 // #90 West Virginia (2-4) @ #88 Texas Tech (2-4)
30-24 // #39 Houston (4-2) @ #96 Navy (2-5)
14-61 // #97 Syracuse (2-4) @ #2 Clemson (7-0)
7-57 // #99 North Texas (3-4) @ #84 UTSA (3-4)
30-27 // #108 Rice (2-4) @ #100 La Tech (3-3)
35-28 // #73 Toledo (4-3) @ #101 Buffalo (4-3)
28-37 // #103 Duke (3-4) @ #5 Miami (6-0)
38-14 // #115 Northern Illinois (2-5) @ #104 Ohio (3-4)
20-17 // #30 Ga Southern (6-1) @ #106 Old Dominion (2-4)
23-24 // #107 Arkansas St (3-4) @ #67 Louisiana (4-2)
21-17 // #61 Fresno St (4-2) @ #110 New Mexico (3-4)
23-20 // #74 Troy (4-3) @ #111 South Alabama (2-4)
17-39 // #112 Kansas (2-5) @ #33 Baylor (4-2)
30-20 // #27 Arizona St (4-2) @ #113 Stanford (1-5)
58-14 // #44 Tulsa (4-2) @ #116 Temple (2-4)
31-28 // #105 Southern Miss (2-4) @ #117 Texas St (2-5)
21-24 // #118 UNLV (2-5) @ #10 Notre Dame (5-1)
7-37 // #120 Vanderbilt (1-6) @ #64 Missouri (3-3)
27-24 // #82 Hawaii (4-3) @ #122 Colorado St (1-5)
17-24 // #124 La Monroe (1-6) @ #54 Army (5-2)
3-49 // #125 FIU (2-4) @ #123 Charlotte (1-6)
10-29 // #126 Bowling Green (1-6) @ #32 Central Michigan (6-1)
31-28 // #114 San Jose St (2-4) @ #128 New Mexico St (0-7)
0-70 // #129 Akron (0-7) @ #109 Kent St (2-5)
21-28 // #0 FCS (0-8) @ #58 Tennessee (3-3)

WEEK: 9
26-3 // #6 Cincinnati (7-0) @ #7 UCF (7-0)
30-27 // #31 Ole Miss (6-2) @ #8 Texas A&M (6-1)
17-54 // #14 Michigan St (6-1) @ #10 Michigan (7-0)
20-21 // #17 Wake Forest (6-1) @ #24 Louisville (5-2)
39-17 // #4 Pittsburgh (7-0) @ #25 North Carolina (5-2)
44-14 // #12 OK State (6-1) @ #36 Kansas St (5-2)
33-24 // #5 Utah (7-0) @ #45 Washington St (5-2)
24-31 // #48 UAB (5-2) @ #68 FAU (5-3)
47-7 // #19 San Diego St (6-1) @ #50 Fresno St (5-2)
23-20 // #13 Oklahoma (6-1) @ #51 Iowa St (4-3)
21-28 // #52 SMU (4-3) @ #41 Tulsa (5-2)
50-17 // #1 Ohio St (7-0) @ #55 Penn State (3-4)
24-31 // #57 Missouri (4-3) @ #54 South Carolina (4-3)
21-23 // #61 Kentucky (4-3) @ #56 Tennessee (4-3)
46-28 // #27 Arizona St (5-2) @ #67 Colorado (4-3)
44-21 // #15 Georgia (6-1) @ #69 Florida (3-4)
21-44 // #69 Florida (3-4) @ #15 Georgia (6-1)
7-29 // #72 Georgia Tech (3-4) @ #92 Florida St (2-5)
27-24 // #108 Old Dominion (2-5) @ #73 Georgia St (3-4)
13-45 // #74 TCU (3-4) @ #81 West Virginia (3-4)
10-48 // #75 Arkansas (2-5) @ #23 Auburn (5-2)
33-17 // #84 Wyoming (4-4) @ #76 Hawaii (5-3)
48-10 // #3 Miami (7-0) @ #78 Virginia (4-3)
21-44 // #82 Rutgers (3-4) @ #43 Minnesota (5-2)
28-35 // #85 Northwestern (3-4) @ #32 Iowa (5-2)
13-20 // #86 Middle Tennessee (3-4) @ #88 UTEP (4-4)
32-31 // #60 Toledo (5-3) @ #89 Eastern Michigan (4-4)
28-30 // #90 Nevada (4-4) @ #110 San Jose St (3-4)
20-27 // #91 East Carolina (3-5) @ #22 BYU (6-2)
41-17 // #35 Baylor (5-2) @ #93 Texas Tech (2-5)
20-45 // #94 USF (2-5) @ #39 Houston (5-2)
14-29 // #96 Virginia Tech (2-5) @ #46 NC State (5-2)
10-30 // #98 Coastal Carolina (3-4) @ #47 Marshall (5-2)
27-24 // #65 Louisiana (5-2) @ #99 Southern Miss (3-4)
28-21 // #9 Notre Dame (6-1) @ #103 Syracuse (2-5)
24-40 // #106 North Texas (3-5) @ #28 WKU (7-1)
26-17 // #115 South Alabama (2-5) @ #109 Arkansas St (3-5)
43-14 // #18 Oregon (6-1) @ #112 California (2-5)
21-24 // #116 Stanford (1-6) @ #66 UCLA (4-3)
7-51 // #117 Temple (2-5) @ #102 Navy (2-6)
13-49 // #119 Charlotte (2-6) @ #97 Rice (3-4)
21-65 // #121 Illinois (1-6) @ #38 Nebraska (5-2)
20-27 // #123 Colorado St (1-6) @ #58 Boise St (4-3)
56-17 // #107 La Tech (3-4) @ #125 FIU (2-5)
46-14 // #44 USC (4-3) @ #127 Arizona (0-7)
45-14 // #59 Boston College (4-3) @ #129 UConn (0-8)
23-7 // #128 New Mexico St (0-8) @ #130 UMass (0-7)
59-10 // #64 Miami(OH) (5-3) @ #131 Akron (0-8)
14-53 // #0 FCS (0-9) @ #34 App St (5-2)

WEEK: 10
21-38 // #4 Clemson (8-0) @ #9 Notre Dame (7-1)
20-30 // #13 Texas (6-2) @ #42 Kansas St (5-3)
14-28 // #16 Oregon (7-1) @ #68 Colorado (4-4)
20-3 // #14 UCF (7-1) @ #25 Memphis (7-1)
21-45 // #29 Baylor (6-2) @ #10 Oklahoma (7-1)
16-20 // #31 Iowa (6-2) @ #30 Purdue (6-2)
23-20 // #40 Minnesota (6-2) @ #32 Nebraska (6-2)
36-17 // #12 Alabama (7-1) @ #35 LSU (6-2)
17-20 // #36 North Carolina (5-3) @ #83 Virginia (4-4)
31-32 // #37 App St (6-2) @ #104 Coastal Carolina (3-5)
21-36 // #38 Houston (6-2) @ #63 SMU (4-4)
46-28 // #27 Wake Forest (6-2) @ #41 NC State (6-2)
31-33 // #43 Tulane (6-2) @ #34 Tulsa (6-2)
13-42 // #46 Army (6-2) @ #23 Air Force (7-1)
42-13 // #23 Air Force (7-1) @ #46 Army (6-2)
17-64 // #47 Tennessee (5-3) @ #11 Georgia (7-1)
28-31 // #49 Washington St (5-3) @ #117 Stanford (1-7)
28-24 // #19 BYU (7-2) @ #51 Boise St (5-3)
14-50 // #55 UCLA (5-3) @ #22 Arizona St (6-2)
20-32 // #57 Oregon St (5-3) @ #84 Washington (4-4)
21-55 // #59 Troy (5-3) @ #54 Louisiana (6-2)
68-14 // #70 UTSA (4-4) @ #62 UAB (5-3)
14-48 // #66 West Virginia (4-4) @ #58 Iowa St (4-4)
30-32 // #69 Kentucky (4-4) @ #67 Missouri (4-4)
13-26 // #71 Liberty (5-3) @ #86 Arkansas (2-6)
29-24 // #60 Maryland (4-4) @ #73 Wisconsin (4-4)
14-37 // #74 Florida (3-5) @ #15 Texas A&M (6-2)
21-28 // #76 Florida St (3-5) @ #6 Miami (8-0)
29-20 // #65 Penn State (3-5) @ #77 Indiana (3-5)
43-21 // #20 Auburn (6-2) @ #78 Mississippi St (3-5)
24-57 // #79 Ball St (4-4) @ #100 Kent St (3-5)
35-23 // #75 UTEP (5-4) @ #80 Rice (4-4)
23-32 // #81 Hawaii (5-4) @ #64 Fresno St (5-3)
17-20 // #82 Georgia Tech (3-5) @ #102 Virginia Tech (2-6)
17-27 // #87 Navy (3-6) @ #5 Cincinnati (8-0)
26-24 // #7 Michigan (8-0) @ #88 Rutgers (3-5)
58-3 // #1 Ohio St (8-0) @ #90 Northwestern (3-5)
7-31 // #91 James Madison (2-4) @ #18 Louisville (6-2)
14-34 // #93 Texas Tech (2-6) @ #89 TCU (3-5)
17-33 // #95 Middle Tennessee (3-5) @ #96 La Tech (4-4)
24-17 // #45 Marshall (6-2) @ #99 Old Dominion (3-5)
52-21 // #85 Georgia St (3-5) @ #103 Southern Miss (3-5)
21-23 // #105 Syracuse (2-6) @ #3 Pittsburgh (8-0)
24-37 // #106 Buffalo (4-4) @ #112 Ohio (3-5)
17-45 // #107 South Alabama (3-5) @ #24 Ga Southern (7-1)
61-24 // #33 Central Michigan (7-1) @ #109 Northern Illinois (3-5)
14-35 // #110 Duke (3-5) @ #52 Boston College (5-3)
7-39 // #111 New Mexico (3-5) @ #61 Utah St (5-3)
32-21 // #8 OK State (7-1) @ #114 Kansas (2-6)
21-58 // #115 UNLV (2-6) @ #17 San Diego St (7-1)
31-32 // #116 California (2-6) @ #44 USC (5-3)
10-35 // #118 Texas St (2-6) @ #124 La Monroe (1-7)
34-24 // #28 WKU (8-1) @ #119 Charlotte (2-7)
26-24 // #98 USF (2-6) @ #120 Temple (2-6)
29-14 // #48 South Carolina (5-3) @ #121 Vanderbilt (1-7)
33-21 // #26 Michigan St (6-2) @ #122 Illinois (1-7)
21-37 // #123 Colorado St (1-7) @ #94 San Jose St (4-4)
14-7 // #39 Western Michigan (6-2) @ #125 Bowling Green (1-7)
21-32 // #126 FIU (2-6) @ #108 North Texas (3-6)
20-29 // #128 Arizona (0-8) @ #2 Utah (8-0)
24-27 // #131 UMass (0-8) @ #129 UConn (0-9)

WEEK: 11
32-31 // #85 Indiana (3-6) @ #1 Ohio St (9-0)
17-32 // #16 Louisville (7-2) @ #10 Clemson (8-1)
20-17 // #15 Texas A&M (7-2) @ #17 Auburn (7-2)
21-44 // #22 Ga Southern (8-1) @ #50 Louisiana (7-2)
28-24 // #11 Alabama (8-1) @ #28 Ole Miss (7-2)
20-23 // #29 Tulsa (7-2) @ #34 Memphis (7-2)
14-22 // #32 Kansas St (6-3) @ #36 Baylor (6-3)
21-34 // #37 Nebraska (6-3) @ #7 Michigan (9-0)
38-7 // #49 App St (6-3) @ #38 Marshall (7-2)
24-32 // #40 LSU (6-3) @ #68 Arkansas (3-6)
17-20 // #41 North Carolina (5-4) @ #23 Wake Forest (7-2)
24-49 // #42 South Carolina (6-3) @ #79 Florida (3-6)
17-20 // #46 Iowa St (5-4) @ #9 OK State (8-1)
33-17 // #12 UCF (8-1) @ #47 Tulane (6-3)
24-20 // #44 Boston College (6-3) @ #51 NC State (6-3)
17-30 // #52 Utah St (6-3) @ #88 Hawaii (5-5)
34-14 // #57 Maryland (5-4) @ #55 Penn State (4-5)
14-17 // #56 Colorado (5-4) @ #39 USC (6-3)
17-44 // #58 Missouri (5-4) @ #62 Tennessee (5-4)
13-23 // #59 Fresno St (6-3) @ #116 UNLV (2-7)
15-14 // #101 Ohio (4-5) @ #60 Miami(OH) (6-3)
27-29 // #64 Oregon St (5-4) @ #117 California (2-7)
31-24 // #21 Arizona St (7-2) @ #67 Washington St (5-4)
32-21 // #54 Army (6-3) @ #69 Troy (5-4)
42-20 // #4 Pittsburgh (9-0) @ #71 Virginia (5-4)
10-51 // #72 Washington (5-4) @ #30 Oregon (7-2)
7-57 // #73 TCU (4-5) @ #24 Texas (6-3)
42-21 // #8 Oklahoma (8-1) @ #76 West Virginia (4-5)
28-48 // #78 Florida St (3-6) @ #105 Syracuse (2-7)
21-24 // #80 La Tech (5-4) @ #61 UTSA (5-4)
28-50 // #81 Wisconsin (4-5) @ #35 Iowa (6-3)
24-21 // #13 Georgia (8-1) @ #84 Mississippi St (3-6)
17-21 // #86 Rutgers (3-6) @ #20 Michigan St (7-2)
7-63 // #87 San Jose St (5-4) @ #14 San Diego St (8-1)
7-50 // #89 Rice (4-5) @ #27 WKU (9-1)
59-7 // #5 Miami (9-0) @ #90 Georgia Tech (3-6)
14-27 // #91 Navy (3-7) @ #6 Notre Dame (8-1)
27-14 // #6 Notre Dame (8-1) @ #91 Navy (3-7)
20-23 // #92 James Madison (2-5) @ #103 Old Dominion (3-6)
38-17 // #45 SMU (5-4) @ #95 USF (3-6)
14-58 // #96 Ball St (4-5) @ #48 Toledo (6-3)
14-19 // #98 Northwestern (3-6) @ #31 Minnesota (7-2)
21-37 // #99 East Carolina (3-6) @ #3 Cincinnati (9-0)
24-17 // #75 UAB (5-4) @ #100 North Texas (4-6)
23-10 // #63 Boise St (5-4) @ #102 Nevada (4-5)
21-49 // #106 Stanford (2-7) @ #2 Utah (9-0)
14-30 // #108 Northern Illinois (3-6) @ #33 Western Michigan (7-2)
17-23 // #109 Southern Miss (3-6) @ #82 Coastal Carolina (4-5)
7-43 // #110 Buffalo (4-5) @ #26 Central Michigan (8-1)
28-42 // #112 Kansas (2-7) @ #111 Texas Tech (2-7)
42-21 // #94 Virginia Tech (3-6) @ #113 Duke (3-6)
19-28 // #114 New Mexico (3-6) @ #18 Air Force (8-1)
7-41 // #118 La Monroe (2-7) @ #74 Georgia St (4-5)
21-28 // #119 Charlotte (2-8) @ #104 Middle Tennessee (3-6)
14-35 // #120 Temple (2-7) @ #43 Houston (6-3)
28-31 // #121 Texas St (2-7) @ #107 South Alabama (3-6)
17-27 // #122 Vanderbilt (1-8) @ #77 Kentucky (4-5)
30-28 // #25 Purdue (7-2) @ #123 Illinois (1-8)
48-17 // #70 Wyoming (5-4) @ #124 Colorado St (1-8)
55-24 // #83 Kent St (4-5) @ #125 Bowling Green (1-8)
46-7 // #53 FAU (6-3) @ #126 FIU (2-7)
19-24 // #128 Arizona (0-9) @ #65 UCLA (5-4)
56-21 // #93 Liberty (5-4) @ #129 UConn (1-9)
38-12 // #97 Eastern Michigan (4-5) @ #130 Akron (0-9)
14-63 // #131 UMass (0-9) @ #115 Arkansas St (3-6)
14-15 // #0 FCS (0-11) @ #127 New Mexico St (1-8)

WEEK: 12
10-29 // #1 Utah (10-0) @ #27 Oregon (8-2)
14-21 // #5 Miami (10-0) @ #8 Clemson (9-1)
24-39 // #7 OK State (9-1) @ #10 Oklahoma (9-1)
16-14 // #75 Oregon St (5-5) @ #16 Arizona St (8-2)
27-24 // #57 NC State (6-4) @ #22 Louisville (7-3)
24-13 // #32 Western Michigan (8-2) @ #23 Central Michigan (9-1)
24-17 // #106 Northwestern (3-7) @ #24 Purdue (8-2)
27-30 // #26 WKU (10-1) @ #25 Auburn (7-3)
28-27 // #0 FCS (0-12) @ #28 Memphis (8-2)
24-28 // #35 Iowa (7-3) @ #31 Minnesota (8-2)
14-28 // #38 Boston College (7-3) @ #6 Notre Dame (9-1)
37-28 // #92 Wisconsin (4-6) @ #41 Nebraska (6-4)
39-10 // #9 Ohio St (9-1) @ #47 Maryland (6-4)
10-30 // #48 Marshall (7-3) @ #29 Ga Southern (8-2)
26-23 // #102 Texas Tech (3-7) @ #53 Iowa St (5-5)
31-34 // #54 Boise St (6-4) @ #64 Wyoming (6-4)
17-10 // #43 SMU (6-4) @ #55 Tulane (6-4)
10-7 // #51 Tennessee (6-4) @ #56 South Carolina (6-4)
23-20 // #36 USC (7-3) @ #58 UCLA (6-4)
46-17 // #33 Ole Miss (7-3) @ #61 Arkansas (4-6)
21-24 // #62 UAB (6-4) @ #50 LSU (6-4)
27-24 // #93 San Jose St (5-5) @ #63 Utah St (6-4)
16-28 // #68 Indiana (4-6) @ #20 Michigan St (8-2)
14-15 // #70 Fresno St (6-4) @ #110 Nevada (4-6)
14-41 // #74 Liberty (6-4) @ #85 Virginia Tech (4-6)
21-10 // #78 Coastal Carolina (5-5) @ #76 Virginia (5-5)
39-24 // #13 Georgia (9-1) @ #79 Kentucky (5-5)
27-24 // #59 Colorado (5-5) @ #80 Washington (5-5)
18-17 // #37 Kansas St (6-4) @ #82 West Virginia (4-6)
14-34 // #83 TCU (4-6) @ #30 Baylor (7-3)
21-27 // #84 Old Dominion (4-6) @ #39 App St (7-3)
20-34 // #86 Ohio (5-5) @ #100 Ball St (4-6)
17-57 // #88 Syracuse (3-7) @ #18 Wake Forest (8-2)
54-17 // #52 UTSA (6-4) @ #89 Rice (4-6)
23-20 // #40 Louisiana (8-2) @ #90 Florida St (3-7)
35-28 // #60 Penn State (4-6) @ #91 Rutgers (3-7)
10-17 // #95 Eastern Michigan (5-5) @ #81 Kent St (5-5)
26-23 // #46 FAU (7-3) @ #96 Middle Tennessee (4-6)
27-28 // #97 Navy (3-8) @ #12 UCF (9-1)
24-41 // #98 Georgia Tech (3-7) @ #49 North Carolina (5-5)
41-17 // #44 Houston (7-3) @ #99 East Carolina (3-7)
14-59 // #101 USF (3-7) @ #34 Tulsa (7-3)
13-24 // #104 South Alabama (4-6) @ #115 Southern Miss (3-7)
20-27 // #105 Arkansas St (4-6) @ #122 Texas St (2-8)
6-24 // #109 UNLV (3-7) @ #77 Hawaii (6-5)
24-27 // #111 Stanford (2-8) @ #107 California (3-7)
34-21 // #71 Miami(OH) (6-4) @ #113 Northern Illinois (3-7)
35-19 // #14 San Diego St (9-1) @ #114 New Mexico (3-7)
24-39 // #116 Duke (3-7) @ #3 Pittsburgh (10-0)
33-28 // #21 Texas (7-3) @ #117 Kansas (2-8)
27-29 // #118 La Monroe (2-8) @ #72 Troy (5-5)
23-20 // #94 La Tech (5-5) @ #119 Charlotte (2-9)
21-26 // #120 Illinois (1-9) @ #4 Michigan (10-0)
35-21 // #2 Cincinnati (10-0) @ #121 Temple (2-8)
45-14 // #69 Florida (4-6) @ #123 Vanderbilt (1-9)
10-30 // #124 Colorado St (1-9) @ #17 Air Force (9-1)
21-42 // #125 FIU (2-8) @ #65 UTEP (6-4)
17-37 // #126 New Mexico St (2-8) @ #67 Missouri (5-5)
6-16 // #127 Bowling Green (1-9) @ #42 Toledo (7-3)
37-21 // #73 Washington St (5-5) @ #128 Arizona (0-10)
10-56 // #129 UConn (1-10) @ #45 Army (7-3)
21-46 // #130 Akron (0-10) @ #112 Buffalo (4-6)
14-44 // #131 UMass (0-10) @ #15 Texas A&M (8-2)
21-58 // #0 FCS (0-12) @ #11 Alabama (9-1)
17-18 // #0 FCS (0-12) @ #87 Mississippi St (3-7)
10-24 // #0 FCS (0-12) @ #19 BYU (8-2)

WEEK: 13
28-41 // #1 Pittsburgh (11-0) @ #10 Miami (10-1)
21-23 // #5 Michigan (11-0) @ #7 Ohio St (10-1)
47-14 // #16 Air Force (10-1) @ #13 San Diego St (10-1)
24-41 // #17 Michigan St (9-2) @ #57 Penn State (5-6)
23-30 // #21 Auburn (8-3) @ #8 Alabama (10-1)
33-24 // #28 Baylor (8-3) @ #22 Texas (8-3)
17-18 // #31 Tulsa (8-3) @ #44 Houston (8-3)
32-28 // #4 Notre Dame (10-1) @ #33 USC (8-3)
17-52 // #34 App St (8-3) @ #24 Ga Southern (9-2)
16-17 // #38 Tennessee (7-4) @ #123 Vanderbilt (1-10)
17-22 // #40 Toledo (8-3) @ #23 Western Michigan (9-2)
32-27 // #49 NC State (7-4) @ #42 North Carolina (6-5)
14-41 // #43 Memphis (8-3) @ #39 SMU (7-4)
49-17 // #30 WKU (10-2) @ #45 FAU (8-3)
27-24 // #54 Nebraska (6-5) @ #46 Iowa (7-4)
14-40 // #48 LSU (7-4) @ #14 Texas A&M (9-2)
35-31 // #56 Georgia St (6-5) @ #52 Marshall (7-4)
26-21 // #9 Utah (10-1) @ #53 Colorado (6-5)
24-31 // #55 Wyoming (7-4) @ #80 Fresno St (6-5)
32-27 // #19 Oregon (9-2) @ #58 Oregon St (6-5)
17-30 // #59 Tulane (6-5) @ #3 Cincinnati (11-0)
28-29 // #61 South Carolina (6-5) @ #2 Clemson (10-1)
27-24 // #75 Arkansas (4-7) @ #62 Missouri (6-5)
14-24 // #65 UTEP (7-4) @ #50 UTSA (7-4)
10-53 // #70 Hawaii (7-5) @ #78 San Jose St (6-5)
28-31 // #71 Kent St (6-5) @ #110 Buffalo (5-6)
10-31 // #72 UAB (6-5) @ #82 La Tech (6-5)
37-24 // #35 Purdue (8-3) @ #76 Indiana (4-7)
21-20 // #25 Minnesota (9-2) @ #77 Wisconsin (5-6)
31-43 // #79 Utah St (6-5) @ #60 Boise St (6-5)
34-17 // #27 Louisville (7-4) @ #81 Kentucky (5-6)
21-31 // #84 Washington (5-6) @ #68 Washington St (6-5)
10-43 // #86 West Virginia (4-7) @ #15 OK State (9-2)
40-7 // #64 Iowa St (5-6) @ #87 TCU (4-7)
27-29 // #88 Ball St (5-6) @ #66 Miami(OH) (7-4)
21-23 // #89 Virginia (5-6) @ #74 Virginia Tech (5-6)
17-14 // #6 Oklahoma (10-1) @ #90 Texas Tech (4-7)
14-47 // #91 Mississippi St (4-7) @ #26 Ole Miss (8-3)
14-26 // #92 Old Dominion (4-7) @ #109 South Alabama (4-7)
38-17 // #69 Florida (5-6) @ #94 Florida St (3-8)
21-20 // #32 Central Michigan (9-2) @ #98 Eastern Michigan (5-6)
20-36 // #100 Rutgers (3-8) @ #51 Maryland (6-5)
14-56 // #101 Georgia Tech (3-8) @ #12 Georgia (10-1)
20-37 // #102 Syracuse (3-8) @ #47 Boston College (7-4)
24-17 // #73 UCLA (6-5) @ #103 California (4-7)
27-24 // #93 Rice (4-7) @ #104 North Texas (4-7)
31-24 // #11 UCF (10-1) @ #105 USF (3-8)
7-8 // #106 East Carolina (3-8) @ #122 Temple (2-9)
31-35 // #107 Southern Miss (4-7) @ #118 La Monroe (2-9)
31-28 // #63 Troy (6-5) @ #111 Arkansas St (4-7)
27-24 // #96 Nevada (5-6) @ #112 UNLV (3-8)
38-35 // #20 BYU (9-2) @ #113 Stanford (2-9)
16-17 // #114 New Mexico (3-8) @ #124 Colorado St (1-10)
73-10 // #18 Wake Forest (9-2) @ #116 Duke (3-8)
27-47 // #117 Kansas (2-9) @ #37 Kansas St (7-4)
30-17 // #36 Louisiana (9-2) @ #119 Texas St (3-8)
24-28 // #121 Illinois (1-10) @ #85 Northwestern (4-7)
31-28 // #99 Middle Tennessee (4-7) @ #125 FIU (2-9)
7-47 // #126 New Mexico St (2-9) @ #83 Liberty (6-5)
24-35 // #127 Bowling Green (1-10) @ #97 Ohio (5-6)
54-7 // #29 Arizona St (8-3) @ #129 Arizona (0-11)
23-26 // #130 Akron (0-11) @ #115 Northern Illinois (3-8)
19-10 // #41 Army (8-3) @ #131 UMass (0-11)

I hate simulations that have UVa losing to Virginia Tech and a G5 (Coastal Carolina). Reality is bad enough, now we have to endure simulated reality. Ughhh!

On a serious note, I’m amazed by the sensitivity of SEC strength to a couple of plausible upsets (Oregon over Georgia, and Miami over Texas A&M).
04-14-2022 03:21 PM
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Crayton Offline
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Post: #25
RE: '22 Season End Simulations [SEC stumbles out the gate]
(04-14-2022 03:21 PM)Wahoowa84 Wrote:  I hate simulations that have UVa losing to Virginia Tech and a G5 (Coastal Carolina). Reality is bad enough, now we have to endure simulated reality. Ughhh!
Not the way to end the year, especially when a victory over either would have resulted in a bowl. Overall I actually have them with an 88% chance of making a bowl, and a most likely finish of 8-4. There are only 4 "likely" wins on the schedule though, so they'll have to make their own luck.

(04-14-2022 03:21 PM)Wahoowa84 Wrote:  On a serious note, I’m amazed by the sensitivity of SEC strength to a couple of plausible upsets (Oregon over Georgia, and Miami over Texas A&M).

I was mostly pointing out that both division winners lost OOC, somewhat decapitating the SEC's playoff chances. Overall, the SEC non-conference results are pockmarked with losses in this sim, not just to Oregon and Miami. Ole Miss, Auburn, and Alabama are the only SEC teams to go 4-0 OOC. Alabama had a decent win over Texas and would have made the playoff over Oklahoma if they had played and defeated Georgia.

But alas, Jimbo squeezed out another 3 point win over Saban. Makes one think a Notre Dame - Alabama game would have been a good Wild Card matchup to test the mettle of both teams. 03-wink
04-14-2022 06:20 PM
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Crayton Offline
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Post: #26
RE: '22 Season End Simulations [SEC stumbles out the gate]
Going to try a new way to display post-season results. Graphics! As always comments on improving the representation are welcome.
[Image: attachment.php?aid=11086]
(This post was last modified: 04-15-2022 01:13 PM by Crayton.)
04-15-2022 08:09 AM
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Crayton Offline
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Post: #27
RE: '22 Season End Simulations [Notre Dame on a rampage]
Preseason, Sim 1000
Notre Dame defeats 5 teams (!) who end up with 2 or fewer losses on the season (Ohio State, Clemson, USC, BYU, and UNLV). Utah and Georgia both end their seasons 11-1 yet behind USC and Kentucky (both 10-2) in their own divisions. Wow, the WildCats started their season 0-2 against Miami-Ohio and Florida before ripping off 10 straight victories. Cincinnati's lone loss was mid-season to SMU, hence their ranking 1 spot below the 11-1 Mustangs.

In the 4 team playoff, Notre Dame and the Big 12 champions are locks. Ohio State and Clemson 'should' be in with wins, but if both Oklahoma and OK State finish 12-1 it might get harry for that last spot. Add in Alabama who would be very playoff worthy at 12-1 and we might have another disgruntled fan base at the end of this one.

For the 6+ playoff models, the American Champ looks like a lock. If 7-5 Oregon defeats USC on Friday night, the Mountain West and Sun Belt Championship Games will be exciting to watch on Saturday. For my own model, hmm, putting Notre Dame in another game seems pointless. They look like world-beaters and even if they lost would still be guaranteed 1 of the 2 at large spots. New rule: a #1 at large automatically qualifies for a playoff bid and the next two at larges (#6 Utah and #8 Georgia) will play off in the Wild Card Game (their playoff bid only dubious if Oklahoma loses their CCG).

Happy Tuesday!

Top 14 and CCGs
#1 Notre Dame (12-0) **at large**
#2 Oklahoma (12-0) vs. #5 OK State (11-1)
#3 Ohio St (11-1) vs. #18 Wisconsin (10-2)
#4 Clemson (11-1) vs. #22 Pittsburgh (10-2)
#6 Utah (11-1) **at large**
#7 Alabama (11-1) vs. #11 Kentucky (10-2)
#8 Georgia (11-1) **at large**
#9 BYU (10-2) **at large**
#10 Michigan (11-1) **at large**
#12 USC (10-2) vs. #43 Oregon (7-5)
#13 SMU (11-1) vs. #14 Cincinnati (11-1)
#17 Boise St (10-2) vs. #26 Fresno St (9-3)
#23 Louisiana (11-1) vs. #32 App St (10-2)
#27 Central Michigan (9-3) vs. #47 Miami(OH) (8-4)
#40 WKU (10-3) vs. #57 UTEP (8-4)

Code:
WEEK: 0
24-21 // #53 Nebraska (1-0) @ #87 Northwestern (0-1)
21-24 // #87 Northwestern (0-1) @ #53 Nebraska (1-0)
8-7 // #72 Wyoming (1-0) @ #88 Illinois (0-1)
31-34 // #105 North Texas (0-1) @ #104 UTEP (1-0)
17-43 // #111 Vanderbilt (0-1) @ #92 Hawaii (1-0)
7-14 // #124 Charlotte (0-1) @ #93 FAU (1-0)
20-37 // #128 UConn (0-1) @ #62 Utah St (1-0)
63-7 // #64 Nevada (1-0) @ #129 New Mexico St (0-1)
14-73 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #71 Florida St (1-0)
7-47 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #46 North Carolina (1-0)
14-45 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #63 WKU (1-0)

WEEK: 1
16-13 // #5 Notre Dame (0-0) @ #1 Ohio St (0-0)
24-17 // #48 West Virginia (0-0) @ #18 Pittsburgh (0-0)
39-35 // #70 Miami(OH) (0-0) @ #25 Kentucky (0-0)
21-24 // #28 Oregon (0-0) @ #4 Georgia (0-0)
24-21 // #4 Georgia (0-0) @ #28 Oregon (0-0)
24-17 // #66 Florida St (1-0) @ #29 LSU (0-0)
17-24 // #29 LSU (0-0) @ #66 Florida St (1-0)
26-20 // #17 Utah (0-0) @ #31 Florida (0-0)
32-20 // #12 Cincinnati (0-0) @ #33 Arkansas (0-0)
15-14 // #9 Penn State (0-0) @ #38 Purdue (0-0)
21-46 // #42 North Carolina (1-0) @ #49 App St (0-0)
23-16 // #90 Ball St (0-0) @ #44 Tennessee (0-0)
22-21 // #100 Buffalo (0-0) @ #45 Maryland (0-0)
31-35 // #46 Western Michigan (0-0) @ #16 Michigan St (0-0)
21-30 // #52 Utah St (1-0) @ #2 Alabama (0-0)
17-20 // #56 Central Michigan (0-0) @ #8 OK State (0-0)
31-33 // #58 TCU (0-0) @ #84 Colorado (0-0)
32-31 // #22 Houston (0-0) @ #63 UTSA (0-0)
26-17 // #68 Tulsa (0-0) @ #64 Wyoming (1-0)
27-41 // #71 Memphis (0-0) @ #47 Mississippi St (0-0)
52-13 // #26 Boise St (0-0) @ #73 Oregon St (0-0)
31-14 // #95 Illinois (0-1) @ #76 Indiana (0-0)
19-22 // #78 Georgia St (0-0) @ #60 South Carolina (0-0)
64-21 // #85 Army (0-1) @ #79 Coastal Carolina (0-0)
38-17 // #30 NC State (0-0) @ #81 East Carolina (0-0)
28-21 // #65 WKU (1-0) @ #86 Hawaii (1-0)
10-20 // #87 FAU (1-0) @ #107 Ohio (0-0)
30-10 // #35 Louisville (0-0) @ #88 Syracuse (0-0)
21-26 // #93 Georgia Tech (0-0) @ #6 Clemson (0-0)
26-21 // #6 Clemson (0-0) @ #93 Georgia Tech (0-0)
28-31 // #94 Rutgers (0-0) @ #72 Boston College (0-0)
28-30 // #96 Kent St (0-0) @ #77 Washington (0-0)
24-42 // #97 Troy (0-0) @ #20 Ole Miss (0-0)
17-14 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #101 San Jose St (0-0)
17-47 // #103 UTEP (1-0) @ #3 Oklahoma (0-0)
24-21 // #74 Virginia Tech (0-0) @ #104 Old Dominion (0-0)
74-14 // #19 BYU (0-0) @ #106 USF (0-0)
21-35 // #108 Colorado St (0-0) @ #7 Michigan (0-0)
21-28 // #109 La Tech (0-0) @ #75 Missouri (0-0)
41-17 // #43 SMU (0-0) @ #110 North Texas (0-1)
30-21 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #113 Vanderbilt (0-1)
21-48 // #115 Arizona (0-0) @ #39 San Diego St (0-0)
17-55 // #117 Rice (0-0) @ #54 USC (0-0)
30-28 // #83 Liberty (0-0) @ #118 Southern Miss (0-0)
32-17 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #120 Arkansas St (0-0)
14-52 // #121 Texas St (0-0) @ #53 Nevada (1-0)
34-41 // #122 Temple (0-0) @ #112 Duke (0-0)
21-42 // #123 La Monroe (0-0) @ #15 Texas (0-0)
13-16 // #125 Bowling Green (0-0) @ #55 UCLA (0-0)
30-17 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #127 Akron (0-0)
39-24 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #128 UConn (0-1)
14-40 // #129 New Mexico St (0-1) @ #40 Minnesota (0-0)
35-24 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #130 FIU (0-0)
17-30 // #131 UMass (0-0) @ #98 Tulane (0-0)
24-28 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #21 Auburn (0-0)
27-31 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #10 Texas A&M (0-0)
13-20 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #23 Wake Forest (0-0)
10-34 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #32 Miami (0-0)
23-32 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #57 Virginia (0-0)
3-61 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #11 Wisconsin (0-0)
20-32 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #13 Iowa (0-0)
17-24 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #50 Nebraska (1-0)
17-20 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #114 Kansas (0-0)
7-70 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #37 Kansas St (0-0)
17-26 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #24 Iowa St (0-0)
21-37 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #69 Texas Tech (0-0)
24-27 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #14 Baylor (0-0)
17-35 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #36 Arizona St (0-0)
14-37 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #91 California (0-0)
10-63 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #99 Stanford (0-0)
7-76 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #59 Washington St (0-0)
10-22 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #34 UCF (0-0)
17-47 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #67 Navy (1-0)
17-28 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #27 Air Force (0-0)
17-52 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #116 New Mexico (0-0)
17-24 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #119 UNLV (0-0)
10-17 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #51 Fresno St (0-0)
28-33 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #61 UAB (0-0)
27-37 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #124 Charlotte (0-1)
17-31 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #80 Marshall (0-0)
31-40 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #89 Northern Illinois (0-0)
24-27 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #62 Toledo (0-0)
28-39 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #82 Eastern Michigan (0-0)
14-40 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #41 Louisiana (0-0)
10-14 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #111 South Alabama (0-0)
21-31 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #105 Ga Southern (0-0)

