(02-15-2022 08:04 AM)Milwaukee Wrote: (02-15-2022 06:42 AM)otown Wrote: (02-14-2022 11:42 PM)Acres Wrote: (02-14-2022 06:51 PM)Pirate Rep Wrote: (02-14-2022 06:30 PM)rath v2.0 Wrote: Locked into the current system until 2025 unless all 10 conference commissioners agree unanimously to a change.
In 25’ the P5 can do what it wants with or without the G5 agreeing to it. I’d say it is in the AAC’s interest to agree to something before then. All G5’s don’t even agree with Aresco on this yet.
Neither do P5's, but Sanky who prefers 6+6 has publicly stated the SEC is perfectly fine with just 4 and the rest are wearing on the SEC's generosity. Bowlsby is in favor of 6+6 as well. He knows the media contract haircut they are going to take, plus no candidates to up his contract value. If B12 can get by without losing Houston they could be safe and the 6+6 is their best model.
We'll see if realignment goes the way of a P4. I've read conferences are looking at POD's which may mean the go to model is 4 and 64.
There's really no telling what is going on behind close doors.
Not sure what the bolded part, haven’t read anywhere that Houston is leaving the big12.
That post was just mental gymnastics to make him feel better. He really was just trying to throw water on the Big 12 when it should have been about the playoff expansion. Realize the tell tail signs of a desperate post. "P4", "media deal haircut", "Houston leaving". It's really comical at this point.
The post really took a turn when he says Bowlsby is in favor of the 6÷6 because he sees a perceived poster's wet dream writing on the wall of the conference being demoted. However much a fantasy that this was, the autobids that are specifically supported by the alliance includes all P5, which includes the Big 12. There has been ZERO talk of a P4 other than G5 fanboys who want more company and spew that nonsense on message boards.
Now my opinion? I would rather the 6÷6 for completely other reasons. One thing I'm not worried about is the Big 12 getting left out in a 6÷6 scenario, passed by 2 G leagues. I think that distinction is to the ACC and PAC.
If Bowlsby and Sankey and the G5 are all in favor of the "6+6," then what is all the broughaha about?
Are we all talking about the same thing when he use the term "6+6?"
As I understand it, "6+6" means that the top 6 conference champs get auto bids, and the G5 favors that because it means that if the top two G5 champs are among the top 6, they're both in the playoff.
Another question: If Sankey and Bowlsby and the G5 are all in favor of the "6+6" formula, how can it fail when there's a majority vote?
Lastly, there have been some ingenious ideas about going with a flexible arrangement that would be basically "6+6," but with a fudge factor that would turn "6+6" into "7+5" when needed so that all the P5 conf. champs can squeeze into the playoffs.
Why is the debate always seem to be stuck on "5+1+6" vs. "6+6?"
The G5 folks would support a "6+6" with a "contingency 7+5" provision if that's what it would take to bring the Alliance on board, and it's unlikely that Sankey or Bowlsby would do anything to block that.
Are the three Alliance conferences intent on sabotaging the G5, come hell or high water, by blocking anything but a "5+1" option? Or could it be something even more nefarious?
"Inquiring minds want to know..."
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About the bold, there really is no majority vote, not now or in 2026.
Regarding changing the current CFP before it expires in 2026: Every single conference has a veto over that, as does Notre Dame, because changing the current system before it expires requires a unanimous vote.
Even after the CFP expires, no conference can be forced to join a system it doesn't want to join. E.g., if in 2026, seven conferences vote to create a new 12-team playoff, but 3 conferences vote no, those three can choose not to join the new playoff system. They aren't compelled to join because a majority of others creates it.
At that point, it will just be how important those three conferences are. E.g., if it is three G5 conferences, they will be ignored and TV will be happy to pay huge dollars for the 7-conference expanded playoff.
But if the three include one or more P5 conferences, especially if one is the SEC or B1G, then that wrecks the whole applecart, because TV won't be willing to pay if those key players aren't included.
That IMO is the real bottom line here - the SEC and B1G each have an effective veto over any playoff system, now or in 2026, because a playoff without them will lack credibility and media appeal. So they have to be accomodated.
Right now, the SEC is firmly on the side of the AAC and other G5, and that is big.