RE: MAC Basketball
It’s to early to predict how EMU will fair in the MAC.
In the last two games, EMU’s HC Heath produced two wins as changes were made many structural changes to both the offensive and defensive systems tge changes were tailored to highlight the strength of individual players skill-sets.
EMU is playing a far better style of play since EMU lost to Indiana, Michigan State, and DePaul.
In it’s last two games, EMU is stopping the three ball unlike in the Indiana when Indiana simply missed open three’s. EMU did not attempt to stop three’s in the either the DePaul nor San Diego games.
SMU would have likely beat UCSD if EMU had installed it’s new defense to stop the thre-ball.
Offensively, if EMU did not play a low-post offense the beginning of the season, EMU would have scored far more points in the MSU game of EMU had not played a low-post offense and instead spread the court.
EMU got hosed in the MSU game by refs as MSU scored 15 more points at the foul-line than EMU did.
EMU should have 6-3 record, with wins over both Northern Kentucky and UCSD, and losses to Indiana, MSU, and DePaul.
Heath has given each player a chance to prove how they contribute to EMU’s success.
In EMU’s final two non-conference games, we’ll get see if EMU can hold both FIU and Valpo to scoring less than 70-points over 40-minutes of play. EMU just having held both Northwood and Niagara to scoring less than 60-points is a good sign they can. We’ll also get to see if EMU can score 75 or more points in each of those games. If EMU can do both, such bodes well going into conference play at the end of this month.
EMU’s first conference game is played a on the road at Ohio U. Regardless if EMU wins, the game should be a good gauge as to where EMU is in it’s development. Ohio has a 6-2 record in non-conference play and has averaged 74-ppg, opponents 69-points.
Ohio is scoring less points per game in non-conference play, but giving up less points. Last season, Ohio had a positive scoring margin of 7-points, so far this season 5-points. Last season, in conference play, Ohio’s scoring declined in conference play and it’s opponents scoring rise. If that occurs in conference play this season, Ohio should have a narrow scoring margin over conference foes.
One reason Ohio’s scoring has declined is due to Ohio playing without injured F Dwight Wilson who averaged 14.5 ppg last season. He’s not expected to return this season. They also lost G McDay who left the team 3-games ago.
Ohio’s latest victory was over St.Francis NY (KenPom ranking of 328) that had a 1-7 record coming into the game. Ohio won 78-75. It’s previous game was a loss to LSU. Ohio scored but 51-points.
I rate Ohio as behind both Buffalo and Toledo, and may be finish even lower, although most rating services rate Ohio higher than Toledo, and others rate Ohio the best team in the conference.
(This post was last modified: 12-15-2021 12:33 AM by Miggy.)
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