WEEK: 2
34-24 // #1 Alabama (1-0) @ #15 Texas (1-0)
10-9 // #16 Baylor (1-0) @ #18 BYU (1-0)
17-40 // #24 Iowa St (1-0) @ #17 Iowa (1-0)
27-24 // #69 Missouri (1-0) @ #32 Kansas St (1-0)
21-28 // #34 Arizona St (1-0) @ #6 OK State (1-0)
27-24 // #27 Louisville (1-0) @ #35 UCF (1-0)
28-32 // #38 App St (1-0) @ #12 Texas A&M (1-0)
21-22 // #39 Mississippi St (1-0) @ #117 Arizona (0-1)
14-17 // #45 Kentucky (0-1) @ #56 Florida (0-1)
28-31 // #48 South Carolina (1-0) @ #46 Arkansas (0-1)
21-45 // #49 Fresno St (1-0) @ #89 Oregon St (0-1)
21-24 // #51 Washington St (1-0) @ #11 Wisconsin (1-0)
23-26 // #54 Boston College (1-0) @ #67 Virginia Tech (1-0)
20-23 // #61 Western Michigan (0-1) @ #75 Ball St (1-0)
20-23 // #62 Tennessee (0-1) @ #29 Pittsburgh (0-1)
20-21 // #65 UAB (1-0) @ #76 Liberty (1-0)
51-7 // #20 Houston (1-0) @ #66 Texas Tech (1-0)
27-28 // #71 UTSA (0-1) @ #74 Army (1-1)
17-29 // #72 Colorado (1-0) @ #26 Air Force (1-0)
17-22 // #77 Marshall (1-0) @ #2 Notre Dame (1-0)
10-30 // #79 Eastern Michigan (1-0) @ #40 Louisiana (1-0)
20-17 // #113 UNLV (1-0) @ #81 California (1-0)
3-10 // #82 Northern Illinois (1-0) @ #43 Tulsa (1-0)
21-13 // #41 USC (1-0) @ #83 Stanford (1-0)
27-24 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #84 Tulane (1-0)
14-45 // #85 Ohio (1-0) @ #9 Penn State (1-0)
18-17 // #57 Virginia (1-0) @ #86 Illinois (1-1)
28-35 // #87 Hawaii (1-1) @ #7 Michigan (1-0)
21-28 // #90 Memphis (0-1) @ #73 Navy (2-0)
24-21 // #55 North Carolina (1-1) @ #92 Georgia St (0-1)
7-37 // #99 Kent St (0-1) @ #3 Oklahoma (1-0)
16-32 // #101 Ga Southern (1-0) @ #47 Nebraska (2-0)
10-44 // #102 Duke (1-0) @ #96 Northwestern (0-1)
24-31 // #106 Middle Tennessee (0-1) @ #105 Colorado St (0-1)
28-27 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #107 USF (0-1)
14-30 // #108 Old Dominion (0-1) @ #91 East Carolina (0-1)
16-31 // #110 Kansas (1-0) @ #28 West Virginia (1-0)
24-30 // #111 South Alabama (1-0) @ #63 Central Michigan (0-1)
51-24 // #21 Boise St (1-0) @ #112 New Mexico (1-0)
21-47 // #115 San Jose St (0-1) @ #22 Auburn (1-0)
17-30 // #119 Southern Miss (0-1) @ #31 Miami (1-0)
64-14 // #70 Maryland (0-1) @ #120 Charlotte (1-1)
35-17 // #23 Wake Forest (1-0) @ #125 Vanderbilt (0-2)
30-32 // #126 Arkansas St (0-1) @ #8 Ohio St (0-1)
10-48 // #127 New Mexico St (0-2) @ #104 UTEP (1-1)
21-24 // #128 Akron (0-1) @ #14 Michigan St (1-0)
32-31 // #93 Syracuse (0-1) @ #129 UConn (0-2)
21-31 // #130 FIU (0-1) @ #121 Texas St (0-1)
21-24 // #131 UMass (0-1) @ #64 Toledo (1-0)
17-57 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #4 Georgia (1-0)
6-32 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #59 LSU (0-1)
14-40 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #19 Ole Miss (1-0)
21-48 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #5 Clemson (1-0)
17-60 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #25 NC State (1-0)
14-56 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #97 Georgia Tech (0-1)
13-38 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #103 Rutgers (0-1)
14-21 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #94 Indiana (0-1)
24-31 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #60 Purdue (0-1)
16-23 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #36 Minnesota (1-0)
28-33 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #88 TCU (0-1)
21-59 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #42 UCLA (1-0)
7-9 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #13 Utah (1-0)
13-20 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #30 Oregon (0-1)
7-29 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #68 Washington (1-0)
28-31 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #10 Cincinnati (1-0)
17-45 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #124 Temple (0-1)
21-33 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #37 SMU (1-0)
14-41 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #78 Wyoming (1-1)
14-49 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #58 Utah St (1-1)
14-60 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #33 San Diego St (1-0)
17-24 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #52 Nevada (2-0)
14-32 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #109 La Tech (0-1)
24-30 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #118 Rice (0-1)
17-41 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #116 North Texas (0-2)
21-28 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #100 FAU (1-1)
14-30 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #80 Buffalo (1-0)
21-24 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #123 Bowling Green (0-1)
20-27 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #44 Miami(OH) (1-0)
17-51 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #98 Troy (0-1)
13-34 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #122 La Monroe (0-1)
17-44 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #95 Coastal Carolina (0-1)

WEEK: 3
24-27 // #8 Penn State (2-0) @ #20 Auburn (2-0)
31-28 // #55 Nevada (3-0) @ #12 Iowa (2-0)
23-20 // #44 Florida St (2-0) @ #21 Louisville (2-0)
24-21 // #83 UTSA (0-2) @ #25 Texas (1-1)
14-17 // #28 San Diego St (2-0) @ #14 Utah (2-0)
14-35 // #29 Miami (2-0) @ #10 Texas A&M (2-0)
21-55 // #34 SMU (2-0) @ #56 Maryland (1-1)
64-7 // #3 Oklahoma (2-0) @ #36 Nebraska (3-0)
21-20 // #26 BYU (1-1) @ #39 Oregon (1-1)
20-10 // #65 Mississippi St (1-1) @ #47 LSU (1-1)
31-34 // #48 Purdue (1-1) @ #84 Syracuse (1-1)
17-23 // #49 UCF (1-1) @ #101 FAU (2-1)
31-32 // #53 Miami(OH) (2-0) @ #11 Cincinnati (2-0)
32-31 // #11 Cincinnati (2-0) @ #53 Miami(OH) (2-0)
17-28 // #62 Liberty (2-0) @ #23 Wake Forest (2-0)
23-37 // #66 Toledo (2-0) @ #17 Ohio St (1-1)
21-10 // #18 Michigan St (2-0) @ #67 Washington (2-0)
30-27 // #22 Air Force (2-0) @ #68 Wyoming (2-1)
68-7 // #4 Georgia (2-0) @ #69 South Carolina (1-1)
20-17 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #70 Boston College (1-1)
16-31 // #71 Fresno St (1-1) @ #33 USC (2-0)
38-24 // #31 Pittsburgh (1-1) @ #73 Western Michigan (0-2)
17-21 // #75 Texas Tech (1-1) @ #24 NC State (2-0)
27-36 // #76 Colorado (1-1) @ #32 Minnesota (2-0)
20-23 // #81 Marshall (1-1) @ #121 Bowling Green (1-1)
17-20 // #82 Buffalo (2-0) @ #87 Coastal Carolina (1-1)
67-14 // #19 Ole Miss (2-0) @ #85 Georgia Tech (1-1)
21-32 // #88 Eastern Michigan (1-1) @ #41 Arizona St (1-1)
21-16 // #59 WKU (2-0) @ #90 Indiana (1-1)
13-24 // #94 Troy (1-1) @ #42 App St (1-1)
17-35 // #97 Colorado St (1-1) @ #58 Washington St (1-1)
14-53 // #99 California (1-1) @ #2 Notre Dame (2-0)
13-23 // #100 Ohio (1-1) @ #40 Iowa St (1-1)
21-49 // #106 La Tech (1-1) @ #5 Clemson (2-0)
28-46 // #107 Ga Southern (1-1) @ #80 UAB (1-1)
10-39 // #109 Tulane (1-1) @ #50 Kansas St (1-1)
39-13 // #95 UTEP (2-1) @ #110 New Mexico (1-1)
10-66 // #111 North Texas (1-2) @ #98 UNLV (2-0)
17-24 // #112 Kansas (1-1) @ #16 Houston (2-0)
31-34 // #113 South Alabama (1-1) @ #43 UCLA (2-0)
21-56 // #114 Old Dominion (0-2) @ #51 Virginia (2-0)
18-16 // #30 Louisiana (2-0) @ #116 Rice (1-1)
17-32 // #117 Texas St (1-1) @ #13 Baylor (2-0)
17-23 // #118 La Monroe (1-1) @ #1 Alabama (2-0)
40-17 // #96 Rutgers (1-1) @ #122 Temple (1-1)
21-28 // #123 Charlotte (1-2) @ #104 Georgia St (0-2)
24-34 // #124 USF (0-2) @ #38 Florida (1-1)
13-65 // #125 Vanderbilt (0-3) @ #91 Northern Illinois (1-1)
14-31 // #126 Arkansas St (0-2) @ #89 Memphis (0-2)
3-52 // #127 New Mexico St (0-3) @ #9 Wisconsin (2-0)
14-17 // #128 Akron (0-2) @ #74 Tennessee (0-2)
0-60 // #129 UConn (0-3) @ #7 Michigan (2-0)
31-21 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #130 UMass (0-2)
24-49 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #72 Kentucky (0-2)
21-43 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #45 Missouri (2-0)
17-36 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #37 Arkansas (1-1)
21-49 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #46 Virginia Tech (2-0)
14-29 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #108 Duke (1-1)
13-34 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #79 Northwestern (1-1)
28-31 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #27 West Virginia (2-0)
17-53 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #6 OK State (2-0)
24-37 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #103 Arizona (1-1)
21-23 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #64 Oregon St (1-1)
24-31 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #78 East Carolina (1-1)
21-33 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #35 Tulsa (2-0)
28-41 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #15 Boise St (2-0)
21-28 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #92 Hawaii (1-2)
28-31 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #120 Southern Miss (0-2)
17-30 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #115 Middle Tennessee (0-2)
24-26 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #60 Army (2-1)
10-38 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #105 Kent St (0-2)
20-21 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #57 Central Michigan (1-1)
17-42 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #61 Ball St (2-0)

WEEK: 4
20-30 // #9 Wisconsin (3-0) @ #12 Ohio St (2-1)
7-23 // #13 Baylor (3-0) @ #34 Iowa St (2-1)
24-21 // #5 Clemson (3-0) @ #21 Wake Forest (3-0)
14-34 // #23 USC (3-0) @ #64 Oregon St (2-1)
31-41 // #27 West Virginia (3-0) @ #49 Virginia Tech (3-0)
20-60 // #29 Minnesota (3-0) @ #16 Michigan St (3-0)
24-27 // #31 Nevada (4-0) @ #20 Air Force (3-0)
52-28 // #8 Texas A&M (3-0) @ #35 Arkansas (2-1)
28-52 // #35 Arkansas (2-1) @ #8 Texas A&M (3-0)
33-20 // #10 Utah (3-0) @ #36 Arizona St (2-1)
42-17 // #106 James Madison (1-0) @ #37 App St (2-1)
21-28 // #39 Tulsa (3-0) @ #15 Ole Miss (3-0)
17-39 // #42 Maryland (2-1) @ #7 Michigan (3-0)
10-36 // #44 Missouri (3-0) @ #14 Auburn (3-0)
3-71 // #45 Kansas St (2-1) @ #2 Oklahoma (3-0)
20-23 // #54 Oregon (1-2) @ #46 Washington St (2-1)
33-17 // #3 Notre Dame (3-0) @ #56 North Carolina (2-1)
17-24 // #57 Miami(OH) (2-1) @ #72 Northwestern (2-1)
27-17 // #59 UNLV (3-0) @ #58 Utah St (2-1)
24-27 // #60 Central Michigan (2-1) @ #25 Penn State (2-1)
10-50 // #67 Toledo (2-1) @ #38 San Diego St (2-1)
36-35 // #91 Stanford (1-1) @ #68 Washington (2-1)
24-21 // #41 Virginia (3-0) @ #69 Syracuse (2-1)
14-30 // #71 Coastal Carolina (2-1) @ #94 Georgia St (1-2)
14-17 // #73 Wyoming (2-2) @ #19 BYU (2-1)
30-27 // #48 Navy (3-0) @ #75 East Carolina (2-1)
24-17 // #18 Boise St (3-0) @ #76 UTEP (3-1)
31-39 // #77 Northern Illinois (2-1) @ #62 Kentucky (1-2)
24-27 // #78 FAU (3-1) @ #74 Purdue (1-2)
21-20 // #32 Florida (2-1) @ #79 Tennessee (1-2)
33-28 // #93 Georgia Tech (1-2) @ #82 UCF (1-2)
10-36 // #83 TCU (1-1) @ #61 SMU (2-1)
17-40 // #84 Buffalo (2-1) @ #98 Eastern Michigan (1-2)
32-13 // #26 Iowa (2-1) @ #85 Rutgers (2-1)
26-13 // #53 Texas (1-2) @ #86 Texas Tech (1-2)
29-17 // #40 UCLA (3-0) @ #87 Colorado (1-2)
17-20 // #88 Western Michigan (0-3) @ #119 San Jose St (0-2)
24-28 // #95 Boston College (1-2) @ #28 Florida St (3-0)
16-26 // #97 Arizona (2-1) @ #102 California (1-2)
17-26 // #99 Indiana (1-2) @ #11 Cincinnati (3-0)
34-21 // #96 Marshall (1-2) @ #100 Troy (1-2)
14-39 // #101 Kent St (1-2) @ #4 Georgia (3-0)
14-26 // #105 Duke (2-1) @ #110 Kansas (1-2)
24-30 // #107 Bowling Green (2-1) @ #43 Mississippi St (2-1)
16-39 // #108 La Tech (1-2) @ #113 South Alabama (1-2)
7-74 // #109 Middle Tennessee (1-2) @ #52 Miami (2-1)
33-28 // #51 Ball St (3-0) @ #111 Ga Southern (1-2)
21-35 // #114 Rice (1-2) @ #17 Houston (3-0)
24-31 // #115 New Mexico (1-2) @ #66 LSU (1-2)
68-7 // #30 Louisiana (3-0) @ #117 La Monroe (1-2)
17-41 // #118 Southern Miss (1-2) @ #112 Tulane (1-2)
24-34 // #120 North Texas (1-3) @ #80 Memphis (1-2)
13-55 // #122 Charlotte (1-3) @ #81 South Carolina (1-2)
3-28 // #124 USF (0-3) @ #33 Louisville (2-1)
14-55 // #125 Vanderbilt (0-4) @ #1 Alabama (3-0)
17-20 // #126 Arkansas St (0-3) @ #123 Old Dominion (0-3)
49-3 // #92 Hawaii (2-2) @ #127 New Mexico St (0-4)
27-30 // #128 Akron (0-3) @ #65 Liberty (2-1)
14-50 // #129 UConn (0-4) @ #22 NC State (3-0)
21-40 // #130 FIU (0-2) @ #47 WKU (3-0)
13-31 // #131 UMass (0-3) @ #121 Temple (1-2)
10-43 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #24 Pittsburgh (2-1)
14-46 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #90 Illinois (1-2)
24-55 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #104 Colorado St (1-2)
14-21 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #63 UTSA (1-2)
24-32 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #103 Ohio (1-2)
16-49 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #116 Texas St (1-2)

WEEK: 5
27-30 // #3 Alabama (4-0) @ #47 Arkansas (2-2)
37-21 // #55 Kentucky (2-2) @ #10 Ole Miss (4-0)
31-32 // #13 Michigan St (4-0) @ #51 Maryland (2-2)
21-40 // #20 NC State (4-0) @ #5 Clemson (4-0)
27-17 // #34 Wake Forest (3-1) @ #21 Florida St (4-0)
22-21 // #106 South Alabama (2-2) @ #22 Louisiana (4-0)
34-17 // #6 Michigan (4-0) @ #24 Iowa (3-1)
26-29 // #28 San Diego St (3-1) @ #16 Boise St (4-0)
28-39 // #31 Virginia Tech (4-0) @ #56 North Carolina (2-2)
10-48 // #32 Navy (4-0) @ #15 Air Force (4-0)
38-35 // #11 OK State (3-0) @ #33 Baylor (3-1)
33-31 // #83 California (2-2) @ #37 Washington St (3-1)
33-0 // #7 Texas A&M (4-0) @ #38 Mississippi St (3-1)
27-29 // #40 Oregon St (3-1) @ #8 Utah (4-0)
6-30 // #44 West Virginia (3-1) @ #46 Texas (2-2)
37-10 // #14 Cincinnati (4-0) @ #45 Tulsa (3-1)
17-20 // #48 Arizona St (2-2) @ #41 USC (3-1)
24-31 // #58 LSU (2-2) @ #9 Auburn (4-0)
35-14 // #4 Georgia (4-0) @ #59 Missouri (3-1)
20-23 // #61 Northwestern (3-1) @ #17 Penn State (3-1)
17-31 // #62 Liberty (3-1) @ #114 Old Dominion (1-3)
6-43 // #63 Stanford (2-1) @ #65 Oregon (1-3)
17-24 // #64 Purdue (2-2) @ #49 Minnesota (3-1)
16-19 // #68 Central Michigan (2-2) @ #85 Toledo (2-2)
10-19 // #71 Utah St (2-2) @ #23 BYU (3-1)
7-22 // #72 Georgia Tech (2-2) @ #26 Pittsburgh (3-1)
15-6 // #113 Temple (2-2) @ #73 Memphis (2-2)
23-20 // #107 San Jose St (1-2) @ #75 Wyoming (2-3)
31-38 // #76 Georgia St (2-2) @ #53 Army (3-1)
17-40 // #77 Illinois (2-2) @ #18 Wisconsin (3-1)
21-20 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #78 Marshall (2-2)
26-28 // #81 Washington (2-2) @ #30 UCLA (4-0)
17-32 // #91 Rutgers (2-2) @ #12 Ohio St (3-1)
10-26 // #92 Northern Illinois (2-2) @ #43 Ball St (4-0)
31-34 // #95 Texas Tech (1-3) @ #57 Kansas St (2-2)
31-28 // #52 SMU (3-1) @ #96 UCF (1-3)
50-21 // #2 Oklahoma (4-0) @ #97 TCU (1-2)
27-20 // #35 Louisville (3-1) @ #98 Boston College (1-3)
14-42 // #99 Ohio (2-2) @ #102 Kent St (1-3)
34-20 // #70 Miami(OH) (2-2) @ #100 Buffalo (2-2)
14-44 // #101 Indiana (1-3) @ #50 Nebraska (3-1)
24-21 // #94 Colorado (1-3) @ #103 Arizona (2-2)
47-24 // #25 Iowa St (3-1) @ #105 Kansas (2-2)
7-33 // #108 Troy (1-3) @ #42 WKU (4-0)
21-38 // #109 Tulane (2-2) @ #19 Houston (4-0)
19-10 // #29 Virginia (4-0) @ #112 Duke (2-2)
21-44 // #115 Ga Southern (1-3) @ #90 Coastal Carolina (2-2)
50-14 // #69 UAB (2-1) @ #116 Rice (1-3)
20-27 // #117 New Mexico (1-3) @ #54 UNLV (4-0)
16-13 // #67 UTSA (2-2) @ #118 Middle Tennessee (1-3)
24-40 // #120 La Monroe (1-3) @ #126 Arkansas St (0-4)
34-31 // #93 FAU (3-2) @ #121 North Texas (1-4)
33-20 // #87 UTEP (3-2) @ #123 Charlotte (1-4)
27-24 // #86 East Carolina (2-2) @ #124 USF (0-4)
20-13 // #130 FIU (0-3) @ #127 New Mexico St (0-5)
24-17 // #110 Bowling Green (2-2) @ #128 Akron (0-4)
32-28 // #89 Fresno St (1-2) @ #129 UConn (0-5)
21-45 // #131 UMass (0-4) @ #82 Eastern Michigan (2-2)
13-16 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #27 Florida (3-1)
7-43 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #66 South Carolina (2-2)
14-24 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #74 Syracuse (2-2)
24-27 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #104 Western Michigan (0-4)
20-32 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #60 App St (2-2)

WEEK: 6
28-47 // #6 Texas A&M (5-0) @ #14 Alabama (4-1)
16-29 // #10 Auburn (5-0) @ #2 Georgia (5-0)
17-24 // #18 BYU (4-1) @ #3 Notre Dame (4-0)
24-17 // #3 Notre Dame (4-0) @ #18 BYU (4-1)
20-17 // #7 Utah (5-0) @ #19 UCLA (5-0)
20-17 // #8 Ohio St (4-1) @ #21 Michigan St (4-1)
32-24 // #29 Louisville (4-1) @ #23 Virginia (5-0)
28-17 // #55 Kansas St (3-2) @ #26 Iowa St (4-1)
27-30 // #32 Florida St (4-1) @ #27 NC State (4-1)
21-34 // #34 Texas (3-2) @ #1 Oklahoma (5-0)
34-21 // #1 Oklahoma (5-0) @ #34 Texas (3-2)
15-10 // #93 Colorado St (2-2) @ #38 Nevada (4-1)
13-51 // #40 Ball St (5-0) @ #76 Central Michigan (2-3)
24-34 // #45 Army (4-1) @ #20 Wake Forest (4-1)
21-24 // #47 North Carolina (3-2) @ #31 Miami (3-1)
17-20 // #49 Virginia Tech (4-1) @ #24 Pittsburgh (4-1)
32-28 // #33 Arkansas (3-2) @ #51 Mississippi St (3-2)
24-31 // #52 Oregon St (3-2) @ #79 Stanford (2-2)
14-17 // #53 Washington St (3-2) @ #30 USC (4-1)
23-14 // #39 WKU (5-0) @ #56 UTSA (3-2)
16-38 // #60 Tulsa (3-2) @ #44 Navy (4-1)
24-31 // #61 Missouri (3-2) @ #28 Florida (4-1)
13-42 // #63 South Carolina (3-2) @ #41 Kentucky (3-2)
36-10 // #16 Wisconsin (4-1) @ #64 Northwestern (3-2)
28-24 // #119 Middle Tennessee (1-4) @ #65 UAB (3-1)
17-37 // #68 Toledo (3-2) @ #97 Northern Illinois (2-3)
19-28 // #72 Hawaii (3-2) @ #37 San Diego St (3-2)
24-38 // #74 Purdue (2-3) @ #35 Maryland (3-2)
35-28 // #11 Air Force (5-0) @ #77 Utah St (2-3)
27-14 // #112 Duke (2-3) @ #78 Georgia Tech (2-3)
24-27 // #81 Fresno St (2-2) @ #12 Boise St (5-0)
21-24 // #83 Coastal Carolina (3-2) @ #123 La Monroe (1-4)
10-17 // #85 Kent St (2-3) @ #58 Miami(OH) (3-2)
23-24 // #86 Washington (2-3) @ #62 Arizona St (2-3)
39-21 // #25 Iowa (3-2) @ #88 Illinois (2-3)
17-23 // #89 Tennessee (1-3) @ #67 LSU (2-3)
33-24 // #46 UNLV (5-0) @ #91 San Jose St (2-2)
40-14 // #43 Nebraska (4-1) @ #92 Rutgers (2-3)
48-23 // #17 Houston (5-0) @ #95 Memphis (2-3)
22-13 // #99 Buffalo (2-3) @ #98 Bowling Green (3-2)
21-17 // #82 Eastern Michigan (3-2) @ #100 Western Michigan (1-4)
7-53 // #102 Texas Tech (1-4) @ #9 OK State (4-0)
29-21 // #5 Michigan (5-0) @ #104 Indiana (1-4)
24-21 // #4 Clemson (5-0) @ #105 Boston College (1-4)
46-21 // #101 TCU (1-3) @ #106 Kansas (2-3)
47-14 // #54 Oregon (2-3) @ #107 Arizona (2-3)
17-10 // #73 East Carolina (3-2) @ #111 Tulane (2-3)
32-21 // #57 App St (3-2) @ #114 Texas St (2-3)
17-29 // #115 Ga Southern (1-4) @ #87 Georgia St (2-3)
32-3 // #70 UTEP (4-2) @ #116 La Tech (1-3)
34-35 // #118 New Mexico (1-4) @ #94 Wyoming (2-4)
13-57 // #120 Southern Miss (1-3) @ #113 Troy (1-4)
69-0 // #71 James Madison (3-0) @ #121 Arkansas St (1-4)
21-49 // #126 USF (0-5) @ #13 Cincinnati (5-0)
49-7 // #22 Ole Miss (4-1) @ #127 Vanderbilt (0-5)
28-48 // #128 Akron (0-5) @ #110 Ohio (2-3)
24-27 // #130 UConn (0-6) @ #125 FIU (1-3)
20-17 // #80 Liberty (3-2) @ #131 UMass (0-5)

WEEK: 7
39-35 // #24 USC (5-1) @ #6 Utah (6-0)
13-32 // #8 Air Force (6-0) @ #34 UNLV (6-0)
14-17 // #16 Auburn (5-1) @ #21 Ole Miss (5-1)
30-36 // #19 Penn State (4-1) @ #4 Michigan (6-0)
20-7 // #63 LSU (3-3) @ #25 Florida (5-1)
14-17 // #27 Miami (4-1) @ #56 Virginia Tech (4-2)
28-52 // #28 Arkansas (4-2) @ #23 BYU (4-2)
14-23 // #30 Maryland (4-2) @ #107 Indiana (1-5)
31-32 // #32 Navy (5-1) @ #45 SMU (4-1)
30-21 // #14 Wisconsin (5-1) @ #36 Michigan St (4-2)
24-31 // #37 Nebraska (5-1) @ #84 Purdue (2-4)
23-20 // #5 Clemson (6-0) @ #41 Florida St (4-2)
17-18 // #43 Iowa St (4-2) @ #42 Texas (3-3)
21-24 // #49 Nevada (4-2) @ #76 Hawaii (3-3)
30-27 // #0 FCS (0-7) @ #50 Army (4-2)
31-34 // #58 California (3-2) @ #79 Colorado (2-3)
14-80 // #59 Stanford (3-2) @ #1 Notre Dame (5-0)
27-17 // #40 Baylor (3-2) @ #60 West Virginia (3-2)
21-45 // #61 Mississippi St (3-3) @ #31 Kentucky (4-2)
21-14 // #53 Washington St (3-3) @ #62 Oregon St (3-3)
32-31 // #81 Utah St (2-4) @ #67 Colorado St (3-2)
34-19 // #83 Northern Illinois (3-3) @ #70 Eastern Michigan (4-2)
24-21 // #18 NC State (5-1) @ #74 Syracuse (3-2)
39-10 // #7 OK State (5-0) @ #85 TCU (2-3)
31-38 // #90 Kent St (2-4) @ #80 Toledo (3-3)
30-21 // #44 Minnesota (4-1) @ #92 Illinois (2-4)
31-20 // #97 Old Dominion (2-3) @ #93 Coastal Carolina (3-3)
35-24 // #11 Alabama (5-1) @ #95 Tennessee (1-4)
28-31 // #96 San Jose St (2-3) @ #88 Fresno St (2-3)
21-41 // #99 Ohio (3-3) @ #112 Western Michigan (1-5)
27-24 // #52 North Carolina (3-3) @ #100 Duke (3-3)
27-45 // #102 Memphis (2-4) @ #69 East Carolina (4-2)
21-14 // #46 Louisiana (4-1) @ #103 Marshall (2-3)
21-34 // #104 Temple (3-2) @ #106 UCF (1-4)
33-17 // #48 Miami(OH) (4-2) @ #109 Bowling Green (3-3)
40-21 // #22 WKU (6-0) @ #110 Middle Tennessee (2-4)
14-61 // #111 Arizona (2-4) @ #89 Washington (2-4)
17-20 // #113 Kansas (2-4) @ #2 Oklahoma (6-0)
17-18 // #114 La Monroe (2-4) @ #78 South Alabama (3-2)
21-52 // #116 Texas St (2-4) @ #101 Troy (2-4)
28-40 // #117 Rice (1-4) @ #87 FAU (4-2)
17-20 // #118 New Mexico (1-5) @ #128 New Mexico St (0-6)
14-28 // #119 La Tech (1-4) @ #121 North Texas (1-5)
23-20 // #66 James Madison (4-0) @ #120 Ga Southern (1-5)
28-21 // #68 UTSA (3-3) @ #122 FIU (2-3)
7-22 // #124 Charlotte (1-5) @ #82 UAB (3-2)
7-30 // #125 Arkansas St (1-5) @ #123 Southern Miss (1-4)
24-23 // #115 Tulane (2-4) @ #126 USF (0-6)
7-50 // #127 Vanderbilt (0-6) @ #3 Georgia (6-0)
40-21 // #64 Central Michigan (3-3) @ #129 Akron (0-6)
21-44 // #130 UConn (0-7) @ #57 Ball St (5-1)
41-10 // #91 Buffalo (3-3) @ #131 UMass (0-6)
31-32 // #0 FCS (0-7) @ #77 Liberty (4-2)

WEEK: 8
32-28 // #68 Purdue (3-4) @ #10 Wisconsin (6-1)
16-23 // #11 Cincinnati (6-0) @ #31 SMU (5-1)
14-29 // #18 UNLV (7-0) @ #1 Notre Dame (6-0)
32-28 // #85 UAB (4-2) @ #19 WKU (7-0)
31-24 // #7 Boise St (6-0) @ #20 Air Force (6-1)
31-28 // #105 Boston College (1-5) @ #22 Wake Forest (5-1)
17-18 // #26 Pittsburgh (5-1) @ #24 Louisville (5-1)
20-27 // #27 UCLA (5-1) @ #50 Oregon (3-3)
20-23 // #29 Iowa (4-2) @ #9 Ohio St (5-1)
27-40 // #33 Texas (4-3) @ #6 OK State (6-0)
14-52 // #34 Minnesota (5-1) @ #28 Penn State (4-2)
24-10 // #100 Western Michigan (2-5) @ #42 Miami(OH) (5-2)
22-21 // #16 Houston (6-0) @ #43 Navy (5-2)
34-31 // #61 Northwestern (3-3) @ #47 Maryland (4-3)
23-20 // #82 Eastern Michigan (4-3) @ #51 Ball St (6-1)
20-23 // #53 Arizona St (3-3) @ #64 Stanford (3-3)
31-24 // #15 Ole Miss (6-1) @ #54 LSU (4-3)
22-20 // #114 North Texas (2-5) @ #63 UTSA (4-3)
22-21 // #30 San Diego St (4-2) @ #65 Nevada (4-3)
28-39 // #69 Utah St (3-4) @ #89 Wyoming (3-4)
14-38 // #71 West Virginia (3-3) @ #104 Texas Tech (1-5)
23-20 // #62 Colorado (3-3) @ #73 Oregon St (3-4)
27-30 // #76 Mississippi St (3-4) @ #8 Alabama (6-1)
29-17 // #13 Texas A&M (5-1) @ #77 South Carolina (3-3)
10-45 // #78 Syracuse (3-3) @ #5 Clemson (7-0)
20-17 // #60 Hawaii (4-3) @ #80 Colorado St (3-3)
20-23 // #81 FAU (5-2) @ #58 UTEP (5-2)
16-13 // #17 BYU (5-2) @ #83 Liberty (5-2)
13-20 // #87 Washington (3-4) @ #72 California (3-3)
13-33 // #88 Georgia St (3-3) @ #52 App St (4-2)
50-21 // #74 Toledo (4-3) @ #90 Buffalo (4-3)
20-34 // #91 Troy (3-4) @ #70 South Alabama (4-2)
28-31 // #92 Indiana (2-5) @ #97 Rutgers (2-4)
40-17 // #44 Kansas St (4-2) @ #93 TCU (2-4)
41-17 // #36 Virginia (5-1) @ #94 Georgia Tech (2-4)
28-35 // #95 UCF (2-4) @ #57 East Carolina (5-2)
21-23 // #101 Duke (3-4) @ #41 Miami (4-2)
51-20 // #67 Northern Illinois (4-3) @ #106 Ohio (3-4)
27-28 // #109 Bowling Green (3-4) @ #59 Central Michigan (4-3)
35-10 // #66 Tulsa (3-3) @ #110 Temple (3-3)
17-20 // #111 Memphis (2-5) @ #108 Tulane (3-4)
14-77 // #112 Kansas (2-5) @ #32 Baylor (4-2)
17-36 // #116 La Monroe (2-5) @ #84 Army (4-3)
24-31 // #118 Southern Miss (2-4) @ #117 Texas St (2-5)
10-17 // #119 Rice (1-5) @ #121 La Tech (1-5)
17-24 // #120 Ga Southern (1-6) @ #86 Old Dominion (3-3)
43-10 // #102 San Jose St (2-4) @ #122 New Mexico St (1-6)
44-7 // #79 Fresno St (3-3) @ #123 New Mexico (1-6)
0-46 // #124 FIU (2-4) @ #125 Charlotte (1-6)
24-44 // #126 Arkansas St (1-6) @ #35 Louisiana (5-1)
13-34 // #127 Vanderbilt (0-7) @ #75 Missouri (3-3)
17-32 // #129 Akron (0-7) @ #98 Kent St (2-5)
14-23 // #0 FCS (0-8) @ #99 Tennessee (1-5)

WEEK: 9
18-14 // #11 Ole Miss (7-1) @ #10 Texas A&M (6-1)
40-28 // #8 Ohio St (6-1) @ #19 Penn State (5-2)
21-32 // #25 San Diego St (5-2) @ #73 Fresno St (4-3)
34-13 // #33 Miami (5-2) @ #27 Virginia (6-1)
64-7 // #6 OK State (7-0) @ #32 Kansas St (5-2)
14-22 // #34 Wake Forest (5-2) @ #16 Louisville (6-1)
14-15 // #37 Arkansas (4-3) @ #20 Auburn (5-2)
17-21 // #39 Virginia Tech (5-2) @ #17 NC State (6-1)
52-21 // #13 Utah (6-1) @ #40 Washington St (4-3)
35-10 // #5 Georgia (7-0) @ #42 Florida (5-2)
10-35 // #42 Florida (5-2) @ #5 Georgia (7-0)
24-31 // #43 Michigan St (4-3) @ #4 Michigan (7-0)
31-14 // #111 Middle Tennessee (2-5) @ #45 UTEP (6-2)
47-14 // #35 Pittsburgh (5-2) @ #47 North Carolina (4-3)
6-18 // #50 East Carolina (6-2) @ #14 BYU (6-2)
20-40 // #53 Stanford (4-3) @ #36 UCLA (5-2)
10-48 // #54 Northwestern (4-3) @ #38 Iowa (4-3)
23-19 // #31 Oregon (4-3) @ #56 California (4-3)
31-28 // #2 Oklahoma (7-0) @ #59 Iowa St (4-3)
29-27 // #69 Arizona St (3-4) @ #61 Colorado (4-3)
32-28 // #24 SMU (6-1) @ #62 Tulsa (4-3)
31-33 // #64 Toledo (5-3) @ #72 Eastern Michigan (5-3)
31-34 // #75 Wyoming (4-4) @ #55 Hawaii (5-3)
28-17 // #1 Notre Dame (7-0) @ #78 Syracuse (3-4)
28-17 // #71 Missouri (4-3) @ #81 South Carolina (3-4)
26-24 // #98 TCU (2-5) @ #85 West Virginia (3-4)
7-58 // #86 Colorado St (3-4) @ #7 Boise St (7-0)
39-9 // #66 UAB (5-2) @ #87 FAU (5-3)
14-17 // #89 Rutgers (3-4) @ #52 Minnesota (5-2)
39-3 // #74 Nevada (4-4) @ #91 San Jose St (3-4)
31-28 // #76 Old Dominion (4-3) @ #92 Georgia St (3-4)
32-31 // #30 Baylor (5-2) @ #97 Texas Tech (2-5)
7-38 // #99 Illinois (2-5) @ #48 Nebraska (5-2)
24-21 // #26 Kentucky (5-2) @ #102 Tennessee (2-5)
14-49 // #103 Georgia Tech (2-5) @ #44 Florida St (4-3)
45-0 // #22 Cincinnati (6-1) @ #105 UCF (2-5)
21-26 // #106 North Texas (3-5) @ #29 WKU (7-1)
10-49 // #108 Coastal Carolina (3-4) @ #94 Marshall (3-4)
10-59 // #113 Temple (3-4) @ #46 Navy (5-3)
32-20 // #15 USC (6-1) @ #114 Arizona (2-5)
15-12 // #119 Charlotte (2-6) @ #120 Rice (1-6)
34-20 // #28 Louisiana (6-1) @ #121 Southern Miss (2-5)
21-44 // #125 USF (0-7) @ #12 Houston (7-0)
31-17 // #117 La Tech (2-5) @ #126 FIU (2-5)
35-24 // #58 South Alabama (5-2) @ #127 Arkansas St (1-7)
49-17 // #88 Boston College (2-5) @ #129 UConn (0-8)
44-10 // #65 Miami(OH) (5-3) @ #130 Akron (0-8)
29-13 // #124 New Mexico St (1-7) @ #131 UMass (0-7)
13-16 // #0 FCS (0-9) @ #41 App St (5-2)

WEEK: 10
42-7 // #14 BYU (7-2) @ #6 Boise St (8-0)
23-33 // #7 Clemson (8-0) @ #1 Notre Dame (8-0)
17-20 // #13 Houston (8-0) @ #19 SMU (7-1)
32-10 // #39 Wake Forest (5-3) @ #15 NC State (7-1)
24-21 // #44 Florida (5-3) @ #18 Texas A&M (6-2)
17-14 // #76 Army (5-3) @ #22 Air Force (6-2)
14-17 // #22 Air Force (6-2) @ #76 Army (5-3)
21-28 // #28 Baylor (6-2) @ #2 Oklahoma (8-0)
21-30 // #29 UCLA (6-2) @ #54 Arizona St (4-4)
21-38 // #34 Florida St (5-3) @ #30 Miami (6-2)
39-28 // #21 UNLV (7-1) @ #35 San Diego St (5-3)
14-21 // #36 Navy (6-3) @ #20 Cincinnati (7-1)
33-10 // #63 North Carolina (4-4) @ #38 Virginia (6-2)
39-10 // #49 Texas (4-4) @ #40 Kansas St (5-3)
21-39 // #41 Minnesota (6-2) @ #37 Nebraska (6-2)
21-50 // #43 Hawaii (6-3) @ #52 Fresno St (5-3)
21-24 // #47 South Alabama (6-2) @ #122 Ga Southern (1-7)
24-42 // #56 Washington St (4-4) @ #62 Stanford (4-4)
47-21 // #24 Kentucky (6-2) @ #58 Missouri (5-3)
17-35 // #59 Maryland (4-4) @ #23 Wisconsin (6-2)
26-23 // #46 Central Michigan (5-3) @ #61 Northern Illinois (5-3)
24-41 // #64 James Madison (5-1) @ #11 Louisville (7-1)
36-7 // #33 Iowa (5-3) @ #67 Purdue (4-4)
20-17 // #8 Ohio St (7-1) @ #68 Northwestern (4-4)
40-21 // #12 Alabama (7-1) @ #70 LSU (4-4)
41-24 // #31 Oregon (5-3) @ #72 Colorado (4-4)
17-44 // #73 California (4-4) @ #16 USC (7-1)
34-31 // #80 Marshall (4-4) @ #75 Old Dominion (5-3)
17-28 // #77 UTSA (4-4) @ #48 UAB (6-2)
24-29 // #78 Oregon St (3-5) @ #91 Washington (3-5)
3-59 // #79 Liberty (5-3) @ #50 Arkansas (4-4)
17-44 // #83 Syracuse (3-5) @ #32 Pittsburgh (6-2)
29-27 // #17 Auburn (6-2) @ #84 Mississippi St (3-5)
18-16 // #97 Texas Tech (2-6) @ #86 TCU (3-5)
24-30 // #87 Colorado St (3-5) @ #99 San Jose St (3-5)
24-14 // #3 Michigan (8-0) @ #90 Rutgers (3-5)
14-17 // #94 Troy (3-5) @ #26 Louisiana (7-1)
30-14 // #60 Ball St (6-2) @ #95 Kent St (3-5)
24-29 // #98 West Virginia (3-5) @ #69 Iowa St (4-4)
27-34 // #101 Tulane (4-4) @ #71 Tulsa (4-4)
45-14 // #51 Michigan St (4-4) @ #102 Illinois (2-6)
66-10 // #27 Penn State (5-3) @ #103 Indiana (2-6)
31-34 // #105 Georgia Tech (2-6) @ #45 Virginia Tech (5-3)
24-31 // #106 Tennessee (2-6) @ #5 Georgia (8-0)
17-24 // #107 Duke (3-5) @ #81 Boston College (3-5)
52-21 // #88 Western Michigan (3-5) @ #108 Bowling Green (3-5)
35-28 // #96 Buffalo (4-4) @ #109 Ohio (3-5)
35-28 // #93 Middle Tennessee (3-5) @ #111 La Tech (3-5)
17-43 // #112 Texas St (3-5) @ #119 La Monroe (2-6)
34-21 // #42 App St (6-2) @ #113 Coastal Carolina (3-5)
27-36 // #114 Arizona (2-6) @ #10 Utah (7-1)
41-24 // #4 OK State (8-0) @ #115 Kansas (2-6)
31-20 // #110 UCF (2-6) @ #116 Memphis (2-6)
35-24 // #25 WKU (8-1) @ #117 Charlotte (3-6)
35-24 // #125 USF (0-8) @ #118 Temple (3-5)
37-24 // #100 Georgia St (3-5) @ #120 Southern Miss (2-6)
17-27 // #123 New Mexico (1-7) @ #85 Utah St (3-5)
26-17 // #66 UTEP (6-3) @ #124 Rice (1-7)
17-38 // #126 FIU (2-6) @ #104 North Texas (3-6)
39-14 // #89 South Carolina (3-5) @ #128 Vanderbilt (0-8)
17-20 // #131 UMass (0-8) @ #129 UConn (0-9)

