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Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
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ncrdbl1 Offline
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Post: #1
Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
For everything turn turn turn.

there is a season turn turn turn.

The tigers main problem turn turn turn.

OK maybe a little too over the top but we all know what has been the main issue in this current three game losing streak.

It will also be a main factor this week.

If the Tigers finally find a cure for their turnover problem this game shouldn't be close.

Unless Navy eats up a lot of yardage with the dive play the Tigers safeties and DBs have shown the ability to close quickly enough and sure handed enough to shut down the edge so far this year.

The Navy line has shown little ability to protect the passer on the few passing atempts.

They have shown little ability to pressure the opposing QB.

Tigers must find a way to limit the Midshipmen's long drives and give their defense time to rest.

Tigers cannot waste what few opportunities they get to score.

Henigan owns 2 of the top ten passing yardage games in Tigers history and easily could add a third this week.

Austin leads the nation in receiving yardage and could expand his lead this week.

On paper this should be a cakewalk for the Tigers return teams.

ON PAPER!

These young Tigers are in bad need of a positive result and we very well could and should get that this week.

Stop the turnovers and limited yardage on the dive and it should be a happy weekend for a bunch of Tiger cubs.


Total Offense
Memphis 11th
Navy 127th

Total Defense
Memphis 116th
Navy 56th

Passing offense
Memphis 12th
Navy 130th

Rushing Offense
Memphis 47th
Navy 20th

Passing Defense
Memphis 128th
Navy 76th

Rushing Defense
Memphis 61st
Navy 46th

Red Zone Offense
Memphis 71st
Navy 124th

Red Zone Defense
Memphis 109th
Navy 21st

Net Punting
Memphis 7th
Navy 127th

Punt Returns
Memphis 4th
Navy 71st

Punt Return Defense
Memphis 4th
Navy 122nd

Blocked Punts
Memphis n/a
Navy 14th

Blocked Punts Allowed
Memphis 1st
Navy 109th

Kick Off Returns
Memphis 36th
Navy 82nd

Kick Off Return Defense
Memphis 24th
Navy 115th

Turnover margin
Memphis 114th
Navy 56th

Fumbles
Memphis 120th
Navy 85th

Fumbles Recovered
Memphis 61st
Navy 61st

Passes Had Intercepted
Memphis 29th
Navy 11th

Passes Intercepted
Memphis 123rd
Navy 60th

Sacks
Memphis 121st
Navy 121st

Sacks allowed
Memphis 69th
Navy 125th

ToP
Memphis 126th
Navy 7th

Scoring Offense
Memphis 23rd
Navy 121st

Scoring Defense
Memphis 108th
Navy 105th
10-11-2021 07:24 PM
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Hernando Hills Tiger Offline
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Post: #2
RE: Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
Turnover ratio?
10-11-2021 07:33 PM
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holyterror Offline
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Post: #3
RE: Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
If we weren’t 3-3 Calvin Austin would be in the Heisman discussion.
10-11-2021 07:41 PM
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Alanda Offline
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Post: #4
RE: Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
Thanks for always doing this. TOs are a problem, but I don't agree with them being the main issue though. We might be ranked high in total yardage, but our efficiency numbers aren't on the same level.
10-11-2021 07:48 PM
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Hernando Hills Tiger Offline
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Post: #5
RE: Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
(10-11-2021 07:48 PM)Alanda Wrote:  Thanks for always doing this. TOs are a problem, but I don't agree with them being the main issue though. We might be ranked high in total yardage, but our efficiency numbers aren't on the same level.

