Hello There, Guest! (LoginRegister)

Post Reply 
Top 4 has Cincinnati
Author Message
billybobby777 Offline
The REAL BillyBobby
*

Posts: 10,958
Joined: May 2013
Reputation: 419
I Root For: ECU, Army
Location: Houston dont sleepon
Post: #1
Top 4 has Cincinnati
1. Georgia
2. Iowa
3. Oklahoma
4. Cincinnati
10-10-2021 12:22 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Advertisement


billybobby777 Offline
The REAL BillyBobby
*

Posts: 10,958
Joined: May 2013
Reputation: 419
I Root For: ECU, Army
Location: Houston dont sleepon
Post: #2
RE: Top 4 has Cincinnati
Every AAC fan especially the Houston fans on here and the 1 Navy fan better hope Cincinnati goes undefeated for the good of the AAC or they aren’t true AAC fans.
10-10-2021 12:25 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
billybobby777 Offline
The REAL BillyBobby
*

Posts: 10,958
Joined: May 2013
Reputation: 419
I Root For: ECU, Army
Location: Houston dont sleepon
Post: #3
RE: Top 4 has Cincinnati
Every AAC conference fan must hope your school throws their game vs Cincinnati to make sure the AAC has a team in the playoff.
10-10-2021 12:29 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
ncbeta Offline
Someone has to have common sense here
*

Posts: 5,680
Joined: Sep 2011
Reputation: 125
I Root For: ECU
Location: Alabama
Post: #4
RE: Top 4 has Cincinnati
Forget that I want us to beat anyone we play. Share our misery.
10-10-2021 12:51 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Fishpro10987 Offline
1st String
*

Posts: 1,615
Joined: Feb 2019
Reputation: 109
I Root For: Temple
Location: Eugene, OR
Post: #5
RE: Top 4 has Cincinnati
(10-10-2021 12:29 AM)billybobby777 Wrote:  Every AAC conference fan must hope your school throws their game vs Cincinnati to make sure the AAC has a team in the playoff.

Well, we did our part. Who's up next?
10-10-2021 01:05 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Milwaukee Offline
2nd String
*

Posts: 456
Joined: Jun 2021
Reputation: 12
I Root For: many teams
Location:
Post: #6
RE: Top 4 has Cincinnati
(10-10-2021 12:22 AM)billybobby777 Wrote:  1. Georgia
2. Iowa
3. Oklahoma
4. Cincinnati

The week 6 ESPN FPI predicted that Cincy will finish the season with 12.1 (+/- 0.8) wins, and that they have a 41.7% chance of winning the rest of the season, through the championship game.

They give Cincy a 46.4% chance of making it into the CFP playoffs.

https://www.espn.com/college-football/fp...w/dir/desc

.

Here's a list of the # of games the rest of the AAC is predicted to win after the week 7 games, according to the ESPN FPI:

..ESPN FPI^:........Massey~ (12 games):

Cincy: 12.1 wins..........12 wins*
UH: 10.0 wins.............11 wins*
SMU: 9.8 wins............10 wins*
UCF: 7.5 wins..............8 wins*
Memphis: 6.2 wins.......6 wins*
ECU: 5.7 wins..............5 wins
Temple: 4.5 wins..........3 wins
Tulsa: 5.0 wins.............6 wins+
USF 3.1 wins................2 wins
Tulane: 3.0 wins...........2 wins
Navy: 2.2 wins.............3 wins

*Teams projected by ESPN and Massey to qualify for a bowl game.
+Teams projected by ESPN or Massey to qualify for a bowl game.

^https://www.espn.com/college-football/fpi/_/group/151
~https://masseyratings.com/cf2021/4636


If only 5 or 6 AAC teams become bowl-qualified, 2021 would be the first year since 2014 that fewer than 7 AAC teams qualified to play in a bowl game.

.
(This post was last modified: 10-10-2021 08:44 AM by Milwaukee.)
10-10-2021 02:25 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Advertisement


slhNavy91 Offline
Heisman
*

Posts: 5,723
Joined: Jul 2015
Reputation: 669
I Root For: Navy
Location:
Post: #7
RE: Top 4 has Cincinnati
(10-10-2021 12:25 AM)billybobby777 Wrote:  Every AAC fan especially the Houston fans on here and the 1 Navy fan better hope Cincinnati goes undefeated for the good of the AAC or they aren’t true AAC fans.

(10-10-2021 12:29 AM)billybobby777 Wrote:  Every AAC conference fan must hope your school throws their game vs Cincinnati to make sure the AAC has a team in the playoff.

I wasn't sorry when Navy upset #6 Houston in 2016.
When Cincinnati shows up as Navy's Homecoming opponent in two weeks I wont be sorry if we upset them - make for some happy reunions.

You've created this "AAC fan" thing.