WEEK: 11
30-14 // #13 Alabama (8-1) @ #9 Ole Miss (8-1)
7-34 // #10 Louisville (8-1) @ #8 Clemson (8-1)
27-34 // #11 Boise St (8-1) @ #66 Nevada (5-4)
28-24 // #42 Fresno St (6-3) @ #15 UNLV (8-1)
34-21 // #20 Wisconsin (7-2) @ #25 Iowa (6-3)
33-31 // #74 Boston College (4-5) @ #28 NC State (7-2)
24-26 // #29 Texas A&M (6-3) @ #18 Auburn (7-2)
39-38 // #61 Kansas St (5-4) @ #32 Baylor (6-3)
28-27 // #46 North Carolina (5-4) @ #33 Wake Forest (6-3)
14-17 // #34 Nebraska (7-2) @ #3 Michigan (9-0)
13-30 // #41 Florida St (5-4) @ #87 Syracuse (3-6)
20-21 // #43 Virginia Tech (6-3) @ #109 Duke (3-6)
13-22 // #45 Stanford (5-4) @ #12 Utah (8-1)
14-37 // #47 Navy (6-4) @ #1 Notre Dame (9-0)
37-14 // #1 Notre Dame (9-0) @ #47 Navy (6-4)
28-43 // #50 Ball St (7-2) @ #73 Toledo (5-4)
24-32 // #51 UAB (7-2) @ #98 North Texas (4-6)
14-17 // #55 Army (6-3) @ #97 Troy (3-6)
17-59 // #56 East Carolina (6-3) @ #17 Cincinnati (8-1)
44-10 // #24 Pittsburgh (7-2) @ #57 Virginia (6-3)
26-24 // #76 Utah St (4-5) @ #60 Hawaii (6-4)
31-42 // #62 Iowa St (5-4) @ #4 OK State (9-0)
7-64 // #64 Northwestern (4-5) @ #59 Minnesota (6-3)
21-22 // #65 Missouri (5-4) @ #104 Tennessee (2-7)
14-17 // #67 Northern Illinois (5-4) @ #75 Western Michigan (4-5)
40-14 // #49 App St (7-2) @ #68 Marshall (5-4)
14-54 // #69 Maryland (4-5) @ #21 Penn State (6-3)
20-32 // #70 LSU (4-5) @ #36 Arkansas (5-4)
45-21 // #39 Arizona St (5-4) @ #71 Washington St (4-5)
31-24 // #88 Oregon St (3-6) @ #78 California (4-5)
0-40 // #79 South Carolina (4-5) @ #31 Florida (6-3)
20-21 // #80 Washington (4-5) @ #30 Oregon (6-3)
20-6 // #63 James Madison (5-2) @ #81 Old Dominion (5-4)
21-24 // #82 Colorado (4-5) @ #14 USC (8-1)
55-14 // #5 Georgia (9-0) @ #85 Mississippi St (3-6)
28-38 // #86 San Jose St (4-5) @ #48 San Diego St (5-4)
24-45 // #93 Buffalo (5-4) @ #38 Central Michigan (6-3)
7-42 // #95 Rutgers (3-6) @ #44 Michigan St (5-4)
27-24 // #84 Wyoming (4-5) @ #96 Colorado St (3-6)
27-32 // #99 TCU (3-6) @ #37 Texas (5-4)
28-17 // #2 Oklahoma (9-0) @ #100 West Virginia (3-6)
24-28 // #101 Kent St (3-6) @ #110 Bowling Green (3-6)
24-28 // #102 UCF (3-6) @ #105 Tulane (4-5)
28-33 // #103 Indiana (2-7) @ #6 Ohio St (8-1)
60-14 // #23 Miami (7-2) @ #106 Georgia Tech (2-7)
29-20 // #77 Purdue (4-5) @ #107 Illinois (2-7)
24-47 // #108 La Monroe (3-6) @ #90 Georgia St (4-5)
17-16 // #123 Southern Miss (2-7) @ #111 Coastal Carolina (3-6)
14-49 // #112 Ohio (3-6) @ #53 Miami(OH) (6-3)
13-42 // #113 La Tech (3-6) @ #83 UTSA (4-5)
3-35 // #114 Ga Southern (2-7) @ #27 Louisiana (8-1)
17-21 // #115 Charlotte (3-7) @ #89 Middle Tennessee (4-5)
17-42 // #116 Arizona (2-7) @ #40 UCLA (6-3)
21-22 // #117 Kansas (2-7) @ #94 Texas Tech (3-6)
24-27 // #118 Texas St (3-6) @ #72 South Alabama (6-3)
14-54 // #119 Temple (3-6) @ #22 Houston (8-1)
67-10 // #58 Tulsa (5-4) @ #120 Memphis (2-7)
32-21 // #16 SMU (8-1) @ #121 USF (1-8)
24-27 // #124 Rice (1-8) @ #26 WKU (9-1)
10-17 // #125 New Mexico (1-8) @ #35 Air Force (6-3)
38-21 // #92 FAU (5-4) @ #127 FIU (2-7)
36-21 // #91 Liberty (5-4) @ #128 UConn (1-9)
21-36 // #129 Vanderbilt (0-9) @ #19 Kentucky (7-2)
51-3 // #52 Eastern Michigan (6-3) @ #130 Akron (0-9)
17-54 // #131 UMass (0-9) @ #126 Arkansas St (1-8)
31-38 // #0 FCS (0-11) @ #122 New Mexico St (2-7)

WEEK: 12
28-35 // #4 OK State (10-0) @ #3 Oklahoma (10-0)
16-19 // #5 Georgia (10-0) @ #21 Kentucky (8-2)
28-35 // #20 Houston (9-1) @ #64 East Carolina (6-4)
24-33 // #23 Miami (8-2) @ #7 Clemson (9-1)
23-24 // #25 WKU (10-1) @ #12 Auburn (8-2)
34-31 // #8 Utah (9-1) @ #27 Oregon (7-3)
17-14 // #17 Ole Miss (8-2) @ #33 Arkansas (6-4)
36-14 // #11 USC (9-1) @ #35 UCLA (7-3)
16-13 // #107 Georgia Tech (2-8) @ #36 North Carolina (6-4)
17-20 // #42 NC State (7-3) @ #18 Louisville (8-2)
28-16 // #15 Wisconsin (8-2) @ #43 Nebraska (7-3)
28-24 // #38 Iowa (6-4) @ #44 Minnesota (7-3)
20-26 // #46 Kansas St (6-4) @ #103 West Virginia (3-7)
21-24 // #48 Eastern Michigan (7-3) @ #105 Kent St (3-7)
17-40 // #49 Miami(OH) (7-3) @ #70 Northern Illinois (5-5)
35-31 // #30 Fresno St (7-3) @ #54 Nevada (6-4)
23-20 // #111 Ohio (3-7) @ #56 Ball St (7-3)
31-28 // #26 Louisiana (9-1) @ #58 Florida St (5-5)
17-33 // #60 South Alabama (7-3) @ #113 Southern Miss (3-7)
20-31 // #61 UAB (7-3) @ #80 LSU (4-6)
38-10 // #24 UNLV (8-2) @ #66 Hawaii (6-5)
21-44 // #67 Boston College (5-5) @ #1 Notre Dame (10-0)
27-39 // #68 Western Michigan (5-5) @ #32 Central Michigan (7-3)
24-21 // #6 Ohio St (9-1) @ #72 Maryland (4-6)
24-27 // #73 Northwestern (4-6) @ #65 Purdue (5-5)
14-30 // #74 Syracuse (4-6) @ #45 Wake Forest (6-4)
20-27 // #75 Colorado (4-6) @ #89 Washington (4-6)
17-14 // #19 Boise St (8-2) @ #77 Wyoming (5-5)
17-24 // #81 Oregon St (4-6) @ #34 Arizona St (6-4)
41-28 // #50 Stanford (5-5) @ #84 California (4-6)
28-40 // #85 Texas Tech (4-6) @ #63 Iowa St (5-5)
10-21 // #87 Old Dominion (5-5) @ #39 App St (8-2)
20-36 // #88 San Jose St (4-6) @ #69 Utah St (5-5)
7-33 // #91 Liberty (6-4) @ #57 Virginia Tech (6-4)
7-29 // #93 FAU (6-4) @ #82 Middle Tennessee (5-5)
42-17 // #95 Tennessee (3-7) @ #96 South Carolina (4-6)
28-23 // #13 SMU (9-1) @ #98 Tulane (5-5)
28-17 // #16 Penn State (7-3) @ #99 Rutgers (3-7)
28-33 // #100 Colorado St (3-7) @ #31 Air Force (7-3)
24-38 // #101 Duke (4-6) @ #22 Pittsburgh (8-2)
21-29 // #102 TCU (3-7) @ #47 Baylor (6-4)
10-75 // #104 Bowling Green (4-6) @ #55 Toledo (6-4)
21-24 // #106 Indiana (2-8) @ #40 Michigan St (6-4)
56-20 // #51 Navy (6-5) @ #108 UCF (3-7)
7-10 // #109 Illinois (2-8) @ #2 Michigan (10-0)
17-39 // #110 La Monroe (3-7) @ #86 Troy (4-6)
14-15 // #115 Coastal Carolina (3-7) @ #62 Virginia (6-4)
55-7 // #76 Washington St (4-6) @ #116 Arizona (2-8)
30-6 // #37 Texas (6-4) @ #117 Kansas (2-8)
30-27 // #114 La Tech (3-7) @ #118 Charlotte (3-8)
58-21 // #83 Marshall (5-5) @ #119 Ga Southern (2-8)
17-38 // #121 New Mexico St (3-7) @ #79 Missouri (5-5)
24-43 // #122 USF (1-9) @ #53 Tulsa (6-4)
27-24 // #14 Cincinnati (9-1) @ #123 Temple (3-7)
20-17 // #78 UTSA (5-5) @ #124 Rice (1-9)
37-24 // #41 San Diego St (6-4) @ #125 New Mexico (1-9)
14-28 // #126 Arkansas St (2-8) @ #112 Texas St (3-7)
17-56 // #127 FIU (2-8) @ #59 UTEP (7-3)
14-29 // #128 UConn (1-10) @ #71 Army (6-4)
51-21 // #28 Florida (7-3) @ #129 Vanderbilt (0-10)
28-31 // #130 Akron (0-10) @ #97 Buffalo (5-5)
17-34 // #131 UMass (0-10) @ #29 Texas A&M (6-4)
10-23 // #0 FCS (0-12) @ #9 Alabama (9-1)
7-45 // #0 FCS (0-12) @ #90 Mississippi St (3-7)
31-32 // #0 FCS (0-12) @ #120 Memphis (2-8)
13-34 // #0 FCS (0-12) @ #10 BYU (8-2)

WEEK: 13
16-27 // #3 Michigan (11-0) @ #4 Ohio St (10-1)
19-6 // #1 Notre Dame (11-0) @ #8 USC (10-1)
10-28 // #11 Auburn (9-2) @ #10 Alabama (10-1)
24-34 // #16 Louisville (9-2) @ #17 Kentucky (9-2)
28-21 // #22 Pittsburgh (9-2) @ #26 Miami (8-3)
24-27 // #29 Air Force (8-3) @ #37 San Diego St (7-4)
13-24 // #34 WKU (10-2) @ #98 FAU (6-5)
17-26 // #35 Oregon (7-4) @ #85 Oregon St (4-7)
27-30 // #38 Michigan St (7-4) @ #21 Penn State (8-3)
31-10 // #12 BYU (9-2) @ #39 Stanford (6-5)
27-32 // #41 Baylor (7-4) @ #36 Texas (7-4)
10-27 // #46 Tulsa (7-4) @ #27 Houston (9-2)
10-19 // #47 Nebraska (7-4) @ #32 Iowa (7-4)
17-19 // #48 UTEP (8-3) @ #77 UTSA (6-5)
23-20 // #44 NC State (7-4) @ #50 North Carolina (6-5)
24-31 // #53 Iowa St (6-5) @ #107 TCU (3-8)
14-57 // #54 Minnesota (7-4) @ #20 Wisconsin (9-2)
16-30 // #55 Virginia (7-4) @ #52 Virginia Tech (7-4)
40-14 // #28 Central Michigan (8-3) @ #56 Eastern Michigan (7-4)
40-24 // #25 Florida (8-3) @ #59 Florida St (5-6)
24-31 // #61 Nevada (6-5) @ #19 UNLV (9-2)
17-40 // #64 Utah St (6-5) @ #18 Boise St (9-2)
31-44 // #65 Ball St (7-4) @ #63 Miami(OH) (7-4)
13-16 // #66 LSU (5-6) @ #31 Texas A&M (7-4)
24-36 // #71 Hawaii (6-6) @ #96 San Jose St (4-7)
34-31 // #45 Arkansas (6-5) @ #72 Missouri (6-5)
23-20 // #49 Toledo (7-4) @ #76 Western Michigan (5-6)
26-14 // #82 Georgia St (6-5) @ #78 Marshall (6-5)
17-20 // #79 Troy (5-6) @ #126 Arkansas St (2-9)
14-21 // #80 Washington (5-6) @ #67 Washington St (5-6)
23-33 // #81 Wyoming (5-6) @ #24 Fresno St (8-3)
28-33 // #84 Syracuse (4-7) @ #69 Boston College (5-6)
19-31 // #86 Mississippi St (4-7) @ #13 Ole Miss (9-2)
41-7 // #7 Utah (10-1) @ #88 Colorado (4-7)
28-21 // #43 UCLA (7-4) @ #89 California (4-7)
20-27 // #90 Old Dominion (5-6) @ #70 South Alabama (7-4)
48-7 // #2 Oklahoma (11-0) @ #92 Texas Tech (4-7)
7-14 // #93 West Virginia (4-7) @ #6 OK State (10-1)
21-22 // #95 Kent St (4-7) @ #94 Buffalo (6-5)
20-17 // #122 New Mexico St (3-8) @ #97 Liberty (6-5)
21-35 // #99 Tulane (5-6) @ #15 Cincinnati (10-1)
35-39 // #100 South Carolina (4-7) @ #5 Clemson (10-1)
3-62 // #101 Georgia Tech (3-8) @ #9 Georgia (10-1)
24-33 // #102 Rutgers (3-8) @ #73 Maryland (4-7)
30-17 // #42 Wake Forest (7-4) @ #104 Duke (4-7)
17-14 // #105 Bowling Green (4-7) @ #106 Ohio (4-7)
10-32 // #108 Southern Miss (4-7) @ #114 La Monroe (3-8)
20-33 // #109 Illinois (2-9) @ #87 Northwestern (4-7)
26-17 // #60 Purdue (6-5) @ #110 Indiana (2-9)
28-27 // #23 Louisiana (10-1) @ #111 Texas St (4-7)
24-17 // #75 UAB (7-4) @ #112 La Tech (4-7)
30-21 // #30 Arizona St (7-4) @ #116 Arizona (2-9)
10-32 // #117 Kansas (2-9) @ #58 Kansas St (6-5)
14-34 // #118 Memphis (3-8) @ #14 SMU (10-1)
61-3 // #51 East Carolina (7-4) @ #120 Temple (3-8)
33-17 // #33 App St (9-2) @ #121 Ga Southern (2-9)
27-24 // #113 UCF (3-8) @ #123 USF (1-10)
10-20 // #124 New Mexico (1-10) @ #103 Colorado St (3-8)
17-49 // #125 Rice (1-10) @ #91 North Texas (5-6)
37-24 // #74 Middle Tennessee (6-5) @ #127 FIU (2-9)
28-7 // #83 Tennessee (4-7) @ #129 Vanderbilt (0-11)
21-24 // #130 Akron (0-11) @ #62 Northern Illinois (6-5)
22-17 // #68 Army (7-4) @ #131 UMass (0-11)
04-19-2022 06:13 AM
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Fighting Muskie Online
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Post: #28
RE: '22 Season End Simulations [Notre Dame on a rampage]
It’s interesting to see another sim for 2022 where the SEC performs poorly OOC and doesn’t have a team in contention for the playoff.
04-19-2022 07:50 AM
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Edgebrookjeff Offline
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Post: #29
RE: '22 Season End Simulations [Notre Dame on a rampage]
(04-12-2022 01:18 PM)ArmoredUpKnight Wrote:  I'm surprised to see Cincy at the top. Lots of talent players heading to the NFL. Key losses: QB Desmond Ridder, CB Ahmad "Sauce" Gardner, RB Jerome Ford, DE Myjai Sanders, and WR Alec Pierce.

I would think the top of the AAC would be:
1. Houston
2. UCF
3. ECU
4. Cincy

Its not uncommon for UCF to be favored in most models. The undefeated streak tends to skew models. So Cincy and UCF having recent undefeated regular seasons outweighs the progress teams like Houston and ECU have made.

Yes, Cincy has more guys going to the NFL than ever before in their history. They also have a good many guys with lots of experience coming back for another year. Plus they will benefit from a few portal guys coming in as well as some highly rated recruits that are ready for more PT. They have a very favorable schedule as they have neither Memphis nor Houston on the schedule. It would not be a surprise if they come close to repeating the success from last year.
04-19-2022 09:22 AM
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Crayton Offline
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Post: #30
RE: '22 Season End Simulations [Notre Dame on a rampage]
(04-19-2022 07:50 AM)Fighting Muskie Wrote:  
(04-19-2022 06:13 AM)Crayton Wrote:  Preseason, Sim 1000
Top 14 and CCGs
#1 Notre Dame (12-0) **at large**
#2 Oklahoma (12-0) vs. #5 OK State (11-1)
#3 Ohio St (11-1) vs. #18 Wisconsin (10-2)
#4 Clemson (11-1) vs. #22 Pittsburgh (10-2)
#6 Utah (11-1) **at large**
#7 Alabama (11-1) vs. #11 Kentucky (10-2)
#8 Georgia (11-1) **at large**
#9 BYU (10-2) **at large**
#10 Michigan (11-1) **at large**
#12 USC (10-2) vs. #43 Oregon (7-5)

It’s interesting to see another sim for 2022 where the SEC performs poorly OOC and doesn’t have a team in contention for the playoff.

The SEC is actually the #1 conference, but Notre Dame is in a league of their own to the point where a loss to ND (Clemson, Ohio State, BYU, USC) almost doesn't count. I went ahead and simmed the probabilities each team makes the playoff. 3 teams between Alabama and the playoff (2 birds with 1 stone if OU>OSU).

1) 12-0 Notre Dame (100%)
2) 13-0 Oklahoma (100%)
3) 12-1 Ohio St (100%)
4) 12-1 OK State (100%)
5a) 12-1 Clemson (97%)
5b) 12-1 Oklahoma (62%)
7) 12-1 Alabama (42%)
8) 11-1 Utah (22%)
9a) 11-2 Ohio State (7%)
9b) 11-2 Kentucky (1%)
9c) 11-1 Georgia (<1%)

The only comparison that makes me frown is Ohio State > UK/UGA, because at 2 losses I think Championships should matter a bit more. It looks like in a handful of sims Ohio State gets beat bad enough that they do fall all the way out.


Attached File(s)
.png  sim1000.png (Size: 286.41 KB / Downloads: 178)
(This post was last modified: 04-21-2022 08:59 AM by Crayton.)
04-20-2022 06:59 AM
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Crayton Offline
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Post: #31
RE: '22 Season End Simulations [Notre Dame on a rampage]
That escalated quickly. #7 Alabama beats Kentucky, gets the break of both OK State and Clemson losing, and snags spot #4. They then whip the "rampaging" Irish and edge out Ohio State to take home yet another National Championship.

In the expanded playoffs, Boise State is the 6th champion after the Pac-12 crowns 8-5 Oregon; the Broncos lose in the Sugar Bowl of both models. I took the liberty of bracketing semifinalists in the 6+6 based on the highest ranked team; it would have been "wrong" for #1 14-0 Notre Dame to meet #2 14-0 Oklahoma in the semifinal. I almost switched Utah and Georgia too, for a playoff Holy War and potential 'Bama-Georgia matchup, but kept to the rankings.
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04-21-2022 09:11 AM
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Scoochpooch1 Offline
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Post: #32
RE: '22 Season End Simulations [Notre Dame on a rampage]
Is Notre Dame playing as terrible a schedule as they did in 2021? Yet almost lost to FSU (tied) and Ohio (QB and coach don't understand timing rules).
04-21-2022 09:21 AM
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Crayton Offline
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Post: #33
RE: '22 Season End Simulations [Notre Dame on a rampage]
(04-21-2022 09:21 AM)Scoochpooch1 Wrote:  Is Notre Dame playing as terrible a schedule as they did in 2021? Yet almost lost to FSU (tied) and Ohio (QB and coach don't understand timing rules).

Notre Dame got VERY lucky the first weeks of last year and their best win was... Wisconsin? This year they have 2! playoff contenders on the schedule: Ohio State and Clemson. Going 11-1 'should' look better this year compared to last year; even if the bottom 2/3rds of the schedule is still pretty junky.

As for Sim 1000, above, not only did Ohio State and Clemson finish 11-1, but the Irish also got stellar years from UNLV, BYU, and USC, who finished 10-2. Their rating was so high they reached "crown them" level even before the post-season (Oklahoma and Ohio State reached "BCS finalist" level, while Clemson, OK State, and Utah reached "put 'em in a playoff" level; Alabama got there after their SEC Championship while OKSt and Clemson fell out).

Fun note, for sim 125, all 9 playoff teams (6 champs, previous #1 Clemson, and 2 Wild Card teams) were the 9 teams at the "put 'em in a playoff" level.
(This post was last modified: 04-21-2022 11:20 AM by Crayton.)
04-21-2022 10:35 AM
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Crayton Offline
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Post: #34
RE: '22 Season End Simulations [Eight Undefeateds!]
I may finish up this week and let this thread sit until August.

Simulation is not an exact science. How much randomness do you inject? what range should that randomness include? do different teams have different ranges? I've updated the sim machine in a few ways. (1) more offense and (2) teams randomly trend better/worse through a season balanced by (3) a little bit more early season randomness to keep a realistic distribution of records.

That brings us to... Sim 125b. The Big Ten, SEC, and ACC games look like play-ins. As always, it is tough to gauge how far a 12-0 Power team will fall with a loss, but there certainly seem to be a lot of teams vying for the playoff. Iowa State (nice to see a new face) is likely in with a win; Utah, playing 8-4 Oregon, probably needs some help, and I'd put Cincinnati as a long shot.

Week 14 Games and Top 14
#1 Ohio St (12-0) vs. #9 Wisconsin (11-1)
#2 Clemson (12-0) vs. #4 Pittsburgh (12-0)
#3 Georgia (12-0) vs. #7 Alabama (11-1)
#5 Iowa St (12-0) vs. #14 Oklahoma (10-2)
#6 Utah (12-0) vs. #32 Oregon (8-4)
#8 Cincinnati (12-0) vs. #16 Houston (10-2)
#10 Notre Dame (10-2) **at large**
#11 Michigan (11-1) **at large**
#12 Wake Forest (11-1) **at large**
#13 Wyoming (11-1) vs. #46 Fresno St (9-3)
#15 Louisiana (12-0) vs. #28 App St (10-2)
#33 Toledo (10-2) vs. #80 Miami(OH) (7-5)
#41 FAU (10-2) vs. #47 WKU (10-3)

For the 6+6, byes roughly follow the above stakes for 4-team playoff spots. Wyoming and Louisiana need losses by Utah and/or Cincinnati to qualify as Top 6 champs; can't tell if Houston, with 2 losses, can jump those two if they take out undefeated Cincinnati. At larges should be the 3 listed, ACCCG loser, and the last 2 spots going to any undefeated P5 who loses and maybe Wisconsin or Alabama.

For my Wild Card Model, #11 Michigan makes it (vs. #10 Notre Dame) while #12 Wake Forest does not.
Code:
WEEK: 0
44-35 // #53 Nebraska (1-0) @ #86 Northwestern (0-1)
35-44 // #86 Northwestern (0-1) @ #53 Nebraska (1-0)
30-27 // #72 Wyoming (1-0) @ #88 Illinois (0-1)
26-29 // #105 North Texas (0-1) @ #104 UTEP (1-0)
31-51 // #111 Vanderbilt (0-1) @ #92 Hawaii (1-0)
31-33 // #124 Charlotte (0-1) @ #93 FAU (1-0)
24-31 // #128 UConn (0-1) @ #62 Utah St (1-0)
70-21 // #64 Nevada (1-0) @ #129 New Mexico St (0-1)
17-35 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #71 Florida St (1-0)
24-40 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #46 North Carolina (1-0)
6-8 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #63 WKU (1-0)

WEEK: 1
33-34 // #5 Notre Dame (0-0) @ #1 Ohio St (0-0)
35-36 // #22 Houston (0-0) @ #61 UTSA (0-0)
21-23 // #26 Boise St (0-0) @ #72 Oregon St (0-0)
28-29 // #28 Oregon (0-0) @ #4 Georgia (0-0)
29-28 // #4 Georgia (0-0) @ #28 Oregon (0-0)
49-31 // #17 Utah (0-0) @ #31 Florida (0-0)
44-21 // #12 Cincinnati (0-0) @ #32 Arkansas (0-0)
28-23 // #9 Penn State (0-0) @ #38 Purdue (0-0)
14-38 // #45 Western Michigan (0-0) @ #16 Michigan St (0-0)
23-21 // #70 Memphis (0-0) @ #46 Mississippi St (0-0)
28-49 // #47 West Virginia (0-0) @ #18 Pittsburgh (0-0)
27-32 // #48 North Carolina (1-0) @ #49 App St (0-0)
24-62 // #54 Central Michigan (0-0) @ #8 OK State (0-0)
31-38 // #56 TCU (0-0) @ #84 Colorado (0-0)
14-57 // #62 Utah St (1-0) @ #2 Alabama (0-0)
35-63 // #63 Army (1-0) @ #79 Coastal Carolina (0-0)
28-35 // #65 Tulsa (0-0) @ #66 Wyoming (1-0)
24-40 // #68 Miami(OH) (0-0) @ #25 Kentucky (0-0)
31-38 // #69 WKU (1-0) @ #87 Hawaii (1-0)
27-36 // #75 Florida St (1-0) @ #29 LSU (0-0)
36-27 // #29 LSU (0-0) @ #75 Florida St (1-0)
21-23 // #78 Georgia St (0-0) @ #57 South Carolina (0-0)
59-21 // #30 NC State (0-0) @ #81 East Carolina (0-0)
50-20 // #35 Louisville (0-0) @ #85 Syracuse (0-0)
17-46 // #88 Ball St (0-0) @ #42 Tennessee (0-0)
13-56 // #93 Georgia Tech (0-0) @ #6 Clemson (0-0)
56-13 // #6 Clemson (0-0) @ #93 Georgia Tech (0-0)
21-55 // #94 Rutgers (0-0) @ #71 Boston College (0-0)
27-40 // #95 Illinois (0-1) @ #76 Indiana (0-0)
28-38 // #96 Kent St (0-0) @ #77 Washington (0-0)
34-36 // #97 Troy (0-0) @ #19 Ole Miss (0-0)
24-49 // #100 Buffalo (0-0) @ #44 Maryland (0-0)
14-46 // #103 UTEP (1-0) @ #3 Oklahoma (0-0)
27-24 // #73 Virginia Tech (0-0) @ #104 Old Dominion (0-0)
50-13 // #20 BYU (0-0) @ #106 USF (0-0)
39-10 // #89 FAU (1-0) @ #107 Ohio (0-0)
21-31 // #108 Colorado St (0-0) @ #7 Michigan (0-0)
35-43 // #109 La Tech (0-0) @ #74 Missouri (0-0)
61-24 // #43 SMU (0-0) @ #110 North Texas (0-1)
23-28 // #115 Arizona (0-0) @ #39 San Diego St (0-0)
23-30 // #117 Rice (0-0) @ #52 USC (0-0)
42-31 // #83 Liberty (0-0) @ #118 Southern Miss (0-0)
24-36 // #121 Texas St (0-0) @ #64 Nevada (1-0)
24-64 // #122 La Monroe (0-0) @ #15 Texas (0-0)
21-35 // #123 Temple (0-0) @ #112 Duke (0-0)
17-54 // #125 Bowling Green (0-0) @ #53 UCLA (0-0)
31-41 // #129 New Mexico St (0-1) @ #40 Minnesota (0-0)
14-84 // #131 UMass (0-0) @ #98 Tulane (0-0)
31-42 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #113 Vanderbilt (0-1)
30-51 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #21 Auburn (0-0)
20-38 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #10 Texas A&M (0-0)
21-35 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #23 Wake Forest (0-0)
20-23 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #33 Miami (0-0)
17-24 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #55 Virginia (0-0)
24-31 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #11 Wisconsin (0-0)
10-19 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #13 Iowa (0-0)
14-58 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #50 Nebraska (1-0)
31-34 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #114 Kansas (0-0)
30-47 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #37 Kansas St (0-0)
28-56 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #24 Iowa St (0-0)
17-51 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #67 Texas Tech (0-0)
27-48 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #14 Baylor (0-0)
31-38 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #36 Arizona St (0-0)
20-23 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #90 California (0-0)
17-48 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #99 Stanford (0-0)
13-64 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #58 Washington St (0-0)
14-35 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #128 UConn (0-1)
17-69 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #34 UCF (0-0)
20-27 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #92 Navy (0-1)
14-20 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #27 Air Force (0-0)
24-43 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #116 New Mexico (0-0)
14-42 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #119 UNLV (0-0)
17-63 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #51 Fresno St (0-0)
31-32 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #101 San Jose St (0-0)
17-56 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #60 UAB (0-0)
24-46 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #124 Charlotte (0-1)
17-20 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #80 Marshall (0-0)
27-42 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #130 FIU (0-0)
16-39 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #127 Akron (0-0)
31-38 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #86 Northern Illinois (0-0)
17-34 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #59 Toledo (0-0)
24-40 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #82 Eastern Michigan (0-0)
14-46 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #120 Arkansas St (0-0)
17-44 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #41 Louisiana (0-0)
24-37 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #111 South Alabama (0-0)
27-36 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #105 Ga Southern (0-0)

WEEK: 2
54-24 // #2 Alabama (1-0) @ #16 Texas (1-0)
24-43 // #17 Baylor (1-0) @ #18 BYU (1-0)
26-13 // #24 Iowa St (1-0) @ #19 Iowa (1-0)
20-23 // #29 Houston (0-1) @ #68 Texas Tech (1-0)
36-27 // #28 Louisville (1-0) @ #31 UCF (1-0)
20-23 // #32 Tennessee (1-0) @ #15 Pittsburgh (1-0)
37-21 // #21 Kentucky (1-0) @ #37 Florida (0-1)
27-57 // #39 Arizona St (1-0) @ #6 OK State (1-0)
24-43 // #41 App St (1-0) @ #11 Texas A&M (1-0)
31-24 // #69 Missouri (1-0) @ #42 Kansas St (1-0)
28-29 // #45 UTSA (1-0) @ #74 Army (1-1)
34-37 // #50 South Carolina (1-0) @ #38 Arkansas (0-1)
31-30 // #49 Fresno St (1-0) @ #52 Oregon St (1-0)
27-30 // #53 Memphis (1-0) @ #96 Navy (1-1)
24-31 // #55 Washington St (1-0) @ #13 Wisconsin (1-0)
24-26 // #56 Boston College (1-0) @ #70 Virginia Tech (1-0)
31-39 // #57 UAB (1-0) @ #75 Liberty (1-0)
17-20 // #62 North Carolina (1-1) @ #84 Georgia St (0-1)
21-48 // #73 Colorado (1-0) @ #30 Air Force (1-0)
10-45 // #79 Hawaii (2-0) @ #8 Michigan (1-0)
17-65 // #80 Marshall (1-0) @ #7 Notre Dame (0-1)
26-23 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #81 FAU (2-0)
21-63 // #86 Eastern Michigan (1-0) @ #44 Louisiana (1-0)
17-54 // #89 Northern Illinois (1-0) @ #76 Tulsa (0-1)
53-21 // #48 USC (1-0) @ #93 Stanford (1-0)
40-30 // #59 Western Michigan (0-1) @ #94 Ball St (0-1)
23-31 // #99 Kent St (0-1) @ #4 Oklahoma (1-0)
41-17 // #63 Virginia (1-0) @ #100 Illinois (0-2)
20-34 // #101 San Jose St (1-0) @ #22 Auburn (1-0)
32-31 // #92 Middle Tennessee (1-0) @ #104 Colorado St (0-1)
27-29 // #105 Ga Southern (1-0) @ #51 Nebraska (2-0)
7-63 // #106 Duke (1-0) @ #90 Northwestern (0-1)
34-39 // #108 Old Dominion (0-1) @ #85 East Carolina (0-1)
21-72 // #110 Ohio (0-1) @ #9 Penn State (1-0)
31-33 // #112 South Alabama (1-0) @ #65 Central Michigan (0-1)
35-24 // #23 Wake Forest (1-0) @ #113 Vanderbilt (1-1)
24-27 // #114 Kansas (1-0) @ #60 West Virginia (0-1)
44-31 // #61 Mississippi St (0-1) @ #115 Arizona (0-1)
34-31 // #33 Boise St (0-1) @ #116 New Mexico (1-0)
26-23 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #117 Rice (0-1)
21-71 // #118 UNLV (1-0) @ #91 California (1-0)
28-53 // #119 Southern Miss (0-1) @ #34 Miami (1-0)
21-49 // #120 Arkansas St (1-0) @ #1 Ohio St (1-0)
29-27 // #40 Maryland (1-0) @ #122 Charlotte (1-1)
14-35 // #127 Akron (1-0) @ #14 Michigan St (1-0)
21-38 // #128 FIU (1-0) @ #121 Texas St (0-1)
30-27 // #88 Syracuse (0-1) @ #129 UConn (1-1)
24-43 // #130 New Mexico St (0-2) @ #103 UTEP (1-1)
31-45 // #131 UMass (0-1) @ #67 Toledo (1-0)
13-69 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #3 Georgia (1-0)
38-41 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #26 LSU (1-0)
13-21 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #20 Ole Miss (1-0)
13-59 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #5 Clemson (1-0)
35-42 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #25 NC State (1-0)
38-41 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #95 Georgia Tech (0-1)
24-27 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #98 Rutgers (0-1)
28-50 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #72 Indiana (1-0)
10-53 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #47 Purdue (0-1)
27-38 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #43 Minnesota (1-0)
17-38 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #77 TCU (0-1)
28-37 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #46 UCLA (1-0)
28-31 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #12 Utah (1-0)
35-39 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #27 Oregon (0-1)
17-48 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #71 Washington (1-0)
24-45 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #10 Cincinnati (1-0)
24-69 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #107 USF (0-1)
20-42 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #124 Temple (0-1)
17-51 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #35 SMU (1-0)
31-43 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #87 Tulane (1-0)
28-50 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #54 Wyoming (2-0)
31-34 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #66 Utah St (1-1)
31-34 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #36 San Diego St (1-0)
21-26 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #58 Nevada (2-0)
24-27 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #109 La Tech (0-1)
28-34 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #111 North Texas (0-2)
35-36 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #102 Buffalo (0-1)
17-30 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #126 Bowling Green (0-1)
23-24 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #78 Miami(OH) (0-1)
24-39 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #97 Troy (0-1)
27-48 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #123 La Monroe (0-1)
14-53 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #64 Coastal Carolina (1-0)

