(01-14-2022 10:27 AM)Sactowndog Wrote: (01-14-2022 09:57 AM)quo vadis Wrote: (01-13-2022 10:42 PM)Sactowndog Wrote: (01-13-2022 10:11 PM)quo vadis Wrote: (01-13-2022 06:56 PM)SoCalBobcat78 Wrote: I think George Kliavkoff is a much better negotiator than Larry Scott and has no intention of showing his hand. I think they prefer a 5-1-2 or a 5-1-6, but the other models work for increasing access. I also think there are other issues such as revenue distribution, the Rose Bowl, etc., that need to be sorted out. Currently, the five Power Conferences and Notre Dame get 78% of the CFP revenue. Each conference currently gets a guaranteed $66 million dollar payment from the CFP. I just don't see the 65 power conference schools wanting to give that percentage up in the future.
https://www.cbssports.com/college-footba...ivide-fbs/
FWIW, I don't see revenue distribution as a big problem. The same basic 80/20, P5/G5 split can be built in to the expanded playoffs.
It’s not their real issue. The want a 5 + 1 + 6 and are determined to delay and pin the delay on the G5 to try to get their way.
Eh, I believe the PAC commissioner. I think that in the end, they would accept and vote for any of the six plans, even ones without P5 autobids, because even those plans are clearly better for the PAC than the horror-show (for them) that is the current CFP. They won't delay to the point of sabotaging an agreement, IMO.
But sure, like you I think they want P5 autobids, and will fight for that behind closed doors. Maybe even delay an agreement a bit. But in the end, I don't think they sabotage a solution over it, as long as the solution is one of the six plans.
Beyond that, I think that if a plan passes that has autobids for the top 6 conference champs, then the PAC will abandon its divisions to prevent upsets by 7-5 teams in the CCG. Heck, I expect the B1G and SEC to abandon divisions as well.
Well if he had just said we will support anything and left it at that he could be believed. But let me ask you a question or two:
1) if true, why is he actively going around the country trying to spin this alliance versus the working group as a P5/G5 argument?
2) why is he issuing threats to the G5, go my preferred way or else?
3) which conference has the most to gain by P5 auto qualification?
I’m curious your answers to those questions. I’m also curious how you think his “wasn’t me” schtick is playing with the other commissioners?
I think that the new statement made yesterday supersedes the earlier statements about P5 autobids.
I think other commissioners view all public utterances by other commissioners as public relations first.
I think the new PAC position is rational. While I agree that the PAC wants P5 autobids, any of the plans without autobids is a big improvement from their POV.
To kind of flip your Q3, far more than any other P- conference, the PAC stands to benefit from expansion, period. Because the PAC has missed the CFP playoffs five straight years, with no end in sight. No other conferences has come close to being locked out so often. The last time a PAC team played in a playoff game, Barack Obama was President.
This is not only a big blow to PAC pride, it's hurting their football quality. Right now, in the Massey Composite, there is an extremely close race between the AAC and MW as to who the top G5 conference is. It's not settled yet because more computers are still being factored in. But additionally, both the AAC and MW are also extremely close to beating out the PAC in these standings. The PAC may in fact end up being rated behind one or both of these G5 conferences.
The PAC just went 0-5 in bowl games, despite the fact that because they don't put anyone in the playoffs, they get favorable matchups. Last year, their champ, Oregon, was thrashed by the Big 12 runner-up in the Fiesta Bowl. This year, their champ lost to B1G runner up Ohio State in the Rose Bowl.
That's what's happening now - higher finishing PAC teams are losing to lower finishing teams from other leagues. And historically, the PAC has been the second-best bowl conference, behind the SEC.
So the PAC is hemorrhaging right now, it's bad.
So it seems reasonable to me that the PAC would be very agreeable to any of the six expansion plans, as all would likely be a vast improvement over the shite-show the CFP has been for them. Now, that doesn't mean they won't push for P5 autobids. I think they will. But they won't push past a certain point, IMO.