Curious how the turnover prone option was working for Navy as compared to what ours is.
10-11-2021 07:54 PM
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MtownTigers916 Offline
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Post: #6
RE: Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
There is something oddsmakers see that I can’t put my finger on. ESPN FPI still has us at about a 90% chance of winning. We are over a touchdown favorites. I’m not sure what sort of deep stat magic they have, but they are usually right
10-11-2021 08:08 PM
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tpaw09 Online
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Post: #7
RE: Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
We need a good performance. Hopefully fans show up besides sitting on the couch calling plays
10-11-2021 08:14 PM
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Alanda Offline
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Post: #8
RE: Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
(10-11-2021 07:54 PM)Hernando Hills Tiger Wrote:  
(10-11-2021 07:48 PM)Alanda Wrote:  Thanks for always doing this. TOs are a problem, but I don't agree with them being the main issue though. We might be ranked high in total yardage, but our efficiency numbers aren't on the same level.

Curious how the turnover prone option was working for Navy as compared to what ours is.

When I looked at their efficiency numbers they were terrible. However their terrible efficiency number rankings are more inline with their terrible total offense yards rank. These are two of my go to sites.

https://www.espn.com/college-football/fp...nk/dir/asc

https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/...lloff/2021
10-11-2021 08:52 PM
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jsw3ent Offline
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Post: #9
RE: Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
(10-11-2021 07:24 PM)ncrdbl1 Wrote:  For everything turn turn turn.

there is a season turn turn turn.

The tigers main problem turn turn turn.

OK maybe a little too over the top but we all know what has been the main issue in this current three game losing streak.

It will also be a main factor this week.

If the Tigers finally find a cure for their turnover problem this game shouldn't be close.

Unless Navy eats up a lot of yardage with the dive play the Tigers safeties and DBs have shown the ability to close quickly enough and sure handed enough to shut down the edge so far this year.

The Navy line has shown little ability to protect the passer on the few passing atempts.

They have shown little ability to pressure the opposing QB.

Tigers must find a way to limit the Midshipmen's long drives and give their defense time to rest.

Tigers cannot waste what few opportunities they get to score.

Henigan owns 2 of the top ten passing yardage games in Tigers history and easily could add a third this week.

Austin leads the nation in receiving yardage and could expand his lead this week.

On paper this should be a cakewalk for the Tigers return teams.

ON PAPER!

These young Tigers are in bad need of a positive result and we very well could and should get that this week.

Stop the turnovers and limited yardage on the dive and it should be a happy weekend for a bunch of Tiger cubs.


Total Offense
Memphis 11th
Navy 127th

Total Defense
Memphis 116th
Navy 56th

Passing offense
Memphis 12th
Navy 130th

Rushing Offense
Memphis 47th
Navy 20th

Passing Defense
Memphis 128th
Navy 76th

Rushing Defense
Memphis 61st
Navy 46th

Red Zone Offense
Memphis 71st
Navy 124th

Red Zone Defense
Memphis 109th
Navy 21st

Net Punting
Memphis 7th
Navy 127th

Punt Returns
Memphis 4th
Navy 71st

Punt Return Defense
Memphis 4th
Navy 122nd

Blocked Punts
Memphis n/a
Navy 14th

Blocked Punts Allowed
Memphis 1st
Navy 109th

Kick Off Returns
Memphis 36th
Navy 82nd

Kick Off Return Defense
Memphis 24th
Navy 115th

Turnover margin
Memphis 114th
Navy 56th

Fumbles
Memphis 120th
Navy 85th

Fumbles Recovered
Memphis 61st
Navy 61st

Passes Had Intercepted
Memphis 29th
Navy 11th

Passes Intercepted
Memphis 123rd
Navy 60th

Sacks
Memphis 121st
Navy 121st

Sacks allowed
Memphis 69th
Navy 125th

ToP
Memphis 126th
Navy 7th

Scoring Offense
Memphis 23rd
Navy 121st

Scoring Defense
Memphis 108th
Navy 105th

Thanks
10-11-2021 09:24 PM
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Browning Hall Offline
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Post: #10
RE: Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
(10-11-2021 08:08 PM)MtownTigers916 Wrote:  There is something oddsmakers see that I can’t put my finger on. ESPN FPI still has us at about a 90% chance of winning. We are over a touchdown favorites. I’m not sure what sort of deep stat magic they have, but they are usually right