Let me help you....I am a Navy fan. If you need some other classification, you can call me a P6 fan, since the goals of the P6 campaign overlap a lot with Navy's strategic goals.
That might help you with your simpleton's bizarre need to put a label on things.
10-10-2021 07:44 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
goodknightfl Offline
Hall of Famer
*

Posts: 18,551
Joined: Feb 2004
Reputation: 333
I Root For:
Location:
Post: #8
RE: Top 4 has Cincinnati
(10-10-2021 12:25 AM)billybobby777 Wrote:  Every AAC fan especially the Houston fans on here and the 1 Navy fan better hope Cincinnati goes undefeated for the good of the AAC or they aren’t true AAC fans.

I actually hope UCF loses the Cincy game then runs the table. UCF has no chance at access bowl, nor even a good bowl game, so let Cincy break the barrier. I am glad to go to the B12 but want AAC to be the best it can be. The AAC has been great for UCF.
(This post was last modified: 10-10-2021 08:16 AM by goodknightfl.)
10-10-2021 08:14 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
The WEST is the BEST Offline
2nd String
*

Posts: 331
Joined: Jan 2004
Reputation: -16
I Root For:
Location:
Post: #9
RE: Top 4 has Cincinnati
(10-10-2021 12:22 AM)billybobby777 Wrote:  1. Georgia
2. Iowa
3. Oklahoma
4. Cincinnati

Which poll did you find this information?
10-10-2021 08:30 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Bear Catlett Offline
Heisman
*

Posts: 5,089
Joined: Jan 2020
Reputation: 508
I Root For: UC
Location:
Post: #10
RE: Top 4 has Cincinnati
(10-10-2021 07:44 AM)slhNavy91 Wrote:  
(10-10-2021 12:25 AM)billybobby777 Wrote:  Every AAC fan especially the Houston fans on here and the 1 Navy fan better hope Cincinnati goes undefeated for the good of the AAC or they aren’t true AAC fans.

(10-10-2021 12:29 AM)billybobby777 Wrote:  Every AAC conference fan must hope your school throws their game vs Cincinnati to make sure the AAC has a team in the playoff.

I wasn't sorry when Navy upset #6 Houston in 2016.
When Cincinnati shows up as Navy's Homecoming opponent in two weeks I wont be sorry if we upset them - make for some happy reunions.

You've created this "AAC fan" thing.

Let me help you....I am a Navy fan. If you need some other classification, you can call me a P6 fan, since the goals of the P6 campaign overlap a lot with Navy's strategic goals.
That might help you with your simpleton's bizarre need to put a label on things.

Yeah, if we lose to Navy we should just cancel the rest of the season.
10-10-2021 08:34 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
TIGERCITY Offline
Hall of Famer
*

Posts: 17,669
Joined: Feb 2009
Reputation: 383
I Root For: Memphis
Location:
Post: #11
RE: Top 4 has Cincinnati
The Massey composite rankings has Alabama at 4 Cincinnati 5.

https://masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm
10-10-2021 08:35 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Advertisement


mustangxc Offline
1st String
*

Posts: 1,096
Joined: Jan 2010
Reputation: 51
I Root For: SMU
Location:
Post: #12
RE: Top 4 has Cincinnati
If SMU is undefeated when we face Cincinnati I hope we crush them. SMU landing in the access bowl is actually a better deal for the AAC than UC landing a playoff spot. Now if I'm a UC, UCF, or UH fan I am Cincinnati all the way.
10-10-2021 08:46 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Edgebrookjeff Offline
1st String
*

Posts: 1,037
Joined: Oct 2008
Reputation: 16
I Root For: bearcats
Location:
Post: #13
RE: Top 4 has Cincinnati
(10-10-2021 08:30 AM)The WEST is the BEST Wrote:  
(10-10-2021 12:22 AM)billybobby777 Wrote:  1. Georgia
2. Iowa
3. Oklahoma
4. Cincinnati

Which poll did you find this information?

I think that's referencing the ESPN power rankings. I haven't seen any actual polls released yet.
10-10-2021 09:00 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
owl at the moon Offline
Eastern Screech Owl
*

Posts: 7,474
Joined: Aug 2013
Reputation: 387
I Root For: rice,smu,uh,unt
Location: 23 mbps from csnbbs
Post: #14
Top 4 has Cincinnati
(10-10-2021 02:25 AM)Milwaukee Wrote:  
(10-10-2021 12:22 AM)billybobby777 Wrote:  1. Georgia
2. Iowa
3. Oklahoma
4. Cincinnati

The week 6 ESPN FPI predicted that Cincy will finish the season with 12.1 (+/- 0.8) wins, and that they have a 41.7% chance of winning the rest of the season, through the championship game.

They give Cincy a 46.4% chance of making it into the CFP playoffs.

https://www.espn.com/college-football/fp...w/dir/desc

.

