(08-17-2021 07:06 AM)mlb Wrote: They are limiting the number of big games the SEC can schedule out of conference. Thats the big deal about it. Prioritizing games between the other power conferences and not the SEC.
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Big hairy deal! The SEC now has half of the top 10 programs and 11 of the top 20. It doesn't need OOC games against the other 3 conferences. Notre Dame has lined up SEC games. So toss another top 10 into the mix even if only for a game a season. I'm sure B.Y.U. would take some games as well.
So in conference the SEC has more top brands playing than anyone. We could play 10P games and 2 buy games in region and still have a better S.O.S. than the alliance schools.
And who gets hurt here? The SEC could get another nice bump of 3 million for playing a 10th conference game. Will the alliance play 10P games each with as high of a ranking? No.
So Finebaum's disdain has some merit.
And then the 800lb gorilla isn't the SEC, but ESPN who could choose to devalue an ACC contract that was missing the SEC rival games since they draw better numbers among the ACC's current slate of games.
I also don't see the PAC and B1G giving up a 9th conference game (especially the B1G) to schedule ACC foes not named Clemson or FSU where B1G foes would draw better ratings.
This is one of those things which sounds great in the headlines until you check out the logistics and realize it has little to no chance of making a difference. And over what? A move that might have happened 30 years ago and has been in discussion ever since? It's a histrionic reaction to the reality that no move or set of moves can catch them up in value.
So what does the SEC do? Probably nothing because there is no real threat. But if they wanted to push the matter they would breakaway from the NCAA and start their own semi-professional league, issue invitations to 8 to 16 of the top earning programs not already in the SEC and no matter whether they get them all or not, they will have established a new tier, more than doubled hoops revenue by owning it outright, and diminished everything the NCAA does and offers including the softball and baseball CWS, the men's and women's hoops tourneys, and diminished the value of football in the conferences remaining loyal to the NCAA.
And since SCOTUS has ruled on NIL and will likely rule on Stipend Caps next year, it might be argued that this league is an alternative option for enforcement of those rulings and that the natures of the old contracts had been altered in substance by those court rulings, and that the new league therefore was an alternative to amateur models the NCAA oversees, and which the courts found to be a restraint on trade. So GOR's would be moot for those seeking to join inasmuch as they were also changing the nature under which previous contracts were signed and would not be in competition with the NCAA's model, but other.
Now the alliance has to search their ranks and ponder whether the revenue of the new model might be attractive enough to lure away Notre Dame, U.S.C., Oregon, Washington, Ohio State, Penn State, Iowa, Nebraska, Florida State, Clemson, and a Miami program already using NIL to revive recruiting. Why? Because if just 1/3 of those joined with the SEC the national appeal of those left behind plummets in they eyes of the public and likely in the eyes of many alumni.
And ESPN would be looking at 100 million plus easily for the rights and if just 8 more joined maybe 120 million.
Now when the emotions cool and the AD's, commissioners, and presidents consider the potential downside, they'll shut up and acquiesce, or start that amateur only model that will drive many or all of the schools I listed into the breakaway, and likely about as many more I did not name.
And that is the reality.
And what do you hazard a guess might be the media value of those choosing the amateur model? How about how many networks would fork out big bucks to run that lineup against ESPN's breakaway super league?
This is why Finebaum calls this out! And I don't like Paul's stuff, but he's right about this.