This helps explain it:

Look up "The Good Judgement Project." Vegas obviously pays their handicappers to try and figure it out. And they do a really old job of it. But the general public will hone that number into a more accurate figure.
For example, take 10 people and ask them how much a cow weighs. When you average the answers you will get a number that's kind of close to the weight. Now take 1000 people and do the same thing. That number will be more accurate. More people betting = more accurate line.


https://goodjudgment.com/
10-11-2021 10:21 PM
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jsw3ent Offline
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Post: #11
RE: Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
(10-11-2021 10:21 PM)Browning Hall Wrote:  
(10-11-2021 08:08 PM)MtownTigers916 Wrote:  There is something oddsmakers see that I can’t put my finger on. ESPN FPI still has us at about a 90% chance of winning. We are over a touchdown favorites. I’m not sure what sort of deep stat magic they have, but they are usually right

This helps explain it:

Look up "The Good Judgement Project." Vegas obviously pays their handicappers to try and figure it out. And they do a really old job of it. But the general public will hone that number into a more accurate figure.
For example, take 10 people and ask them how much a cow weighs. When you average the answers you will get a number that's kind of close to the weight. Now take 1000 people and do the same thing. That number will be more accurate. More people betting = more accurate line.


https://goodjudgment.com/

Is it true, if a person picks up/lifts a newborn calf off the ground--lifts the calf everyday --that when the calf is a cow that he can still lift it ?
10-11-2021 10:34 PM
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Browning Hall Offline
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Post: #12
RE: Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
(10-11-2021 10:34 PM)jsw3ent Wrote:  
(10-11-2021 10:21 PM)Browning Hall Wrote:  
(10-11-2021 08:08 PM)MtownTigers916 Wrote:  There is something oddsmakers see that I can’t put my finger on. ESPN FPI still has us at about a 90% chance of winning. We are over a touchdown favorites. I’m not sure what sort of deep stat magic they have, but they are usually right

This helps explain it:

Look up "The Good Judgement Project." Vegas obviously pays their handicappers to try and figure it out. And they do a really old job of it. But the general public will hone that number into a more accurate figure.
For example, take 10 people and ask them how much a cow weighs. When you average the answers you will get a number that's kind of close to the weight. Now take 1000 people and do the same thing. That number will be more accurate. More people betting = more accurate line.


https://goodjudgment.com/

Is it true, if a person picks up/lifts a newborn calf off the ground--lifts the calf everyday --that when the calf is a cow that he can still lift it ?

One steak at a time…
10-11-2021 11:02 PM
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jsw3ent Offline
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Post: #13
RE: Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
(10-11-2021 11:02 PM)Browning Hall Wrote:  
(10-11-2021 10:34 PM)jsw3ent Wrote:  
(10-11-2021 10:21 PM)Browning Hall Wrote:  
(10-11-2021 08:08 PM)MtownTigers916 Wrote:  There is something oddsmakers see that I can’t put my finger on. ESPN FPI still has us at about a 90% chance of winning. We are over a touchdown favorites. I’m not sure what sort of deep stat magic they have, but they are usually right

This helps explain it:

Look up "The Good Judgement Project." Vegas obviously pays their handicappers to try and figure it out. And they do a really old job of it. But the general public will hone that number into a more accurate figure.
For example, take 10 people and ask them how much a cow weighs. When you average the answers you will get a number that's kind of close to the weight. Now take 1000 people and do the same thing. That number will be more accurate. More people betting = more accurate line.


https://goodjudgment.com/

Is it true, if a person picks up/lifts a newborn calf off the ground--lifts the calf everyday --that when the calf is a cow that he can still lift it ?

One steak at a time…

LOL--touche
10-12-2021 12:30 AM
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Hernando Hills Tiger Offline
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Post: #14
RE: Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
(10-11-2021 08:52 PM)Alanda Wrote:  
(10-11-2021 07:54 PM)Hernando Hills Tiger Wrote:  
(10-11-2021 07:48 PM)Alanda Wrote:  Thanks for always doing this. TOs are a problem, but I don't agree with them being the main issue though. We might be ranked high in total yardage, but our efficiency numbers aren't on the same level.