Here's a list of the # of games the rest of the AAC is predicted to win after the week 7 games, according to the ESPN FPI:

..ESPN FPI^:........Massey~ (12 games):

Cincy: 12.1 wins..........12 wins*
UH: 10.0 wins.............11 wins*
SMU: 9.8 wins............10 wins*
UCF: 7.5 wins..............8 wins*
Memphis: 6.2 wins.......6 wins*
ECU: 5.7 wins..............5 wins
Temple: 4.5 wins..........3 wins
Tulsa: 5.0 wins.............6 wins+
USF 3.1 wins................2 wins
Tulane: 3.0 wins...........2 wins
Navy: 2.2 wins.............3 wins

*Teams projected by ESPN and Massey to qualify for a bowl game.
+Teams projected by ESPN or Massey to qualify for a bowl game.

^https://www.espn.com/college-football/fpi/_/group/151
~https://masseyratings.com/cf2021/4636


If only 5 or 6 AAC teams become bowl-qualified, 2021 would be the first year since 2014 that fewer than 7 AAC teams qualified to play in a bowl game.

.


I’d go ahead and give ECU a “+”.
If ESPN projects them with 5.7 wins, you have to round up to a bowl eligible 6. That puts 7 teams with a strong shot at eligibility (but far from a slam dunk).

5.7 is not technically possible because ties (half wins, or 0.5) no longer happen with the OT rules.

And “moral victories” (worth 0.2) have never counted in the official stats!
10-10-2021 09:08 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
BearcatInFL Offline
Water Engineer
*

Posts: 73
Joined: Jan 2013
Reputation: 20
I Root For: Lucy
Location:
Post: #15
RE: Top 4 has Cincinnati
(10-10-2021 12:51 AM)ncbeta Wrote:  Forget that I want us to beat anyone we play. Share our misery.

Love the sentiment of the OP, but you nailed it. It would make ECU's season (or Navy's, etc.) to be the one to knock off UC. Not gonna happen though 05-nono
(This post was last modified: 10-10-2021 09:14 AM by BearcatInFL.)
10-10-2021 09:09 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Milwaukee Offline
2nd String
*

Posts: 456
Joined: Jun 2021
Reputation: 12
I Root For: many teams
Location:
Post: #16
RE: Top 4 has Cincinnati
(10-10-2021 08:35 AM)TIGERCITY Wrote:  The Massey composite rankings has Alabama at 4 Cincinnati 5.

https://masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm

AAC teams:

Week 7
Massey..........week 7
composite.......2020
rank:..............rank........change:

#5 Cincy........#10...........+5
#28 SMU..........#38..........-10
#43 Houston...#45..........+2
#69 UCF.........#29...........-40

#80 Memphis....#25..........-55
#81 ECU..........#109........+28
#93 Tulsa.........#39..........-54
#103 Temple....#89..........-14
#105 Tulane.....#85..........-20
#107 USF........#117.........-10
#109 Navy.......#76..........-33

.

Comparisons with other conferences:

Massey Mean Ranking Scores:

........Week 7....Week 7
Conf:...2021:.....2020:...Change:

SEC....37.15......41.79.....+4.64
B12....40.35......46.10......+5.75
B10....40.37......46.54......+6.17
ACC....51.01......52.58......+1.57
P12.....65.31......58.13......-7.18
IND....73.89.......60.86.....-13.03
AAC..74.27.......60.64.....-13.63
MWC...75.46.......76.43.....+0.97
SBC....87.49.......75.83.....-11.66
MAC....90.19.......99.12.....+8.93
CUSA...95.11.......89.90.....-5.21


Unfortunately, the AAC's rankings have dropped more than any other conference compared to 2020.

At this point in 2020, the AAC was ranked close behind the PAC 12, and well ahead of the MWC. Currently, the AAC is ranked well behind the PAC 12 and just slightly ahead of the MWC.

These kinds of figures must be very jarring to the AAC presidents, commissioner, and to ESPN, particularly when they note that only one of the 8 "remainers" currently has a team in the top 50 of the Massey composite.

Looking these rankings over, it's no wonder that there have been two reports since October 1st suggesting that the AAC may be considering the addition of as many as 6 or 8 schools to the conference in the next few years.
(This post was last modified: 10-10-2021 09:31 AM by Milwaukee.)
10-10-2021 09:16 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Advertisement


billybobby777 Offline
The REAL BillyBobby
*

Posts: 10,958
Joined: May 2013
Reputation: 419
I Root For: ECU, Army
Location: Houston dont sleepon
Post: #17
RE: Top 4 has Cincinnati
(10-10-2021 08:30 AM)The WEST is the BEST Wrote:  
(10-10-2021 12:22 AM)billybobby777 Wrote:  1. Georgia
2. Iowa
3. Oklahoma
4. Cincinnati

Which poll did you find this information?

