(03-18-2022 08:14 AM)cmt Wrote: I was looking at Kenpom, RPI and NET on Wednesday, all had the MWC teams ranked really high. Then I watched BSU and SDSU championship game. They looked bad. Don't know what early games got them the ridiculously high rankings conference wide, but the formula is wrong. They should take a look at what that was and correct it.
They look better than they are for the same reason the PAC did for years. They are compartmentalized to the western side of the country, where there are fewer good to great teams. They end up playing much of the non-conf on that side of the country. The few teams they played on this side (Arkansas Pine Bluff was played by two of the 4 MWC tournament teams) were horrendously bad. Those 4 MWC tournament teams may have played a combined 4 teams from the eastern side of the country that had a NET below 100, and I believe they lost everyone one of them.
Its almost as if you took 12 NBA teams, put them in a conference, and 12 high school teams, and put them in a conference. Only two of the high school teams crossed over and played teams in the NBA conference. At the end of the season, there will be some high school teams who have excellent numbers when compare to the NBA teams, but its smoke and mirrors.
The one way to separate these teams out is to add a metric to the NET/RPI that bonuses out non-conf wins against higher NET teams, especially neutral/road games. That would have moved Wyoming, Boise, and Colorado St (who all had non-conf sos's in the 130's to 150's) out. And they would have been left with San Diego St (who had a really good non-conf sos). Boise won the conference, so that would have made them a 2 bid league or a 1 bid league had San Diego St won the conference. And that would have matched reality.
But, in short, they have to do something with these western conferences who look better on paper than they are because they play few to no eastern team crossover games against quality eastern team opponents.