WEEK: 3
24-37 // #9 Penn State (2-0) @ #21 Auburn (2-0)
17-21 // #26 Air Force (2-0) @ #53 Wyoming (3-0)
31-27 // #59 Mississippi St (1-1) @ #28 LSU (2-0)
38-39 // #30 Miami (2-0) @ #10 Texas A&M (2-0)
21-49 // #32 SMU (2-0) @ #36 Maryland (2-0)
27-13 // #12 BYU (2-0) @ #33 Oregon (1-1)
17-21 // #37 UCF (1-1) @ #99 FAU (2-1)
14-67 // #38 Fresno St (2-0) @ #40 USC (2-0)
20-21 // #39 Purdue (1-1) @ #90 Syracuse (1-1)
21-28 // #41 San Diego St (2-0) @ #17 Utah (2-0)
28-27 // #4 Oklahoma (2-0) @ #45 Nebraska (3-0)
17-37 // #48 Texas Tech (2-0) @ #25 NC State (2-0)
32-31 // #13 Pittsburgh (2-0) @ #52 Western Michigan (1-1)
31-43 // #58 UTSA (1-1) @ #18 Texas (1-1)
21-28 // #61 Liberty (2-0) @ #24 Wake Forest (2-0)
69-21 // #3 Georgia (2-0) @ #62 South Carolina (1-1)
24-42 // #67 Nevada (3-0) @ #27 Iowa (1-1)
33-31 // #15 Michigan St (2-0) @ #68 Washington (2-0)
52-17 // #88 WKU (1-1) @ #71 Indiana (2-0)
31-48 // #73 Toledo (2-0) @ #1 Ohio St (2-0)
24-68 // #78 Miami(OH) (1-1) @ #11 Cincinnati (2-0)
68-24 // #11 Cincinnati (2-0) @ #78 Miami(OH) (1-1)
21-26 // #79 Colorado (1-1) @ #44 Minnesota (2-0)
10-72 // #83 California (2-0) @ #5 Notre Dame (1-1)
21-71 // #85 Tulane (2-0) @ #57 Kansas St (1-1)
13-51 // #87 Florida St (1-1) @ #20 Louisville (2-0)
24-29 // #91 Eastern Michigan (1-1) @ #46 Arizona St (1-1)
46-24 // #22 Ole Miss (2-0) @ #92 Georgia Tech (1-1)
17-34 // #93 Troy (1-1) @ #42 App St (1-1)
14-45 // #95 UTEP (2-1) @ #116 New Mexico (1-1)
21-60 // #102 Buffalo (1-1) @ #55 Coastal Carolina (2-0)
24-45 // #103 USF (1-1) @ #47 Florida (0-2)
23-32 // #104 Ga Southern (1-1) @ #75 UAB (1-1)
14-47 // #106 Colorado St (0-2) @ #66 Washington St (1-1)
28-31 // #107 Old Dominion (0-2) @ #54 Virginia (2-0)
21-32 // #108 La Tech (1-1) @ #6 Clemson (2-0)
27-50 // #110 South Alabama (1-1) @ #51 UCLA (2-0)
17-34 // #112 Texas St (1-1) @ #23 Baylor (1-1)
35-37 // #113 Vanderbilt (1-2) @ #98 Northern Illinois (1-1)
27-36 // #114 Ohio (0-2) @ #19 Iowa St (2-0)
10-67 // #115 Kansas (1-1) @ #43 Houston (0-2)
27-39 // #117 Arkansas St (1-1) @ #72 Memphis (1-1)
14-60 // #120 La Monroe (1-1) @ #2 Alabama (2-0)
24-23 // #111 North Texas (1-2) @ #121 UNLV (1-1)
24-33 // #122 Charlotte (1-2) @ #74 Georgia St (1-1)
49-24 // #100 Rutgers (1-1) @ #124 Temple (1-1)
41-31 // #31 Louisiana (2-0) @ #125 Rice (0-2)
23-3 // #89 Marshall (1-1) @ #126 Bowling Green (1-1)
16-23 // #127 Akron (1-1) @ #35 Tennessee (1-1)
17-33 // #128 UConn (1-2) @ #8 Michigan (2-0)
27-47 // #130 New Mexico St (0-3) @ #14 Wisconsin (2-0)
16-23 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #16 Kentucky (2-0)
27-39 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #49 Missouri (2-0)
34-45 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #29 Arkansas (1-1)
28-42 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #70 Boston College (1-1)
20-35 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #50 Virginia Tech (2-0)
24-37 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #109 Duke (1-1)
28-31 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #82 Northwestern (1-1)
27-60 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #56 West Virginia (1-1)
27-45 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #7 OK State (2-0)
28-41 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #118 Arizona (0-2)
24-38 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #63 Oregon St (1-1)
17-72 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #81 East Carolina (1-1)
17-54 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #65 Tulsa (1-1)
23-40 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #34 Boise St (1-1)
21-37 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #80 Hawaii (2-1)
28-49 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #119 Southern Miss (0-2)
21-63 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #84 Middle Tennessee (2-0)
28-29 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #60 Army (2-1)
21-24 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #131 UMass (0-2)
21-67 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #96 Kent St (0-2)
24-27 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #64 Central Michigan (1-1)
28-51 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #94 Ball St (0-2)

WEEK: 4
26-24 // #31 Wyoming (4-0) @ #9 BYU (3-0)
28-31 // #15 Wisconsin (3-0) @ #1 Ohio St (3-0)
28-34 // #18 Texas (2-1) @ #53 Texas Tech (2-1)
48-28 // #6 Clemson (3-0) @ #23 Wake Forest (3-0)
24-36 // #25 Baylor (2-1) @ #20 Iowa St (3-0)
24-27 // #26 Maryland (3-0) @ #7 Michigan (3-0)
43-23 // #10 Texas A&M (3-0) @ #32 Arkansas (2-1)
23-43 // #32 Arkansas (2-1) @ #10 Texas A&M (3-0)
20-23 // #36 Minnesota (3-0) @ #13 Michigan St (3-0)
24-27 // #37 Coastal Carolina (3-0) @ #67 Georgia St (2-1)
21-14 // #16 Utah (3-0) @ #43 Arizona St (2-1)
23-26 // #44 Kansas St (2-1) @ #4 Oklahoma (3-0)
24-28 // #45 UCLA (3-0) @ #88 Colorado (1-2)
35-28 // #84 TCU (1-1) @ #47 SMU (2-1)
24-31 // #48 Florida (1-2) @ #33 Tennessee (2-1)
17-29 // #49 Virginia (3-0) @ #70 Syracuse (2-1)
31-36 // #50 Missouri (3-0) @ #14 Auburn (3-0)
55-24 // #34 Oregon (1-2) @ #51 Washington St (2-1)
23-9 // #74 Toledo (2-1) @ #52 San Diego St (2-1)
17-20 // #54 Western Michigan (1-2) @ #101 San Jose St (1-1)
34-10 // #56 West Virginia (2-1) @ #55 Virginia Tech (3-0)
32-31 // #100 Georgia Tech (1-2) @ #58 UCF (1-2)
26-23 // #83 FAU (3-1) @ #60 Purdue (1-2)
27-30 // #62 Tulsa (2-1) @ #24 Ole Miss (3-0)
20-23 // #69 Middle Tennessee (3-0) @ #35 Miami (2-1)
44-31 // #27 USC (3-0) @ #71 Oregon St (2-1)
24-27 // #75 Central Michigan (2-1) @ #19 Penn State (2-1)
20-35 // #77 Nevada (3-1) @ #40 Air Force (2-1)
69-28 // #5 Notre Dame (2-1) @ #78 North Carolina (1-2)
21-40 // #80 Marshall (2-1) @ #97 Troy (1-2)
7-41 // #85 Navy (2-1) @ #79 East Carolina (2-1)
17-52 // #86 Indiana (2-1) @ #12 Cincinnati (3-0)
21-48 // #89 Miami(OH) (1-2) @ #82 Northwestern (2-1)
31-28 // #76 Boston College (2-1) @ #90 Florida St (1-2)
38-39 // #91 Stanford (1-1) @ #68 Washington (2-1)
24-20 // #29 Iowa (2-1) @ #92 Rutgers (2-1)
24-55 // #94 Northern Illinois (2-1) @ #21 Kentucky (3-0)
7-36 // #95 Kent St (1-2) @ #3 Georgia (3-0)
28-39 // #98 New Mexico (2-1) @ #42 LSU (2-1)
39-21 // #41 Boise St (2-1) @ #103 UTEP (2-2)
30-33 // #104 USF (1-2) @ #17 Louisville (3-0)
14-35 // #105 Buffalo (1-2) @ #96 Eastern Michigan (1-2)
28-14 // #99 Ball St (1-2) @ #106 Ga Southern (1-2)
37-39 // #107 La Tech (1-2) @ #113 South Alabama (1-2)
24-47 // #108 North Texas (2-2) @ #63 Memphis (2-1)
14-50 // #114 Arkansas St (1-2) @ #110 Old Dominion (0-3)
10-31 // #115 Arizona (1-2) @ #87 California (2-1)
21-36 // #116 Southern Miss (1-2) @ #93 Tulane (2-1)
29-28 // #28 Louisiana (3-0) @ #117 La Monroe (1-2)
30-21 // #111 Duke (2-1) @ #119 Kansas (1-2)
37-38 // #120 James Madison (0-1) @ #30 App St (2-1)
24-29 // #121 Vanderbilt (1-3) @ #2 Alabama (3-0)
21-46 // #122 Charlotte (1-3) @ #66 South Carolina (1-2)
6-30 // #123 Rice (0-3) @ #38 Houston (1-2)
17-35 // #124 UNLV (1-2) @ #73 Utah St (2-1)
28-52 // #125 Bowling Green (1-2) @ #39 Mississippi St (2-1)
17-24 // #126 Akron (1-2) @ #64 Liberty (2-1)
23-26 // #128 UConn (1-3) @ #22 NC State (3-0)
24-46 // #129 FIU (1-1) @ #72 WKU (2-1)
55-38 // #81 Hawaii (3-1) @ #130 New Mexico St (0-4)
23-55 // #131 UMass (1-2) @ #127 Temple (1-2)
21-26 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #11 Pittsburgh (3-0)
20-54 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #102 Illinois (0-3)
31-33 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #109 Colorado St (0-3)
21-44 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #61 UTSA (1-2)
24-66 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #118 Ohio (0-3)
28-74 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #112 Texas St (1-2)

WEEK: 5
23-28 // #10 OK State (3-0) @ #34 Baylor (2-2)
36-20 // #39 LSU (3-1) @ #12 Auburn (4-0)
31-28 // #67 Utah St (3-1) @ #16 BYU (3-1)
47-30 // #73 Northwestern (3-1) @ #18 Penn State (3-1)
21-24 // #20 Kentucky (4-0) @ #19 Ole Miss (4-0)
20-40 // #21 NC State (4-0) @ #6 Clemson (4-0)
30-27 // #7 Michigan (4-0) @ #25 Iowa (3-1)
34-24 // #11 Michigan St (4-0) @ #31 Maryland (3-1)
13-50 // #36 Texas Tech (3-1) @ #45 Kansas St (2-2)
27-24 // #8 Texas A&M (4-0) @ #37 Mississippi St (3-1)
35-31 // #75 San Diego St (2-2) @ #40 Boise St (3-1)
17-39 // #42 West Virginia (3-1) @ #29 Texas (2-2)
38-31 // #2 Alabama (4-0) @ #44 Arkansas (2-2)
31-33 // #46 Georgia St (3-1) @ #59 Army (3-1)
50-31 // #3 Georgia (4-0) @ #50 Missouri (3-1)
32-27 // #111 Ga Southern (1-3) @ #52 Coastal Carolina (3-1)
28-57 // #53 Arizona St (2-2) @ #22 USC (4-0)
24-31 // #55 Washington (3-1) @ #61 UCLA (3-1)
44-17 // #4 Oklahoma (4-0) @ #60 TCU (2-1)
36-34 // #17 Louisville (4-0) @ #62 Boston College (3-1)
17-27 // #65 UTSA (2-2) @ #83 Middle Tennessee (3-1)
26-17 // #9 Cincinnati (4-0) @ #66 Tulsa (2-2)
31-34 // #71 SMU (2-2) @ #82 UCF (1-3)
31-32 // #76 Oregon St (2-2) @ #14 Utah (4-0)
30-31 // #77 Purdue (1-3) @ #43 Minnesota (3-1)
21-47 // #79 Central Michigan (2-2) @ #56 Toledo (3-1)
20-47 // #81 California (3-1) @ #69 Washington St (2-2)
31-49 // #84 Troy (2-2) @ #68 WKU (3-1)
30-27 // #74 Virginia Tech (3-1) @ #85 North Carolina (1-3)
17-56 // #87 Tulane (3-1) @ #38 Houston (2-2)
17-58 // #88 San Jose St (2-1) @ #24 Wyoming (5-0)
28-41 // #89 Indiana (2-2) @ #41 Nebraska (3-1)
7-52 // #90 Georgia Tech (2-2) @ #13 Pittsburgh (4-0)
34-35 // #91 Navy (2-2) @ #32 Air Force (3-1)
31-27 // #58 Liberty (3-1) @ #96 Old Dominion (1-3)
33-28 // #30 Wake Forest (3-1) @ #97 Florida St (1-3)
24-56 // #98 Rutgers (2-2) @ #1 Ohio St (4-0)
31-56 // #99 Stanford (1-2) @ #27 Oregon (2-2)
13-17 // #101 Northern Illinois (2-2) @ #94 Ball St (2-2)
54-10 // #57 East Carolina (3-1) @ #102 USF (1-3)
28-31 // #104 Illinois (1-3) @ #23 Wisconsin (3-1)
23-13 // #63 Virginia (3-1) @ #105 Duke (3-1)
42-49 // #106 South Alabama (2-2) @ #28 Louisiana (4-0)
7-59 // #108 Ohio (1-3) @ #95 Kent St (1-3)
24-38 // #110 UTEP (2-3) @ #121 Charlotte (1-4)
52-21 // #72 FAU (4-1) @ #112 North Texas (2-3)
38-31 // #100 Miami(OH) (1-3) @ #114 Buffalo (1-3)
39-34 // #70 Colorado (2-2) @ #118 Arizona (1-3)
34-24 // #115 La Monroe (1-3) @ #120 Arkansas St (1-3)
20-30 // #122 Temple (2-2) @ #48 Memphis (3-1)
19-17 // #15 Iowa St (4-0) @ #123 Kansas (1-3)
69-14 // #64 UAB (2-1) @ #124 Rice (0-4)
33-28 // #103 New Mexico (2-2) @ #126 UNLV (1-3)
31-28 // #51 Fresno St (2-1) @ #127 UConn (1-4)
21-42 // #128 Bowling Green (1-3) @ #125 Akron (1-3)
13-17 // #129 FIU (1-2) @ #130 New Mexico St (0-5)
13-51 // #131 UMass (1-3) @ #93 Eastern Michigan (2-2)
17-52 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #54 Florida (1-3)
24-52 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #49 South Carolina (2-2)
24-33 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #47 Syracuse (3-1)
16-23 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #92 Marshall (2-2)
28-32 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #80 Western Michigan (1-3)
24-53 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #33 App St (3-1)

WEEK: 6
14-81 // #8 Texas A&M (5-0) @ #2 Alabama (5-0)
67-14 // #1 Ohio St (5-0) @ #10 Michigan St (5-0)
28-33 // #14 Louisville (5-0) @ #61 Virginia (4-1)
21-23 // #20 Texas (3-2) @ #4 Oklahoma (5-0)
23-21 // #4 Oklahoma (5-0) @ #20 Texas (3-2)
10-55 // #21 Auburn (4-1) @ #3 Georgia (5-0)
27-37 // #22 BYU (3-2) @ #6 Notre Dame (3-1)
37-27 // #6 Notre Dame (3-1) @ #22 BYU (3-2)
35-42 // #28 Tennessee (3-1) @ #30 LSU (4-1)
28-46 // #31 Air Force (4-1) @ #43 Utah St (4-1)
38-42 // #32 Nebraska (4-1) @ #95 Rutgers (2-3)
27-40 // #33 Kansas St (3-2) @ #17 Iowa St (5-0)
31-24 // #19 Wisconsin (4-1) @ #42 Northwestern (4-1)
27-29 // #44 Army (4-1) @ #25 Wake Forest (4-1)
21-32 // #45 East Carolina (4-1) @ #92 Tulane (3-2)
50-14 // #12 Utah (5-0) @ #49 UCLA (4-1)
39-27 // #36 Houston (3-2) @ #50 Memphis (4-1)
37-38 // #51 Arkansas (2-3) @ #41 Mississippi St (3-2)
28-38 // #52 Texas Tech (3-2) @ #18 OK State (3-1)
28-37 // #53 Missouri (3-2) @ #66 Florida (2-3)
21-52 // #55 Washington St (3-2) @ #15 USC (5-0)
14-53 // #57 South Carolina (3-2) @ #24 Kentucky (4-1)
14-50 // #58 Fresno St (3-1) @ #67 Boise St (3-2)
10-59 // #60 Virginia Tech (4-1) @ #11 Pittsburgh (5-0)
38-42 // #63 Middle Tennessee (4-1) @ #48 UAB (3-1)
68-24 // #5 Clemson (5-0) @ #72 Boston College (3-2)
31-20 // #69 Washington (3-2) @ #73 Arizona St (2-3)
27-28 // #75 Hawaii (4-1) @ #65 San Diego St (3-2)
31-36 // #77 Oregon St (2-3) @ #100 Stanford (1-3)
19-17 // #56 WKU (4-1) @ #78 UTSA (2-3)
24-26 // #84 Ball St (3-2) @ #88 Central Michigan (2-3)
9-10 // #85 Purdue (1-4) @ #39 Maryland (3-2)
17-19 // #86 Eastern Michigan (3-2) @ #83 Western Michigan (2-3)
22-20 // #7 Michigan (5-0) @ #87 Indiana (2-3)
34-31 // #70 Tulsa (2-3) @ #89 Navy (2-3)
7-57 // #91 North Carolina (1-4) @ #35 Miami (3-1)
23-20 // #80 Kent St (2-3) @ #94 Miami(OH) (2-3)
30-32 // #97 Ga Southern (2-3) @ #64 Georgia St (3-2)
24-46 // #99 Florida St (1-4) @ #23 NC State (4-1)
20-40 // #101 New Mexico (3-2) @ #16 Wyoming (6-0)
27-30 // #103 James Madison (1-2) @ #124 Arkansas St (1-4)
60-13 // #38 Iowa (3-2) @ #104 Illinois (1-4)
37-16 // #76 Coastal Carolina (3-2) @ #105 La Monroe (2-3)
21-20 // #47 Toledo (4-1) @ #107 Northern Illinois (2-3)
13-20 // #108 Duke (3-2) @ #90 Georgia Tech (2-3)
7-68 // #110 USF (1-4) @ #9 Cincinnati (5-0)
28-56 // #111 Colorado St (1-3) @ #79 Nevada (3-2)
24-26 // #113 UTEP (2-4) @ #112 La Tech (1-3)
54-21 // #34 App St (4-1) @ #114 Texas St (2-3)
10-17 // #115 Akron (2-3) @ #120 Ohio (1-4)
55-31 // #13 Ole Miss (5-0) @ #116 Vanderbilt (1-4)
20-22 // #117 Southern Miss (1-3) @ #93 Troy (2-3)
21-24 // #121 Buffalo (1-4) @ #129 Bowling Green (1-4)
39-10 // #27 Oregon (3-2) @ #122 Arizona (1-4)
54-21 // #74 TCU (2-2) @ #123 Kansas (1-4)
17-66 // #128 UNLV (1-4) @ #98 San Jose St (2-2)
19-17 // #125 UConn (1-5) @ #130 FIU (1-3)
27-20 // #46 Liberty (4-1) @ #131 UMass (1-4)

WEEK: 7
20-22 // #2 Alabama (6-0) @ #39 Tennessee (3-2)
14-35 // #11 USC (6-0) @ #9 Utah (6-0)
35-23 // #16 Wisconsin (5-1) @ #19 Michigan St (5-1)
31-34 // #20 LSU (5-1) @ #51 Florida (3-3)
38-35 // #12 Iowa St (6-0) @ #25 Texas (3-3)
21-24 // #28 Auburn (4-2) @ #15 Ole Miss (6-0)
23-33 // #36 Maryland (4-2) @ #91 Indiana (2-4)
21-33 // #37 Mississippi St (4-2) @ #18 Kentucky (5-1)
31-38 // #38 Penn State (3-2) @ #7 Michigan (6-0)
14-32 // #47 Nebraska (4-2) @ #92 Purdue (1-5)
49-21 // #22 NC State (5-1) @ #53 Syracuse (4-1)
17-38 // #58 Memphis (4-2) @ #63 East Carolina (4-2)
21-61 // #60 Arkansas (2-4) @ #26 BYU (3-3)
32-17 // #29 Baylor (3-2) @ #61 West Virginia (3-2)
30-23 // #17 OK State (4-1) @ #64 TCU (3-2)
31-33 // #66 Washington St (3-3) @ #89 Oregon St (2-4)
55-21 // #44 WKU (5-1) @ #68 Middle Tennessee (4-2)
31-27 // #32 Miami (4-1) @ #71 Virginia Tech (4-2)
24-30 // #73 Nevada (4-2) @ #78 Hawaii (4-2)
28-52 // #74 Kent St (3-3) @ #40 Toledo (5-1)
27-32 // #75 Tulane (4-2) @ #111 USF (1-5)
35-28 // #94 Navy (2-4) @ #82 SMU (2-3)
28-59 // #86 California (3-2) @ #67 Colorado (3-2)
21-62 // #87 Stanford (2-3) @ #6 Notre Dame (4-1)
35-52 // #90 San Jose St (3-2) @ #76 Fresno St (3-2)
72-14 // #33 Louisiana (5-0) @ #95 Marshall (3-2)
31-33 // #100 Old Dominion (1-4) @ #65 Coastal Carolina (4-2)
9-28 // #101 La Tech (2-3) @ #118 North Texas (2-4)
31-33 // #104 La Monroe (2-4) @ #102 South Alabama (2-3)
77-14 // #5 Clemson (6-0) @ #105 Florida St (1-5)
17-26 // #106 Northern Illinois (2-4) @ #96 Eastern Michigan (3-3)
27-38 // #107 James Madison (1-3) @ #99 Ga Southern (2-4)
23-32 // #108 Charlotte (2-4) @ #35 UAB (4-1)
29-24 // #41 Minnesota (4-1) @ #109 Illinois (1-5)
27-24 // #103 North Carolina (1-5) @ #110 Duke (3-3)
28-38 // #112 Ohio (2-4) @ #79 Western Michigan (3-3)
21-53 // #113 Arkansas St (2-4) @ #119 Southern Miss (1-4)
28-39 // #114 Texas St (2-4) @ #88 Troy (3-3)
26-24 // #30 Utah St (5-1) @ #115 Colorado St (1-4)
26-38 // #116 Vanderbilt (1-5) @ #3 Georgia (6-0)
24-27 // #120 Temple (2-3) @ #72 UCF (2-3)
20-23 // #121 UConn (2-5) @ #93 Ball St (3-3)
71-14 // #84 Central Michigan (3-3) @ #122 Akron (2-4)
31-55 // #123 Arizona (1-5) @ #52 Washington (4-2)
19-21 // #124 Rice (0-5) @ #55 FAU (5-1)
24-33 // #125 Kansas (1-5) @ #4 Oklahoma (6-0)
39-21 // #98 Miami(OH) (2-4) @ #126 Bowling Green (2-4)
29-14 // #97 New Mexico (3-3) @ #127 New Mexico St (1-5)
17-13 // #46 Air Force (4-2) @ #129 UNLV (1-5)
31-28 // #85 UTSA (2-4) @ #130 FIU (1-4)
32-28 // #128 Buffalo (1-5) @ #131 UMass (1-5)
14-23 // #0 FCS (0-7) @ #54 Army (4-2)
24-32 // #0 FCS (0-7) @ #45 Liberty (5-1)

WEEK: 8
24-38 // #11 Ole Miss (7-0) @ #37 LSU (5-2)
32-21 // #38 Texas (3-4) @ #17 OK State (5-1)
32-24 // #12 Pittsburgh (6-0) @ #23 Louisville (5-1)
7-58 // #28 Utah St (6-1) @ #13 Wyoming (7-0)
13-51 // #31 Iowa (4-2) @ #1 Ohio St (6-0)
17-35 // #34 UAB (5-1) @ #33 WKU (6-1)
21-28 // #39 Minnesota (5-1) @ #42 Penn State (3-3)
38-35 // #65 UCF (3-3) @ #40 East Carolina (5-2)
28-31 // #43 Virginia (5-1) @ #83 Georgia Tech (3-3)
35-47 // #48 Boise St (4-2) @ #45 Air Force (5-2)
24-49 // #49 Mississippi St (4-3) @ #5 Alabama (6-1)
64-28 // #21 BYU (4-3) @ #51 Liberty (6-1)
62-24 // #52 Northwestern (4-2) @ #53 Maryland (4-3)
49-20 // #69 West Virginia (3-3) @ #56 Texas Tech (3-3)
14-63 // #57 Georgia St (4-2) @ #35 App St (5-1)
17-53 // #58 UCLA (4-2) @ #27 Oregon (4-2)
28-34 // #59 Hawaii (5-2) @ #115 Colorado St (1-5)
14-31 // #63 Syracuse (4-2) @ #3 Clemson (7-0)
22-10 // #44 Kansas St (3-3) @ #67 TCU (3-3)
57-31 // #15 Texas A&M (5-1) @ #68 South Carolina (3-3)
24-35 // #70 Memphis (4-3) @ #87 Tulane (4-3)
38-45 // #72 Western Michigan (4-3) @ #101 Miami(OH) (3-4)
36-31 // #54 Colorado (4-2) @ #73 Oregon St (3-4)
24-44 // #74 Boston College (3-3) @ #26 Wake Forest (5-1)
24-31 // #80 Troy (4-3) @ #98 South Alabama (3-3)
29-21 // #71 Indiana (3-4) @ #81 Rutgers (3-3)
14-38 // #82 Arizona St (2-4) @ #91 Stanford (2-4)
16-29 // #84 Purdue (2-5) @ #14 Wisconsin (6-1)
34-14 // #47 San Diego St (4-2) @ #86 Nevada (4-3)
58-21 // #32 Houston (4-2) @ #89 Navy (3-4)
38-35 // #92 Eastern Michigan (4-3) @ #90 Ball St (4-3)
24-31 // #93 Ga Southern (3-4) @ #103 Old Dominion (1-5)
42-14 // #61 Fresno St (4-2) @ #94 New Mexico (4-3)
43-24 // #46 Washington (5-2) @ #95 California (3-3)
24-27 // #96 San Jose St (3-3) @ #127 New Mexico St (1-6)
59-35 // #9 Cincinnati (6-0) @ #97 SMU (2-4)
31-52 // #108 Vanderbilt (1-6) @ #66 Missouri (3-3)
35-38 // #109 North Texas (3-4) @ #85 UTSA (3-4)
14-72 // #111 La Monroe (2-5) @ #62 Army (5-2)
27-28 // #114 Duke (3-4) @ #30 Miami (5-1)
31-13 // #107 Northern Illinois (2-5) @ #116 Ohio (2-5)
45-13 // #50 FAU (6-1) @ #117 UTEP (2-5)
31-24 // #104 Southern Miss (2-4) @ #118 Texas St (2-5)
28-33 // #119 Arkansas St (2-5) @ #22 Louisiana (6-0)
29-20 // #55 Tulsa (3-3) @ #120 Temple (2-4)
38-41 // #122 Rice (0-6) @ #112 La Tech (2-4)
17-28 // #123 Kansas (1-6) @ #24 Baylor (4-2)
23-27 // #125 Akron (2-5) @ #88 Kent St (3-4)
40-24 // #29 Toledo (6-1) @ #126 Buffalo (2-5)
35-39 // #128 Bowling Green (2-5) @ #76 Central Michigan (4-3)
14-71 // #129 UNLV (1-6) @ #4 Notre Dame (5-1)
17-52 // #130 FIU (1-5) @ #110 Charlotte (2-5)
17-62 // #0 FCS (0-8) @ #20 Tennessee (4-2)

WEEK: 9
28-33 // #9 Oklahoma (7-0) @ #13 Iowa St (7-0)
28-35 // #16 Ole Miss (7-1) @ #14 Texas A&M (6-1)
31-28 // #74 Virginia Tech (4-3) @ #19 NC State (6-1)
29-17 // #17 Kentucky (6-1) @ #21 Tennessee (5-2)
17-26 // #26 Toledo (7-1) @ #84 Eastern Michigan (5-3)
17-18 // #28 Baylor (5-2) @ #70 Texas Tech (3-4)
20-48 // #29 Michigan St (5-2) @ #11 Michigan (7-0)
24-42 // #34 Northwestern (5-2) @ #39 Iowa (4-3)
43-21 // #22 Wake Forest (6-1) @ #35 Louisville (5-2)
27-23 // #1 Ohio St (7-0) @ #36 Penn State (4-3)
35-16 // #2 Georgia (7-0) @ #38 Florida (4-3)
16-35 // #38 Florida (4-3) @ #2 Georgia (7-0)
27-23 // #30 OK State (5-2) @ #41 Kansas St (4-3)
17-21 // #45 San Diego St (5-2) @ #50 Fresno St (5-2)
42-17 // #96 Arizona St (2-5) @ #46 Colorado (5-2)
28-38 // #48 UAB (5-2) @ #43 FAU (7-1)
17-42 // #53 East Carolina (5-3) @ #18 BYU (5-3)
31-37 // #55 Missouri (4-3) @ #76 South Carolina (3-4)
18-17 // #7 Cincinnati (7-0) @ #56 UCF (4-3)
39-24 // #31 Miami (6-1) @ #58 Virginia (5-2)
27-9 // #4 Notre Dame (6-1) @ #60 Syracuse (4-3)
20-48 // #65 Georgia Tech (4-3) @ #109 Florida St (1-6)
10-53 // #68 Stanford (3-4) @ #67 UCLA (4-3)
26-24 // #10 Utah (7-0) @ #71 Washington St (3-4)
41-42 // #73 Arkansas (2-5) @ #44 Auburn (4-3)
30-28 // #6 Wyoming (8-0) @ #75 Hawaii (5-3)
21-22 // #78 TCU (3-4) @ #54 West Virginia (4-3)
13-22 // #85 South Alabama (4-3) @ #116 Arkansas St (2-6)
21-73 // #86 Rutgers (3-4) @ #49 Minnesota (5-2)
24-27 // #92 Old Dominion (2-5) @ #69 Georgia St (4-3)
13-77 // #97 USF (2-5) @ #32 Houston (5-2)
44-21 // #20 Oregon (5-2) @ #98 California (3-4)
27-23 // #8 Pittsburgh (7-0) @ #99 North Carolina (2-5)
13-14 // #100 SMU (2-5) @ #47 Tulsa (4-3)
31-28 // #24 Louisiana (7-0) @ #102 Southern Miss (3-4)
29-28 // #93 Nevada (4-4) @ #107 San Jose St (3-4)
14-27 // #108 Colorado St (2-5) @ #62 Boise St (4-3)
21-38 // #110 Illinois (1-6) @ #61 Nebraska (4-3)
33-24 // #59 Coastal Carolina (5-2) @ #112 Marshall (3-4)
23-45 // #114 North Texas (3-5) @ #23 WKU (7-1)
49-21 // #72 Middle Tennessee (4-3) @ #117 UTEP (2-6)
67-17 // #83 Boston College (3-4) @ #118 UConn (2-6)
17-75 // #119 Temple (2-5) @ #90 Navy (3-5)
42-31 // #15 USC (6-1) @ #123 Arizona (1-6)
38-27 // #87 Miami(OH) (4-4) @ #125 Akron (2-6)
40-24 // #106 Charlotte (3-5) @ #126 Rice (0-7)
34-31 // #105 La Tech (3-4) @ #130 FIU (1-6)
40-21 // #121 New Mexico St (2-6) @ #131 UMass (1-6)
21-27 // #0 FCS (0-9) @ #27 App St (6-1)

WEEK: 10
28-17 // #3 Clemson (8-0) @ #5 Notre Dame (7-1)
24-23 // #42 Florida (4-4) @ #12 Texas A&M (7-1)
30-33 // #18 BYU (6-3) @ #62 Boise St (5-3)
39-38 // #8 Alabama (7-1) @ #25 LSU (6-2)
27-28 // #27 Tennessee (5-3) @ #2 Georgia (8-0)
29-28 // #16 Wake Forest (7-1) @ #28 NC State (6-2)
16-38 // #32 Texas (4-4) @ #48 Kansas St (4-4)
41-42 // #33 App St (7-1) @ #49 Coastal Carolina (6-2)
27-40 // #38 Baylor (5-3) @ #14 Oklahoma (7-1)
41-38 // #50 Army (6-2) @ #40 Air Force (6-2)
38-41 // #40 Air Force (6-2) @ #50 Army (6-2)
17-24 // #45 West Virginia (5-3) @ #9 Iowa St (8-0)
32-16 // #1 Ohio St (8-0) @ #46 Northwestern (5-3)
41-35 // #35 Auburn (5-3) @ #51 Mississippi St (4-4)
6-9 // #52 Texas Tech (4-4) @ #88 TCU (3-5)
38-40 // #53 Liberty (6-2) @ #83 Arkansas (2-6)
40-14 // #39 Minnesota (6-2) @ #55 Nebraska (5-3)
59-31 // #19 Oregon (6-2) @ #57 Colorado (5-3)
24-38 // #58 UCLA (5-3) @ #84 Arizona St (3-5)
17-57 // #65 Syracuse (4-4) @ #11 Pittsburgh (8-0)
46-19 // #36 Penn State (4-4) @ #66 Indiana (4-4)
14-45 // #67 Maryland (4-4) @ #15 Wisconsin (7-1)
31-35 // #69 Tulane (5-3) @ #47 Tulsa (5-3)
57-10 // #13 Kentucky (7-1) @ #72 Missouri (4-4)
31-33 // #73 Hawaii (5-4) @ #44 Fresno St (6-2)
30-44 // #75 UTSA (4-4) @ #60 UAB (5-3)
27-30 // #76 Washington St (3-5) @ #77 Stanford (3-5)
28-54 // #78 Central Michigan (5-3) @ #108 Northern Illinois (3-5)
28-62 // #79 Navy (4-5) @ #10 Cincinnati (8-0)
47-19 // #68 UCF (4-4) @ #80 Memphis (4-4)
20-21 // #81 Georgia Tech (4-4) @ #54 Virginia Tech (5-3)
37-34 // #92 Ball St (4-4) @ #82 Kent St (4-4)
24-37 // #85 Oregon St (3-5) @ #41 Washington (6-2)
32-21 // #29 Iowa (5-3) @ #89 Purdue (2-6)
16-35 // #90 Troy (4-4) @ #23 Louisiana (8-0)
24-28 // #93 New Mexico (4-4) @ #34 Utah St (6-2)
28-31 // #95 Florida St (2-6) @ #20 Miami (7-1)
48-20 // #4 Michigan (8-0) @ #96 Rutgers (3-5)
26-29 // #97 USF (2-6) @ #124 Temple (2-6)
24-32 // #98 North Carolina (2-6) @ #71 Virginia (5-3)
28-62 // #99 California (3-5) @ #17 USC (7-1)
37-17 // #22 WKU (8-1) @ #101 Charlotte (4-5)
37-28 // #94 South Alabama (4-4) @ #102 Ga Southern (3-5)
28-35 // #103 James Madison (2-4) @ #37 Louisville (5-3)
63-14 // #24 Houston (6-2) @ #104 SMU (2-6)
41-34 // #59 Georgia St (5-3) @ #105 Southern Miss (3-5)
40-31 // #63 Middle Tennessee (5-3) @ #106 La Tech (4-4)
28-27 // #109 Colorado St (2-6) @ #110 San Jose St (3-5)
3-70 // #111 Duke (3-5) @ #70 Boston College (4-4)
24-21 // #64 South Carolina (4-4) @ #113 Vanderbilt (1-7)
23-12 // #31 Michigan St (5-3) @ #114 Illinois (1-7)
14-35 // #115 Marshall (3-5) @ #100 Old Dominion (2-6)
46-31 // #126 Buffalo (2-6) @ #118 Ohio (2-6)
13-48 // #119 Texas St (2-6) @ #112 La Monroe (2-6)
32-28 // #21 OK State (6-2) @ #120 Kansas (1-7)
27-30 // #121 UTEP (2-7) @ #128 Rice (0-8)
21-47 // #123 Arizona (1-7) @ #7 Utah (8-0)
31-24 // #91 Western Michigan (4-4) @ #127 Bowling Green (2-6)
13-41 // #129 UNLV (1-7) @ #56 San Diego St (5-3)
24-45 // #130 FIU (1-7) @ #116 North Texas (3-6)
24-28 // #131 UMass (1-7) @ #122 UConn (2-7)