That was my prediction last night after ATM brought down the hammer on Bamer.
10-10-2021 09:41 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
billybobby777 Offline
The REAL BillyBobby
*

Posts: 10,958
Joined: May 2013
Reputation: 419
I Root For: ECU, Army
Location: Houston dont sleepon
Post: #18
RE: Top 4 has Cincinnati
(10-10-2021 12:51 AM)ncbeta Wrote:  Forget that I want us to beat anyone we play. Share our misery.

Oh me too. Notice I’m referencing AAC conference fans. I’m an ECU fan. If anyone is going to have to win the league at ECU’s expense I hope it’s SMU as they are still going to be in the AAC.
10-10-2021 09:43 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
slhNavy91 Offline
Heisman
*

Posts: 5,723
Joined: Jul 2015
Reputation: 669
I Root For: Navy
Location:
Post: #19
RE: Top 4 has Cincinnati
(10-10-2021 09:16 AM)Milwaukee Wrote:  
(10-10-2021 08:35 AM)TIGERCITY Wrote:  The Massey composite rankings has Alabama at 4 Cincinnati 5.

https://masseyratings.com/cf/compare.htm

AAC teams:

Week 7
Massey..........week 7
composite.......2020
rank:..............rank........change:

#5 Cincy........#10...........+5
#28 SMU..........#38..........-10
#43 Houston...#45..........+2
#69 UCF.........#29...........-40

#80 Memphis....#25..........-55
#81 ECU..........#109........+28
#93 Tulsa.........#39..........-54
#103 Temple....#89..........-14
#105 Tulane.....#85..........-20
#107 USF........#117.........-10
#109 Navy.......#76..........-33

.

Comparisons with other conferences:

Massey Mean Ranking Scores:

........Week 7....Week 7
Conf:...2021:.....2020:...Change:

SEC....37.15......41.79.....+4.64
B12....40.35......46.10......+5.75
B10....40.37......46.54......+6.17
ACC....51.01......52.58......+1.57
P12.....65.31......58.13......-7.18
IND....73.89.......60.86.....-13.03
AAC..74.27.......60.64.....-13.63
MWC...75.46.......76.43.....+0.97
SBC....87.49.......75.83.....-11.66
MAC....90.19.......99.12.....+8.93
CUSA...95.11.......89.90.....-5.21


Unfortunately, the AAC's rankings have dropped more than any other conference compared to 2020.

At this point in 2020, the AAC was ranked close behind the PAC 12, and well ahead of the MWC. Currently, the AAC is ranked well behind the PAC 12 and just slightly ahead of the MWC.

These kinds of figures must be very jarring to the AAC presidents, commissioner, and to ESPN, particularly when they note that only one of the 8 "remainers" currently has a team in the top 50 of the Massey composite.

Looking these rankings over, it's no wonder that there have been two reports since October 1st suggesting that the AAC may be considering the addition of as many as 6 or 8 schools to the conference in the next few years.

Not much value in comparing the composite to last year when there are 12 rankings compiled at this point in the week.
10-10-2021 09:44 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
billybobby777 Offline
The REAL BillyBobby
*

Posts: 10,958
Joined: May 2013
Reputation: 419
I Root For: ECU, Army
Location: Houston dont sleepon
Post: #20
RE: Top 4 has Cincinnati
(10-10-2021 09:09 AM)BearcatInFL Wrote:  
(10-10-2021 12:51 AM)ncbeta Wrote:  Forget that I want us to beat anyone we play. Share our misery.

Love the sentiment of the OP, but you nailed it. It would make ECU's season (or Navy's, etc.) to be the one to knock off UC. Not gonna happen though 05-nono

Probably not. Though if Cincinnati slips it’ll be one you never saw coming lol
10-10-2021 09:45 AM
Find all posts by this user Quote this message in a reply
Post Reply 




User(s) browsing this thread: 1 Guest(s)


Copyright © 2002-2021 Collegiate Sports Nation Bulletin Board System (CSNbbs), All Rights Reserved.
CSNbbs is an independent fan site and is in no way affiliated to the NCAA or any of the schools and conferences it represents.
This site monetizes links. FTC Disclosure.
We allow third-party companies to serve ads and/or collect certain anonymous information when you visit our web site. These companies may use non-personally identifiable information (e.g., click stream information, browser type, time and date, subject of advertisements clicked or scrolled over) during your visits to this and other Web sites in order to provide advertisements about goods and services likely to be of greater interest to you. These companies typically use a cookie or third party web beacon to collect this information. To learn more about this behavioral advertising practice or to opt-out of this type of advertising, you can visit http://www.networkadvertising.org.
Powered By MyBB, © 2002-2021 MyBB Group.