(03-16-2022 04:28 PM)ken d Wrote: (03-16-2022 01:54 PM)Frank the Tank Wrote: (03-16-2022 01:44 PM)GreenBison Wrote: (03-16-2022 01:34 PM)Gamenole Wrote: New poll. Large gaps by age, race and gender -
https://www.axios.com/paying-college-ath...e8d61.html
"Survey of 1,264 U.S. adults conducted between Feb. 15-21, 2022"
Why yes... 600 people clearly extrapolates to half of the US Adult population.
This poll may or may not be good.
However, it’s always wrong to just base whether a poll is good or not simply based on the sample size. You could have a very accurate poll with 1200 participants provided that those being polled accurately reflects the general population in terms of age, gender, income, political viewpoints, etc. In contrast, you could have a poll with millions of people that would be very inaccurate across the general population of those millions of people don’t reflect the general population. (A simple example is a presidential party primary. Any primary has little reflection on what the national vote will be because a primary electorate composition is much different than the general electorate even though a primary has tens of millions more voters compared to a general election poll.)
It would help to know what the poll's margin of error is and the confidence level in that margin of error. Not enough information here.
Here is the methodology and a direct link to the polling data -
Nature of the Sample: Marist Poll with the Center for Sports Communication at Marist College of
1,264 National Adults
This survey of 1,264 adults was conducted February 15th through February 21st, 2022 by the Marist Poll
in partnership with the Center for Sports Communication at Marist College. Adults 18 years of age and
older residing in the United States were contacted on landline or mobile numbers and interviewed by
telephone using live interviewers. Survey questions were available in English or Spanish. Mobile
telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout
the nation from Dynata. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in
proportion to its population. Mobile phones are treated as individual devices. After validation of age,
personal ownership, and non-business-use of the mobile phone, interviews are typically conducted with
the person answering the phone. To increase coverage, this mobile sample was supplemented by
respondents reached through random dialing of landline phone numbers. Within each landline household,
a single respondent is selected through a random selection process to increase the representativeness
of traditionally under-covered survey populations. The samples were then combined and balanced to
reflect the 2019 American Community Survey 1-year estimates for age, gender, income, race, and region.
Assistance was provided by Luce Research for data collection. Results are statistically significant within
±3.5 percentage points. There are 707 sports fans. The results for this subset are statistically significant
within ±4.6 percentage points. Tables include results for subgroups to only display crosstabs with an
acceptable sampling error. It should be noted that although you may not see results listed for a certain
group, it does not mean interviews were not completed with those individuals. It simply means the sample
size is too small to report. The error margin was adjusted for sample weights and increases for crosstabulations.
https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content...031619.pdf