WEEK: 11
34-31 // #36 Washington (7-2) @ #17 Oregon (7-2)
13-29 // #19 Texas A&M (7-2) @ #32 Auburn (6-3)
21-20 // #7 Iowa St (9-0) @ #23 OK State (7-2)
27-24 // #4 Alabama (8-1) @ #25 Ole Miss (7-2)
50-24 // #14 Wisconsin (8-1) @ #26 Iowa (6-3)
21-30 // #33 Louisville (6-3) @ #2 Clemson (9-0)
28-31 // #43 Kansas St (5-4) @ #52 Baylor (5-4)
35-38 // #49 Northwestern (5-4) @ #35 Minnesota (7-2)
29-26 // #15 Oklahoma (8-1) @ #54 West Virginia (5-4)
24-53 // #56 South Carolina (5-4) @ #29 Florida (5-4)
14-59 // #58 East Carolina (5-4) @ #9 Cincinnati (9-0)
24-28 // #59 Boston College (5-4) @ #38 NC State (6-3)
14-42 // #61 Colorado (5-4) @ #16 USC (8-1)
30-20 // #3 Georgia (9-0) @ #62 Mississippi St (4-5)
42-21 // #8 Pittsburgh (9-0) @ #63 Virginia (6-3)
21-36 // #65 Nebraska (5-4) @ #5 Michigan (9-0)
31-35 // #67 Stanford (4-5) @ #6 Utah (9-0)
31-41 // #70 Maryland (4-5) @ #37 Penn State (5-4)
31-28 // #57 UCF (5-4) @ #73 Tulane (5-4)
31-44 // #74 TCU (4-5) @ #46 Texas (4-5)
47-21 // #34 Utah St (7-2) @ #75 Hawaii (5-5)
28-40 // #76 Indiana (4-5) @ #1 Ohio St (9-0)
6-65 // #77 Missouri (4-5) @ #31 Tennessee (5-4)
39-24 // #22 LSU (6-3) @ #78 Arkansas (3-6)
24-37 // #79 Navy (4-6) @ #11 Notre Dame (7-2)
37-24 // #11 Notre Dame (7-2) @ #79 Navy (4-6)
3-62 // #80 Ball St (5-4) @ #44 Toledo (7-2)
44-17 // #47 Boise St (6-3) @ #83 Nevada (5-4)
64-17 // #20 Miami (8-1) @ #84 Georgia Tech (4-5)
30-10 // #71 Arizona St (4-5) @ #85 Washington St (3-6)
43-34 // #42 Tulsa (6-3) @ #86 Memphis (4-5)
20-27 // #92 Northern Illinois (4-5) @ #88 Western Michigan (5-4)
30-21 // #41 Army (7-2) @ #93 Troy (4-5)
14-27 // #94 Florida St (2-7) @ #68 Syracuse (4-5)
21-78 // #95 Rutgers (3-6) @ #28 Michigan St (6-3)
24-44 // #98 New Mexico (4-5) @ #53 Air Force (6-3)
24-66 // #99 Charlotte (4-6) @ #60 Middle Tennessee (6-3)
37-28 // #10 Wyoming (9-0) @ #100 Colorado St (3-6)
10-55 // #101 La Monroe (3-6) @ #50 Georgia St (6-3)
27-24 // #87 Oregon St (3-6) @ #102 California (3-6)
31-34 // #103 Ga Southern (3-6) @ #18 Louisiana (9-0)
21-28 // #104 James Madison (2-5) @ #97 Old Dominion (3-6)
38-41 // #106 SMU (2-7) @ #110 USF (2-7)
21-28 // #107 La Tech (4-5) @ #81 UTSA (4-5)
21-22 // #108 Southern Miss (3-6) @ #40 Coastal Carolina (7-2)
31-38 // #109 North Carolina (2-7) @ #13 Wake Forest (8-1)
41-24 // #51 UAB (6-3) @ #111 North Texas (4-6)
43-14 // #48 Virginia Tech (6-3) @ #112 Duke (3-6)
17-57 // #113 San Jose St (3-6) @ #55 San Diego St (6-3)
24-27 // #115 Vanderbilt (1-8) @ #12 Kentucky (8-1)
27-16 // #96 Purdue (2-7) @ #116 Illinois (1-8)
10-17 // #117 Temple (3-6) @ #24 Houston (7-2)
31-30 // #64 Liberty (6-3) @ #118 UConn (3-7)
45-24 // #45 App St (7-2) @ #119 Marshall (3-6)
10-43 // #120 Arizona (1-8) @ #66 UCLA (5-4)
21-33 // #121 Kansas (1-8) @ #69 Texas Tech (4-5)
17-35 // #122 Buffalo (3-6) @ #90 Central Michigan (5-4)
7-69 // #123 Rice (1-8) @ #21 WKU (9-1)
24-64 // #125 Ohio (2-7) @ #82 Miami(OH) (5-4)
21-42 // #126 Texas St (2-7) @ #89 South Alabama (5-4)
32-31 // #72 Eastern Michigan (6-3) @ #127 Akron (2-7)
29-24 // #91 Kent St (4-5) @ #128 Bowling Green (2-7)
60-17 // #39 Fresno St (7-2) @ #129 UNLV (1-8)
48-14 // #30 FAU (8-1) @ #130 FIU (1-8)
20-38 // #131 UMass (1-8) @ #105 Arkansas St (3-6)
21-30 // #0 FCS (0-11) @ #114 New Mexico St (3-6)

WEEK: 12
21-20 // #43 Boise St (7-3) @ #10 Wyoming (10-0)
30-24 // #2 Georgia (10-0) @ #14 Kentucky (9-1)
26-24 // #37 OK State (7-3) @ #15 Oklahoma (9-1)
14-52 // #18 Miami (9-1) @ #3 Clemson (10-0)
17-58 // #19 WKU (10-1) @ #22 Auburn (7-3)
27-24 // #66 Colorado (5-5) @ #21 Washington (8-2)
16-13 // #8 Utah (10-0) @ #25 Oregon (7-3)
31-28 // #46 Iowa (6-4) @ #27 Minnesota (8-2)
14-31 // #35 FAU (9-1) @ #53 Middle Tennessee (7-3)
51-31 // #33 NC State (7-3) @ #39 Louisville (6-4)
31-49 // #40 Coastal Carolina (8-2) @ #65 Virginia (6-4)
27-28 // #52 UAB (7-3) @ #20 LSU (7-3)
35-38 // #54 Liberty (7-3) @ #47 Virginia Tech (7-3)
27-34 // #56 Syracuse (5-5) @ #13 Wake Forest (9-1)
28-29 // #57 Kansas St (5-5) @ #59 West Virginia (5-5)
36-27 // #16 USC (9-1) @ #61 UCLA (6-4)
36-34 // #28 Tennessee (6-4) @ #62 South Carolina (5-5)
28-21 // #32 Houston (8-2) @ #63 East Carolina (5-5)
24-34 // #64 Texas Tech (5-5) @ #6 Iowa St (10-0)
34-27 // #11 Wisconsin (9-1) @ #68 Nebraska (5-5)
20-30 // #69 Boston College (5-5) @ #12 Notre Dame (8-2)
35-38 // #70 Stanford (4-6) @ #102 California (3-7)
23-27 // #71 Eastern Michigan (7-3) @ #84 Kent St (5-5)
10-72 // #72 Indiana (4-6) @ #26 Michigan St (7-3)
30-23 // #1 Ohio St (10-0) @ #73 Maryland (4-6)
20-35 // #74 Miami(OH) (6-4) @ #95 Northern Illinois (4-6)
35-24 // #111 SMU (2-8) @ #75 Tulane (5-5)
28-50 // #77 Oregon St (4-6) @ #60 Arizona St (5-5)
34-27 // #30 Ole Miss (7-3) @ #79 Arkansas (3-7)
21-43 // #81 TCU (4-6) @ #49 Baylor (6-4)
24-17 // #80 Western Michigan (6-4) @ #82 Central Michigan (6-4)
21-50 // #83 South Alabama (6-4) @ #109 Southern Miss (3-7)
17-48 // #85 Old Dominion (4-6) @ #45 App St (8-2)
32-31 // #58 Northwestern (5-5) @ #86 Purdue (3-7)
24-29 // #87 Navy (4-7) @ #55 UCF (6-4)
27-53 // #90 Georgia Tech (4-6) @ #107 North Carolina (2-8)
30-24 // #38 Fresno St (8-2) @ #93 Nevada (5-5)
24-45 // #96 USF (3-7) @ #41 Tulsa (7-3)
33-14 // #34 Penn State (6-4) @ #97 Rutgers (3-7)
17-18 // #98 Colorado St (3-7) @ #50 Air Force (7-3)
40-28 // #17 Louisiana (10-0) @ #99 Florida St (2-8)
35-21 // #51 San Diego St (7-3) @ #100 New Mexico (4-6)
34-36 // #105 La Monroe (3-7) @ #94 Troy (4-6)
20-21 // #108 La Tech (4-6) @ #104 Charlotte (4-7)
38-45 // #110 Duke (3-7) @ #4 Pittsburgh (10-0)
28-43 // #113 New Mexico St (4-6) @ #78 Missouri (4-6)
7-70 // #114 San Jose St (3-7) @ #24 Utah St (8-2)
31-24 // #9 Cincinnati (10-0) @ #115 Temple (3-7)
32-28 // #29 Florida (6-4) @ #116 Vanderbilt (1-9)
21-22 // #117 Illinois (1-9) @ #7 Michigan (10-0)
21-36 // #118 Marshall (3-7) @ #103 Ga Southern (3-7)
24-41 // #119 UConn (3-8) @ #36 Army (8-2)
38-17 // #92 Washington St (3-7) @ #121 Arizona (1-9)
17-59 // #123 Ohio (2-8) @ #89 Ball St (5-5)
27-28 // #124 Akron (2-8) @ #122 Buffalo (3-7)
31-28 // #44 Texas (5-5) @ #125 Kansas (1-9)
23-17 // #101 Arkansas St (4-6) @ #126 Texas St (2-8)
22-21 // #76 UTSA (5-5) @ #127 Rice (1-9)
27-30 // #128 Bowling Green (2-8) @ #42 Toledo (8-2)
31-32 // #129 UNLV (1-9) @ #88 Hawaii (5-6)
23-26 // #130 FIU (1-9) @ #120 UTEP (2-8)
6-57 // #131 UMass (1-9) @ #23 Texas A&M (7-3)
17-54 // #0 FCS (0-12) @ #5 Alabama (9-1)
28-43 // #0 FCS (0-12) @ #67 Mississippi St (4-6)
24-28 // #0 FCS (0-12) @ #91 Memphis (4-6)
28-54 // #0 FCS (0-12) @ #31 BYU (6-4)

WEEK: 13
28-60 // #6 Michigan (11-0) @ #1 Ohio St (11-0)
33-28 // #12 Notre Dame (9-2) @ #13 USC (10-1)
39-38 // #47 Louisville (6-5) @ #15 Kentucky (9-2)
14-39 // #18 LSU (8-3) @ #26 Texas A&M (8-3)
53-17 // #7 Pittsburgh (11-0) @ #19 Miami (9-2)
28-37 // #21 Auburn (8-3) @ #8 Alabama (10-1)
17-32 // #23 Utah St (9-2) @ #36 Boise St (8-3)
21-32 // #29 WKU (10-2) @ #49 FAU (9-2)
26-31 // #30 Minnesota (8-3) @ #11 Wisconsin (10-1)
38-44 // #31 Florida (7-4) @ #107 Florida St (2-9)
39-17 // #14 Wyoming (10-1) @ #33 Fresno St (9-2)
37-23 // #25 Michigan St (8-3) @ #34 Penn State (7-4)
35-39 // #35 Washington (8-3) @ #79 Washington St (4-7)
26-17 // #52 Virginia (7-4) @ #41 Virginia Tech (8-3)
24-28 // #43 Tulsa (8-3) @ #24 Houston (9-2)
17-19 // #44 Baylor (7-4) @ #48 Texas (6-5)
22-21 // #46 Air Force (8-3) @ #50 San Diego St (8-3)
31-32 // #51 Middle Tennessee (8-3) @ #131 FIU (1-10)
17-42 // #56 West Virginia (6-5) @ #27 OK State (8-3)
37-23 // #4 Utah (11-0) @ #58 Colorado (6-5)
16-33 // #62 UCLA (6-5) @ #92 California (4-7)
34-56 // #63 Mississippi St (5-6) @ #20 Ole Miss (8-3)
23-26 // #64 South Carolina (5-6) @ #3 Clemson (11-0)
37-27 // #17 Oklahoma (9-2) @ #65 Texas Tech (5-6)
36-21 // #59 Syracuse (5-6) @ #66 Boston College (5-6)
54-17 // #83 Arkansas (3-8) @ #67 Missouri (5-6)
24-34 // #69 Nebraska (5-6) @ #37 Iowa (7-4)
30-23 // #45 Toledo (9-2) @ #72 Western Michigan (7-4)
38-31 // #32 BYU (7-4) @ #74 Stanford (4-7)
9-22 // #76 Kent St (6-5) @ #116 Buffalo (4-7)
24-21 // #90 Central Michigan (6-5) @ #77 Eastern Michigan (7-4)
24-29 // #78 Ball St (6-5) @ #84 Miami(OH) (6-5)
49-24 // #5 Iowa St (11-0) @ #80 TCU (4-7)
64-7 // #39 Oregon (7-4) @ #82 Oregon St (4-7)
21-31 // #85 Tulane (5-6) @ #9 Cincinnati (11-0)
14-33 // #86 Georgia Tech (4-7) @ #2 Georgia (11-0)
31-35 // #87 Purdue (3-8) @ #73 Indiana (4-7)
24-47 // #89 Memphis (5-6) @ #105 SMU (3-8)
20-48 // #94 Old Dominion (4-7) @ #91 South Alabama (6-5)
30-27 // #22 NC State (8-3) @ #96 North Carolina (3-8)
19-16 // #95 Troy (5-6) @ #98 Arkansas St (5-6)
27-20 // #40 App St (9-2) @ #99 Ga Southern (4-7)
31-33 // #101 Southern Miss (4-7) @ #111 La Monroe (3-8)
10-26 // #103 Rutgers (3-8) @ #71 Maryland (4-7)
33-31 // #54 UCF (7-4) @ #104 USF (3-8)
31-28 // #102 New Mexico (4-7) @ #106 Colorado St (3-8)
30-23 // #10 Wake Forest (10-1) @ #108 Duke (3-8)
26-24 // #61 UAB (7-4) @ #110 La Tech (4-7)
47-13 // #70 East Carolina (5-6) @ #112 Temple (3-8)
23-20 // #81 Hawaii (6-6) @ #114 San Jose St (3-8)
27-38 // #115 UTEP (3-8) @ #75 UTSA (6-5)
3-43 // #117 New Mexico St (4-7) @ #60 Liberty (7-4)
17-43 // #118 Illinois (1-10) @ #53 Northwestern (6-5)
21-14 // #28 Tennessee (7-4) @ #119 Vanderbilt (1-10)
67-21 // #42 Georgia St (8-3) @ #121 Marshall (3-8)
31-36 // #122 Kansas (1-10) @ #68 Kansas St (5-6)
33-16 // #57 Arizona St (6-5) @ #123 Arizona (1-10)
39-38 // #16 Louisiana (11-0) @ #125 Texas St (2-9)
21-87 // #126 Akron (2-9) @ #88 Northern Illinois (5-6)
21-31 // #127 Bowling Green (2-9) @ #124 Ohio (2-9)
14-49 // #128 Rice (1-10) @ #113 North Texas (4-7)
48-21 // #97 Nevada (5-6) @ #129 UNLV (1-10)
36-31 // #38 Army (9-2) @ #130 UMass (1-10)

WEEK: 14
38-31 // #7 Alabama (11-1) @ #3 Georgia (12-0)
31-38 // #3 Georgia (12-0) @ #7 Alabama (11-1)
20-33 // #4 Pittsburgh (12-0) @ #2 Clemson (12-0)
33-20 // #2 Clemson (12-0) @ #4 Pittsburgh (12-0)
19-14 // #32 Oregon (8-4) @ #6 Utah (12-0)
14-19 // #6 Utah (12-0) @ #32 Oregon (8-4)
30-24 // #16 Houston (10-2) @ #8 Cincinnati (12-0)
24-30 // #8 Cincinnati (12-0) @ #16 Houston (10-2)
24-39 // #9 Wisconsin (11-1) @ #1 Ohio St (12-0)
39-24 // #1 Ohio St (12-0) @ #9 Wisconsin (11-1)
13-16 // #14 Oklahoma (10-2) @ #5 Iowa St (12-0)
16-13 // #5 Iowa St (12-0) @ #14 Oklahoma (10-2)
21-22 // #28 App St (10-2) @ #15 Louisiana (12-0)
22-21 // #15 Louisiana (12-0) @ #28 App St (10-2)
35-36 // #41 FAU (10-2) @ #47 WKU (10-3)
36-35 // #47 WKU (10-3) @ #41 FAU (10-2)
21-22 // #46 Fresno St (9-3) @ #13 Wyoming (11-1)
22-21 // #13 Wyoming (11-1) @ #46 Fresno St (9-3)
35-31 // #33 Toledo (10-2) @ #80 Miami(OH) (7-5)
31-35 // #80 Miami(OH) (7-5) @ #33 Toledo (10-2)
(This post was last modified: 04-26-2022 11:39 AM by Crayton.)
04-26-2022 11:38 AM
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e-parade Offline
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I Root For: UMass
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Post: #35
RE: '22 Season End Simulations [Eight Undefeateds!]
I see UMass finally won a game in your latest simulation 03-lol

I like the number of close games it had as well, but I definitely would prefer >1 wins on the season.

Not 0 is a good start.
04-26-2022 11:59 AM
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jimrtex Online
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Post: #36
RE: '22 Season End Simulations [Eight Undefeateds!]
(04-26-2022 11:38 AM)Crayton Wrote:  I may finish up this week and let this thread sit until August.

Simulation is not an exact science. How much randomness do you inject? what range should that randomness include? do different teams have different ranges? I've updated the sim machine in a few ways. (1) more offense and (2) teams randomly trend better/worse through a season balanced by (3) a little bit more early season randomness to keep a realistic distribution of records.

That brings us to... Sim 125b. The Big Ten, SEC, and ACC games look like play-ins. As always, it is tough to gauge how far a 12-0 Power team will fall with a loss, but there certainly seem to be a lot of teams vying for the playoff. Iowa State (nice to see a new face) is likely in with a win; Utah, playing 8-4 Oregon, probably needs some help, and I'd put Cincinnati as a long shot.

Week 14 Games and Top 14
#1 Ohio St (12-0) vs. #9 Wisconsin (11-1)
#2 Clemson (12-0) vs. #4 Pittsburgh (12-0)
#3 Georgia (12-0) vs. #7 Alabama (11-1)
#5 Iowa St (12-0) vs. #14 Oklahoma (10-2)
#6 Utah (12-0) vs. #32 Oregon (8-4)
#8 Cincinnati (12-0) vs. #16 Houston (10-2)
#10 Notre Dame (10-2) **at large**
#11 Michigan (11-1) **at large**
#12 Wake Forest (11-1) **at large**
#13 Wyoming (11-1) vs. #46 Fresno St (9-3)
#15 Louisiana (12-0) vs. #28 App St (10-2)
#33 Toledo (10-2) vs. #80 Miami(OH) (7-5)
#41 FAU (10-2) vs. #47 WKU (10-3)

For the 6+6, byes roughly follow the above stakes for 4-team playoff spots. Wyoming and Louisiana need losses by Utah and/or Cincinnati to qualify as Top 6 champs; can't tell if Houston, with 2 losses, can jump those two if they take out undefeated Cincinnati. At larges should be the 3 listed, ACCCG loser, and the last 2 spots going to any undefeated P5 who loses and maybe Wisconsin or Alabama.

For my Wild Card Model, #11 Michigan makes it (vs. #10 Notre Dame) while #12 Wake Forest does not.
Code:
WEEK: 0
44-35 // #53 Nebraska (1-0) @ #86 Northwestern (0-1)
35-44 // #86 Northwestern (0-1) @ #53 Nebraska (1-0)
30-27 // #72 Wyoming (1-0) @ #88 Illinois (0-1)
26-29 // #105 North Texas (0-1) @ #104 UTEP (1-0)
31-51 // #111 Vanderbilt (0-1) @ #92 Hawaii (1-0)
31-33 // #124 Charlotte (0-1) @ #93 FAU (1-0)
24-31 // #128 UConn (0-1) @ #62 Utah St (1-0)
70-21 // #64 Nevada (1-0) @ #129 New Mexico St (0-1)
17-35 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #71 Florida St (1-0)
24-40 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #46 North Carolina (1-0)
6-8 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #63 WKU (1-0)

WEEK: 1
33-34 // #5 Notre Dame (0-0) @ #1 Ohio St (0-0)
35-36 // #22 Houston (0-0) @ #61 UTSA (0-0)
21-23 // #26 Boise St (0-0) @ #72 Oregon St (0-0)
28-29 // #28 Oregon (0-0) @ #4 Georgia (0-0)
29-28 // #4 Georgia (0-0) @ #28 Oregon (0-0)
49-31 // #17 Utah (0-0) @ #31 Florida (0-0)
44-21 // #12 Cincinnati (0-0) @ #32 Arkansas (0-0)
28-23 // #9 Penn State (0-0) @ #38 Purdue (0-0)
14-38 // #45 Western Michigan (0-0) @ #16 Michigan St (0-0)
23-21 // #70 Memphis (0-0) @ #46 Mississippi St (0-0)
28-49 // #47 West Virginia (0-0) @ #18 Pittsburgh (0-0)
27-32 // #48 North Carolina (1-0) @ #49 App St (0-0)
24-62 // #54 Central Michigan (0-0) @ #8 OK State (0-0)
31-38 // #56 TCU (0-0) @ #84 Colorado (0-0)
14-57 // #62 Utah St (1-0) @ #2 Alabama (0-0)
35-63 // #63 Army (1-0) @ #79 Coastal Carolina (0-0)
28-35 // #65 Tulsa (0-0) @ #66 Wyoming (1-0)
24-40 // #68 Miami(OH) (0-0) @ #25 Kentucky (0-0)
31-38 // #69 WKU (1-0) @ #87 Hawaii (1-0)
27-36 // #75 Florida St (1-0) @ #29 LSU (0-0)
36-27 // #29 LSU (0-0) @ #75 Florida St (1-0)
21-23 // #78 Georgia St (0-0) @ #57 South Carolina (0-0)
59-21 // #30 NC State (0-0) @ #81 East Carolina (0-0)
50-20 // #35 Louisville (0-0) @ #85 Syracuse (0-0)
17-46 // #88 Ball St (0-0) @ #42 Tennessee (0-0)
13-56 // #93 Georgia Tech (0-0) @ #6 Clemson (0-0)
56-13 // #6 Clemson (0-0) @ #93 Georgia Tech (0-0)
21-55 // #94 Rutgers (0-0) @ #71 Boston College (0-0)
27-40 // #95 Illinois (0-1) @ #76 Indiana (0-0)
28-38 // #96 Kent St (0-0) @ #77 Washington (0-0)
34-36 // #97 Troy (0-0) @ #19 Ole Miss (0-0)
24-49 // #100 Buffalo (0-0) @ #44 Maryland (0-0)
14-46 // #103 UTEP (1-0) @ #3 Oklahoma (0-0)
27-24 // #73 Virginia Tech (0-0) @ #104 Old Dominion (0-0)
50-13 // #20 BYU (0-0) @ #106 USF (0-0)
39-10 // #89 FAU (1-0) @ #107 Ohio (0-0)
21-31 // #108 Colorado St (0-0) @ #7 Michigan (0-0)
35-43 // #109 La Tech (0-0) @ #74 Missouri (0-0)
61-24 // #43 SMU (0-0) @ #110 North Texas (0-1)
23-28 // #115 Arizona (0-0) @ #39 San Diego St (0-0)
23-30 // #117 Rice (0-0) @ #52 USC (0-0)
42-31 // #83 Liberty (0-0) @ #118 Southern Miss (0-0)
24-36 // #121 Texas St (0-0) @ #64 Nevada (1-0)
24-64 // #122 La Monroe (0-0) @ #15 Texas (0-0)
21-35 // #123 Temple (0-0) @ #112 Duke (0-0)
17-54 // #125 Bowling Green (0-0) @ #53 UCLA (0-0)
31-41 // #129 New Mexico St (0-1) @ #40 Minnesota (0-0)
14-84 // #131 UMass (0-0) @ #98 Tulane (0-0)
31-42 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #113 Vanderbilt (0-1)
30-51 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #21 Auburn (0-0)
20-38 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #10 Texas A&M (0-0)
21-35 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #23 Wake Forest (0-0)
20-23 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #33 Miami (0-0)
17-24 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #55 Virginia (0-0)
24-31 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #11 Wisconsin (0-0)
10-19 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #13 Iowa (0-0)
14-58 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #50 Nebraska (1-0)
31-34 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #114 Kansas (0-0)
30-47 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #37 Kansas St (0-0)
28-56 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #24 Iowa St (0-0)
17-51 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #67 Texas Tech (0-0)
27-48 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #14 Baylor (0-0)
31-38 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #36 Arizona St (0-0)
20-23 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #90 California (0-0)
17-48 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #99 Stanford (0-0)
13-64 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #58 Washington St (0-0)
14-35 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #128 UConn (0-1)
17-69 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #34 UCF (0-0)
20-27 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #92 Navy (0-1)
14-20 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #27 Air Force (0-0)
24-43 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #116 New Mexico (0-0)
14-42 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #119 UNLV (0-0)
17-63 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #51 Fresno St (0-0)
31-32 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #101 San Jose St (0-0)
17-56 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #60 UAB (0-0)
24-46 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #124 Charlotte (0-1)
17-20 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #80 Marshall (0-0)
27-42 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #130 FIU (0-0)
16-39 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #127 Akron (0-0)
31-38 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #86 Northern Illinois (0-0)
17-34 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #59 Toledo (0-0)
24-40 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #82 Eastern Michigan (0-0)
14-46 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #120 Arkansas St (0-0)
17-44 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #41 Louisiana (0-0)
24-37 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #111 South Alabama (0-0)
27-36 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #105 Ga Southern (0-0)

WEEK: 2
54-24 // #2 Alabama (1-0) @ #16 Texas (1-0)
24-43 // #17 Baylor (1-0) @ #18 BYU (1-0)
26-13 // #24 Iowa St (1-0) @ #19 Iowa (1-0)
20-23 // #29 Houston (0-1) @ #68 Texas Tech (1-0)
36-27 // #28 Louisville (1-0) @ #31 UCF (1-0)
20-23 // #32 Tennessee (1-0) @ #15 Pittsburgh (1-0)
37-21 // #21 Kentucky (1-0) @ #37 Florida (0-1)
27-57 // #39 Arizona St (1-0) @ #6 OK State (1-0)
24-43 // #41 App St (1-0) @ #11 Texas A&M (1-0)
31-24 // #69 Missouri (1-0) @ #42 Kansas St (1-0)
28-29 // #45 UTSA (1-0) @ #74 Army (1-1)
34-37 // #50 South Carolina (1-0) @ #38 Arkansas (0-1)
31-30 // #49 Fresno St (1-0) @ #52 Oregon St (1-0)
27-30 // #53 Memphis (1-0) @ #96 Navy (1-1)
24-31 // #55 Washington St (1-0) @ #13 Wisconsin (1-0)
24-26 // #56 Boston College (1-0) @ #70 Virginia Tech (1-0)
31-39 // #57 UAB (1-0) @ #75 Liberty (1-0)
17-20 // #62 North Carolina (1-1) @ #84 Georgia St (0-1)
21-48 // #73 Colorado (1-0) @ #30 Air Force (1-0)
10-45 // #79 Hawaii (2-0) @ #8 Michigan (1-0)
17-65 // #80 Marshall (1-0) @ #7 Notre Dame (0-1)
26-23 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #81 FAU (2-0)
21-63 // #86 Eastern Michigan (1-0) @ #44 Louisiana (1-0)
17-54 // #89 Northern Illinois (1-0) @ #76 Tulsa (0-1)
53-21 // #48 USC (1-0) @ #93 Stanford (1-0)
40-30 // #59 Western Michigan (0-1) @ #94 Ball St (0-1)
23-31 // #99 Kent St (0-1) @ #4 Oklahoma (1-0)
41-17 // #63 Virginia (1-0) @ #100 Illinois (0-2)
20-34 // #101 San Jose St (1-0) @ #22 Auburn (1-0)
32-31 // #92 Middle Tennessee (1-0) @ #104 Colorado St (0-1)
27-29 // #105 Ga Southern (1-0) @ #51 Nebraska (2-0)
7-63 // #106 Duke (1-0) @ #90 Northwestern (0-1)
34-39 // #108 Old Dominion (0-1) @ #85 East Carolina (0-1)
21-72 // #110 Ohio (0-1) @ #9 Penn State (1-0)
31-33 // #112 South Alabama (1-0) @ #65 Central Michigan (0-1)
35-24 // #23 Wake Forest (1-0) @ #113 Vanderbilt (1-1)
24-27 // #114 Kansas (1-0) @ #60 West Virginia (0-1)
44-31 // #61 Mississippi St (0-1) @ #115 Arizona (0-1)
34-31 // #33 Boise St (0-1) @ #116 New Mexico (1-0)
26-23 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #117 Rice (0-1)
21-71 // #118 UNLV (1-0) @ #91 California (1-0)
28-53 // #119 Southern Miss (0-1) @ #34 Miami (1-0)
21-49 // #120 Arkansas St (1-0) @ #1 Ohio St (1-0)
29-27 // #40 Maryland (1-0) @ #122 Charlotte (1-1)
14-35 // #127 Akron (1-0) @ #14 Michigan St (1-0)
21-38 // #128 FIU (1-0) @ #121 Texas St (0-1)
30-27 // #88 Syracuse (0-1) @ #129 UConn (1-1)
24-43 // #130 New Mexico St (0-2) @ #103 UTEP (1-1)
31-45 // #131 UMass (0-1) @ #67 Toledo (1-0)
13-69 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #3 Georgia (1-0)
38-41 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #26 LSU (1-0)
13-21 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #20 Ole Miss (1-0)
13-59 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #5 Clemson (1-0)
35-42 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #25 NC State (1-0)
38-41 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #95 Georgia Tech (0-1)
24-27 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #98 Rutgers (0-1)
28-50 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #72 Indiana (1-0)
10-53 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #47 Purdue (0-1)
27-38 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #43 Minnesota (1-0)
17-38 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #77 TCU (0-1)
28-37 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #46 UCLA (1-0)
28-31 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #12 Utah (1-0)
35-39 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #27 Oregon (0-1)
17-48 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #71 Washington (1-0)
24-45 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #10 Cincinnati (1-0)
24-69 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #107 USF (0-1)
20-42 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #124 Temple (0-1)
17-51 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #35 SMU (1-0)
31-43 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #87 Tulane (1-0)
28-50 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #54 Wyoming (2-0)
31-34 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #66 Utah St (1-1)
31-34 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #36 San Diego St (1-0)
21-26 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #58 Nevada (2-0)
24-27 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #109 La Tech (0-1)
28-34 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #111 North Texas (0-2)
35-36 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #102 Buffalo (0-1)
17-30 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #126 Bowling Green (0-1)
23-24 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #78 Miami(OH) (0-1)
24-39 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #97 Troy (0-1)
27-48 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #123 La Monroe (0-1)
14-53 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #64 Coastal Carolina (1-0)

WEEK: 3
24-37 // #9 Penn State (2-0) @ #21 Auburn (2-0)
17-21 // #26 Air Force (2-0) @ #53 Wyoming (3-0)
31-27 // #59 Mississippi St (1-1) @ #28 LSU (2-0)
38-39 // #30 Miami (2-0) @ #10 Texas A&M (2-0)
21-49 // #32 SMU (2-0) @ #36 Maryland (2-0)
27-13 // #12 BYU (2-0) @ #33 Oregon (1-1)
17-21 // #37 UCF (1-1) @ #99 FAU (2-1)
14-67 // #38 Fresno St (2-0) @ #40 USC (2-0)
20-21 // #39 Purdue (1-1) @ #90 Syracuse (1-1)
21-28 // #41 San Diego St (2-0) @ #17 Utah (2-0)
28-27 // #4 Oklahoma (2-0) @ #45 Nebraska (3-0)
17-37 // #48 Texas Tech (2-0) @ #25 NC State (2-0)
32-31 // #13 Pittsburgh (2-0) @ #52 Western Michigan (1-1)
31-43 // #58 UTSA (1-1) @ #18 Texas (1-1)
21-28 // #61 Liberty (2-0) @ #24 Wake Forest (2-0)
69-21 // #3 Georgia (2-0) @ #62 South Carolina (1-1)
24-42 // #67 Nevada (3-0) @ #27 Iowa (1-1)
33-31 // #15 Michigan St (2-0) @ #68 Washington (2-0)
52-17 // #88 WKU (1-1) @ #71 Indiana (2-0)
31-48 // #73 Toledo (2-0) @ #1 Ohio St (2-0)
24-68 // #78 Miami(OH) (1-1) @ #11 Cincinnati (2-0)
68-24 // #11 Cincinnati (2-0) @ #78 Miami(OH) (1-1)
21-26 // #79 Colorado (1-1) @ #44 Minnesota (2-0)
10-72 // #83 California (2-0) @ #5 Notre Dame (1-1)
21-71 // #85 Tulane (2-0) @ #57 Kansas St (1-1)
13-51 // #87 Florida St (1-1) @ #20 Louisville (2-0)
24-29 // #91 Eastern Michigan (1-1) @ #46 Arizona St (1-1)
46-24 // #22 Ole Miss (2-0) @ #92 Georgia Tech (1-1)
17-34 // #93 Troy (1-1) @ #42 App St (1-1)
14-45 // #95 UTEP (2-1) @ #116 New Mexico (1-1)
21-60 // #102 Buffalo (1-1) @ #55 Coastal Carolina (2-0)
24-45 // #103 USF (1-1) @ #47 Florida (0-2)
23-32 // #104 Ga Southern (1-1) @ #75 UAB (1-1)
14-47 // #106 Colorado St (0-2) @ #66 Washington St (1-1)
28-31 // #107 Old Dominion (0-2) @ #54 Virginia (2-0)
21-32 // #108 La Tech (1-1) @ #6 Clemson (2-0)
27-50 // #110 South Alabama (1-1) @ #51 UCLA (2-0)
17-34 // #112 Texas St (1-1) @ #23 Baylor (1-1)
35-37 // #113 Vanderbilt (1-2) @ #98 Northern Illinois (1-1)
27-36 // #114 Ohio (0-2) @ #19 Iowa St (2-0)
10-67 // #115 Kansas (1-1) @ #43 Houston (0-2)
27-39 // #117 Arkansas St (1-1) @ #72 Memphis (1-1)
14-60 // #120 La Monroe (1-1) @ #2 Alabama (2-0)
24-23 // #111 North Texas (1-2) @ #121 UNLV (1-1)
24-33 // #122 Charlotte (1-2) @ #74 Georgia St (1-1)
49-24 // #100 Rutgers (1-1) @ #124 Temple (1-1)
41-31 // #31 Louisiana (2-0) @ #125 Rice (0-2)
23-3 // #89 Marshall (1-1) @ #126 Bowling Green (1-1)
16-23 // #127 Akron (1-1) @ #35 Tennessee (1-1)
17-33 // #128 UConn (1-2) @ #8 Michigan (2-0)
27-47 // #130 New Mexico St (0-3) @ #14 Wisconsin (2-0)
16-23 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #16 Kentucky (2-0)
27-39 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #49 Missouri (2-0)
34-45 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #29 Arkansas (1-1)
28-42 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #70 Boston College (1-1)
20-35 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #50 Virginia Tech (2-0)
24-37 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #109 Duke (1-1)
28-31 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #82 Northwestern (1-1)
27-60 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #56 West Virginia (1-1)
27-45 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #7 OK State (2-0)
28-41 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #118 Arizona (0-2)
24-38 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #63 Oregon St (1-1)
17-72 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #81 East Carolina (1-1)
17-54 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #65 Tulsa (1-1)
23-40 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #34 Boise St (1-1)
21-37 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #80 Hawaii (2-1)
28-49 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #119 Southern Miss (0-2)
21-63 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #84 Middle Tennessee (2-0)
28-29 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #60 Army (2-1)
21-24 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #131 UMass (0-2)
21-67 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #96 Kent St (0-2)
24-27 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #64 Central Michigan (1-1)
28-51 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #94 Ball St (0-2)

WEEK: 4
26-24 // #31 Wyoming (4-0) @ #9 BYU (3-0)
28-31 // #15 Wisconsin (3-0) @ #1 Ohio St (3-0)
28-34 // #18 Texas (2-1) @ #53 Texas Tech (2-1)
48-28 // #6 Clemson (3-0) @ #23 Wake Forest (3-0)
24-36 // #25 Baylor (2-1) @ #20 Iowa St (3-0)
24-27 // #26 Maryland (3-0) @ #7 Michigan (3-0)
43-23 // #10 Texas A&M (3-0) @ #32 Arkansas (2-1)
23-43 // #32 Arkansas (2-1) @ #10 Texas A&M (3-0)
20-23 // #36 Minnesota (3-0) @ #13 Michigan St (3-0)
24-27 // #37 Coastal Carolina (3-0) @ #67 Georgia St (2-1)
21-14 // #16 Utah (3-0) @ #43 Arizona St (2-1)
23-26 // #44 Kansas St (2-1) @ #4 Oklahoma (3-0)
24-28 // #45 UCLA (3-0) @ #88 Colorado (1-2)
35-28 // #84 TCU (1-1) @ #47 SMU (2-1)
24-31 // #48 Florida (1-2) @ #33 Tennessee (2-1)
17-29 // #49 Virginia (3-0) @ #70 Syracuse (2-1)
31-36 // #50 Missouri (3-0) @ #14 Auburn (3-0)
55-24 // #34 Oregon (1-2) @ #51 Washington St (2-1)
23-9 // #74 Toledo (2-1) @ #52 San Diego St (2-1)
17-20 // #54 Western Michigan (1-2) @ #101 San Jose St (1-1)
34-10 // #56 West Virginia (2-1) @ #55 Virginia Tech (3-0)
32-31 // #100 Georgia Tech (1-2) @ #58 UCF (1-2)
26-23 // #83 FAU (3-1) @ #60 Purdue (1-2)
27-30 // #62 Tulsa (2-1) @ #24 Ole Miss (3-0)
20-23 // #69 Middle Tennessee (3-0) @ #35 Miami (2-1)
44-31 // #27 USC (3-0) @ #71 Oregon St (2-1)
24-27 // #75 Central Michigan (2-1) @ #19 Penn State (2-1)
20-35 // #77 Nevada (3-1) @ #40 Air Force (2-1)
69-28 // #5 Notre Dame (2-1) @ #78 North Carolina (1-2)
21-40 // #80 Marshall (2-1) @ #97 Troy (1-2)
7-41 // #85 Navy (2-1) @ #79 East Carolina (2-1)
17-52 // #86 Indiana (2-1) @ #12 Cincinnati (3-0)
21-48 // #89 Miami(OH) (1-2) @ #82 Northwestern (2-1)
31-28 // #76 Boston College (2-1) @ #90 Florida St (1-2)
38-39 // #91 Stanford (1-1) @ #68 Washington (2-1)
24-20 // #29 Iowa (2-1) @ #92 Rutgers (2-1)
24-55 // #94 Northern Illinois (2-1) @ #21 Kentucky (3-0)
7-36 // #95 Kent St (1-2) @ #3 Georgia (3-0)
28-39 // #98 New Mexico (2-1) @ #42 LSU (2-1)
39-21 // #41 Boise St (2-1) @ #103 UTEP (2-2)
30-33 // #104 USF (1-2) @ #17 Louisville (3-0)
14-35 // #105 Buffalo (1-2) @ #96 Eastern Michigan (1-2)
28-14 // #99 Ball St (1-2) @ #106 Ga Southern (1-2)
37-39 // #107 La Tech (1-2) @ #113 South Alabama (1-2)
24-47 // #108 North Texas (2-2) @ #63 Memphis (2-1)
14-50 // #114 Arkansas St (1-2) @ #110 Old Dominion (0-3)
10-31 // #115 Arizona (1-2) @ #87 California (2-1)
21-36 // #116 Southern Miss (1-2) @ #93 Tulane (2-1)
29-28 // #28 Louisiana (3-0) @ #117 La Monroe (1-2)
30-21 // #111 Duke (2-1) @ #119 Kansas (1-2)
37-38 // #120 James Madison (0-1) @ #30 App St (2-1)
24-29 // #121 Vanderbilt (1-3) @ #2 Alabama (3-0)
21-46 // #122 Charlotte (1-3) @ #66 South Carolina (1-2)
6-30 // #123 Rice (0-3) @ #38 Houston (1-2)
17-35 // #124 UNLV (1-2) @ #73 Utah St (2-1)
28-52 // #125 Bowling Green (1-2) @ #39 Mississippi St (2-1)
17-24 // #126 Akron (1-2) @ #64 Liberty (2-1)
23-26 // #128 UConn (1-3) @ #22 NC State (3-0)
24-46 // #129 FIU (1-1) @ #72 WKU (2-1)
55-38 // #81 Hawaii (3-1) @ #130 New Mexico St (0-4)
23-55 // #131 UMass (1-2) @ #127 Temple (1-2)
21-26 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #11 Pittsburgh (3-0)
20-54 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #102 Illinois (0-3)
31-33 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #109 Colorado St (0-3)
21-44 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #61 UTSA (1-2)
24-66 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #118 Ohio (0-3)
28-74 // #0 FCS (0-4) @ #112 Texas St (1-2)