Curious how the turnover prone option was working for Navy as compared to what ours is.

When I looked at their efficiency numbers they were terrible. However their terrible efficiency number rankings are more inline with their terrible total offense yards rank. These are two of my go to sites.

https://www.espn.com/college-football/fp...nk/dir/asc

https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/...lloff/2021

Wow. The second link shows us to be 2-3.
10-12-2021 05:21 AM
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ncrdbl1 Offline
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RE: Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
Ellis (lg) and Rogers (wr) who missed the last two games, along with Clark (rb) are game time decisions against Navy.
10-12-2021 07:47 AM
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Tiger87 Offline
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Post: #16
RE: Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
(10-11-2021 07:48 PM)Alanda Wrote:  Thanks for always doing this. TOs are a problem, but I don't agree with them being the main issue though. We might be ranked high in total yardage, but our efficiency numbers aren't on the same level.

TOs and efficiency are closely related.
10-12-2021 08:43 AM
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Tiger87 Offline
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Post: #17
RE: Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
(10-11-2021 08:52 PM)Alanda Wrote:  
(10-11-2021 07:54 PM)Hernando Hills Tiger Wrote:  
(10-11-2021 07:48 PM)Alanda Wrote:  Thanks for always doing this. TOs are a problem, but I don't agree with them being the main issue though. We might be ranked high in total yardage, but our efficiency numbers aren't on the same level.

Curious how the turnover prone option was working for Navy as compared to what ours is.

When I looked at their efficiency numbers they were terrible. However their terrible efficiency number rankings are more inline with their terrible total offense yards rank. These are two of my go to sites.

https://www.espn.com/college-football/fp...nk/dir/asc

https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/...lloff/2021

Thanks for the links.
The offensive efficiency numbers are actually better than I thought, given the turnovers. #35 on one and #38 on the other.
Defense efficiency is #105. Atrocious. Only 2 teams worse in the AAC - which is not known for defensive prowess.
10-12-2021 08:51 AM
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Tiger87 Offline
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RE: Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
(10-12-2021 05:21 AM)Hernando Hills Tiger Wrote:  
(10-11-2021 08:52 PM)Alanda Wrote:  
(10-11-2021 07:54 PM)Hernando Hills Tiger Wrote:  
(10-11-2021 07:48 PM)Alanda Wrote:  Thanks for always doing this. TOs are a problem, but I don't agree with them being the main issue though. We might be ranked high in total yardage, but our efficiency numbers aren't on the same level.

Curious how the turnover prone option was working for Navy as compared to what ours is.

When I looked at their efficiency numbers they were terrible. However their terrible efficiency number rankings are more inline with their terrible total offense yards rank. These are two of my go to sites.

https://www.espn.com/college-football/fp...nk/dir/asc

https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/...lloff/2021

Wow. The second link shows us to be 2-3.

They are not counting the FCS game. It is jarring to think of it that way.
10-12-2021 08:53 AM
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Bill83 Offline
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RE: Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
(10-12-2021 07:47 AM)ncrdbl1 Wrote:  Ellis (lg) and Rogers (wr) who missed the last two games, along with Clark (rb) are game time decisions against Navy.

any idea why Austin wasn't returning punts in the second half @ Tulsa?
10-12-2021 08:59 AM
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jsw3ent Offline
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RE: Tigers vs Navy By The Numbers 2021
(10-12-2021 08:59 AM)Bill83 Wrote:  
(10-12-2021 07:47 AM)ncrdbl1 Wrote:  Ellis (lg) and Rogers (wr) who missed the last two games, along with Clark (rb) are game time decisions against Navy.

any idea why Austin wasn't returning punts in the second half @ Tulsa?

Ruin said he was banged up
10-12-2021 12:25 PM
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