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Realignment Exercise
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Troy_Fan_15 Offline
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Post: #21
RE: Realignment Exercise
(02-22-2022 12:37 PM)inutech Wrote:  
(02-22-2022 12:34 PM)GreenBison Wrote:  
(02-21-2022 10:22 PM)shizzle787 Wrote:  My theory is that the next major realignment will occur between 2030-2035.
My prediction is that the B1G will add UNC and UVA.

If that happens, what will be the resulting dominoes?

My guess:

The SEC stays put.

ND stays in ACC as the major football schools are still there. The ACC adds WVU and Cincy to get back to 14 in football and 15 overall.

The Pac-12 looks around and is content with its 12 schools.

The Big 12 decides to further stabilize itself by adding 4 schools to get up to 14: Boise State, USF, Memphis, and SMU.

The Mountain West responds by adding UTEP to get back to 12.

The American responds by adding Southern Miss, Marshall, and Old Dominion to get back to 14.

The Sun Belt adds Western Kentucky to get to 12.

The MAC stays put at 12.

C-USA, down to 7 schools, adds two FCS schools: Eastern Kentucky and Stephen F. Austin

By 2030 the SBC will be stronger than the AAC. Marshall, SoMiss and ODU stay put. Maybe the AAC adds Georgia State and the SBC responds by adding ECU. BUt I seriously doubt Marshall and SoMiss spend millions of dollars to join a conferenc full of old CUSA mates that passed us over twice for market schools.

It does seem more likely that you'd finally get some version of that east/west G5 reshuffle if there was much movement again down the road.

Possible. The SBC is starting to look like two conferences playing under 1 league name.
02-22-2022 02:39 PM
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inutech Offline
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Post: #22
RE: Realignment Exercise
(02-22-2022 02:39 PM)Troy_Fan_15 Wrote:  
(02-22-2022 12:37 PM)inutech Wrote:  
(02-22-2022 12:34 PM)GreenBison Wrote:  
(02-21-2022 10:22 PM)shizzle787 Wrote:  My theory is that the next major realignment will occur between 2030-2035.
My prediction is that the B1G will add UNC and UVA.

If that happens, what will be the resulting dominoes?

My guess:

The SEC stays put.

ND stays in ACC as the major football schools are still there. The ACC adds WVU and Cincy to get back to 14 in football and 15 overall.

The Pac-12 looks around and is content with its 12 schools.

The Big 12 decides to further stabilize itself by adding 4 schools to get up to 14: Boise State, USF, Memphis, and SMU.

The Mountain West responds by adding UTEP to get back to 12.

The American responds by adding Southern Miss, Marshall, and Old Dominion to get back to 14.

The Sun Belt adds Western Kentucky to get to 12.

The MAC stays put at 12.

C-USA, down to 7 schools, adds two FCS schools: Eastern Kentucky and Stephen F. Austin

By 2030 the SBC will be stronger than the AAC. Marshall, SoMiss and ODU stay put. Maybe the AAC adds Georgia State and the SBC responds by adding ECU. BUt I seriously doubt Marshall and SoMiss spend millions of dollars to join a conferenc full of old CUSA mates that passed us over twice for market schools.

It does seem more likely that you'd finally get some version of that east/west G5 reshuffle if there was much movement again down the road.

Possible. The SBC is starting to look like two conferences playing under 1 league name.

I think that was a problem for the current CUSA. Probably not the problem, but a problem. And the longer you go without playing the other teams at all the more it feels that way.

I never thought it was the end of the world having three G5 conferences that more or less over-lapped. But something more geographic has been proposed and rejected a couple of times now (by the stronger/wealthier conference). Eventually it might come up at the right time and become the future. I wouldn't bet the house on it or anything, but it seems just as likely as what's proposed here.
(This post was last modified: 02-22-2022 02:44 PM by inutech.)
02-22-2022 02:44 PM
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inutech Offline
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Post: #23
RE: Realignment Exercise
(02-22-2022 08:35 AM)DFW HOYA Wrote:  At some point, C-USA may just fold.

What? Why?

It's not going to be a great football conference, and it's absolutely a marriage of convenience for every school involved (any of whom would leave in a second), but it's very much better than being independent. As long as that's the case, and there is a single team left to reform, it'll limp along I bet.

I sort of thought the other G5 leagues might finish CUSA off this time around (and would have be fine with it) but if they didn't do it now, I can't see them doing it in the future.

Maybe if auto-bids go away, but I think in that case we'd see pretty big changes at that level across the board.
02-22-2022 02:47 PM
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