WEEK: 5
23-28 // #10 OK State (3-0) @ #34 Baylor (2-2)
36-20 // #39 LSU (3-1) @ #12 Auburn (4-0)
31-28 // #67 Utah St (3-1) @ #16 BYU (3-1)
47-30 // #73 Northwestern (3-1) @ #18 Penn State (3-1)
21-24 // #20 Kentucky (4-0) @ #19 Ole Miss (4-0)
20-40 // #21 NC State (4-0) @ #6 Clemson (4-0)
30-27 // #7 Michigan (4-0) @ #25 Iowa (3-1)
34-24 // #11 Michigan St (4-0) @ #31 Maryland (3-1)
13-50 // #36 Texas Tech (3-1) @ #45 Kansas St (2-2)
27-24 // #8 Texas A&M (4-0) @ #37 Mississippi St (3-1)
35-31 // #75 San Diego St (2-2) @ #40 Boise St (3-1)
17-39 // #42 West Virginia (3-1) @ #29 Texas (2-2)
38-31 // #2 Alabama (4-0) @ #44 Arkansas (2-2)
31-33 // #46 Georgia St (3-1) @ #59 Army (3-1)
50-31 // #3 Georgia (4-0) @ #50 Missouri (3-1)
32-27 // #111 Ga Southern (1-3) @ #52 Coastal Carolina (3-1)
28-57 // #53 Arizona St (2-2) @ #22 USC (4-0)
24-31 // #55 Washington (3-1) @ #61 UCLA (3-1)
44-17 // #4 Oklahoma (4-0) @ #60 TCU (2-1)
36-34 // #17 Louisville (4-0) @ #62 Boston College (3-1)
17-27 // #65 UTSA (2-2) @ #83 Middle Tennessee (3-1)
26-17 // #9 Cincinnati (4-0) @ #66 Tulsa (2-2)
31-34 // #71 SMU (2-2) @ #82 UCF (1-3)
31-32 // #76 Oregon St (2-2) @ #14 Utah (4-0)
30-31 // #77 Purdue (1-3) @ #43 Minnesota (3-1)
21-47 // #79 Central Michigan (2-2) @ #56 Toledo (3-1)
20-47 // #81 California (3-1) @ #69 Washington St (2-2)
31-49 // #84 Troy (2-2) @ #68 WKU (3-1)
30-27 // #74 Virginia Tech (3-1) @ #85 North Carolina (1-3)
17-56 // #87 Tulane (3-1) @ #38 Houston (2-2)
17-58 // #88 San Jose St (2-1) @ #24 Wyoming (5-0)
28-41 // #89 Indiana (2-2) @ #41 Nebraska (3-1)
7-52 // #90 Georgia Tech (2-2) @ #13 Pittsburgh (4-0)
34-35 // #91 Navy (2-2) @ #32 Air Force (3-1)
31-27 // #58 Liberty (3-1) @ #96 Old Dominion (1-3)
33-28 // #30 Wake Forest (3-1) @ #97 Florida St (1-3)
24-56 // #98 Rutgers (2-2) @ #1 Ohio St (4-0)
31-56 // #99 Stanford (1-2) @ #27 Oregon (2-2)
13-17 // #101 Northern Illinois (2-2) @ #94 Ball St (2-2)
54-10 // #57 East Carolina (3-1) @ #102 USF (1-3)
28-31 // #104 Illinois (1-3) @ #23 Wisconsin (3-1)
23-13 // #63 Virginia (3-1) @ #105 Duke (3-1)
42-49 // #106 South Alabama (2-2) @ #28 Louisiana (4-0)
7-59 // #108 Ohio (1-3) @ #95 Kent St (1-3)
24-38 // #110 UTEP (2-3) @ #121 Charlotte (1-4)
52-21 // #72 FAU (4-1) @ #112 North Texas (2-3)
38-31 // #100 Miami(OH) (1-3) @ #114 Buffalo (1-3)
39-34 // #70 Colorado (2-2) @ #118 Arizona (1-3)
34-24 // #115 La Monroe (1-3) @ #120 Arkansas St (1-3)
20-30 // #122 Temple (2-2) @ #48 Memphis (3-1)
19-17 // #15 Iowa St (4-0) @ #123 Kansas (1-3)
69-14 // #64 UAB (2-1) @ #124 Rice (0-4)
33-28 // #103 New Mexico (2-2) @ #126 UNLV (1-3)
31-28 // #51 Fresno St (2-1) @ #127 UConn (1-4)
21-42 // #128 Bowling Green (1-3) @ #125 Akron (1-3)
13-17 // #129 FIU (1-2) @ #130 New Mexico St (0-5)
13-51 // #131 UMass (1-3) @ #93 Eastern Michigan (2-2)
17-52 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #54 Florida (1-3)
24-52 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #49 South Carolina (2-2)
24-33 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #47 Syracuse (3-1)
16-23 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #92 Marshall (2-2)
28-32 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #80 Western Michigan (1-3)
24-53 // #0 FCS (0-5) @ #33 App St (3-1)

WEEK: 6
14-81 // #8 Texas A&M (5-0) @ #2 Alabama (5-0)
67-14 // #1 Ohio St (5-0) @ #10 Michigan St (5-0)
28-33 // #14 Louisville (5-0) @ #61 Virginia (4-1)
21-23 // #20 Texas (3-2) @ #4 Oklahoma (5-0)
23-21 // #4 Oklahoma (5-0) @ #20 Texas (3-2)
10-55 // #21 Auburn (4-1) @ #3 Georgia (5-0)
27-37 // #22 BYU (3-2) @ #6 Notre Dame (3-1)
37-27 // #6 Notre Dame (3-1) @ #22 BYU (3-2)
35-42 // #28 Tennessee (3-1) @ #30 LSU (4-1)
28-46 // #31 Air Force (4-1) @ #43 Utah St (4-1)
38-42 // #32 Nebraska (4-1) @ #95 Rutgers (2-3)
27-40 // #33 Kansas St (3-2) @ #17 Iowa St (5-0)
31-24 // #19 Wisconsin (4-1) @ #42 Northwestern (4-1)
27-29 // #44 Army (4-1) @ #25 Wake Forest (4-1)
21-32 // #45 East Carolina (4-1) @ #92 Tulane (3-2)
50-14 // #12 Utah (5-0) @ #49 UCLA (4-1)
39-27 // #36 Houston (3-2) @ #50 Memphis (4-1)
37-38 // #51 Arkansas (2-3) @ #41 Mississippi St (3-2)
28-38 // #52 Texas Tech (3-2) @ #18 OK State (3-1)
28-37 // #53 Missouri (3-2) @ #66 Florida (2-3)
21-52 // #55 Washington St (3-2) @ #15 USC (5-0)
14-53 // #57 South Carolina (3-2) @ #24 Kentucky (4-1)
14-50 // #58 Fresno St (3-1) @ #67 Boise St (3-2)
10-59 // #60 Virginia Tech (4-1) @ #11 Pittsburgh (5-0)
38-42 // #63 Middle Tennessee (4-1) @ #48 UAB (3-1)
68-24 // #5 Clemson (5-0) @ #72 Boston College (3-2)
31-20 // #69 Washington (3-2) @ #73 Arizona St (2-3)
27-28 // #75 Hawaii (4-1) @ #65 San Diego St (3-2)
31-36 // #77 Oregon St (2-3) @ #100 Stanford (1-3)
19-17 // #56 WKU (4-1) @ #78 UTSA (2-3)
24-26 // #84 Ball St (3-2) @ #88 Central Michigan (2-3)
9-10 // #85 Purdue (1-4) @ #39 Maryland (3-2)
17-19 // #86 Eastern Michigan (3-2) @ #83 Western Michigan (2-3)
22-20 // #7 Michigan (5-0) @ #87 Indiana (2-3)
34-31 // #70 Tulsa (2-3) @ #89 Navy (2-3)
7-57 // #91 North Carolina (1-4) @ #35 Miami (3-1)
23-20 // #80 Kent St (2-3) @ #94 Miami(OH) (2-3)
30-32 // #97 Ga Southern (2-3) @ #64 Georgia St (3-2)
24-46 // #99 Florida St (1-4) @ #23 NC State (4-1)
20-40 // #101 New Mexico (3-2) @ #16 Wyoming (6-0)
27-30 // #103 James Madison (1-2) @ #124 Arkansas St (1-4)
60-13 // #38 Iowa (3-2) @ #104 Illinois (1-4)
37-16 // #76 Coastal Carolina (3-2) @ #105 La Monroe (2-3)
21-20 // #47 Toledo (4-1) @ #107 Northern Illinois (2-3)
13-20 // #108 Duke (3-2) @ #90 Georgia Tech (2-3)
7-68 // #110 USF (1-4) @ #9 Cincinnati (5-0)
28-56 // #111 Colorado St (1-3) @ #79 Nevada (3-2)
24-26 // #113 UTEP (2-4) @ #112 La Tech (1-3)
54-21 // #34 App St (4-1) @ #114 Texas St (2-3)
10-17 // #115 Akron (2-3) @ #120 Ohio (1-4)
55-31 // #13 Ole Miss (5-0) @ #116 Vanderbilt (1-4)
20-22 // #117 Southern Miss (1-3) @ #93 Troy (2-3)
21-24 // #121 Buffalo (1-4) @ #129 Bowling Green (1-4)
39-10 // #27 Oregon (3-2) @ #122 Arizona (1-4)
54-21 // #74 TCU (2-2) @ #123 Kansas (1-4)
17-66 // #128 UNLV (1-4) @ #98 San Jose St (2-2)
19-17 // #125 UConn (1-5) @ #130 FIU (1-3)
27-20 // #46 Liberty (4-1) @ #131 UMass (1-4)

WEEK: 7
20-22 // #2 Alabama (6-0) @ #39 Tennessee (3-2)
14-35 // #11 USC (6-0) @ #9 Utah (6-0)
35-23 // #16 Wisconsin (5-1) @ #19 Michigan St (5-1)
31-34 // #20 LSU (5-1) @ #51 Florida (3-3)
38-35 // #12 Iowa St (6-0) @ #25 Texas (3-3)
21-24 // #28 Auburn (4-2) @ #15 Ole Miss (6-0)
23-33 // #36 Maryland (4-2) @ #91 Indiana (2-4)
21-33 // #37 Mississippi St (4-2) @ #18 Kentucky (5-1)
31-38 // #38 Penn State (3-2) @ #7 Michigan (6-0)
14-32 // #47 Nebraska (4-2) @ #92 Purdue (1-5)
49-21 // #22 NC State (5-1) @ #53 Syracuse (4-1)
17-38 // #58 Memphis (4-2) @ #63 East Carolina (4-2)
21-61 // #60 Arkansas (2-4) @ #26 BYU (3-3)
32-17 // #29 Baylor (3-2) @ #61 West Virginia (3-2)
30-23 // #17 OK State (4-1) @ #64 TCU (3-2)
31-33 // #66 Washington St (3-3) @ #89 Oregon St (2-4)
55-21 // #44 WKU (5-1) @ #68 Middle Tennessee (4-2)
31-27 // #32 Miami (4-1) @ #71 Virginia Tech (4-2)
24-30 // #73 Nevada (4-2) @ #78 Hawaii (4-2)
28-52 // #74 Kent St (3-3) @ #40 Toledo (5-1)
27-32 // #75 Tulane (4-2) @ #111 USF (1-5)
35-28 // #94 Navy (2-4) @ #82 SMU (2-3)
28-59 // #86 California (3-2) @ #67 Colorado (3-2)
21-62 // #87 Stanford (2-3) @ #6 Notre Dame (4-1)
35-52 // #90 San Jose St (3-2) @ #76 Fresno St (3-2)
72-14 // #33 Louisiana (5-0) @ #95 Marshall (3-2)
31-33 // #100 Old Dominion (1-4) @ #65 Coastal Carolina (4-2)
9-28 // #101 La Tech (2-3) @ #118 North Texas (2-4)
31-33 // #104 La Monroe (2-4) @ #102 South Alabama (2-3)
77-14 // #5 Clemson (6-0) @ #105 Florida St (1-5)
17-26 // #106 Northern Illinois (2-4) @ #96 Eastern Michigan (3-3)
27-38 // #107 James Madison (1-3) @ #99 Ga Southern (2-4)
23-32 // #108 Charlotte (2-4) @ #35 UAB (4-1)
29-24 // #41 Minnesota (4-1) @ #109 Illinois (1-5)
27-24 // #103 North Carolina (1-5) @ #110 Duke (3-3)
28-38 // #112 Ohio (2-4) @ #79 Western Michigan (3-3)
21-53 // #113 Arkansas St (2-4) @ #119 Southern Miss (1-4)
28-39 // #114 Texas St (2-4) @ #88 Troy (3-3)
26-24 // #30 Utah St (5-1) @ #115 Colorado St (1-4)
26-38 // #116 Vanderbilt (1-5) @ #3 Georgia (6-0)
24-27 // #120 Temple (2-3) @ #72 UCF (2-3)
20-23 // #121 UConn (2-5) @ #93 Ball St (3-3)
71-14 // #84 Central Michigan (3-3) @ #122 Akron (2-4)
31-55 // #123 Arizona (1-5) @ #52 Washington (4-2)
19-21 // #124 Rice (0-5) @ #55 FAU (5-1)
24-33 // #125 Kansas (1-5) @ #4 Oklahoma (6-0)
39-21 // #98 Miami(OH) (2-4) @ #126 Bowling Green (2-4)
29-14 // #97 New Mexico (3-3) @ #127 New Mexico St (1-5)
17-13 // #46 Air Force (4-2) @ #129 UNLV (1-5)
31-28 // #85 UTSA (2-4) @ #130 FIU (1-4)
32-28 // #128 Buffalo (1-5) @ #131 UMass (1-5)
14-23 // #0 FCS (0-7) @ #54 Army (4-2)
24-32 // #0 FCS (0-7) @ #45 Liberty (5-1)

WEEK: 8
24-38 // #11 Ole Miss (7-0) @ #37 LSU (5-2)
32-21 // #38 Texas (3-4) @ #17 OK State (5-1)
32-24 // #12 Pittsburgh (6-0) @ #23 Louisville (5-1)
7-58 // #28 Utah St (6-1) @ #13 Wyoming (7-0)
13-51 // #31 Iowa (4-2) @ #1 Ohio St (6-0)
17-35 // #34 UAB (5-1) @ #33 WKU (6-1)
21-28 // #39 Minnesota (5-1) @ #42 Penn State (3-3)
38-35 // #65 UCF (3-3) @ #40 East Carolina (5-2)
28-31 // #43 Virginia (5-1) @ #83 Georgia Tech (3-3)
35-47 // #48 Boise St (4-2) @ #45 Air Force (5-2)
24-49 // #49 Mississippi St (4-3) @ #5 Alabama (6-1)
64-28 // #21 BYU (4-3) @ #51 Liberty (6-1)
62-24 // #52 Northwestern (4-2) @ #53 Maryland (4-3)
49-20 // #69 West Virginia (3-3) @ #56 Texas Tech (3-3)
14-63 // #57 Georgia St (4-2) @ #35 App St (5-1)
17-53 // #58 UCLA (4-2) @ #27 Oregon (4-2)
28-34 // #59 Hawaii (5-2) @ #115 Colorado St (1-5)
14-31 // #63 Syracuse (4-2) @ #3 Clemson (7-0)
22-10 // #44 Kansas St (3-3) @ #67 TCU (3-3)
57-31 // #15 Texas A&M (5-1) @ #68 South Carolina (3-3)
24-35 // #70 Memphis (4-3) @ #87 Tulane (4-3)
38-45 // #72 Western Michigan (4-3) @ #101 Miami(OH) (3-4)
36-31 // #54 Colorado (4-2) @ #73 Oregon St (3-4)
24-44 // #74 Boston College (3-3) @ #26 Wake Forest (5-1)
24-31 // #80 Troy (4-3) @ #98 South Alabama (3-3)
29-21 // #71 Indiana (3-4) @ #81 Rutgers (3-3)
14-38 // #82 Arizona St (2-4) @ #91 Stanford (2-4)
16-29 // #84 Purdue (2-5) @ #14 Wisconsin (6-1)
34-14 // #47 San Diego St (4-2) @ #86 Nevada (4-3)
58-21 // #32 Houston (4-2) @ #89 Navy (3-4)
38-35 // #92 Eastern Michigan (4-3) @ #90 Ball St (4-3)
24-31 // #93 Ga Southern (3-4) @ #103 Old Dominion (1-5)
42-14 // #61 Fresno St (4-2) @ #94 New Mexico (4-3)
43-24 // #46 Washington (5-2) @ #95 California (3-3)
24-27 // #96 San Jose St (3-3) @ #127 New Mexico St (1-6)
59-35 // #9 Cincinnati (6-0) @ #97 SMU (2-4)
31-52 // #108 Vanderbilt (1-6) @ #66 Missouri (3-3)
35-38 // #109 North Texas (3-4) @ #85 UTSA (3-4)
14-72 // #111 La Monroe (2-5) @ #62 Army (5-2)
27-28 // #114 Duke (3-4) @ #30 Miami (5-1)
31-13 // #107 Northern Illinois (2-5) @ #116 Ohio (2-5)
45-13 // #50 FAU (6-1) @ #117 UTEP (2-5)
31-24 // #104 Southern Miss (2-4) @ #118 Texas St (2-5)
28-33 // #119 Arkansas St (2-5) @ #22 Louisiana (6-0)
29-20 // #55 Tulsa (3-3) @ #120 Temple (2-4)
38-41 // #122 Rice (0-6) @ #112 La Tech (2-4)
17-28 // #123 Kansas (1-6) @ #24 Baylor (4-2)
23-27 // #125 Akron (2-5) @ #88 Kent St (3-4)
40-24 // #29 Toledo (6-1) @ #126 Buffalo (2-5)
35-39 // #128 Bowling Green (2-5) @ #76 Central Michigan (4-3)
14-71 // #129 UNLV (1-6) @ #4 Notre Dame (5-1)
17-52 // #130 FIU (1-5) @ #110 Charlotte (2-5)
17-62 // #0 FCS (0-8) @ #20 Tennessee (4-2)

WEEK: 9
28-33 // #9 Oklahoma (7-0) @ #13 Iowa St (7-0)
28-35 // #16 Ole Miss (7-1) @ #14 Texas A&M (6-1)
31-28 // #74 Virginia Tech (4-3) @ #19 NC State (6-1)
29-17 // #17 Kentucky (6-1) @ #21 Tennessee (5-2)
17-26 // #26 Toledo (7-1) @ #84 Eastern Michigan (5-3)
17-18 // #28 Baylor (5-2) @ #70 Texas Tech (3-4)
20-48 // #29 Michigan St (5-2) @ #11 Michigan (7-0)
24-42 // #34 Northwestern (5-2) @ #39 Iowa (4-3)
43-21 // #22 Wake Forest (6-1) @ #35 Louisville (5-2)
27-23 // #1 Ohio St (7-0) @ #36 Penn State (4-3)
35-16 // #2 Georgia (7-0) @ #38 Florida (4-3)
16-35 // #38 Florida (4-3) @ #2 Georgia (7-0)
27-23 // #30 OK State (5-2) @ #41 Kansas St (4-3)
17-21 // #45 San Diego St (5-2) @ #50 Fresno St (5-2)
42-17 // #96 Arizona St (2-5) @ #46 Colorado (5-2)
28-38 // #48 UAB (5-2) @ #43 FAU (7-1)
17-42 // #53 East Carolina (5-3) @ #18 BYU (5-3)
31-37 // #55 Missouri (4-3) @ #76 South Carolina (3-4)
18-17 // #7 Cincinnati (7-0) @ #56 UCF (4-3)
39-24 // #31 Miami (6-1) @ #58 Virginia (5-2)
27-9 // #4 Notre Dame (6-1) @ #60 Syracuse (4-3)
20-48 // #65 Georgia Tech (4-3) @ #109 Florida St (1-6)
10-53 // #68 Stanford (3-4) @ #67 UCLA (4-3)
26-24 // #10 Utah (7-0) @ #71 Washington St (3-4)
41-42 // #73 Arkansas (2-5) @ #44 Auburn (4-3)
30-28 // #6 Wyoming (8-0) @ #75 Hawaii (5-3)
21-22 // #78 TCU (3-4) @ #54 West Virginia (4-3)
13-22 // #85 South Alabama (4-3) @ #116 Arkansas St (2-6)
21-73 // #86 Rutgers (3-4) @ #49 Minnesota (5-2)
24-27 // #92 Old Dominion (2-5) @ #69 Georgia St (4-3)
13-77 // #97 USF (2-5) @ #32 Houston (5-2)
44-21 // #20 Oregon (5-2) @ #98 California (3-4)
27-23 // #8 Pittsburgh (7-0) @ #99 North Carolina (2-5)
13-14 // #100 SMU (2-5) @ #47 Tulsa (4-3)
31-28 // #24 Louisiana (7-0) @ #102 Southern Miss (3-4)
29-28 // #93 Nevada (4-4) @ #107 San Jose St (3-4)
14-27 // #108 Colorado St (2-5) @ #62 Boise St (4-3)
21-38 // #110 Illinois (1-6) @ #61 Nebraska (4-3)
33-24 // #59 Coastal Carolina (5-2) @ #112 Marshall (3-4)
23-45 // #114 North Texas (3-5) @ #23 WKU (7-1)
49-21 // #72 Middle Tennessee (4-3) @ #117 UTEP (2-6)
67-17 // #83 Boston College (3-4) @ #118 UConn (2-6)
17-75 // #119 Temple (2-5) @ #90 Navy (3-5)
42-31 // #15 USC (6-1) @ #123 Arizona (1-6)
38-27 // #87 Miami(OH) (4-4) @ #125 Akron (2-6)
40-24 // #106 Charlotte (3-5) @ #126 Rice (0-7)
34-31 // #105 La Tech (3-4) @ #130 FIU (1-6)
40-21 // #121 New Mexico St (2-6) @ #131 UMass (1-6)
21-27 // #0 FCS (0-9) @ #27 App St (6-1)

WEEK: 10
28-17 // #3 Clemson (8-0) @ #5 Notre Dame (7-1)
24-23 // #42 Florida (4-4) @ #12 Texas A&M (7-1)
30-33 // #18 BYU (6-3) @ #62 Boise St (5-3)
39-38 // #8 Alabama (7-1) @ #25 LSU (6-2)
27-28 // #27 Tennessee (5-3) @ #2 Georgia (8-0)
29-28 // #16 Wake Forest (7-1) @ #28 NC State (6-2)
16-38 // #32 Texas (4-4) @ #48 Kansas St (4-4)
41-42 // #33 App St (7-1) @ #49 Coastal Carolina (6-2)
27-40 // #38 Baylor (5-3) @ #14 Oklahoma (7-1)
41-38 // #50 Army (6-2) @ #40 Air Force (6-2)
38-41 // #40 Air Force (6-2) @ #50 Army (6-2)
17-24 // #45 West Virginia (5-3) @ #9 Iowa St (8-0)
32-16 // #1 Ohio St (8-0) @ #46 Northwestern (5-3)
41-35 // #35 Auburn (5-3) @ #51 Mississippi St (4-4)
6-9 // #52 Texas Tech (4-4) @ #88 TCU (3-5)
38-40 // #53 Liberty (6-2) @ #83 Arkansas (2-6)
40-14 // #39 Minnesota (6-2) @ #55 Nebraska (5-3)
59-31 // #19 Oregon (6-2) @ #57 Colorado (5-3)
24-38 // #58 UCLA (5-3) @ #84 Arizona St (3-5)
17-57 // #65 Syracuse (4-4) @ #11 Pittsburgh (8-0)
46-19 // #36 Penn State (4-4) @ #66 Indiana (4-4)
14-45 // #67 Maryland (4-4) @ #15 Wisconsin (7-1)
31-35 // #69 Tulane (5-3) @ #47 Tulsa (5-3)
57-10 // #13 Kentucky (7-1) @ #72 Missouri (4-4)
31-33 // #73 Hawaii (5-4) @ #44 Fresno St (6-2)
30-44 // #75 UTSA (4-4) @ #60 UAB (5-3)
27-30 // #76 Washington St (3-5) @ #77 Stanford (3-5)
28-54 // #78 Central Michigan (5-3) @ #108 Northern Illinois (3-5)
28-62 // #79 Navy (4-5) @ #10 Cincinnati (8-0)
47-19 // #68 UCF (4-4) @ #80 Memphis (4-4)
20-21 // #81 Georgia Tech (4-4) @ #54 Virginia Tech (5-3)
37-34 // #92 Ball St (4-4) @ #82 Kent St (4-4)
24-37 // #85 Oregon St (3-5) @ #41 Washington (6-2)
32-21 // #29 Iowa (5-3) @ #89 Purdue (2-6)
16-35 // #90 Troy (4-4) @ #23 Louisiana (8-0)
24-28 // #93 New Mexico (4-4) @ #34 Utah St (6-2)
28-31 // #95 Florida St (2-6) @ #20 Miami (7-1)
48-20 // #4 Michigan (8-0) @ #96 Rutgers (3-5)
26-29 // #97 USF (2-6) @ #124 Temple (2-6)
24-32 // #98 North Carolina (2-6) @ #71 Virginia (5-3)
28-62 // #99 California (3-5) @ #17 USC (7-1)
37-17 // #22 WKU (8-1) @ #101 Charlotte (4-5)
37-28 // #94 South Alabama (4-4) @ #102 Ga Southern (3-5)
28-35 // #103 James Madison (2-4) @ #37 Louisville (5-3)
63-14 // #24 Houston (6-2) @ #104 SMU (2-6)
41-34 // #59 Georgia St (5-3) @ #105 Southern Miss (3-5)
40-31 // #63 Middle Tennessee (5-3) @ #106 La Tech (4-4)
28-27 // #109 Colorado St (2-6) @ #110 San Jose St (3-5)
3-70 // #111 Duke (3-5) @ #70 Boston College (4-4)
24-21 // #64 South Carolina (4-4) @ #113 Vanderbilt (1-7)
23-12 // #31 Michigan St (5-3) @ #114 Illinois (1-7)
14-35 // #115 Marshall (3-5) @ #100 Old Dominion (2-6)
46-31 // #126 Buffalo (2-6) @ #118 Ohio (2-6)
13-48 // #119 Texas St (2-6) @ #112 La Monroe (2-6)
32-28 // #21 OK State (6-2) @ #120 Kansas (1-7)
27-30 // #121 UTEP (2-7) @ #128 Rice (0-8)
21-47 // #123 Arizona (1-7) @ #7 Utah (8-0)
31-24 // #91 Western Michigan (4-4) @ #127 Bowling Green (2-6)
13-41 // #129 UNLV (1-7) @ #56 San Diego St (5-3)
24-45 // #130 FIU (1-7) @ #116 North Texas (3-6)
24-28 // #131 UMass (1-7) @ #122 UConn (2-7)

WEEK: 11
34-31 // #36 Washington (7-2) @ #17 Oregon (7-2)
13-29 // #19 Texas A&M (7-2) @ #32 Auburn (6-3)
21-20 // #7 Iowa St (9-0) @ #23 OK State (7-2)
27-24 // #4 Alabama (8-1) @ #25 Ole Miss (7-2)
50-24 // #14 Wisconsin (8-1) @ #26 Iowa (6-3)
21-30 // #33 Louisville (6-3) @ #2 Clemson (9-0)
28-31 // #43 Kansas St (5-4) @ #52 Baylor (5-4)
35-38 // #49 Northwestern (5-4) @ #35 Minnesota (7-2)
29-26 // #15 Oklahoma (8-1) @ #54 West Virginia (5-4)
24-53 // #56 South Carolina (5-4) @ #29 Florida (5-4)
14-59 // #58 East Carolina (5-4) @ #9 Cincinnati (9-0)
24-28 // #59 Boston College (5-4) @ #38 NC State (6-3)
14-42 // #61 Colorado (5-4) @ #16 USC (8-1)
30-20 // #3 Georgia (9-0) @ #62 Mississippi St (4-5)
42-21 // #8 Pittsburgh (9-0) @ #63 Virginia (6-3)
21-36 // #65 Nebraska (5-4) @ #5 Michigan (9-0)
31-35 // #67 Stanford (4-5) @ #6 Utah (9-0)
31-41 // #70 Maryland (4-5) @ #37 Penn State (5-4)
31-28 // #57 UCF (5-4) @ #73 Tulane (5-4)
31-44 // #74 TCU (4-5) @ #46 Texas (4-5)
47-21 // #34 Utah St (7-2) @ #75 Hawaii (5-5)
28-40 // #76 Indiana (4-5) @ #1 Ohio St (9-0)
6-65 // #77 Missouri (4-5) @ #31 Tennessee (5-4)
39-24 // #22 LSU (6-3) @ #78 Arkansas (3-6)
24-37 // #79 Navy (4-6) @ #11 Notre Dame (7-2)
37-24 // #11 Notre Dame (7-2) @ #79 Navy (4-6)
3-62 // #80 Ball St (5-4) @ #44 Toledo (7-2)
44-17 // #47 Boise St (6-3) @ #83 Nevada (5-4)
64-17 // #20 Miami (8-1) @ #84 Georgia Tech (4-5)
30-10 // #71 Arizona St (4-5) @ #85 Washington St (3-6)
43-34 // #42 Tulsa (6-3) @ #86 Memphis (4-5)
20-27 // #92 Northern Illinois (4-5) @ #88 Western Michigan (5-4)
30-21 // #41 Army (7-2) @ #93 Troy (4-5)
14-27 // #94 Florida St (2-7) @ #68 Syracuse (4-5)
21-78 // #95 Rutgers (3-6) @ #28 Michigan St (6-3)
24-44 // #98 New Mexico (4-5) @ #53 Air Force (6-3)
24-66 // #99 Charlotte (4-6) @ #60 Middle Tennessee (6-3)
37-28 // #10 Wyoming (9-0) @ #100 Colorado St (3-6)
10-55 // #101 La Monroe (3-6) @ #50 Georgia St (6-3)
27-24 // #87 Oregon St (3-6) @ #102 California (3-6)
31-34 // #103 Ga Southern (3-6) @ #18 Louisiana (9-0)
21-28 // #104 James Madison (2-5) @ #97 Old Dominion (3-6)
38-41 // #106 SMU (2-7) @ #110 USF (2-7)
21-28 // #107 La Tech (4-5) @ #81 UTSA (4-5)
21-22 // #108 Southern Miss (3-6) @ #40 Coastal Carolina (7-2)
31-38 // #109 North Carolina (2-7) @ #13 Wake Forest (8-1)
41-24 // #51 UAB (6-3) @ #111 North Texas (4-6)
43-14 // #48 Virginia Tech (6-3) @ #112 Duke (3-6)
17-57 // #113 San Jose St (3-6) @ #55 San Diego St (6-3)
24-27 // #115 Vanderbilt (1-8) @ #12 Kentucky (8-1)
27-16 // #96 Purdue (2-7) @ #116 Illinois (1-8)
10-17 // #117 Temple (3-6) @ #24 Houston (7-2)
31-30 // #64 Liberty (6-3) @ #118 UConn (3-7)
45-24 // #45 App St (7-2) @ #119 Marshall (3-6)
10-43 // #120 Arizona (1-8) @ #66 UCLA (5-4)
21-33 // #121 Kansas (1-8) @ #69 Texas Tech (4-5)
17-35 // #122 Buffalo (3-6) @ #90 Central Michigan (5-4)
7-69 // #123 Rice (1-8) @ #21 WKU (9-1)
24-64 // #125 Ohio (2-7) @ #82 Miami(OH) (5-4)
21-42 // #126 Texas St (2-7) @ #89 South Alabama (5-4)
32-31 // #72 Eastern Michigan (6-3) @ #127 Akron (2-7)
29-24 // #91 Kent St (4-5) @ #128 Bowling Green (2-7)
60-17 // #39 Fresno St (7-2) @ #129 UNLV (1-8)
48-14 // #30 FAU (8-1) @ #130 FIU (1-8)
20-38 // #131 UMass (1-8) @ #105 Arkansas St (3-6)
21-30 // #0 FCS (0-11) @ #114 New Mexico St (3-6)

WEEK: 12
21-20 // #43 Boise St (7-3) @ #10 Wyoming (10-0)
30-24 // #2 Georgia (10-0) @ #14 Kentucky (9-1)
26-24 // #37 OK State (7-3) @ #15 Oklahoma (9-1)
14-52 // #18 Miami (9-1) @ #3 Clemson (10-0)
17-58 // #19 WKU (10-1) @ #22 Auburn (7-3)
27-24 // #66 Colorado (5-5) @ #21 Washington (8-2)
16-13 // #8 Utah (10-0) @ #25 Oregon (7-3)
31-28 // #46 Iowa (6-4) @ #27 Minnesota (8-2)
14-31 // #35 FAU (9-1) @ #53 Middle Tennessee (7-3)
51-31 // #33 NC State (7-3) @ #39 Louisville (6-4)
31-49 // #40 Coastal Carolina (8-2) @ #65 Virginia (6-4)
27-28 // #52 UAB (7-3) @ #20 LSU (7-3)
35-38 // #54 Liberty (7-3) @ #47 Virginia Tech (7-3)
27-34 // #56 Syracuse (5-5) @ #13 Wake Forest (9-1)
28-29 // #57 Kansas St (5-5) @ #59 West Virginia (5-5)
36-27 // #16 USC (9-1) @ #61 UCLA (6-4)
36-34 // #28 Tennessee (6-4) @ #62 South Carolina (5-5)
28-21 // #32 Houston (8-2) @ #63 East Carolina (5-5)
24-34 // #64 Texas Tech (5-5) @ #6 Iowa St (10-0)
34-27 // #11 Wisconsin (9-1) @ #68 Nebraska (5-5)
20-30 // #69 Boston College (5-5) @ #12 Notre Dame (8-2)
35-38 // #70 Stanford (4-6) @ #102 California (3-7)
23-27 // #71 Eastern Michigan (7-3) @ #84 Kent St (5-5)
10-72 // #72 Indiana (4-6) @ #26 Michigan St (7-3)
30-23 // #1 Ohio St (10-0) @ #73 Maryland (4-6)
20-35 // #74 Miami(OH) (6-4) @ #95 Northern Illinois (4-6)
35-24 // #111 SMU (2-8) @ #75 Tulane (5-5)
28-50 // #77 Oregon St (4-6) @ #60 Arizona St (5-5)
34-27 // #30 Ole Miss (7-3) @ #79 Arkansas (3-7)
21-43 // #81 TCU (4-6) @ #49 Baylor (6-4)
24-17 // #80 Western Michigan (6-4) @ #82 Central Michigan (6-4)
21-50 // #83 South Alabama (6-4) @ #109 Southern Miss (3-7)
17-48 // #85 Old Dominion (4-6) @ #45 App St (8-2)
32-31 // #58 Northwestern (5-5) @ #86 Purdue (3-7)
24-29 // #87 Navy (4-7) @ #55 UCF (6-4)
27-53 // #90 Georgia Tech (4-6) @ #107 North Carolina (2-8)
30-24 // #38 Fresno St (8-2) @ #93 Nevada (5-5)
24-45 // #96 USF (3-7) @ #41 Tulsa (7-3)
33-14 // #34 Penn State (6-4) @ #97 Rutgers (3-7)
17-18 // #98 Colorado St (3-7) @ #50 Air Force (7-3)
40-28 // #17 Louisiana (10-0) @ #99 Florida St (2-8)
35-21 // #51 San Diego St (7-3) @ #100 New Mexico (4-6)
34-36 // #105 La Monroe (3-7) @ #94 Troy (4-6)
20-21 // #108 La Tech (4-6) @ #104 Charlotte (4-7)
38-45 // #110 Duke (3-7) @ #4 Pittsburgh (10-0)
28-43 // #113 New Mexico St (4-6) @ #78 Missouri (4-6)
7-70 // #114 San Jose St (3-7) @ #24 Utah St (8-2)
31-24 // #9 Cincinnati (10-0) @ #115 Temple (3-7)
32-28 // #29 Florida (6-4) @ #116 Vanderbilt (1-9)
21-22 // #117 Illinois (1-9) @ #7 Michigan (10-0)
21-36 // #118 Marshall (3-7) @ #103 Ga Southern (3-7)
24-41 // #119 UConn (3-8) @ #36 Army (8-2)
38-17 // #92 Washington St (3-7) @ #121 Arizona (1-9)
17-59 // #123 Ohio (2-8) @ #89 Ball St (5-5)
27-28 // #124 Akron (2-8) @ #122 Buffalo (3-7)
31-28 // #44 Texas (5-5) @ #125 Kansas (1-9)
23-17 // #101 Arkansas St (4-6) @ #126 Texas St (2-8)
22-21 // #76 UTSA (5-5) @ #127 Rice (1-9)
27-30 // #128 Bowling Green (2-8) @ #42 Toledo (8-2)
31-32 // #129 UNLV (1-9) @ #88 Hawaii (5-6)
23-26 // #130 FIU (1-9) @ #120 UTEP (2-8)
6-57 // #131 UMass (1-9) @ #23 Texas A&M (7-3)
17-54 // #0 FCS (0-12) @ #5 Alabama (9-1)
28-43 // #0 FCS (0-12) @ #67 Mississippi St (4-6)
24-28 // #0 FCS (0-12) @ #91 Memphis (4-6)
28-54 // #0 FCS (0-12) @ #31 BYU (6-4)

