(01-13-2022 11:03 PM)GoDownSwinging Wrote:  Georgia's net ranking is 222. If that drops to 241+, then Memphis will receive a Quad 4 loss.
Alabama's NET ranking is at 23. If that drops to 31+, then Memphis will drop a Q1 win to a Q2 win.
Virginia Tech, a team that is 0-4 in ACC play so far, has a NET ranking of 39. If that drops to 51+, then Memphis will lost a Q1 win to a Q2 win. Virginia Tech hosts Notre Dame (currently 2nd in the ACC) on Saturday. After that, the next 5 of the 7 Hokies' games are on the road with Miami and Georgia Tech being the two home games.

Don't know what will happen in the future for those teams. However, Memphis got to win games on the road. We only have 1 road win.

How slim are our chances of getting at large? Right now we only count as a quad 2 win for Georgia.

(01-14-2022 12:55 PM)Stammers Wrote:  

(01-14-2022 11:00 AM)macgar32 Wrote:  

(01-13-2022 10:43 PM)Alcalde2 Wrote:  

(01-13-2022 10:32 PM)bluetiger89 Wrote:  I applaud the optimism but we’re not getting in. This team will probably get a couple of nice wins but we have bad losses and will undoubtedly have more. That’s who we are. This is ridiculous with the talent we have and a vastly improved coaching staff that we’re even questioning if we will make the tournament.

100% agree. We are 9-6. Virginia Tech is 0-4 in ACC and Alabama about to drop out of top 25. We will be lucky for one of our current wins to end up Q1. At this point, we could only lose 2 more games in the regular season, and there is maybe a 2% chance of that at best

So in conference

We have been missing 3 of out top 8 in every game accept 1... And in that 1 game we won by a ton.

WSU (ALo and Bates)
Tulane(Bates, Williams and Duren)
Tulsa (Duren, ALo and Bates)
UCF (Williams, ALo and Earl)
Cinci (Williams, ALo and Earl)

IF we have Williams, we can be missing our next 3 top scorers (Duren, Bates, Nolley) and still beat anyone.

Williams
LQ
Tyler
Timberlake
Minott
Lomax
Dandridge
Jayden

Anyone ? If they come to your home--don't consent to a search

We are 2-2 in Q1 games.
There are only 19 teams with more Q1 wins.
We still have 3 Q1 games that aren't going anywhere.
We have 1 win and 1 game to be played that are currently Q2, but could easily move to Q1.
They have to have 68 teams for the tourney - which is usually about 40 at large teams.
Anyone saying right now that we HAVE to win the conference tourney doesn't know what they are talking about.
What we HAVE to do is get Deandre, Duren, and Alo healthy again.

(01-15-2022 12:20 PM)Tiger87 Wrote:  We are 2-2 in Q1 games.
There are only 19 teams with more Q1 wins.
We still have 3 Q1 games that aren't going anywhere.
We have 1 win and 1 game to be played that are currently Q2, but could easily move to Q1.
They have to have 68 teams for the tourney - which is usually about 40 at large teams.
Anyone saying right now that we HAVE to win the conference tourney doesn't know what they are talking about.
What we HAVE to do is get Deandre, Duren, and Alo healthy again.

Yep

American is 2 bid league. Too many top 100 net teams in conference for a 1 bid league. We are first team out today. Last team in? UCF.

Being the clear number 2 in the league Will get u in.

(01-14-2022 10:59 PM)ncrdbl1 Wrote:  

(01-13-2022 11:03 PM)GoDownSwinging Wrote:  Georgia's net ranking is 222. If that drops to 241+, then Memphis will receive a Quad 4 loss.
Alabama's NET ranking is at 23. If that drops to 31+, then Memphis will drop a Q1 win to a Q2 win.
Virginia Tech, a team that is 0-4 in ACC play so far, has a NET ranking of 39. If that drops to 51+, then Memphis will lost a Q1 win to a Q2 win. Virginia Tech hosts Notre Dame (currently 2nd in the ACC) on Saturday. After that, the next 5 of the 7 Hokies' games are on the road with Miami and Georgia Tech being the two home games.

Don't know what will happen in the future for those teams. However, Memphis got to win games on the road. We only have 1 road win.

How slim are our chances of getting at large? Right now we only count as a quad 2 win for Georgia.

I would say slim, and here's why. You have to factor in teams winning their conference tournaments unexpectedly that'll knock a team off the bubble (example from last year: Georgia Tech). For a team that is only 1-4 on the road, I would have to imagine we would lose more road games throughout the duration of the season. And it's not a "bad season on the road" situation. Penny is under .500 on the road in games in his career. So, it's not a small sample size. We just need to win 7-9 games in a row. We can't do that.

We're the "First Team Out." I do believe they have counted the missed players at Tulane as an asterisk for the loss. Regardless, it's a loss and not a win.

Our next 5 road games are: East Carolina, Tulsa, Houston, and SMU. If we go 4-1 in those games, I would say we have a good shot. If we go 3-2, then we're on the same. If we go 2-3 and worse, we probably deserve no chance to be in the tournament. If we win the home games, that's great. Unfortunately, I don't believe winning them are as great as winning a game on the road (other than Houston).

Lastly, If Memphis finishes at seed #3 heading into the tournament, then they're in line to play the 9 PM game. If Memphis finishes at seed #6, then they'll play the day before against the #11 seed. If they win that game, then they'll play seed #3 at 9 PM on the Friday. If they win that, then they'll turn and play at the 4:30 ish on Saturday. As crazy as this sounds, it'll be better for Memphis to be the 4/5 seed than the 3 seed.

Right now, Memphis is the 5th seed. There are 5 teams with 2 losses. The road win against Wichita State is dropping because they're 0-3 in conference with a home game vs Cincinnati tomorrow.