WEEK: 13
28-60 // #6 Michigan (11-0) @ #1 Ohio St (11-0)
33-28 // #12 Notre Dame (9-2) @ #13 USC (10-1)
39-38 // #47 Louisville (6-5) @ #15 Kentucky (9-2)
14-39 // #18 LSU (8-3) @ #26 Texas A&M (8-3)
53-17 // #7 Pittsburgh (11-0) @ #19 Miami (9-2)
28-37 // #21 Auburn (8-3) @ #8 Alabama (10-1)
17-32 // #23 Utah St (9-2) @ #36 Boise St (8-3)
21-32 // #29 WKU (10-2) @ #49 FAU (9-2)
26-31 // #30 Minnesota (8-3) @ #11 Wisconsin (10-1)
38-44 // #31 Florida (7-4) @ #107 Florida St (2-9)
39-17 // #14 Wyoming (10-1) @ #33 Fresno St (9-2)
37-23 // #25 Michigan St (8-3) @ #34 Penn State (7-4)
35-39 // #35 Washington (8-3) @ #79 Washington St (4-7)
26-17 // #52 Virginia (7-4) @ #41 Virginia Tech (8-3)
24-28 // #43 Tulsa (8-3) @ #24 Houston (9-2)
17-19 // #44 Baylor (7-4) @ #48 Texas (6-5)
22-21 // #46 Air Force (8-3) @ #50 San Diego St (8-3)
31-32 // #51 Middle Tennessee (8-3) @ #131 FIU (1-10)
17-42 // #56 West Virginia (6-5) @ #27 OK State (8-3)
37-23 // #4 Utah (11-0) @ #58 Colorado (6-5)
16-33 // #62 UCLA (6-5) @ #92 California (4-7)
34-56 // #63 Mississippi St (5-6) @ #20 Ole Miss (8-3)
23-26 // #64 South Carolina (5-6) @ #3 Clemson (11-0)
37-27 // #17 Oklahoma (9-2) @ #65 Texas Tech (5-6)
36-21 // #59 Syracuse (5-6) @ #66 Boston College (5-6)
54-17 // #83 Arkansas (3-8) @ #67 Missouri (5-6)
24-34 // #69 Nebraska (5-6) @ #37 Iowa (7-4)
30-23 // #45 Toledo (9-2) @ #72 Western Michigan (7-4)
38-31 // #32 BYU (7-4) @ #74 Stanford (4-7)
9-22 // #76 Kent St (6-5) @ #116 Buffalo (4-7)
24-21 // #90 Central Michigan (6-5) @ #77 Eastern Michigan (7-4)
24-29 // #78 Ball St (6-5) @ #84 Miami(OH) (6-5)
49-24 // #5 Iowa St (11-0) @ #80 TCU (4-7)
64-7 // #39 Oregon (7-4) @ #82 Oregon St (4-7)
21-31 // #85 Tulane (5-6) @ #9 Cincinnati (11-0)
14-33 // #86 Georgia Tech (4-7) @ #2 Georgia (11-0)
31-35 // #87 Purdue (3-8) @ #73 Indiana (4-7)
24-47 // #89 Memphis (5-6) @ #105 SMU (3-8)
20-48 // #94 Old Dominion (4-7) @ #91 South Alabama (6-5)
30-27 // #22 NC State (8-3) @ #96 North Carolina (3-8)
19-16 // #95 Troy (5-6) @ #98 Arkansas St (5-6)
27-20 // #40 App St (9-2) @ #99 Ga Southern (4-7)
31-33 // #101 Southern Miss (4-7) @ #111 La Monroe (3-8)
10-26 // #103 Rutgers (3-8) @ #71 Maryland (4-7)
33-31 // #54 UCF (7-4) @ #104 USF (3-8)
31-28 // #102 New Mexico (4-7) @ #106 Colorado St (3-8)
30-23 // #10 Wake Forest (10-1) @ #108 Duke (3-8)
26-24 // #61 UAB (7-4) @ #110 La Tech (4-7)
47-13 // #70 East Carolina (5-6) @ #112 Temple (3-8)
23-20 // #81 Hawaii (6-6) @ #114 San Jose St (3-8)
27-38 // #115 UTEP (3-8) @ #75 UTSA (6-5)
3-43 // #117 New Mexico St (4-7) @ #60 Liberty (7-4)
17-43 // #118 Illinois (1-10) @ #53 Northwestern (6-5)
21-14 // #28 Tennessee (7-4) @ #119 Vanderbilt (1-10)
67-21 // #42 Georgia St (8-3) @ #121 Marshall (3-8)
31-36 // #122 Kansas (1-10) @ #68 Kansas St (5-6)
33-16 // #57 Arizona St (6-5) @ #123 Arizona (1-10)
39-38 // #16 Louisiana (11-0) @ #125 Texas St (2-9)
21-87 // #126 Akron (2-9) @ #88 Northern Illinois (5-6)
21-31 // #127 Bowling Green (2-9) @ #124 Ohio (2-9)
14-49 // #128 Rice (1-10) @ #113 North Texas (4-7)
48-21 // #97 Nevada (5-6) @ #129 UNLV (1-10)
36-31 // #38 Army (9-2) @ #130 UMass (1-10)

WEEK: 14
38-31 // #7 Alabama (11-1) @ #3 Georgia (12-0)
31-38 // #3 Georgia (12-0) @ #7 Alabama (11-1)
20-33 // #4 Pittsburgh (12-0) @ #2 Clemson (12-0)
33-20 // #2 Clemson (12-0) @ #4 Pittsburgh (12-0)
19-14 // #32 Oregon (8-4) @ #6 Utah (12-0)
14-19 // #6 Utah (12-0) @ #32 Oregon (8-4)
30-24 // #16 Houston (10-2) @ #8 Cincinnati (12-0)
24-30 // #8 Cincinnati (12-0) @ #16 Houston (10-2)
24-39 // #9 Wisconsin (11-1) @ #1 Ohio St (12-0)
39-24 // #1 Ohio St (12-0) @ #9 Wisconsin (11-1)
13-16 // #14 Oklahoma (10-2) @ #5 Iowa St (12-0)
16-13 // #5 Iowa St (12-0) @ #14 Oklahoma (10-2)
21-22 // #28 App St (10-2) @ #15 Louisiana (12-0)
22-21 // #15 Louisiana (12-0) @ #28 App St (10-2)
35-36 // #41 FAU (10-2) @ #47 WKU (10-3)
36-35 // #47 WKU (10-3) @ #41 FAU (10-2)
21-22 // #46 Fresno St (9-3) @ #13 Wyoming (11-1)
22-21 // #13 Wyoming (11-1) @ #46 Fresno St (9-3)
35-31 // #33 Toledo (10-2) @ #80 Miami(OH) (7-5)
31-35 // #80 Miami(OH) (7-5) @ #33 Toledo (10-2)
How do you do your sim?

If you had a set of teams and a schedule could you project the results?

What does 125b indicate?
04-26-2022 02:05 PM
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Crayton Offline
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Post: #37
RE: '22 Season End Simulations [Eight Undefeateds!]
(04-26-2022 02:05 PM)jimrtex Wrote:  How do you do your sim?

If you had a set of teams and a schedule could you project the results?

What does 125b indicate?

I've got a database with the teams and schedules. There is also strength data pulled mostly from past years. I run a Monte Carlo simulation 10,000 times. I prefer Monte Carlo to a projection because results in one game often influence others (tie-breakers, correlation of strength, etc) Each "sim" gives each team a different strength value, loosely based around their expected strength. Each game of the sim is then assigned a point spread based on that strength and a random value along a normal distribution of that spread is assigned to the game. A crude algorithm then turns that point spread into a football-ish score.

The original purpose of the software was to rank teams. The results of each sim are then incorporated into the ranking function and every team is assigned a rank from 1-131. Division/Conference tie-breakers are incorporated and postseason games are also simmed. Technically the sim only completes the postseason games of: CCGs, semis, and National Championship; I usually hand-sim other games for the results I post here.

"125b" means of the 10,000 sims, this is #125. If I want to go back weeks from now and reference that sim, I know which one to pull up. "b" I used here because I have over-written the original set of 10,000 sims to incorporate the changes mentioned in my last post. "125" is merely the default number in the system; out of laziness I usually look at that one first.

I am learning SQL because I want the 10,000 years to be accessible online, so that users can filter the results to see "what if" results.


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.png  sim125b.png (Size: 314.87 KB / Downloads: 92)
(This post was last modified: 04-28-2022 06:08 AM by Crayton.)
04-26-2022 02:23 PM
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BcatMatt13 Offline
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Post: #38
RE: '22 Season End Simulations [Eight Undefeateds!]
(04-14-2022 09:13 AM)Crayton Wrote:  Ohio State gets the TCU treatment and drops from #3 to out of the playoff after defeating a so-so opponent. It appears the reason for this is that Ohio State was being placed over Notre Dame artificially, because of their head-to-head win, not unlike Oregon>Ohio State this past year. With Oklahoma's victory over OK State the committee edged the Sooners past the Buckeyes and stopped comparing OSU with ND directly. Ohio State suffers the same fate as 2018 when a single loss to a ho-hum conference opponent left them behind the 1-loss Big 12 Champions.

Top 20 After CCGs, Sim #125
#1 Cincinnati (13-0) W1 over UCF 56-7
#2 Miami (12-1) W4 over Clemson 30-28
#3 Notre Dame (11-1) X1
#4 Oklahoma (12-1) W1 over OK State 31-28
#5 Ohio State (12-1) W-2 over Minnesota 26-23
#6 Clemson (11-2) L-5 to Miami 28-30
#7 Utah (12-1) W0 over Oregon 37-16
#8 Texas A&M (11-2) W2 over Georgia 20-17
#9 Alabama (11-1) X-1
#10 Pittsburgh (11-1) X-1
#11 Air Force (12-1) W3 over SDSU 34-20
#13 Michigan (11-1) X4
#13 UCF (11-2) L-2 to Cincinnati 7-56
#14 Wake Forest (10-2) X1
#15 Georgia (11-2) L-3 to Texas A&M 17-20
#16 Ga Southern (11-2) W3 over Louisiana 19-6
#17 OK State (10-3) L-4 to Oklahoma 28-31
#18 BYU (10-2) X0
#19 Western Michigan (11-2) W1 over Miami(OH) 28-24
#20 Oregon (10-3) L-3 to Utah 16-37
#26 WKU (12-2) W5 over UTSA 20-14

I love this model.
04-26-2022 06:33 PM
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Crayton Offline
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Post: #39
RE: '22 Season End Simulations [Eight Undefeateds!]
Cincinnati loses and 12-1 Wyoming gets the Top G5 spot. Undefeated Utah also loses to 8-4 Oregon and while Utah still claims an at large spot in the 12-team playoff, undefeated Louisiana (not 11-2 Houston) actually picks up the 6th conference champion spot over 9-4 Oregon.

In the 6+6 Louisiana and Wyoming rack up 3 collective wins (over ISU, ND, and UGA, no less). All roads, however, lead to Clemson being crowned champion, and in no case do they have to play the regular season #1 Ohio State Buckeyes.

[Image: attachment.php?aid=11097]
(This post was last modified: 04-28-2022 03:36 PM by Crayton.)
04-28-2022 06:08 AM
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Crayton Offline
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Post: #40
RE: '22 Season End Simulations [not enough 1-loss teams]
I said I wouldn't do this, but... Sim #1259

Week 14 and Top 14
#1 Alabama (12-0) vs. #40 South Carolina (8-4)
#2 Ohio St (11-1) vs. #13 Wisconsin (10-2)
#3 Texas A&M (10-2) **at large**
#4 Oklahoma (11-1) vs. #9 OK State (10-2)
#5 NC State (12-0) vs. #38 Pittsburgh (9-3)
#6 Michigan St (10-2) **at large**
#7 Marshall (11-1) **at large**
#8 Penn State (10-2) **at large**
#10 Louisiana (11-1) vs. #42 Coastal Carolina (9-3)
#11 Texas (9-3) **at large**
#12 Ole Miss (9-3) **at large**
#14 Utah (10-2) vs. #29 Washington St (8-4)
#20 SMU (11-1) vs. #22 Cincinnati (11-1)
#21 UTSA (10-2) vs. #50 UTEP (9-3)
#23 Air Force (10-2) vs. #45 Nevada (9-3)
#57 Western Michigan (8-4) vs. #87 Miami(OH) (7-5)

The ACC and Sun Belt rate as "tweener" conferences in this sim.

Lots of losses; high likelihood that a 2-loss team makes the playoff. NC State and OK State are likely within striking distance of 2-loss A&M. Alabama is probably locked in, even with a loss. If Wisconsin beats Ohio State, they will have gone 1-1 against each other; OSU is clearly the better team, but the CCG win may make the difference.

We could have as few as 2 Top 20 teams win a conference, so the 6+ playoff models are highly variable when it comes to the champs (only the MACCG has 0 impact). I'll say A&M, MSU, Marshall, and Penn State are safe, but Texas and Ole Miss may be bumped by a Top 5 team (or OKSt who beat Texas by 20+ earlier) losing.

Code:
WEEK: 0
34-31 // #53 Nebraska (1-0) @ #86 Northwestern (0-1)
31-34 // #86 Northwestern (0-1) @ #53 Nebraska (1-0)
31-30 // #72 Wyoming (1-0) @ #88 Illinois (0-1)
14-27 // #105 North Texas (0-1) @ #104 UTEP (1-0)
34-47 // #111 Vanderbilt (0-1) @ #92 Hawaii (1-0)
31-38 // #124 Charlotte (0-1) @ #93 FAU (1-0)
24-54 // #128 UConn (0-1) @ #62 Utah St (1-0)
60-31 // #64 Nevada (1-0) @ #129 New Mexico St (0-1)
30-34 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #71 Florida St (1-0)
35-42 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #46 North Carolina (1-0)
34-48 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #63 WKU (1-0)

WEEK: 1
14-36 // #5 Notre Dame (0-0) @ #1 Ohio St (0-0)
16-17 // #9 Penn State (0-0) @ #38 Purdue (0-0)
21-43 // #17 Utah (0-0) @ #31 Florida (0-0)
32-24 // #47 West Virginia (0-0) @ #18 Pittsburgh (0-0)
21-24 // #22 Houston (0-0) @ #64 UTSA (0-0)
35-36 // #26 Boise St (0-0) @ #72 Oregon St (0-0)
24-27 // #28 Oregon (0-0) @ #4 Georgia (0-0)
27-24 // #4 Georgia (0-0) @ #28 Oregon (0-0)
39-20 // #75 Florida St (1-0) @ #29 LSU (0-0)
20-39 // #29 LSU (0-0) @ #75 Florida St (1-0)
37-30 // #12 Cincinnati (0-0) @ #32 Arkansas (0-0)
14-15 // #43 SMU (0-0) @ #110 North Texas (0-1)
31-33 // #45 Western Michigan (0-0) @ #16 Michigan St (0-0)
35-42 // #48 North Carolina (1-0) @ #49 App St (0-0)
17-39 // #54 Central Michigan (0-0) @ #8 OK State (0-0)
10-61 // #55 Utah St (1-0) @ #2 Alabama (0-0)
28-27 // #121 Texas St (0-0) @ #57 Nevada (1-0)
10-30 // #59 TCU (0-0) @ #84 Colorado (0-0)
24-23 // #78 Georgia St (0-0) @ #61 South Carolina (0-0)
20-34 // #65 Tulsa (0-0) @ #66 Wyoming (1-0)
21-66 // #68 Miami(OH) (0-0) @ #25 Kentucky (0-0)
28-63 // #70 Memphis (0-0) @ #46 Mississippi St (0-0)
23-13 // #56 Army (1-0) @ #79 Coastal Carolina (0-0)
54-13 // #30 NC State (0-0) @ #81 East Carolina (0-0)
27-24 // #35 Louisville (0-0) @ #85 Syracuse (0-0)
31-21 // #69 WKU (1-0) @ #87 Hawaii (1-0)
17-55 // #88 Ball St (0-0) @ #42 Tennessee (0-0)
30-32 // #89 FAU (1-0) @ #107 Ohio (0-0)
31-32 // #93 Georgia Tech (0-0) @ #6 Clemson (0-0)
32-31 // #6 Clemson (0-0) @ #93 Georgia Tech (0-0)
24-27 // #94 Rutgers (0-0) @ #71 Boston College (0-0)
31-45 // #95 Illinois (0-1) @ #76 Indiana (0-0)
21-52 // #96 Kent St (0-0) @ #77 Washington (0-0)
16-40 // #97 Troy (0-0) @ #19 Ole Miss (0-0)
31-36 // #100 Buffalo (0-0) @ #44 Maryland (0-0)
24-31 // #103 UTEP (1-0) @ #3 Oklahoma (0-0)
23-20 // #74 Virginia Tech (0-0) @ #104 Old Dominion (0-0)
36-14 // #20 BYU (0-0) @ #106 USF (0-0)
21-33 // #108 Colorado St (0-0) @ #7 Michigan (0-0)
31-34 // #109 La Tech (0-0) @ #73 Missouri (0-0)
28-46 // #115 Arizona (0-0) @ #39 San Diego St (0-0)
31-34 // #117 Rice (0-0) @ #52 USC (0-0)
35-20 // #82 Liberty (0-0) @ #118 Southern Miss (0-0)
21-40 // #122 La Monroe (0-0) @ #15 Texas (0-0)
16-23 // #123 Temple (0-0) @ #112 Duke (0-0)
34-43 // #125 Bowling Green (0-0) @ #53 UCLA (0-0)
17-36 // #129 New Mexico St (0-1) @ #40 Minnesota (0-0)
14-29 // #131 UMass (0-0) @ #98 Tulane (0-0)
14-49 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #113 Vanderbilt (0-1)
17-36 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #21 Auburn (0-0)
31-48 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #10 Texas A&M (0-0)
34-51 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #23 Wake Forest (0-0)
31-55 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #33 Miami (0-0)
28-60 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #58 Virginia (0-0)
16-39 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #11 Wisconsin (0-0)
20-47 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #14 Iowa (0-0)
31-32 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #50 Nebraska (1-0)
31-38 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #114 Kansas (0-0)
35-36 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #37 Kansas St (0-0)
20-46 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #24 Iowa St (0-0)
28-36 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #67 Texas Tech (0-0)
14-24 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #13 Baylor (0-0)
19-23 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #36 Arizona St (0-0)
17-20 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #90 California (0-0)
27-34 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #99 Stanford (0-0)
26-35 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #60 Washington St (0-0)
31-37 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #128 UConn (0-1)
17-18 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #34 UCF (0-0)
20-21 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #92 Navy (0-1)
28-49 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #27 Air Force (0-0)
27-33 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #116 New Mexico (0-0)
28-37 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #119 UNLV (0-0)
27-32 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #51 Fresno St (0-0)
13-16 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #101 San Jose St (0-0)
21-38 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #62 UAB (0-0)
27-36 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #124 Charlotte (0-1)
31-37 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #80 Marshall (0-0)
14-17 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #130 FIU (0-0)
35-40 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #127 Akron (0-0)
14-56 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #86 Northern Illinois (0-0)
21-28 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #63 Toledo (0-0)
31-32 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #83 Eastern Michigan (0-0)
21-48 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #120 Arkansas St (0-0)
13-57 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #41 Louisiana (0-0)
28-44 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #111 South Alabama (0-0)
17-50 // #0 FCS (0-1) @ #105 Ga Southern (0-0)

WEEK: 2
38-35 // #76 Marshall (1-0) @ #9 Notre Dame (0-1)
42-35 // #2 Alabama (1-0) @ #14 Texas (1-0)
24-46 // #17 Baylor (1-0) @ #19 BYU (1-0)
31-41 // #18 Kentucky (1-0) @ #20 Florida (1-0)
34-38 // #23 Iowa St (1-0) @ #13 Iowa (1-0)
38-24 // #33 Tennessee (1-0) @ #27 Pittsburgh (0-1)
14-13 // #73 Colorado (1-0) @ #28 Air Force (1-0)
30-40 // #30 Louisville (1-0) @ #38 UCF (1-0)
24-27 // #41 App St (1-0) @ #10 Texas A&M (1-0)
7-57 // #42 Arizona St (1-0) @ #7 OK State (1-0)
34-37 // #44 Maryland (1-0) @ #123 Charlotte (1-1)
21-23 // #46 UTSA (1-0) @ #48 Army (2-0)
27-38 // #55 Fresno St (1-0) @ #54 Oregon St (1-0)
24-28 // #59 North Carolina (1-1) @ #67 Georgia St (1-0)
17-28 // #62 Boston College (1-0) @ #69 Virginia Tech (1-0)
28-34 // #63 Washington St (1-0) @ #11 Wisconsin (1-0)
24-43 // #68 Missouri (1-0) @ #45 Kansas St (1-0)
26-24 // #31 Houston (0-1) @ #72 Texas Tech (1-0)
38-35 // #61 UAB (1-0) @ #74 Liberty (1-0)
31-38 // #75 South Carolina (0-1) @ #39 Arkansas (0-1)
24-40 // #83 Eastern Michigan (1-0) @ #43 Louisiana (1-0)
21-36 // #84 Northern Illinois (1-0) @ #78 Tulsa (0-1)
31-32 // #88 Middle Tennessee (1-0) @ #108 Colorado St (0-1)
14-92 // #91 Hawaii (1-1) @ #6 Michigan (1-0)
56-24 // #81 Memphis (0-1) @ #92 Navy (1-1)
44-24 // #50 Western Michigan (0-1) @ #93 Ball St (0-1)
56-17 // #51 USC (1-0) @ #96 Stanford (1-0)
31-28 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #97 FAU (1-1)
17-62 // #99 Ohio (1-0) @ #16 Penn State (0-1)
17-14 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #100 Rutgers (0-1)
7-56 // #101 San Jose St (1-0) @ #21 Auburn (1-0)
23-13 // #57 Virginia (1-0) @ #102 Illinois (0-2)
28-24 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #103 Buffalo (0-1)
36-34 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #104 North Texas (1-1)
14-54 // #105 Ga Southern (1-0) @ #52 Nebraska (2-0)
21-44 // #106 Kent St (0-1) @ #4 Oklahoma (1-0)
24-43 // #107 Duke (1-0) @ #89 Northwestern (0-1)
28-31 // #109 Old Dominion (0-1) @ #85 East Carolina (0-1)
32-31 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #111 La Tech (0-1)
24-47 // #113 South Alabama (1-0) @ #64 Central Michigan (0-1)
29-27 // #22 Wake Forest (1-0) @ #114 Vanderbilt (1-1)
21-26 // #115 Kansas (1-0) @ #34 West Virginia (1-0)
59-7 // #36 Boise St (0-1) @ #116 New Mexico (1-0)
38-35 // #35 Mississippi St (1-0) @ #117 Arizona (0-1)
43-24 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #118 Rice (0-1)
24-44 // #119 UNLV (1-0) @ #87 California (1-0)
10-71 // #120 Southern Miss (0-1) @ #32 Miami (1-0)
14-55 // #121 Arkansas St (1-0) @ #1 Ohio St (1-0)
43-17 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #124 Bowling Green (0-1)
10-30 // #127 Akron (1-0) @ #12 Michigan St (1-0)
47-24 // #86 Syracuse (0-1) @ #128 UConn (1-1)
17-47 // #129 New Mexico St (0-2) @ #98 UTEP (1-1)
10-63 // #130 FIU (1-0) @ #112 Texas St (1-0)
20-46 // #131 UMass (0-1) @ #65 Toledo (1-0)
21-54 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #3 Georgia (1-0)
21-49 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #49 LSU (0-1)
24-35 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #15 Ole Miss (1-0)
35-53 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #5 Clemson (1-0)
24-49 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #24 NC State (1-0)
6-40 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #90 Georgia Tech (0-1)
31-41 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #71 Indiana (1-0)
23-24 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #25 Purdue (1-0)
27-30 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #40 Minnesota (1-0)
13-22 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #80 TCU (0-1)
21-35 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #47 UCLA (1-0)
24-29 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #26 Utah (0-1)
7-76 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #29 Oregon (0-1)
7-66 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #70 Washington (1-0)
35-42 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #8 Cincinnati (1-0)
24-27 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #110 USF (0-1)
28-45 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #125 Temple (0-1)
28-32 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #60 SMU (0-1)
17-28 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #94 Tulane (1-0)
35-46 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #53 Wyoming (2-0)
31-34 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #66 Utah St (1-1)
31-34 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #37 San Diego St (1-0)
17-64 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #77 Nevada (1-1)
28-42 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #79 Miami(OH) (0-1)
42-48 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #95 Troy (0-1)
23-24 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #122 La Monroe (0-1)
35-49 // #0 FCS (0-2) @ #82 Coastal Carolina (0-1)

WEEK: 3
27-44 // #3 Georgia (2-0) @ #77 South Carolina (0-2)
18-13 // #79 Nevada (2-1) @ #9 Iowa (2-0)
35-38 // #10 BYU (2-0) @ #27 Oregon (1-1)
47-31 // #15 Penn State (1-1) @ #17 Auburn (2-0)
28-48 // #24 Miami (2-0) @ #8 Texas A&M (2-0)
23-32 // #26 Purdue (2-0) @ #86 Syracuse (1-1)
20-23 // #28 UCF (2-0) @ #109 FAU (1-2)
24-61 // #41 San Diego St (2-0) @ #31 Utah (1-1)
36-34 // #94 Troy (1-1) @ #42 App St (1-1)
46-31 // #54 Colorado (2-0) @ #43 Minnesota (2-0)
34-24 // #4 Oklahoma (2-0) @ #44 Nebraska (3-0)
28-27 // #30 Mississippi St (2-0) @ #47 LSU (1-1)
49-20 // #39 Pittsburgh (0-2) @ #49 Western Michigan (1-1)
41-38 // #107 Old Dominion (0-2) @ #51 Virginia (2-0)
21-17 // #104 Ga Southern (1-1) @ #53 UAB (2-0)
30-20 // #46 Air Force (1-1) @ #55 Wyoming (3-0)
31-38 // #57 UTSA (1-1) @ #20 Texas (1-1)
29-20 // #14 Michigan St (2-0) @ #61 Washington (2-0)
20-27 // #62 Florida St (2-0) @ #45 Louisville (1-1)
30-36 // #63 WKU (2-0) @ #69 Indiana (2-0)
10-67 // #64 Toledo (2-0) @ #1 Ohio St (2-0)
20-17 // #72 SMU (1-1) @ #67 Maryland (1-1)
24-33 // #70 Fresno St (1-1) @ #48 USC (2-0)
21-36 // #74 Texas Tech (1-1) @ #23 NC State (2-0)
20-34 // #80 Miami(OH) (1-1) @ #12 Cincinnati (2-0)
34-20 // #12 Cincinnati (2-0) @ #80 Miami(OH) (1-1)
48-35 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #82 Northwestern (1-1)
14-56 // #83 Liberty (1-1) @ #22 Wake Forest (2-0)
21-41 // #84 California (2-0) @ #16 Notre Dame (0-2)
64-21 // #18 Ole Miss (2-0) @ #87 Georgia Tech (1-1)
10-52 // #88 Eastern Michigan (1-1) @ #56 Arizona St (1-1)
24-36 // #91 Tulane (2-0) @ #36 Kansas St (2-0)
31-32 // #92 Texas St (2-0) @ #25 Baylor (1-1)
16-29 // #93 Colorado St (1-1) @ #68 Washington St (1-1)
32-31 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #97 Ball St (0-2)
27-14 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #100 Kent St (0-2)
13-27 // #102 Ohio (1-1) @ #32 Iowa St (1-1)
26-42 // #105 USF (1-1) @ #13 Florida (2-0)
22-17 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #106 Duke (1-1)
21-34 // #108 Vanderbilt (1-2) @ #89 Northern Illinois (1-1)
24-39 // #111 Kansas (1-1) @ #33 Houston (1-1)
13-34 // #112 South Alabama (1-1) @ #58 UCLA (2-0)
20-50 // #113 Charlotte (2-1) @ #50 Georgia St (2-0)
13-55 // #115 Arkansas St (1-1) @ #73 Memphis (1-1)
10-20 // #116 Buffalo (0-2) @ #85 Coastal Carolina (1-1)
48-24 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #117 Arizona (0-2)
17-43 // #118 La Monroe (1-1) @ #2 Alabama (2-0)
58-24 // #90 UTEP (2-1) @ #120 New Mexico (1-1)
17-10 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #121 Southern Miss (0-2)
20-17 // #114 North Texas (1-2) @ #122 UNLV (1-1)
13-39 // #123 La Tech (0-2) @ #7 Clemson (2-0)
37-28 // #110 Rutgers (0-2) @ #124 Temple (1-1)
53-10 // #37 Louisiana (2-0) @ #125 Rice (0-2)
31-47 // #126 Akron (1-1) @ #19 Tennessee (2-0)
7-59 // #127 UConn (1-2) @ #6 Michigan (2-0)
55-24 // #60 Marshall (2-0) @ #128 Bowling Green (0-2)
20-23 // #130 New Mexico St (0-3) @ #11 Wisconsin (2-0)
45-28 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #131 UMass (0-2)
14-82 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #21 Kentucky (1-1)
14-50 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #75 Missouri (1-1)
17-19 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #34 Arkansas (1-1)
20-27 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #76 Boston College (1-1)
31-35 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #52 Virginia Tech (2-0)
20-30 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #29 West Virginia (2-0)
26-27 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #5 OK State (2-0)
13-17 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #40 Oregon St (2-0)
24-68 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #81 East Carolina (1-1)
14-30 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #65 Tulsa (1-1)
24-27 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #35 Boise St (1-1)
24-27 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #95 Hawaii (1-2)
24-27 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #96 Middle Tennessee (1-1)
24-27 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #38 Army (3-0)
21-64 // #0 FCS (0-3) @ #59 Central Michigan (1-1)

WEEK: 4
27-38 // #7 Clemson (3-0) @ #18 Wake Forest (3-0)
31-55 // #8 Florida (3-0) @ #20 Tennessee (3-0)
37-24 // #116 Kent St (0-3) @ #9 Georgia (2-1)
27-38 // #14 Wisconsin (3-0) @ #1 Ohio St (3-0)
20-31 // #17 Oregon (2-1) @ #58 Washington St (2-1)
17-58 // #28 Kansas St (3-0) @ #3 Oklahoma (3-0)
55-21 // #26 Baylor (2-1) @ #30 Iowa St (2-1)
37-16 // #77 Coastal Carolina (2-1) @ #38 Georgia St (3-0)
44-35 // #6 Texas A&M (3-0) @ #39 Arkansas (2-1)
35-44 // #39 Arkansas (2-1) @ #6 Texas A&M (3-0)
24-20 // #37 USC (3-0) @ #42 Oregon St (3-0)
20-22 // #44 Boise St (2-1) @ #79 UTEP (3-1)
23-20 // #25 Utah (2-1) @ #45 Arizona St (2-1)
41-49 // #48 UCLA (3-0) @ #34 Colorado (3-0)
29-24 // #92 Georgia Tech (1-2) @ #49 UCF (2-1)
7-61 // #50 Indiana (3-0) @ #11 Cincinnati (3-0)
51-17 // #32 West Virginia (3-0) @ #51 Virginia Tech (3-0)
31-35 // #53 Minnesota (2-1) @ #10 Michigan St (3-0)
35-39 // #55 Central Michigan (2-1) @ #12 Penn State (2-1)
14-29 // #56 Nevada (3-1) @ #40 Air Force (2-1)
40-28 // #70 Virginia (2-1) @ #65 Syracuse (2-1)
27-30 // #67 Wyoming (3-1) @ #19 BYU (2-1)
17-30 // #68 Tulsa (2-1) @ #13 Ole Miss (3-0)
24-40 // #71 Missouri (2-1) @ #27 Auburn (2-1)
38-28 // #15 Notre Dame (1-2) @ #72 North Carolina (1-2)
28-24 // #100 Navy (1-2) @ #75 East Carolina (2-1)
21-32 // #76 Boston College (2-1) @ #66 Florida St (2-1)
32-20 // #43 Marshall (3-0) @ #78 Troy (2-1)
10-54 // #80 Northern Illinois (2-1) @ #22 Kentucky (2-1)
28-31 // #81 Toledo (2-1) @ #61 San Diego St (2-1)
31-34 // #82 TCU (1-1) @ #60 SMU (2-1)
27-57 // #83 Maryland (1-2) @ #4 Michigan (3-0)
29-19 // #16 Texas (2-1) @ #84 Texas Tech (1-2)
16-20 // #87 Miami(OH) (1-2) @ #101 Northwestern (1-2)
30-21 // #0 FCS (1-3) @ #90 Texas St (2-1)
28-34 // #91 Middle Tennessee (2-1) @ #41 Miami (2-1)
24-31 // #97 Stanford (1-1) @ #63 Washington (2-1)
48-14 // #0 FCS (1-3) @ #98 Colorado St (1-2)
30-33 // #99 FAU (2-2) @ #46 Purdue (2-1)
42-31 // #64 Western Michigan (1-2) @ #102 San Jose St (1-1)
13-18 // #105 USF (1-2) @ #36 Louisville (2-1)
31-38 // #106 North Texas (2-2) @ #59 Memphis (2-1)
59-24 // #24 Iowa (2-1) @ #107 Rutgers (1-2)
31-38 // #108 Charlotte (2-2) @ #52 South Carolina (1-2)
3-56 // #111 Vanderbilt (1-3) @ #2 Alabama (3-0)
63-24 // #29 Louisiana (3-0) @ #112 La Monroe (1-2)
21-51 // #113 Arkansas St (1-2) @ #95 Old Dominion (1-2)
21-80 // #114 James Madison (1-1) @ #54 App St (1-2)
16-36 // #115 Ball St (0-3) @ #89 Ga Southern (2-1)
21-60 // #117 Buffalo (0-3) @ #96 Eastern Michigan (1-2)
37-40 // #118 New Mexico (1-2) @ #57 LSU (1-2)
31-34 // #119 Duke (1-2) @ #109 Kansas (1-2)
31-41 // #120 La Tech (0-3) @ #110 South Alabama (1-2)
21-29 // #121 UNLV (1-2) @ #69 Utah St (2-1)
23-28 // #122 Arizona (0-3) @ #85 California (2-1)
3-49 // #123 Akron (1-2) @ #88 Liberty (1-2)
20-50 // #125 Rice (0-3) @ #31 Houston (2-1)
31-54 // #126 Southern Miss (0-3) @ #93 Tulane (2-1)
31-42 // #127 FIU (1-1) @ #74 WKU (2-1)
21-28 // #128 UConn (1-3) @ #21 NC State (3-0)
50-13 // #94 Hawaii (2-2) @ #129 New Mexico St (0-4)
24-35 // #130 Bowling Green (0-3) @ #23 Mississippi St (3-0)
20-47 // #131 UMass (0-3) @ #124 Temple (1-2)
14-56 // #0 FCS (1-3) @ #33 Pittsburgh (1-2)
20-46 // #0 FCS (1-3) @ #104 Illinois (0-3)
14-57 // #0 FCS (1-3) @ #62 UTSA (1-2)
31-44 // #0 FCS (1-3) @ #103 Ohio (1-2)

WEEK: 5
34-38 // #12 Wake Forest (4-0) @ #52 Florida St (3-1)
39-13 // #24 NC State (4-0) @ #16 Clemson (3-1)
17-28 // #18 Kentucky (3-1) @ #9 Ole Miss (4-0)
36-21 // #6 OK State (3-0) @ #21 Baylor (3-1)
6-35 // #23 West Virginia (4-0) @ #13 Texas (3-1)
31-28 // #4 Texas A&M (4-0) @ #25 Mississippi St (4-0)
40-31 // #5 Michigan (4-0) @ #27 Iowa (3-1)
31-24 // #47 Arizona St (2-2) @ #29 USC (4-0)
27-45 // #37 Louisville (3-1) @ #90 Boston College (2-2)
37-35 // #84 Texas Tech (1-3) @ #38 Kansas St (3-1)
69-10 // #2 Alabama (4-0) @ #40 Arkansas (2-2)
40-31 // #78 California (3-1) @ #42 Washington St (3-1)
7-29 // #46 Oregon St (3-1) @ #22 Utah (3-1)
31-34 // #48 San Diego St (3-1) @ #60 Boise St (2-2)
21-61 // #49 Washington (3-1) @ #59 UCLA (3-1)
32-31 // #117 Temple (2-2) @ #50 Memphis (3-1)
31-33 // #51 Georgia St (3-1) @ #33 Army (4-0)
14-15 // #54 Virginia (3-1) @ #120 Duke (1-3)
24-36 // #61 LSU (2-2) @ #28 Auburn (3-1)
28-33 // #63 Indiana (3-1) @ #43 Nebraska (3-1)
36-34 // #41 Purdue (3-1) @ #66 Minnesota (2-2)
21-88 // #67 Utah St (3-1) @ #14 BYU (3-1)
20-17 // #55 SMU (3-1) @ #71 UCF (2-2)
28-21 // #80 Troy (2-2) @ #72 WKU (3-1)
20-17 // #8 Cincinnati (4-0) @ #73 Tulsa (2-2)
21-52 // #75 Georgia Tech (2-2) @ #35 Pittsburgh (2-2)
28-23 // #64 Virginia Tech (3-1) @ #76 North Carolina (1-3)
16-27 // #77 Ga Southern (3-1) @ #56 Coastal Carolina (3-1)
32-31 // #31 Georgia (2-2) @ #81 Missouri (2-2)
39-23 // #65 Central Michigan (2-2) @ #83 Toledo (2-2)
43-17 // #3 Oklahoma (4-0) @ #86 TCU (1-2)
17-34 // #87 Navy (2-2) @ #32 Air Force (3-1)
27-20 // #79 Liberty (2-2) @ #88 Old Dominion (2-2)
54-7 // #7 Michigan St (4-0) @ #91 Maryland (1-3)
24-38 // #92 Tulane (3-1) @ #34 Houston (3-1)
24-34 // #95 Northwestern (2-2) @ #11 Penn State (3-1)
41-28 // #57 UTSA (2-2) @ #96 Middle Tennessee (2-2)
20-24 // #98 Stanford (1-2) @ #39 Oregon (2-2)
24-26 // #99 Ohio (2-2) @ #101 Kent St (1-3)
24-61 // #100 Illinois (1-3) @ #20 Wisconsin (3-1)
29-28 // #45 Iowa St (2-2) @ #102 Kansas (2-2)
24-29 // #103 FAU (2-3) @ #106 North Texas (2-3)
28-31 // #104 South Alabama (2-2) @ #26 Louisiana (4-0)
24-39 // #105 San Jose St (1-2) @ #68 Wyoming (3-2)
24-21 // #85 East Carolina (2-2) @ #108 USF (1-3)
24-58 // #109 Rutgers (1-3) @ #1 Ohio St (4-0)
34-22 // #58 UTEP (4-1) @ #111 Charlotte (2-3)
27-42 // #113 La Monroe (1-3) @ #115 Arkansas St (1-3)
37-31 // #93 Northern Illinois (2-2) @ #116 Ball St (0-4)
42-27 // #118 New Mexico (1-3) @ #119 UNLV (1-3)
35-17 // #97 Miami(OH) (1-3) @ #121 Buffalo (0-4)
31-24 // #70 UAB (2-1) @ #123 Rice (0-4)
34-17 // #19 Colorado (4-0) @ #124 Arizona (0-4)
23-20 // #82 Fresno St (1-2) @ #126 UConn (1-4)
28-31 // #127 FIU (1-2) @ #130 New Mexico St (0-5)
34-35 // #129 Bowling Green (0-4) @ #122 Akron (1-3)
13-42 // #131 UMass (0-4) @ #89 Eastern Michigan (2-2)
21-57 // #0 FCS (2-3) @ #17 Florida (3-1)
27-41 // #0 FCS (2-3) @ #53 South Carolina (2-2)
23-24 // #0 FCS (2-3) @ #74 Syracuse (2-2)
14-61 // #0 FCS (2-3) @ #30 Marshall (4-0)
28-48 // #0 FCS (2-3) @ #62 Western Michigan (2-2)
7-65 // #0 FCS (2-3) @ #44 App St (2-2)

WEEK: 6
24-33 // #1 Ohio St (5-0) @ #9 Michigan St (5-0)
27-46 // #4 Texas A&M (5-0) @ #2 Alabama (5-0)
14-35 // #8 Texas (4-1) @ #3 Oklahoma (5-0)
35-14 // #3 Oklahoma (5-0) @ #8 Texas (4-1)
28-29 // #11 Tennessee (4-0) @ #69 LSU (2-3)
27-26 // #14 BYU (4-1) @ #19 Notre Dame (2-2)
26-27 // #19 Notre Dame (2-2) @ #14 BYU (4-1)
20-30 // #20 Army (5-0) @ #26 Wake Forest (4-1)
32-31 // #53 South Carolina (3-2) @ #28 Kentucky (3-2)
58-21 // #23 Auburn (4-1) @ #30 Georgia (3-2)
42-49 // #34 Clemson (3-2) @ #70 Boston College (3-2)
31-36 // #35 Nebraska (4-1) @ #107 Rutgers (1-4)
28-45 // #37 Florida St (4-1) @ #13 NC State (5-0)
44-34 // #17 Utah (4-1) @ #40 UCLA (4-1)
27-41 // #45 UTEP (5-1) @ #122 La Tech (0-4)
3-48 // #50 Virginia Tech (4-1) @ #32 Pittsburgh (3-2)
24-33 // #52 Arkansas (2-3) @ #29 Mississippi St (4-1)
31-34 // #54 Kansas St (3-2) @ #49 Iowa St (3-2)
31-32 // #55 Louisville (3-2) @ #76 Virginia (3-2)
14-31 // #56 Washington St (3-2) @ #47 USC (4-1)
30-27 // #127 Southern Miss (0-4) @ #58 Troy (3-2)
20-33 // #63 Washington (3-2) @ #42 Arizona St (3-2)
30-23 // #103 Middle Tennessee (2-3) @ #65 UAB (3-1)
27-30 // #66 Texas Tech (2-3) @ #6 OK State (4-0)
42-28 // #5 Michigan (5-0) @ #68 Indiana (3-2)
48-14 // #25 Houston (4-1) @ #71 Memphis (3-2)
27-20 // #24 Air Force (4-1) @ #75 Utah St (3-2)
27-40 // #78 East Carolina (3-2) @ #95 Tulane (3-2)
20-21 // #79 Ga Southern (3-2) @ #60 Georgia St (3-2)
20-26 // #80 WKU (3-2) @ #44 UTSA (3-2)
28-74 // #81 Fresno St (2-2) @ #46 Boise St (3-2)
20-32 // #84 Eastern Michigan (3-2) @ #62 Western Michigan (3-2)
37-21 // #43 App St (3-2) @ #85 Texas St (3-2)
35-51 // #86 Missouri (2-3) @ #15 Florida (4-1)
30-28 // #111 Duke (2-3) @ #87 Georgia Tech (2-3)
20-26 // #89 North Carolina (1-4) @ #39 Miami (3-1)
27-50 // #90 Hawaii (3-2) @ #67 San Diego St (3-2)
29-28 // #73 Tulsa (2-3) @ #91 Navy (2-3)
38-9 // #18 Wisconsin (4-1) @ #92 Northwestern (2-3)
21-24 // #97 Toledo (2-3) @ #82 Northern Illinois (3-2)
14-65 // #98 Kent St (2-3) @ #94 Miami(OH) (2-3)
41-38 // #38 Purdue (4-1) @ #100 Maryland (1-4)
31-24 // #59 Oregon St (3-2) @ #101 Stanford (1-3)
50-21 // #88 TCU (1-3) @ #102 Kansas (2-3)
68-13 // #33 Iowa (3-2) @ #104 Illinois (1-4)
24-37 // #109 USF (1-4) @ #10 Cincinnati (5-0)
39-27 // #7 Ole Miss (5-0) @ #110 Vanderbilt (1-4)
21-30 // #114 Colorado St (1-3) @ #64 Nevada (3-2)
31-50 // #115 New Mexico (2-3) @ #57 Wyoming (4-2)
28-46 // #117 James Madison (1-3) @ #106 Arkansas St (2-3)
27-20 // #41 Coastal Carolina (4-1) @ #118 La Monroe (1-4)
27-28 // #119 Akron (2-3) @ #108 Ohio (2-3)
28-31 // #120 Ball St (0-5) @ #51 Central Michigan (3-2)
55-14 // #36 Oregon (3-2) @ #121 Arizona (0-5)
24-62 // #125 UNLV (1-4) @ #112 San Jose St (1-3)
27-30 // #126 UConn (1-5) @ #129 FIU (1-3)
41-28 // #128 Buffalo (0-5) @ #130 Bowling Green (0-5)
39-30 // #72 Liberty (3-2) @ #131 UMass (0-5)

WEEK: 7
46-41 // #19 Wisconsin (5-1) @ #3 Michigan St (6-0)
45-31 // #12 Penn State (4-1) @ #5 Michigan (6-0)
24-31 // #14 Auburn (5-1) @ #8 Ole Miss (6-0)
30-27 // #61 California (4-1) @ #17 Colorado (5-0)
34-41 // #18 Louisiana (5-0) @ #24 Marshall (5-0)
47-20 // #1 Alabama (6-0) @ #22 Tennessee (4-1)
31-35 // #25 Mississippi St (5-1) @ #42 Kentucky (3-3)
39-38 // #0 FCS (2-5) @ #28 Army (5-1)
21-66 // #31 USC (5-1) @ #13 Utah (5-1)
40-20 // #29 Baylor (3-2) @ #32 West Virginia (4-1)
34-24 // #87 Old Dominion (2-3) @ #39 Coastal Carolina (5-1)
31-43 // #43 Iowa St (4-2) @ #15 Texas (4-2)
31-34 // #48 LSU (3-3) @ #16 Florida (5-1)
44-31 // #68 Washington St (3-3) @ #52 Oregon St (4-2)
17-50 // #54 Clemson (3-3) @ #41 Florida St (4-2)
35-38 // #55 Nebraska (4-2) @ #35 Purdue (5-1)
29-28 // #34 Miami (4-1) @ #59 Virginia Tech (4-2)
28-55 // #60 Arkansas (2-4) @ #9 BYU (5-1)
20-32 // #73 Northern Illinois (4-2) @ #89 Eastern Michigan (3-3)
13-38 // #74 Memphis (3-3) @ #84 East Carolina (3-3)
41-28 // #11 NC State (6-0) @ #75 Syracuse (3-2)
68-7 // #6 OK State (5-0) @ #76 TCU (2-3)
34-37 // #77 Tulane (4-2) @ #112 USF (1-5)
21-38 // #82 Utah St (3-3) @ #114 Colorado St (1-4)
28-30 // #85 WKU (3-3) @ #79 Middle Tennessee (3-3)
17-36 // #90 Texas St (3-3) @ #80 Troy (3-3)
23-20 // #103 San Jose St (2-3) @ #93 Fresno St (2-3)
27-28 // #94 North Carolina (1-5) @ #102 Duke (3-3)
29-28 // #57 Nevada (4-2) @ #95 Hawaii (3-3)
13-53 // #96 Navy (2-4) @ #50 SMU (4-1)
24-55 // #98 Arkansas St (3-3) @ #119 Southern Miss (1-4)
33-26 // #116 La Tech (1-4) @ #100 North Texas (3-3)
27-44 // #101 Maryland (1-5) @ #70 Indiana (3-3)
21-45 // #105 Temple (3-2) @ #86 UCF (2-3)
20-38 // #106 Ohio (3-3) @ #46 Western Michigan (4-2)
42-45 // #107 Kansas (2-4) @ #2 Oklahoma (6-0)
17-55 // #108 Stanford (1-4) @ #33 Notre Dame (2-3)
13-42 // #109 Kent St (2-4) @ #104 Toledo (2-4)
30-27 // #72 Minnesota (2-3) @ #110 Illinois (1-5)
24-29 // #111 Vanderbilt (1-5) @ #49 Georgia (3-3)
31-34 // #115 Charlotte (2-4) @ #81 UAB (3-2)
31-33 // #118 La Monroe (1-5) @ #97 South Alabama (2-3)
31-32 // #120 James Madison (1-4) @ #83 Ga Southern (3-3)
38-27 // #47 Central Michigan (4-2) @ #121 Akron (2-4)
23-30 // #122 Rice (0-5) @ #113 FAU (2-4)
36-23 // #117 New Mexico (2-4) @ #123 New Mexico St (1-5)
24-57 // #124 Arizona (0-6) @ #71 Washington (3-3)
63-14 // #36 UTSA (4-2) @ #126 FIU (2-3)
26-21 // #21 Air Force (5-1) @ #128 UNLV (1-5)
14-21 // #129 UConn (1-6) @ #125 Ball St (0-6)
21-19 // #78 Miami(OH) (3-3) @ #130 Bowling Green (0-6)
61-14 // #127 Buffalo (1-5) @ #131 UMass (0-6)
24-55 // #0 FCS (2-5) @ #66 Liberty (4-2)

WEEK: 8
21-36 // #5 Ole Miss (7-0) @ #54 LSU (3-4)
24-46 // #14 Texas (5-2) @ #3 OK State (6-0)
23-32 // #16 Cincinnati (6-0) @ #45 SMU (5-1)
13-14 // #24 Purdue (6-1) @ #17 Wisconsin (6-1)
35-37 // #27 Pittsburgh (4-2) @ #68 Louisville (3-3)
35-49 // #28 Colorado (5-1) @ #70 Oregon St (4-3)
13-52 // #32 Iowa (4-2) @ #4 Ohio St (5-1)
34-37 // #35 Mississippi St (5-2) @ #1 Alabama (7-0)
37-35 // #66 Washington (4-3) @ #40 California (5-1)
17-37 // #41 Western Michigan (5-2) @ #81 Miami(OH) (4-3)
23-51 // #43 Boise St (4-2) @ #23 Air Force (6-1)
20-35 // #44 UCLA (4-2) @ #36 Oregon (4-2)
42-41 // #7 Texas A&M (5-1) @ #47 South Carolina (4-2)
47-45 // #97 Utah St (3-4) @ #49 Wyoming (5-2)
21-39 // #50 Georgia St (4-2) @ #37 App St (4-2)
24-27 // #55 Boston College (4-2) @ #19 Wake Forest (5-1)
31-38 // #57 San Diego St (4-2) @ #46 Nevada (5-2)
20-10 // #38 West Virginia (4-2) @ #64 Texas Tech (2-4)
32-26 // #10 BYU (6-1) @ #65 Liberty (5-2)
31-42 // #71 Kansas St (3-3) @ #86 TCU (2-4)
29-31 // #72 Minnesota (3-3) @ #6 Penn State (5-1)
34-21 // #80 UCF (3-3) @ #74 East Carolina (4-3)
44-28 // #82 Syracuse (3-3) @ #76 Clemson (3-4)
24-39 // #77 UAB (4-2) @ #94 WKU (3-4)
28-38 // #79 Ga Southern (4-3) @ #73 Old Dominion (3-3)
52-14 // #60 Troy (4-3) @ #83 South Alabama (3-3)
29-27 // #88 Memphis (3-4) @ #85 Tulane (4-3)
24-49 // #89 Northwestern (2-4) @ #111 Maryland (1-6)
24-55 // #90 Duke (4-3) @ #25 Miami (5-1)
50-31 // #62 Indiana (4-3) @ #91 Rutgers (2-4)
21-24 // #93 Toledo (3-4) @ #122 Buffalo (2-5)
23-20 // #59 Virginia (4-2) @ #96 Georgia Tech (2-4)
28-31 // #100 Hawaii (3-4) @ #99 Colorado St (2-4)
23-20 // #22 Houston (5-1) @ #101 Navy (2-5)
20-23 // #102 Kansas (2-5) @ #20 Baylor (4-2)
38-23 // #84 Northern Illinois (4-3) @ #104 Ohio (3-4)
7-55 // #105 North Texas (3-4) @ #34 UTSA (5-2)
9-23 // #106 Southern Miss (2-4) @ #98 Texas St (3-4)
21-27 // #108 FAU (3-4) @ #58 UTEP (5-2)
31-28 // #26 Arizona St (4-2) @ #110 Stanford (1-5)
46-17 // #109 Fresno St (2-4) @ #112 New Mexico (3-4)
28-43 // #113 Arkansas St (3-4) @ #29 Louisiana (5-1)
29-17 // #67 Tulsa (3-3) @ #114 Temple (3-3)
31-37 // #116 Vanderbilt (1-6) @ #87 Missouri (2-4)
17-52 // #119 La Monroe (1-6) @ #48 Army (5-2)
24-31 // #120 Akron (2-5) @ #117 Kent St (2-5)
38-30 // #78 Eastern Michigan (4-3) @ #123 Ball St (1-6)
27-55 // #125 FIU (2-4) @ #118 Charlotte (2-5)
17-59 // #126 Rice (0-6) @ #107 La Tech (2-4)
29-20 // #92 San Jose St (3-3) @ #127 New Mexico St (1-6)
31-37 // #128 UNLV (1-6) @ #31 Notre Dame (3-3)
17-57 // #130 Bowling Green (0-7) @ #42 Central Michigan (5-2)
14-73 // #0 FCS (2-6) @ #21 Tennessee (4-2)

WEEK: 9
14-17 // #2 OK State (7-0) @ #86 Kansas St (3-4)
21-19 // #13 Ole Miss (7-1) @ #5 Texas A&M (6-1)
35-28 // #3 Ohio St (6-1) @ #6 Penn State (6-1)
33-24 // #53 Coastal Carolina (5-2) @ #14 Marshall (7-0)
39-23 // #9 Michigan St (6-1) @ #15 Michigan (6-1)
28-37 // #23 Miami (6-1) @ #54 Virginia (5-2)
24-26 // #31 Oregon (5-2) @ #50 California (5-2)
31-39 // #33 Kentucky (4-3) @ #21 Tennessee (5-2)
32-27 // #25 Arizona St (5-2) @ #39 Colorado (5-2)
27-28 // #43 USC (5-2) @ #125 Arizona (0-7)
37-22 // #17 Wake Forest (6-1) @ #46 Louisville (4-3)
47-27 // #11 Utah (6-1) @ #47 Washington St (4-3)
30-27 // #90 Colorado St (3-4) @ #52 Boise St (4-3)
21-30 // #57 Georgia (4-3) @ #10 Florida (6-1)
30-21 // #10 Florida (6-1) @ #57 Georgia (4-3)
28-20 // #4 Oklahoma (7-0) @ #59 Iowa St (4-3)
46-24 // #34 Notre Dame (4-3) @ #62 Syracuse (4-3)
17-36 // #63 Old Dominion (4-3) @ #60 Georgia St (4-3)
30-23 // #29 SMU (6-1) @ #64 Tulsa (4-3)
10-18 // #66 Virginia Tech (4-3) @ #12 NC State (7-0)
28-29 // #70 Miami(OH) (5-3) @ #122 Akron (2-6)
46-21 // #22 Cincinnati (6-1) @ #71 UCF (4-3)
31-32 // #72 Middle Tennessee (4-3) @ #55 UTEP (6-2)
28-31 // #74 Arkansas (2-5) @ #19 Auburn (5-2)
36-21 // #105 Toledo (3-5) @ #75 Eastern Michigan (5-3)
24-58 // #76 TCU (3-4) @ #36 West Virginia (5-2)
28-27 // #99 Rutgers (2-5) @ #77 Minnesota (3-4)
47-31 // #20 Baylor (5-2) @ #78 Texas Tech (2-5)
14-44 // #82 East Carolina (4-4) @ #8 BYU (7-1)
21-23 // #87 Missouri (3-4) @ #49 South Carolina (4-3)
42-41 // #41 Nevada (6-2) @ #91 San Jose St (4-3)
7-73 // #93 USF (2-5) @ #24 Houston (6-1)
31-40 // #94 South Alabama (3-4) @ #109 Arkansas St (3-5)
40-21 // #73 San Diego St (4-3) @ #97 Fresno St (3-4)
28-32 // #98 La Tech (3-4) @ #127 FIU (2-5)
31-38 // #101 Georgia Tech (2-5) @ #28 Florida St (5-2)
30-37 // #102 Northwestern (2-5) @ #37 Iowa (4-3)
48-24 // #44 Pittsburgh (4-3) @ #104 North Carolina (1-6)
14-53 // #106 Stanford (1-6) @ #58 UCLA (4-3)
17-48 // #107 North Texas (3-5) @ #81 WKU (4-4)
27-23 // #68 Wyoming (5-3) @ #108 Hawaii (3-5)
28-24 // #89 UAB (4-3) @ #111 FAU (3-5)
9-28 // #112 Charlotte (3-5) @ #128 Rice (0-7)
23-21 // #27 Louisiana (6-1) @ #114 Southern Miss (2-5)
17-62 // #115 Illinois (1-6) @ #67 Nebraska (4-3)
27-33 // #116 Temple (3-4) @ #100 Navy (2-6)
32-31 // #65 Boston College (4-3) @ #129 UConn (1-7)
41-38 // #126 New Mexico St (1-7) @ #131 UMass (0-7)
17-20 // #0 FCS (2-7) @ #26 App St (5-2)

WEEK: 10
36-31 // #17 Baylor (6-2) @ #3 Oklahoma (8-0)
10-48 // #6 Florida (7-1) @ #11 Texas A&M (6-2)
28-32 // #9 BYU (8-1) @ #71 Boise St (4-4)
31-48 // #16 Wake Forest (7-1) @ #13 NC State (8-0)
27-30 // #19 Auburn (6-2) @ #34 Mississippi St (5-3)
20-33 // #21 Houston (7-1) @ #26 SMU (7-1)
9-36 // #31 App St (6-2) @ #38 Coastal Carolina (6-2)
33-30 // #1 Alabama (8-0) @ #32 LSU (4-4)
32-31 // #39 Iowa (5-3) @ #33 Purdue (6-2)
13-37 // #35 Army (6-2) @ #23 Air Force (7-1)
37-13 // #23 Air Force (7-1) @ #35 Army (6-2)
18-14 // #25 Florida St (6-2) @ #37 Miami (6-2)
24-70 // #40 California (6-2) @ #63 USC (5-3)
24-38 // #44 Central Michigan (6-2) @ #79 Northern Illinois (5-3)
28-21 // #43 Oregon (5-3) @ #45 Colorado (5-3)
46-35 // #108 North Carolina (1-7) @ #46 Virginia (6-2)
13-14 // #48 South Carolina (5-3) @ #117 Vanderbilt (1-7)
23-29 // #50 UCLA (5-3) @ #24 Arizona St (6-2)
21-68 // #51 Troy (5-3) @ #30 Louisiana (7-1)
46-28 // #12 Penn State (6-2) @ #52 Indiana (5-3)
38-50 // #56 Oregon St (5-3) @ #53 Washington (5-3)
42-28 // #28 West Virginia (6-2) @ #58 Iowa St (4-4)
48-14 // #14 Tennessee (6-2) @ #65 Georgia (4-4)
30-20 // #15 Texas (5-3) @ #66 Kansas St (4-4)
39-27 // #101 Georgia Tech (2-6) @ #67 Virginia Tech (4-4)
31-38 // #69 Syracuse (4-4) @ #42 Pittsburgh (5-3)
38-31 // #22 Marshall (7-1) @ #70 Old Dominion (4-4)
24-21 // #64 Liberty (5-3) @ #72 Arkansas (2-6)
38-39 // #75 WKU (5-4) @ #121 Charlotte (3-6)
39-20 // #77 Texas Tech (2-6) @ #76 TCU (3-5)
45-17 // #27 UTSA (6-2) @ #78 UAB (5-3)
35-39 // #81 UCF (4-4) @ #85 Memphis (4-4)
24-41 // #82 Texas St (4-4) @ #123 La Monroe (1-7)
42-28 // #102 South Alabama (3-5) @ #83 Ga Southern (4-4)
14-29 // #88 Clemson (3-5) @ #29 Notre Dame (5-3)
40-21 // #18 Michigan (6-2) @ #89 Rutgers (3-5)
46-31 // #41 Kentucky (4-4) @ #90 Missouri (3-5)
37-20 // #73 Colorado St (4-4) @ #91 San Jose St (4-4)
38-41 // #92 Minnesota (3-5) @ #54 Nebraska (5-3)
6-37 // #93 Tulane (4-4) @ #68 Tulsa (4-4)
34-37 // #95 Navy (3-6) @ #20 Cincinnati (7-1)
28-35 // #96 Maryland (2-6) @ #10 Wisconsin (7-1)
31-41 // #98 Duke (4-4) @ #60 Boston College (5-3)
27-64 // #99 USF (2-6) @ #122 Temple (3-5)
35-23 // #7 OK State (7-1) @ #100 Kansas (2-6)
31-24 // #2 Ohio St (7-1) @ #103 Northwestern (2-6)
31-38 // #104 Hawaii (3-6) @ #106 Fresno St (3-5)
50-24 // #47 Georgia St (5-3) @ #107 Southern Miss (2-6)
36-17 // #55 Washington St (4-4) @ #109 Stanford (1-7)
36-31 // #119 Buffalo (3-5) @ #110 Ohio (3-5)
24-28 // #113 Arizona (1-7) @ #8 Utah (7-1)
17-38 // #114 New Mexico (3-5) @ #80 Utah St (4-4)
32-30 // #74 Middle Tennessee (4-4) @ #115 La Tech (3-5)
30-27 // #4 Michigan St (7-1) @ #116 Illinois (1-7)
14-30 // #120 James Madison (1-6) @ #57 Louisville (4-4)
13-32 // #124 FIU (3-5) @ #111 North Texas (3-6)
31-32 // #125 Ball St (1-7) @ #105 Kent St (3-5)
34-31 // #49 UTEP (7-2) @ #126 Rice (1-7)
10-38 // #127 UNLV (1-7) @ #62 San Diego St (5-3)
55-24 // #61 Western Michigan (5-3) @ #130 Bowling Green (0-8)
24-57 // #131 UMass (0-8) @ #129 UConn (1-8)

WEEK: 11
37-35 // #1 Alabama (9-0) @ #6 Ole Miss (8-1)
21-22 // #9 Wisconsin (8-1) @ #33 Iowa (6-3)
39-37 // #67 South Carolina (5-4) @ #16 Florida (7-2)
20-28 // #20 Arizona St (7-2) @ #50 Washington St (5-4)
35-37 // #21 Florida St (7-2) @ #71 Syracuse (4-5)
48-42 // #7 Oklahoma (8-1) @ #26 West Virginia (7-2)
35-14 // #8 Texas A&M (7-2) @ #31 Auburn (6-3)
31-24 // #47 Boise St (5-4) @ #36 Nevada (7-2)
28-27 // #42 Washington (6-3) @ #38 Oregon (6-3)
20-30 // #39 Army (6-3) @ #59 Troy (5-4)
24-27 // #41 App St (6-3) @ #17 Marshall (8-1)
14-85 // #48 Nebraska (6-3) @ #18 Michigan (7-2)
33-20 // #60 Oregon St (5-4) @ #49 California (6-3)
35-36 // #51 Louisville (5-4) @ #87 Clemson (3-6)
6-8 // #52 Colorado (5-4) @ #46 USC (6-3)
20-33 // #54 Boston College (6-3) @ #4 NC State (9-0)
23-13 // #111 Buffalo (4-5) @ #56 Central Michigan (6-3)
34-43 // #58 Indiana (5-4) @ #2 Ohio St (8-1)
28-29 // #64 Northern Illinois (6-3) @ #62 Western Michigan (6-3)
69-28 // #34 Pittsburgh (6-3) @ #65 Virginia (6-3)
32-27 // #55 Wyoming (6-3) @ #66 Colorado St (5-4)
31-35 // #69 Iowa St (4-5) @ #5 OK State (8-1)
28-31 // #70 Utah St (5-4) @ #116 Hawaii (3-7)
38-48 // #74 Kansas St (4-5) @ #12 Baylor (7-2)
33-30 // #53 Tulsa (5-4) @ #75 Memphis (5-4)
31-42 // #76 Georgia (4-5) @ #28 Mississippi St (6-3)
23-31 // #77 Virginia Tech (4-5) @ #99 Duke (4-5)
42-27 // #35 LSU (4-5) @ #78 Arkansas (2-7)
28-30 // #84 East Carolina (4-5) @ #23 Cincinnati (8-1)
21-55 // #85 Ga Southern (4-5) @ #24 Louisiana (8-1)
10-53 // #86 TCU (3-6) @ #14 Texas (6-3)
32-30 // #43 Miami (6-3) @ #88 Georgia Tech (3-6)
10-46 // #91 Rutgers (3-6) @ #3 Michigan St (8-1)
30-40 // #92 Navy (3-7) @ #32 Notre Dame (6-3)
40-30 // #32 Notre Dame (6-3) @ #92 Navy (3-7)
31-40 // #93 Maryland (2-7) @ #11 Penn State (7-2)
35-38 // #95 North Carolina (2-7) @ #25 Wake Forest (7-2)
24-30 // #96 Texas St (4-5) @ #89 South Alabama (4-5)
35-56 // #98 San Jose St (4-5) @ #57 San Diego St (6-3)
24-46 // #100 Missouri (3-6) @ #13 Tennessee (7-2)
23-26 // #101 Kansas (2-7) @ #68 Texas Tech (3-6)
21-40 // #103 Northwestern (2-7) @ #97 Minnesota (3-6)
17-52 // #104 Vanderbilt (2-7) @ #37 Kentucky (5-4)
30-27 // #83 UCF (4-5) @ #105 Tulane (4-5)
20-49 // #107 La Monroe (2-7) @ #45 Georgia St (6-3)
30-27 // #80 UAB (5-4) @ #108 North Texas (4-6)
30-32 // #109 Charlotte (4-6) @ #72 Middle Tennessee (5-4)
31-32 // #110 Temple (4-5) @ #30 Houston (7-2)
10-7 // #22 SMU (8-1) @ #112 USF (2-7)
24-38 // #113 Arizona (1-8) @ #61 UCLA (5-4)
21-64 // #114 Stanford (1-8) @ #10 Utah (8-1)
38-24 // #79 Eastern Michigan (5-4) @ #115 Akron (3-6)
35-36 // #117 Southern Miss (2-7) @ #29 Coastal Carolina (7-2)
13-42 // #118 New Mexico (3-6) @ #15 Air Force (8-1)
34-3 // #40 Purdue (6-3) @ #120 Illinois (1-8)
28-32 // #121 Ohio (3-6) @ #81 Miami(OH) (5-4)
14-70 // #122 La Tech (3-6) @ #27 UTSA (7-2)
31-38 // #123 James Madison (1-7) @ #73 Old Dominion (4-5)
65-17 // #119 FAU (3-6) @ #124 FIU (3-6)
7-48 // #125 Rice (1-8) @ #82 WKU (5-5)
46-13 // #102 Fresno St (4-5) @ #126 UNLV (1-8)
24-48 // #127 Ball St (1-8) @ #90 Toledo (4-5)
31-28 // #63 Liberty (6-3) @ #128 UConn (2-8)
42-41 // #0 FCS (2-9) @ #129 New Mexico St (2-7)
31-28 // #106 Kent St (4-5) @ #130 Bowling Green (0-9)
17-29 // #131 UMass (0-9) @ #94 Arkansas St (4-5)

WEEK: 12
28-31 // #7 OK State (9-1) @ #6 Oklahoma (9-1)
20-23 // #8 Ole Miss (8-2) @ #81 Arkansas (2-8)
31-32 // #9 Utah (9-1) @ #52 Oregon (6-4)
28-31 // #14 Tennessee (8-2) @ #55 South Carolina (6-4)
31-28 // #66 Colorado St (5-5) @ #16 Air Force (9-1)
20-32 // #26 Iowa (7-3) @ #93 Minnesota (4-6)
30-27 // #48 Oregon St (6-4) @ #27 Arizona St (7-3)
16-37 // #29 Coastal Carolina (8-2) @ #71 Virginia (6-4)
31-24 // #20 Louisiana (9-1) @ #33 Florida St (7-3)
21-36 // #47 Miami (7-3) @ #74 Clemson (4-6)
48-31 // #38 Boise St (6-4) @ #50 Wyoming (7-3)
22-21 // #112 USF (2-8) @ #51 Tulsa (6-4)
17-33 // #54 Western Michigan (7-3) @ #72 Central Michigan (6-4)
36-35 // #40 USC (7-3) @ #56 UCLA (6-4)
17-48 // #57 Syracuse (5-5) @ #24 Wake Forest (8-2)
27-40 // #58 Indiana (5-5) @ #3 Michigan St (9-1)
35-34 // #113 Stanford (1-9) @ #59 California (6-4)
32-31 // #17 Wisconsin (8-2) @ #60 Nebraska (6-4)
17-70 // #61 Boston College (6-4) @ #30 Notre Dame (7-3)
13-16 // #62 Colorado (5-5) @ #36 Washington (7-3)
31-21 // #5 NC State (10-0) @ #65 Louisville (5-5)
17-29 // #68 Old Dominion (5-5) @ #49 App St (6-4)
38-21 // #64 Texas Tech (4-6) @ #69 Iowa St (4-6)
27-30 // #73 Eastern Michigan (6-4) @ #101 Kent St (5-5)
28-52 // #75 UAB (6-4) @ #35 LSU (5-5)
62-28 // #0 FCS (3-9) @ #76 Memphis (5-5)
28-38 // #77 Kansas St (4-6) @ #28 West Virginia (7-3)
24-42 // #78 Miami(OH) (6-4) @ #70 Northern Illinois (6-4)
17-34 // #79 WKU (6-5) @ #34 Auburn (6-4)
35-34 // #91 Navy (3-8) @ #80 UCF (5-5)
24-31 // #82 Georgia (4-6) @ #37 Kentucky (6-4)
26-24 // #100 San Jose St (4-6) @ #83 Utah St (5-5)
34-31 // #63 Liberty (7-3) @ #84 Virginia Tech (4-6)
35-42 // #85 South Alabama (5-5) @ #117 Southern Miss (2-8)
56-10 // #32 Houston (8-2) @ #87 East Carolina (4-6)
32-31 // #10 Marshall (9-1) @ #88 Ga Southern (4-6)
13-57 // #89 TCU (3-7) @ #13 Baylor (8-2)
46-17 // #11 Penn State (8-2) @ #90 Rutgers (3-7)
7-37 // #92 Duke (5-5) @ #31 Pittsburgh (7-3)
24-32 // #94 Arkansas St (5-5) @ #104 Texas St (4-6)
37-23 // #2 Ohio St (9-1) @ #95 Maryland (2-8)
31-34 // #96 Fresno St (5-5) @ #41 Nevada (7-3)
24-38 // #97 Georgia Tech (3-7) @ #99 North Carolina (2-8)
17-7 // #128 UNLV (1-9) @ #103 Hawaii (4-7)
35-28 // #12 Texas (7-3) @ #105 Kansas (2-8)
24-42 // #106 La Monroe (2-8) @ #44 Troy (6-4)
29-24 // #21 Florida (7-3) @ #107 Vanderbilt (2-8)
53-21 // #19 SMU (9-1) @ #108 Tulane (4-6)
36-9 // #22 Cincinnati (9-1) @ #109 Temple (4-6)
13-60 // #110 Northwestern (2-8) @ #39 Purdue (7-3)
28-24 // #122 La Tech (3-7) @ #111 Charlotte (4-7)
73-16 // #43 Washington St (6-4) @ #114 Arizona (1-9)
21-55 // #116 FAU (4-6) @ #67 Middle Tennessee (6-4)
24-31 // #118 Akron (3-7) @ #98 Buffalo (5-5)
38-14 // #53 San Diego St (7-3) @ #119 New Mexico (3-7)
28-48 // #120 Illinois (1-9) @ #15 Michigan (8-2)
35-24 // #25 UTSA (8-2) @ #124 Rice (1-9)
28-31 // #125 FIU (3-7) @ #42 UTEP (8-2)
24-21 // #121 Ohio (3-7) @ #126 Ball St (1-9)
14-43 // #127 UConn (2-9) @ #45 Army (6-4)
14-71 // #129 New Mexico St (2-8) @ #102 Missouri (3-7)
21-28 // #130 Bowling Green (0-10) @ #86 Toledo (5-5)
14-59 // #131 UMass (0-10) @ #4 Texas A&M (8-2)
10-59 // #0 FCS (3-9) @ #1 Alabama (10-0)
24-30 // #0 FCS (3-9) @ #23 Mississippi St (7-3)
14-47 // #0 FCS (3-9) @ #18 BYU (8-2)

WEEK: 13
17-52 // #3 Michigan St (10-1) @ #8 Penn State (9-2)
27-34 // #10 Baylor (9-2) @ #11 Texas (8-3)
10-61 // #13 Michigan (9-2) @ #2 Ohio St (10-1)
14-17 // #18 Tennessee (8-3) @ #107 Vanderbilt (2-9)
20-30 // #20 Florida (8-3) @ #30 Florida St (7-4)
24-48 // #21 Mississippi St (8-3) @ #17 Ole Miss (8-3)
31-50 // #25 West Virginia (8-3) @ #9 OK State (9-2)
21-48 // #28 Auburn (7-4) @ #1 Alabama (11-0)
20-51 // #31 LSU (6-5) @ #6 Texas A&M (9-2)
24-38 // #33 Washington (8-3) @ #37 Washington St (7-4)
42-35 // #26 Notre Dame (8-3) @ #36 USC (8-3)
24-39 // #43 Oregon (7-4) @ #38 Oregon St (7-4)
27-35 // #48 Georgia St (8-3) @ #7 Marshall (10-1)
21-48 // #50 UTEP (9-2) @ #24 UTSA (9-2)
35-30 // #29 Air Force (9-2) @ #51 San Diego St (8-3)
38-31 // #34 Pittsburgh (8-3) @ #52 Miami (7-4)
61-21 // #4 Oklahoma (10-1) @ #54 Texas Tech (5-6)
24-17 // #41 Purdue (8-3) @ #56 Indiana (5-6)
14-17 // #58 Virginia (7-4) @ #84 Virginia Tech (4-7)
28-46 // #61 Wyoming (7-4) @ #100 Fresno St (5-6)
24-31 // #62 Nebraska (6-5) @ #40 Iowa (7-4)
42-41 // #16 Utah (9-2) @ #64 Colorado (5-6)
10-74 // #65 Louisville (5-6) @ #39 Kentucky (7-4)
32-27 // #55 Syracuse (5-6) @ #69 Boston College (6-5)
30-33 // #70 UCLA (6-5) @ #68 California (6-5)
28-45 // #71 Tulsa (6-5) @ #27 Houston (9-2)
32-31 // #42 South Carolina (7-4) @ #72 Clemson (5-6)
24-34 // #74 Minnesota (5-6) @ #12 Wisconsin (9-2)
21-30 // #75 Iowa St (4-7) @ #85 TCU (3-8)
24-35 // #78 Toledo (6-5) @ #63 Western Michigan (7-4)
24-23 // #59 Central Michigan (7-4) @ #80 Eastern Michigan (6-5)
21-37 // #86 Rutgers (3-8) @ #91 Maryland (2-9)
42-10 // #5 NC State (11-0) @ #88 North Carolina (3-8)
30-17 // #14 BYU (9-2) @ #90 Stanford (2-9)
17-37 // #92 Utah St (5-6) @ #35 Boise St (7-4)
28-50 // #93 Kent St (6-5) @ #97 Buffalo (6-5)
34-21 // #73 Old Dominion (5-6) @ #94 South Alabama (5-6)
42-21 // #15 Louisiana (10-1) @ #95 Texas St (5-6)
45-28 // #46 App St (7-4) @ #96 Ga Southern (4-7)
41-21 // #67 Arkansas (3-8) @ #98 Missouri (4-7)
35-28 // #19 Wake Forest (9-2) @ #99 Duke (5-6)
20-30 // #101 Memphis (5-6) @ #22 SMU (10-1)
34-20 // #45 Troy (7-4) @ #103 Arkansas St (5-6)
46-24 // #102 UCF (5-6) @ #104 USF (3-8)
28-32 // #105 Kansas (2-9) @ #77 Kansas St (4-7)
24-54 // #106 Georgia Tech (3-8) @ #76 Georgia (4-7)
34-54 // #108 Southern Miss (3-8) @ #109 La Monroe (2-9)
40-35 // #118 Illinois (1-10) @ #110 Northwestern (2-9)
10-45 // #111 Tulane (4-7) @ #23 Cincinnati (10-1)
34-37 // #112 Hawaii (4-8) @ #87 San Jose St (5-6)
31-23 // #89 East Carolina (4-7) @ #113 Temple (4-7)
31-23 // #79 UAB (6-5) @ #114 La Tech (4-7)
23-20 // #125 Rice (1-10) @ #115 North Texas (4-7)
29-28 // #32 Arizona St (7-4) @ #117 Arizona (1-10)
18-17 // #130 Bowling Green (0-11) @ #119 Ohio (4-7)
44-28 // #81 WKU (6-6) @ #120 FAU (4-7)
14-37 // #121 New Mexico (3-8) @ #53 Colorado St (6-5)
28-40 // #122 Akron (3-8) @ #66 Northern Illinois (7-4)
50-27 // #47 Nevada (8-3) @ #124 UNLV (2-9)
24-17 // #60 Middle Tennessee (7-4) @ #126 FIU (3-8)
9-33 // #127 Ball St (1-10) @ #82 Miami(OH) (6-5)
26-29 // #129 New Mexico St (2-9) @ #57 Liberty (8-3)
36-17 // #49 Army (7-4) @ #131 UMass (0-11)


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(This post was last modified: 05-07-2022 09:44 AM by Crayton.)
05-04-2022 11:16 AM
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